Vitoria vs Vasco DA Gama Prediction
Brazil · Quarter-finalsCupKnockout
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
80%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.35
SignalSTRONGModel61%SurpriseMediumGap+5.9%
Vitoria Rest
4 days
Vasco DA Gama Rest
4 days
Vitoria vs Vasco DA Gama: the result in context
Vasco DA Gama beat Vitoria 2-0 in the Copa Do Brasil on 3 Sep 2026. It was in line with recent form: Vasco DA Gama had won 3 of their previous five, compared with 1 for Vitoria.
Vasco DA Gama have had the better of this fixture, winning 5 of the 8 previous meetings, which averaged 2.5 goals a game.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
155%2.30
X27%3.19
218%3.09
Double Chance
1X82%1.35
X245%1.57
Both Teams to Score
Yes43%1.94
No57%1.79
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.71 + 1.01 = 2.72
Over 1.569%1.41
Over 2.543%2.30
Over 3.528%4.29
Under 1.531%2.77
Under 2.557%1.61
Under 3.572%1.20
Corners
Corner forecasts not available for this match
Cards
Card forecasts not available for this match
Match Events
51'CacáFoul
58'Goal cancelledCacá
61'Matheusinho INFabiano out
61'Diego Tarzia INCarlos Renê de Sousa Ferreira out
67'Adson INFacundo Colidio out
72'Ramon Rique Santos De Souza Barros INTchê Tchê out
72'Claudio Spinelli INDavid out
73'Cacá INMarinho out
76'Luan CândidoFoul
78'Jose Luis RodriguezFoul
81'Andrés GómezAssist: Carlos Cuesta
82'Walace INOsvaldo out
82'Ramon INEdenilson out
85'Lucas Piton INLucas Freitas out
85'Andrés Gómez INMarino Hinestroza out
90+7'Jose Luis RodriguezAssist: Facundo Colidio
Lineups
VitoriaVasco DA Gama
4-3-3Coach: Pedro EmanuelAvg ratingAvg rating
1L. Arcanjo
98Mateusinho
25Cacá
36L. Cândido
13Ramon
15Walace
88Z. Vitor
10Matheuzinho
33Erick
12D. Tarzia
79R. Kayzer
1L. Jardim
2J. Rodríguez
46C. Cuesta
30R. Renan
6L. Piton
83R. Rique
5S. Sosa
23T. Mendes
28Adson
77C. Spinelli
11A. GómezVitoria Substitutes
26Edenilson82'replaced by Ramon
23Fabrício
40Hiago Fernandes Da Costa
11Osvaldo82'for Walace
20Lucas Silva
7Marinho73'for Cacá
18Kauan
83Jamerson
71Yuri Sena
91Carlos Renê de Sousa Ferreira61'replaced by Diego Tarzia
70Fabiano61'for Matheusinho
41Wendell Sacramento
Vasco DA Gama Substitutes
29Paulinho
82Avellar
80Bruno Andre
13Daniel Fuzato
9F. Colidio67'for Adson
7David72'for Claudio Spinelli
70Euder Galdino da Silva
18M. Hinestroza85'for Andrés Gómez
17Nuno Moreira
3Tchê Tchê72'for Ramon Rique Santos De Souza Barros
43Lucas Freitas85'for Lucas Piton
96Paulo Henrique
Match Stats
VitoriaVasco DA Gama 62%Ball Possession38%
0Corner Kicks3
2Yellow Cards1
7Total Shots12
1Shots on Goal5
4Shots off Goal5
5Shots Inside Box8
2Shots Outside Box4
2Blocked Shots2
19Fouls21
4Offsides0
3Goalkeeper Saves1
468Total Passes287
368Passes Accurate190
20Free Kicks19
Team Comparison
VitoriaVasco DA Gama1604Elo Rating 1742
1.15Attack 1.64
1.71Defense 0.97
14%Hit Rate 44%
10.2Shots per Game 12.0
3.6Shots on Target 3.0
3.0Corners per Game 3.1
1.9Cards per Game 1.3
AI Insights
📊Away Overperforming
Game State Tendencies
Vitoria- Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
- Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.7 vs 0.4 in second half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Vasco DA Gama- Scores more in 2nd half (1.3 vs 0.4 in first half)
- Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Head to Head
Last 8 meetings, all competitions
Vitoria3Wins · 38%Draws00%
Vasco DA Gama5Wins · 62%
5Wins · 62%2.5Avg Goals
38%Both teams scored3 of 8
50%3+ goals4 of 8
Previous meetings
27/08/2026Vasco DA GamaVitoria10
17/07/2026VitoriaVasco DA Gama10
05/10/2025Vasco DA GamaVitoria43
10/05/2025VitoriaVasco DA Gama21
01/09/2024VitoriaVasco DA Gama01
12/05/2024Vasco DA GamaVitoria21
11/11/2021Vasco DA GamaVitoria03
08/08/2021VitoriaVasco DA Gama01
Recent Form
Vitoria2W1D7L
29/08/2026
Atletico-MGVitoriaVitoria
Bahia
FlamengoVitoriaVitoria
Atletico ParanaenseAtletico ParanaenseVitoriaVitoria
Palmeiras
RemoVitoria
BotafogoVitoria
Atletico-MGVitoria21
L27/08/2026Vasco DA GamaVitoria
23/08/2026Vasco DA GamaVitoria10
LVitoriaBahia02
L16/08/2026VitoriaBotafogo
10/08/2026VitoriaBotafogo10
WFlamengoVitoria20
L07/08/2026VitoriaAtletico Paranaense40
W04/08/2026Atletico ParanaenseVitoria20
L30/07/2026VitoriaPalmeiras04
L27/07/2026RemoVitoria20
L24/07/2026BotafogoVitoria00
DVasco DA Gama5W3D2L
30/08/2026Vasco DA Gama
CruzeiroPalmeirasVasco DA Gama
OlimpiaVasco DA GamaVasco DA GamaOlimpiaBahiaVasco DA Gama
FluminenseVasco DA GamaVasco DA GamaFluminenseVasco DA Gama
Independiente Medellin
Vasco DA GamaCruzeiro31
W27/08/2026Vasco DA GamaVitoria
23/08/2026Vasco DA GamaVitoria10
WPalmeirasVasco DA Gama41
L21/08/2026OlimpiaVasco DA Gama14
W16/08/2026Vasco DA Gama
Santos
14/08/2026Vasco DA GamaSantos03
LVasco DA GamaOlimpia00
D09/08/2026BahiaVasco DA Gama00
D06/08/2026FluminenseVasco DA Gama13
W01/08/2026Vasco DA GamaFluminense00
D30/07/2026Vasco DA GamaIndependiente Medellin10
WReferee Profile
5.44Cards per match
5.11Yellow cards per match
0.33Red cards per match
28.0Fouls per match
Compared with other referees
5.44 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.22).
Cards come from 140 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsBracket
Round of 512
Round of 256
Round of 128
Round of 64
Round of 32
Round of 16
Quarter-finals
Semi-finals
Sampaio Corrêa RJ11
Desportiva ES13
Porto BA2
Serra Branca1
Maguary PE1
Laguna0
Baré0
Madureira3
Araguaína0
Primavera SP3
América SE13
Tirol/CEFAT15
Betim1
Piauí0
Gama2
Monte Roraima0
Santa Catarina2
IAPE0
Ji-Paraná2
Pantanal0
Ivinhema1
Independente AP0
Galvez12
Guaporé13
Primavera MG2
Bragantino PA1
Vasco da Gama AC12
Velo Clube13Botafogo
Chapecoense-sc
Sao Paulo
Gremio
CorinthiansVasco DA GamaBahiaRemoCruzeiroSantos
Coritiba
Internacional
RB Bragantino
MirassolFlamengoVitoriaAtletico-MGPalmeirasAtletico ParanaenseFluminense
Ponte Preta
Confiança
Paysandu
Barra
Boavista SC
Maringá
Joinville
CSA
America-RN
GAS
Fortaleza EC
Castanhal
Guarani Campinas
Juazeirense
Capital Brasilia
Atletico Goianiense
Novorizontino
Nacional AM
ABC
Londrina
Penedense
Retrô
Uberlandia
São Luiz
Maranhão
Tombense
Oratório
Anápolis
Cianorte
Imperatriz
Amazonas
Ceilândia
Jacuipense
Águia de Marabá
Independência
ASA
Operario Ferroviario
São Bernardo
Atlético Alagoinhas
Caxias
Guarany de Bagé
Goias
Ypiranga-RS
Mixto
Botafogo PB
Ceara
CEOV Operário
Porto Velho
Portuguesa
Altos
CRB
Figueirense
Azuriz
Nova Iguaçu
Lagarto
Tuna Luso
Tocantinópolis
Vila Nova
Avai
Porto Vitória
Capital
Manaus FC
Operario-PR
Rio Branco ES
Athletic Club
Cuiaba
Volta Redonda
Manauara
AO Itabaiana
America Mineiro
Trem
Fluminense PI
Portuguesa RJ
Maracanã
Sport Recife
Santa Cruz
Sousa
JuventudeBoavista SC2Maringá3Joinville1CSA0America-RN3GAS0Fortaleza EC4Maguary PE3Castanhal15Guarani Campinas13Juazeirense11Capital Brasilia13Atletico Goianiense1Primavera MG0Novorizontino4Nacional AM0Madureira1ABC0Londrina1Penedense0Retrô1Uberlandia2São Luiz0Maranhão1Tombense14Oratório12Anápolis3Cianorte1Imperatriz0Amazonas3Ceilândia11Jacuipense14Águia de Marabá2Independência0ASA1Operario Ferroviario2São Bernardo2Atlético Alagoinhas0Caxias0Guarany de Bagé1Gama24Goias25Ypiranga-RS2Ji-Paraná0Mixto14Botafogo PB13Ceara2Primavera SP1CEOV Operário11Porto Velho13Portuguesa5Altos1CRB6Porto BA0Figueirense1Azuriz0Nova Iguaçu14Lagarto13Tuna Luso4Tocantinópolis1Velo Clube02Vila Nova04Avai3Porto Vitória0Capital14Manaus FC15Betim0Operario-PR2Rio Branco ES15Athletic Club16Santa Catarina15Cuiaba14Ivinhema2Volta Redonda4Manauara3AO Itabaiana1America Mineiro14Tirol/CEFAT13Trem03Fluminense PI04Portuguesa RJ1Maracanã0Desportiva ES03Sport Recife04Santa Cruz02Sousa04Juventude5Guaporé0BotafogoChapecoense-scSao PauloGremioCorinthiansVasco DA GamaBahiaRemoCruzeiroSantosCoritibaInternacionalRB BragantinoMirassolFlamengoVitoriaAtletico-MGPalmeirasAtletico ParanaenseFluminensePonte PretaConfiançaPaysanduBarraPortuguesa14Avai11Joinville0São Bernardo1Ponte Preta1Guarany de Bagé0Maringá3Uberlandia2Athletic Club2Ypiranga-RS0Manauara0Fortaleza EC1Volta Redonda05America-RN03Goias3Fluminense PI0Confiança2Tombense0Castanhal0Nova Iguaçu4Santa Catarina0Jacuipense1Porto Velho0Atletico Goianiense1Manaus FC04Londrina05Paysandu3Portuguesa RJ1Madureira0Águia de Marabá1Vila Nova15Operario Ferroviario14Maranhão0Ceara1Operario-PR2Capital Brasilia0Sousa0CRB2Amazonas0Figueirense1Mixto0Novorizontino3Barra04America Mineiro03Sport Recife15Anápolis13Tuna Luso11Juventude14BotafogoChapecoense-scSao PauloGremioCorinthiansVasco DA GamaBahiaRemoCruzeiroSantosCoritibaInternacionalRB BragantinoMirassolFlamengoVitoriaAtletico-MGPalmeirasAtletico ParanaenseFluminenseNova Iguaçu0Fortaleza EC1São Bernardo02Ceara03Londrina0Operario-PR1Sport Recife1Athletic Club3Portuguesa2Paysandu3Vila Nova03Confiança05Atletico Goianiense1Ponte Preta0CRB1Figueirense0Jacuipense05Novorizontino04Maringá0Goias1Juventude3Águia de Marabá0Volta Redonda01Barra03BotafogoChapecoense-scSao PauloGremioCorinthiansVasco DA GamaBahiaRemoCruzeiroSantosCoritibaInternacionalRB BragantinoMirassolFlamengoVitoriaAtletico-MGPalmeirasAtletico ParanaenseFluminenseExplore more predictions
This match
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About the Vitoria vs Vasco DA Gama forecast
As a knockout tie in the Copa Do Brasil, there is more at stake than league points; the forecasts weigh that alongside team ratings, recent form and the head-to-head record.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
About Copa Do Brasil
More Copa Do Brasil fixtures and forecasts are on the Copa Do Brasil Predictions page.
Key Factors for This Match
This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.