Vitoria vs Bahia Prediction
Brazil · Regular Season - 24
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Vitoria vs Bahia: result, form and history
Bahia beat Vitoria 2-0 in the Serie A on 23 Aug 2026. That went against recent form: Vitoria had won 2 of their previous five, compared with none for Bahia.
Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.2 goals, with both teams scoring in 6 of them. Referee Raphael Claus averages 4.34 cards a game, 0.71 fewer than other referees in the same competitions.
Match Forecasts
Match Events
Lineups
Vitoria
Avg ratingAvg rating
C1L. Arcanjo
2E. Brítez
25Cacá
36L. Cândido
13Ramon
88Z. Vitor
15Walace
33Erick
10Matheuzinho
12D. Tarzia
91R. Sousa
1Ronaldo
31R. Gómez
33D. Duarte
21S. Ramos Mingo
46L. Juba
14Erick
C5N. Acevedo
11R. Nestor
99C. Olivera
9A. Véliz
16E. PulgaVitoria Substitutes
Bahia Substitutes
Match Stats
VitoriaBahia Team Comparison
VitoriaBahiaAI Insights
Game State Tendencies
Vitoria- Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
- Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.7 vs 0.4 in second half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Bahia- Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
- Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.1 vs 0.5 in second half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Head to Head
Last 10 meetings, all competitions
Vitoria1Wins · 10%5Wins · 50%Previous meetings
12/03/2026BahiaVitoria
07/03/2026BahiaVitoria25/01/2026VitoriaBahia17/10/2025VitoriaBahia18/05/2025BahiaVitoria23/03/2025VitoriaBahia16/03/2025BahiaVitoria01/02/2025BahiaVitoria11/08/2024BahiaVitoria21/04/2024VitoriaBahiaRecent Form
VitoriaVitoria
Botafogo
FlamengoVitoriaVitoria
Atletico ParanaenseAtletico ParanaenseVitoriaVitoria
Palmeiras
RemoVitoriaBotafogoVitoriaVitoria
Vasco DA GamaVitoria
Fortaleza ECFortaleza ECVitoriaBahia
Chapecoense-scBahiaBahiaVasco DA Gama
FluminenseBahiaBahia
Corinthians
Atletico-MGBahiaBahiaChapecoense-scFluminenseBahiaBahiaBotafogo
CoritibaBahiaBahia
GremioReferee Profile
Compared with other referees
4.34 cards a match, 0.71 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.05).
Cards come from 289 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Flamengo | 34 | 23 | 7 | 4 | 71:29 | +42 | 76 | WWWWW |
| 2 | Palmeiras | 34 | 21 | 10 | 3 | 62:23 | +39 | 73 | WDWWW |
| 3 |  Cruzeiro | 34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 55:48 | +7 | 60 | WWWWL |
| 4 | Fluminense | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 55:42 | +13 | 57 | WWLLL |
| 5 | Atletico Paranaense | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 51:43 | +8 | 54 | LLDLW |
| 6 | Bahia | 34 | 14 | 11 | 9 | 50:45 | +5 | 53 | LWDLW |
| 7 | Atletico-MG | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 44:40 | +4 | 50 | LLLWW |
| 8 |  RB Bragantino | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 44:39 | +5 | 47 | WWLDW |
| 9 |  Santos | 34 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 50:49 | +1 | 47 | LDDWL |
| 10 |  Sao Paulo | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 39:39 | 0 | 44 | DLDWW |
| 11 | Botafogo | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 46:53 | -7 | 42 | WLLWD |
| 12 | Coritiba | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 40:51 | -11 | 42 | LWLLD |
| 13 | Vasco DA Gama | 33 | 11 | 8 | 14 | 43:50 | -7 | 41 | WLWLD |
| 14 |  Mirassol | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 39:48 | -9 | 40 | WLDWL |
| 15 | Vitoria | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 35:51 | -16 | 38 | LLDDL |
| 16 |  Internacional | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 38:42 | -4 | 38 | WLWLD |
| 17 | Corinthians | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 36:42 | -6 | 37 | DWLDL |
| 18 | Gremio | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 38:47 | -9 | 37 | LWWLD |
| 19 | Remo | 34 | 6 | 11 | 17 | 37:57 | -20 | 29 | LWLDD |
| 20 | Chapecoense-sc | 33 | 4 | 9 | 20 | 33:68 | -35 | 21 | LLWLL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Flamengo | 34 | 71:29 | 76 |
| 2 | Palmeiras | 34 | 62:23 | 73 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro | 34 | 55:48 | 60 |
| 4 | Fluminense | 34 | 55:42 | 57 |
| 5 | Atletico Paranaense | 34 | 51:43 | 54 |
| 6 | Bahia | 34 | 50:45 | 53 |
| 7 | Atletico-MG | 34 | 44:40 | 50 |
| 8 | RB Bragantino | 34 | 44:39 | 47 |
| 9 | Santos | 34 | 50:49 | 47 |
| 10 | Sao Paulo | 34 | 39:39 | 44 |
| 11 | Botafogo | 34 | 46:53 | 42 |
| 12 | Coritiba | 34 | 40:51 | 42 |
| 13 | Vasco DA Gama | 33 | 43:50 | 41 |
| 14 | Mirassol | 34 | 39:48 | 40 |
| 15 | Vitoria | 34 | 35:51 | 38 |
| 16 | Internacional | 34 | 38:42 | 38 |
| 17 | Corinthians | 34 | 36:42 | 37 |
| 18 | Gremio | 34 | 38:47 | 37 |
| 19 | Remo | 34 | 37:57 | 29 |
| 20 | Chapecoense-sc | 33 | 33:68 | 21 |
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This match
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About the Vitoria vs Bahia forecast
As a derby, this Serie A meeting carries extra weight; the forecasts take that context into account alongside team ratings, recent form and the head-to-head record.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Vitoria and Bahia in the Serie A table
In the Serie A table, Bahia are 6th and Vitoria 15th, 15 points apart. League goal record so far: Vitoria 35-51, Bahia 50-45. The full standings are on the Serie A Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.