York vs Accrington ST Prediction

York
1-1
Finished
HT 0-0
Accrington ST
York`s LNER Community Stadium, York 20/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
79%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.18
SignalHIGHModel55%SurpriseMediumGap-6.1%
York Rest
3 days
Accrington ST Rest
3 days

York vs Accrington ST: the result in context

York and Accrington ST drew 1-1 in the League Two on 20 Oct 2026. Accrington ST had gone in with the better form, having won 3 of their previous five against 1 for York.

Accrington ST tend to win more corners, 6.8 a game to 4.0 for York.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
52%1.70
X
26%3.90
2
22%4.36
Double Chance
1X
78%1.18
X2
48%2.08
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%1.65
No
45%2.12
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.47 + 1 = 2.47
Over 1.5
77%1.20
Over 2.5
54%1.67
Over 3.5
33%2.62
Under 1.5
23%4.15
Under 2.5
46%2.12
Under 3.5
67%1.43
Corners
Projected Corners: 5 + 4.1 = 9.2
Over 8.5
56%1.37
Over 9.5
43%1.67
Over 10.5
32%2.10
Under 8.5
44%2.73
Under 9.5
57%2.10
Under 10.5
68%1.67
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.8 + 2.3 = 4.1
Over 3.5
59%-
Over 4.5
39%-
Under 3.5
41%-
Under 4.5
61%-

Match Events

14'Donald LoveFoul
55'Jack HuntNot retreating
61'Josh WoodsAssist: Stefan Mols
63'Alex Newby INFrankie Maguire out
63'Jeff King INJoseph Rabole Felix out
63'Jack Hunt INRyan Fallowfield out
73'Ollie Banks INHiram Boateng out
73'Alex Hunt INArthur Read out
80'Charlie Warren INConor Grant out
81'Arthur ReadFoul
82'Aidan borlandFoul
87'Stefan MolsFoul
88'Stefan Mols INCharlie·Brown out
90'Ollie PearceAssist: Arthur Read

Lineups

York
3-4-2-1Coach: S. Lindsey
Accrington ST
3-4-1-2Coach: J. Doolan
Avg rating6.63
Avg rating6.85
Alfie Shane McNally6.81A. Shane McNally
J. Hunt6.732J. Hunt
Z. Johnson6.85Z. Johnson
M. Kitching7.03M. Kitching
J. King6.315J. King
A. Hunt6.68A. Hunt
O. Banks6.728O. Banks
H. Boyes7.112H. Boyes
J. Grey6.17J. Grey
A. Newby6.030A. Newby
O. Pearce7.910O. Pearce
L. Moulden7.41L. Moulden
D. Love6.62D. Love
D. Matthews7.017D. Matthews
J. Anderson6.522J. Anderson
C. O'Brien6.338C. O'Brien
Stefan Mols7.714S. Mols
Aidan Borland6.816A. Borland
D. Tutonda7.233D. Tutonda
T. Walton6.723T. Walton
C. Warren6.430C. Warren
J. Woods7.839J. Woods

York Substitutes

21H. Boateng73'for Ollie Banks6.4
2R. Fallowfield63'for Jack Hunt6.2
23J. Felix63'for Jeff King6.5
11F. Maguire63'for Alex Newby6.4
16A. Read73'for Alex Hunt81'6.5
31G. Sykes-Kenworthy
24M. Williams

Accrington ST Substitutes

4T. Moore
8C. Grant80'for Charlie Warren6.2
20C. Brown88'for Stefan Mols6.5
3Oliver Smith
25J. Smith
21J. Rogerson

Match Stats

YorkAccrington ST
61%Ball Possession39%
7Corner Kicks6
2Yellow Cards3
15Total Shots11
6Shots on Goal4
5Shots off Goal5
6Shots Inside Box9
9Shots Outside Box2
4Blocked Shots2
10Fouls15
1Offsides1
3Goalkeeper Saves5
531Total Passes323
454Passes Accurate252
15Free Kicks10

Team Comparison

YorkYork
Accrington STAccrington ST
1606Elo Rating 1527
1.23Attack 2.30
1.69Defense 2.44
23%Hit Rate 46%
11.7Shots per Game 17.5
3.1Shots on Target 5.6
4.0Corners per Game 6.8
2.8Cards per Game 2.6

Game State Tendencies

YorkYork
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.8 vs 0.4 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Accrington STAccrington ST
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches

Recent Form

YorkYork
3W3D4L
17/10/2026
Newport CountyYork
11
D
10/10/2026
YorkNorthampton
11
D
26/09/2026
YorkGillingham
30
W
22/09/2026
YorkRotherham
4151
L
19/09/2026
ChesterfieldYork
20
L
15/09/2026
YorkNewcastle United U21
13
L
12/09/2026
YorkSwindon Town
40
W
05/09/2026
CreweYork
11
D
01/09/2026
CheltenhamYork
32
L
29/08/2026
YorkExeter City
21
W
Accrington STAccrington ST
5W4D1L
17/10/2026
Accrington STGillingham
31
W
10/10/2026
OldhamAccrington ST
00
D
06/10/2026
Accrington STSalford City
5141
W
03/10/2026
Accrington STCheltenham
20
W
26/09/2026
Swindon TownAccrington ST
11
D
22/09/2026
Accrington STSunderland U21
3313
W
19/09/2026
Accrington STNewport County
00
D
12/09/2026
BarnetAccrington ST
21
L
05/09/2026
Accrington STCrawley Town
32
W
01/09/2026
Accrington STGrimsby
22
D

League Table

League Two 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Salford CitySalford City1391323:14+928WWWWW
2BarnetBarnet1274127:17+1025WDLWW
3CheltenhamCheltenham1363422:22021WWLLL
4CreweCrewe1356216:16021LLWWW
5GrimsbyGrimsby1455424:18+620WWDLL
6YorkYork1455424:21+320LLWDD
7WalsallWalsall1247118:11+719LWDDD
8ChesterfieldChesterfield1454524:21+319LWDLD
9Exeter CityExeter City1354410:7+319WWDWW
10Accrington STAccrington ST1346322:16+618WDWDW
11Newport CountyNewport County1446420:17+318WLDDW
12ShrewsburyShrewsbury1353516:20-418DWWLW
13GillinghamGillingham1345418:18017LDLWD
14TranmereTranmere1337316:16016DWLDL
15Swindon TownSwindon Town1344513:16-316DWDLL
16Bristol RoversBristol Rovers1351716:20-416DLLLL
17Port ValePort Vale1243510:14-415WLDWW
18RochdaleRochdale1443717:26-915LLDLD
19Fleetwood TownFleetwood Town1335515:17-214LLWDL
20NorthamptonNorthampton113448:8013WLWDL
21OldhamOldham1233614:18-412DLWDL
22ColchesterColchester1226411:16-512LDDLD
23RotherhamRotherham1326517:23-612DDLLL
24Crawley TownCrawley Town1113712:21-96DLLDL
#TeamMPGPts
1Salford CitySalford City1323:1428
2BarnetBarnet1227:1725
3CheltenhamCheltenham1322:2221
4CreweCrewe1316:1621
5GrimsbyGrimsby1424:1820
6YorkYork1424:2120
7WalsallWalsall1218:1119
8ChesterfieldChesterfield1424:2119
9Exeter CityExeter City1310:719
10Accrington STAccrington ST1322:1618
11Newport CountyNewport County1420:1718
12ShrewsburyShrewsbury1316:2018
13GillinghamGillingham1318:1817
14TranmereTranmere1316:1616
15Swindon TownSwindon Town1313:1616
16Bristol RoversBristol Rovers1316:2016
17Port ValePort Vale1210:1415
18RochdaleRochdale1417:2615
19Fleetwood TownFleetwood Town1315:1714
20NorthamptonNorthampton118:813
21OldhamOldham1214:1812
22ColchesterColchester1211:1612
23RotherhamRotherham1317:2312
24Crawley TownCrawley Town1112:216
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About the York vs Accrington ST forecast

The forecasts for this League Two match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

York and Accrington ST in the League Two table

In the League Two table, York are 6th and Accrington ST 10th, 2 points apart. League goal record so far: York 24-21, Accrington ST 22-16. The full standings are on the League Two Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

York and Accrington ST have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.