Gremio vs Internacional Prediction
Brazil · Quarter-finalsDerbyCupKnockout
B. Arleu 04/09/2026
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
7.1 / 10
AI Best Pick
75%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.44
SignalHIGHModel43%SurpriseMediumGap+5.9%
Gremio Rest
4 days
Internacional Rest
4 days
Gremio vs Internacional: the result in context
Gremio beat Internacional 3-1 in the Copa Do Brasil on 4 Sep 2026. It was in line with recent form: Gremio had won 2 of their previous five, compared with none for Internacional.
Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.4 goals, with both teams scoring in 6 of them. Referee B. Arleu averages 5.66 cards a game, 0.50 more than other referees in the same competitions.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
138%2.91
X39%2.96
223%2.60
Double Chance
1X77%1.44
X262%1.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes39%1.95
No61%1.79
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.26 + 1.01 = 2.27
Over 1.561%1.41
Over 2.538%2.35
Over 3.517%4.40
Under 1.539%2.73
Under 2.562%1.58
Under 3.583%1.19
Corners
Corner forecasts not available for this match
Cards
Card forecasts not available for this match
Match Events
14'Carlos Vinícius
22'Carlos ViníciusAssist: Francis Amuzu
29'Thiago MaiaFoul
33'Cristian PavónFoul
45+2'Paulo César Pezzolano SuárezDissent
45+3'Walter KannemannFoul
58'Bruno Henrique INVitinho out
59'Matheus Bahia INJohan Carbonero out
62'Walter Kannemann INGustavo Martins out
62'Cristian Pavón INTetê out
68'Filip KrovinovićAssist: Francis Amuzu
71'Antonio Sanabria INPaulo Lucas Santos de Paula out
71'Thiago Maia INAlerrandro out
74'Gustavo MartinsArgument
74'Guillermo MaripánArgument
79'VitinhoAssist: Alan Patrick
83'Francis Amuzu INJuan Nardoni out
83'Filip Krovinović INJosé Enamorado out
84'Alan PatrickFoul
89'Mathias Villasanti INDanilo Barbosa da Silva out
90'MarlonFoul
Lineups
GremioInternacional
4-3-2-1Coach: P. PezzolanoAvg ratingAvg rating
1Weverton
27D. Caito
82Wallace
4W. Kannemann
23Marlon
8E. Noriega
7C. Pavón
20M. Villasanti
10F. Krovinović
9F. Amuzu
95C. Vinícius
23M. Cunha
15B. Gomes
3G. Maripán
25G. Mercado
6M. Bahia
8B. Henrique
5R. Villagra
29T. Maia
10A. Patrick
26A. Bernabéi
19A. SanabriaGremio Substitutes
3Wagner Leonardo
15Danilo Barbosa89'for Mathias Villasanti
11Tetê62'for Cristian Pavón
22M. Braithwaite
54Pedro Gabriel
99J. Enamorado83'for Filip Krovinović
12Gabriel Grando
6Gustavo Martins62'for Walter Kannemann74'
18João Pedro
5J. Nardoni83'for Francis Amuzu
30Matheus Nascimento
50Bernardo Zortea
Internacional Substitutes
4F. Torres
12Anthoni
27Paulinho71'for Antonio Sanabria
28Vitinho58'for Bruno Henrique79'
30Calebe
18Juninho
17N. Eliasson
7J. Carbonero59'for Matheus Bahia
9Alerrandro71'for Thiago Maia
44Victor Joao
35B. Aguirre
16Ronaldo
Match Stats
GremioInternacional 40%Ball Possession60%
4Corner Kicks13
4Yellow Cards3
9Total Shots23
5Shots on Goal7
1Shots off Goal11
9Shots Inside Box12
0Shots Outside Box11
3Blocked Shots5
9Fouls18
3Offsides1
6Goalkeeper Saves2
326Total Passes459
232Passes Accurate373
17Free Kicks9
Team Comparison
GremioInternacional1668Elo Rating 1645
1.56Attack 1.22
1.63Defense 2.07
59%Hit Rate 46%
12.3Shots per Game 15.5
4.3Shots on Target 5.2
5.9Corners per Game 8.0
2.0Cards per Game 3.3
AI Insights
📈BTTS Trend60% in H2H
🔥Derby Match
📉Away Underperforming
Game State Tendencies
Gremio- Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
- Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0.7 in first half)
- Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Internacional- Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Head to Head
Last 10 meetings, all competitions
Gremio2Wins · 20%Draws660%
Internacional2Wins · 20%
2Wins · 20%2.4Avg Goals
60%Both teams scored6 of 10
30%3+ goals3 of 10
Previous meetings
28/08/2026InternacionalGremio00
12/04/2026InternacionalGremio00
08/03/2026InternacionalGremio11
01/03/2026GremioInternacional30
26/01/2026InternacionalGremio42
21/09/2025InternacionalGremio23
20/04/2025GremioInternacional11
16/03/2025InternacionalGremio11
08/03/2025GremioInternacional02
09/02/2025GremioInternacional11
GrenalFull head-to-head record
Recent Form
Gremio3W3D4L
Internacional1W5D4L
31/08/2026
BahiaInternacionalInternacionalGremioInternacional
Atletico-MGInternacional
Remo
PalmeirasInternacional
CorinthiansInternacionalInternacionalCorinthiansInternacional
Flamengo
Atletico ParanaenseInternacionalInternacional
Cruzeiro
BahiaInternacional32
L28/08/2026InternacionalGremio00
D22/08/2026InternacionalAtletico-MG00
D18/08/2026InternacionalRemo11
D09/08/2026PalmeirasInternacional00
D07/08/2026CorinthiansInternacional21
L03/08/2026InternacionalCorinthians20
W30/07/2026InternacionalFlamengo11
D25/07/2026Atletico ParanaenseInternacional20
L23/07/2026InternacionalCruzeiro12
LReferee Profile
5.66Cards per match
5.44Yellow cards per match
0.22Red cards per match
28.4Fouls per match
Compared with other referees
5.66 cards a match, 0.50 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.16).
Cards come from 201 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsBracket
Round of 512
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Quarter-finals
Semi-finals
Sampaio Corrêa RJ11
Desportiva ES13
Porto BA2
Serra Branca1
Maguary PE1
Laguna0
Baré0
Madureira3
Araguaína0
Primavera SP3
América SE13
Tirol/CEFAT15
Betim1
Piauí0
Gama2
Monte Roraima0
Santa Catarina2
IAPE0
Ji-Paraná2
Pantanal0
Ivinhema1
Independente AP0
Galvez12
Guaporé13
Primavera MG2
Bragantino PA1
Vasco da Gama AC12
Velo Clube13
Botafogo
Chapecoense-sc
Sao PauloGremioCorinthians
Vasco DA GamaBahiaRemoCruzeiro
Santos
CoritibaInternacional
RB Bragantino
MirassolFlamengo
VitoriaAtletico-MGPalmeirasAtletico Paranaense
Fluminense
Ponte Preta
Confiança
Paysandu
Barra
Boavista SC
Maringá
Joinville
CSA
America-RN
GAS
Fortaleza EC
Castanhal
Guarani Campinas
Juazeirense
Capital Brasilia
Atletico Goianiense
Novorizontino
Nacional AM
ABC
Londrina
Penedense
Retrô
Uberlandia
São Luiz
Maranhão
Tombense
Oratório
Anápolis
Cianorte
Imperatriz
Amazonas
Ceilândia
Jacuipense
Águia de Marabá
Independência
ASA
Operario Ferroviario
São Bernardo
Atlético Alagoinhas
Caxias
Guarany de Bagé
Goias
Ypiranga-RS
Mixto
Botafogo PB
Ceara
CEOV Operário
Porto Velho
Portuguesa
Altos
CRB
Figueirense
Azuriz
Nova Iguaçu
Lagarto
Tuna Luso
Tocantinópolis
Vila Nova
Avai
Porto Vitória
Capital
Manaus FC
Operario-PR
Rio Branco ES
Athletic Club
Cuiaba
Volta Redonda
Manauara
AO Itabaiana
America Mineiro
Trem
Fluminense PI
Portuguesa RJ
Maracanã
Sport Recife
Santa Cruz
Sousa
JuventudeBoavista SC2Maringá3Joinville1CSA0America-RN3GAS0Fortaleza EC4Maguary PE3Castanhal15Guarani Campinas13Juazeirense11Capital Brasilia13Atletico Goianiense1Primavera MG0Novorizontino4Nacional AM0Madureira1ABC0Londrina1Penedense0Retrô1Uberlandia2São Luiz0Maranhão1Tombense14Oratório12Anápolis3Cianorte1Imperatriz0Amazonas3Ceilândia11Jacuipense14Águia de Marabá2Independência0ASA1Operario Ferroviario2São Bernardo2Atlético Alagoinhas0Caxias0Guarany de Bagé1Gama24Goias25Ypiranga-RS2Ji-Paraná0Mixto14Botafogo PB13Ceara2Primavera SP1CEOV Operário11Porto Velho13Portuguesa5Altos1CRB6Porto BA0Figueirense1Azuriz0Nova Iguaçu14Lagarto13Tuna Luso4Tocantinópolis1Velo Clube02Vila Nova04Avai3Porto Vitória0Capital14Manaus FC15Betim0Operario-PR2Rio Branco ES15Athletic Club16Santa Catarina15Cuiaba14Ivinhema2Volta Redonda4Manauara3AO Itabaiana1America Mineiro14Tirol/CEFAT13Trem03Fluminense PI04Portuguesa RJ1Maracanã0Desportiva ES03Sport Recife04Santa Cruz02Sousa04Juventude5Guaporé0BotafogoChapecoense-scSao PauloGremioCorinthiansVasco DA GamaBahiaRemoCruzeiroSantosCoritibaInternacionalRB BragantinoMirassolFlamengoVitoriaAtletico-MGPalmeirasAtletico ParanaenseFluminensePonte PretaConfiançaPaysanduBarraPortuguesa14Avai11Joinville0São Bernardo1Ponte Preta1Guarany de Bagé0Maringá3Uberlandia2Athletic Club2Ypiranga-RS0Manauara0Fortaleza EC1Volta Redonda05America-RN03Goias3Fluminense PI0Confiança2Tombense0Castanhal0Nova Iguaçu4Santa Catarina0Jacuipense1Porto Velho0Atletico Goianiense1Manaus FC04Londrina05Paysandu3Portuguesa RJ1Madureira0Águia de Marabá1Vila Nova15Operario Ferroviario14Maranhão0Ceara1Operario-PR2Capital Brasilia0Sousa0CRB2Amazonas0Figueirense1Mixto0Novorizontino3Barra04America Mineiro03Sport Recife15Anápolis13Tuna Luso11Juventude14BotafogoChapecoense-scSao PauloGremioCorinthiansVasco DA GamaBahiaRemoCruzeiroSantosCoritibaInternacionalRB BragantinoMirassolFlamengoVitoriaAtletico-MGPalmeirasAtletico ParanaenseFluminenseNova Iguaçu0Fortaleza EC1São Bernardo02Ceara03Londrina0Operario-PR1Sport Recife1Athletic Club3Portuguesa2Paysandu3Vila Nova03Confiança05Atletico Goianiense1Ponte Preta0CRB1Figueirense0Jacuipense05Novorizontino04Maringá0Goias1Juventude3Águia de Marabá0Volta Redonda01Barra03BotafogoChapecoense-scSao PauloGremioCorinthiansVasco DA GamaBahiaRemoCruzeiroSantosCoritibaInternacionalRB BragantinoMirassolFlamengoVitoriaAtletico-MGPalmeirasAtletico ParanaenseFluminenseExplore more predictions
This match
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About the Gremio vs Internacional forecast
As a derby, this Copa Do Brasil meeting carries extra weight; the forecasts take that context into account alongside team ratings, recent form and the head-to-head record.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
About Copa Do Brasil
More Copa Do Brasil fixtures and forecasts are on the Copa Do Brasil Predictions page.
Key Factors for This Match
This is a high-importance fixture for both sides, rated 7.1 out of 10 by our context model. Gremio have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.