York vs Port Vale Prediction

York
2-0
Finished
HT 0-0
Port Vale
York`s LNER Community Stadium, York 24/10/2026
YorkYork
2-0
Finished
Port ValePort Vale

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
75%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.25
SignalHIGHModel48%SurpriseMediumGap-4.6%
York Rest
3 days
Port Vale Rest
3 days

York vs Port Vale: the result in context

York beat Port Vale 2-0 in the League Two on 24 Oct 2026. That went against recent form: Port Vale had won 3 of their previous five, compared with 1 for York.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
48%2.00
X
26%3.48
2
26%3.57
Double Chance
1X
74%1.25
X2
51%1.76
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%1.68
No
44%2.06
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.7 + 1.02 = 2.72
Over 1.5
75%1.25
Over 2.5
52%1.85
Over 3.5
31%3.10
Under 1.5
25%3.60
Under 2.5
48%1.92
Under 3.5
69%1.33
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.5 + 4 = 9.6
Over 8.5
60%1.44
Over 9.5
48%1.73
Over 10.5
37%2.21
Under 8.5
40%2.60
Under 9.5
52%2.00
Under 10.5
63%1.60
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.9 + 2.3 = 4.2
Over 3.5
61%-
Over 4.5
41%-
Under 3.5
39%-
Under 4.5
59%-

Match Events

54'Zak JohnsonAssist: Alex Hunt
61'Alex Hunt
63'Jack Hunt INJoseph Rabole Felix out
63'Frankie Maguire INAlex Newby out
67'Oliver Lynch INMax Watters out
67'Jordan Gabriel INOnel Hernández out
67'Rhys Walters INGeorge Cardinal Joseph·Hall out
69'Keyrol Alexis Figueroa Norales INMaleace asamoah out
71'Alex Hunt INHiram Boateng out
80'Ollie Banks INJ. Stones out
84'Kyle DempseyFoul

Lineups

York
3-4-2-1Coach: S. Lindsey
Port Vale
3-5-2Coach: J. Brady
Avg rating7.10
Avg rating6.46
Alfie Shane McNally7.91A. Shane McNally
R. Fallowfield7.02R. Fallowfield
Z. Johnson8.45Z. Johnson
M. Kitching7.03M. Kitching
J. Hunt6.632J. Hunt
A. Hunt9.08A. Hunt
O. Banks6.228O. Banks
H. Boyes6.712H. Boyes
A. Read7.216A. Read
F. Maguire6.611F. Maguire
O. Pearce6.410O. Pearce
M. Maroši6.220M. Maroši
C. Humphreys6.825C. Humphreys
J. Moon7.34J. Moon
K. John6.72K. John
J. Lawrence-Gabriel6.06J. Lawrence-Gabriel
K. Dempsey6.910K. Dempsey
R. Walters5.938R. Walters
G. Byers6.77G. Byers
J. Headley5.83J. Headley
O. Lynch6.414O. Lynch
K. Figueroa6.324K. Figueroa

York Substitutes

21H. Boateng71'for Alex Hunt6.8
23J. Felix63'for Jack Hunt7.1
15J. King
30A. Newby63'for Frankie Maguire7.3
9J. Stones80'replaced by Ollie Banks
31G. Sykes-Kenworthy
24M. Williams

Port Vale Substitutes

27M. Asamoah69'for Keyrol Alexis Figueroa Norales6.6
33G. Hall67'for Rhys Walters6.2
11O. Hernández67'for Jordan Gabriel6.6
36M. Watters67'for Oliver Lynch6.5
1J. Smith
22L. Montsma
12A. McGowan

Match Stats

YorkPort Vale
48%Ball Possession52%
2Corner Kicks8
0Yellow Cards1
13Total Shots15
4Shots on Goal5
4Shots off Goal4
8Shots Inside Box9
5Shots Outside Box6
5Blocked Shots6
13Fouls7
1Offsides4
5Goalkeeper Saves2
404Total Passes438
324Passes Accurate355
7Free Kicks12

Team Comparison

YorkYork
Port ValePort Vale
1621Elo Rating 1518
1.55Attack 0.87
2.41Defense 2.23
41%Hit Rate 50%
13.9Shots per Game 11.0
4.1Shots on Target 4.1
4.0Corners per Game 4.8
1.5Cards per Game 1.4

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+103 Elo
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

YorkYork
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.2 vs 0.3 in first half)
Port ValePort Vale
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Recent Form

YorkYork
2W4D4L
20/10/2026
YorkAccrington ST
11
D
17/10/2026
Newport CountyYork
11
D
10/10/2026
YorkNorthampton
11
D
26/09/2026
YorkGillingham
30
W
22/09/2026
YorkRotherham
4151
L
19/09/2026
ChesterfieldYork
20
L
15/09/2026
YorkNewcastle United U21
13
L
12/09/2026
YorkSwindon Town
40
W
05/09/2026
CreweYork
11
D
01/09/2026
CheltenhamYork
32
L
Port ValePort Vale
4W2D4L
20/10/2026
GillinghamPort Vale
11
D
17/10/2026
Port ValeChesterfield
10
W
10/10/2026
Port ValeGrimsby
10
W
06/10/2026
Port ValeMansfield Town
20
W
22/09/2026
ChesterfieldPort Vale
4131
L
19/09/2026
WalsallPort Vale
20
L
12/09/2026
Port ValeExeter City
10
W
05/09/2026
Salford CityPort Vale
10
L
01/09/2026
Swindon TownPort Vale
31
L
29/08/2026
Port ValeCrewe
00
D

League Table

League Two 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Salford CitySalford City1391323:14+928WWWWW
2BarnetBarnet1274127:17+1025WDLWW
3CheltenhamCheltenham1363422:22021WWLLL
4CreweCrewe1356216:16021LLWWW
5YorkYork1355322:16+620LWDDD
6WalsallWalsall1247118:11+719LWDDD
7ChesterfieldChesterfield1354423:17+619WDLDW
8Exeter CityExeter City1354410:7+319WWDWW
9Accrington STAccrington ST1346322:16+618WDWDW
10ShrewsburyShrewsbury1353516:20-418DWWLW
11GrimsbyGrimsby1345419:16+317WDLLL
12GillinghamGillingham1345418:18017LDLWD
13TranmereTranmere1337316:16016DWLDL
14Swindon TownSwindon Town1344513:16-316DWDLL
15Bristol RoversBristol Rovers1351716:20-416DLLLL
16Newport CountyNewport County1336416:16015LDDWD
17RochdaleRochdale1343615:22-715LDLDW
18Fleetwood TownFleetwood Town1335515:17-214LLWDL
19NorthamptonNorthampton113448:8013WLWDL
20OldhamOldham1233614:18-412DLWDL
21ColchesterColchester1226411:16-512LDDLD
22RotherhamRotherham1326517:23-612DDLLL
23Port ValePort Vale113356:12-612LDWWL
24Crawley TownCrawley Town1113712:21-96DLLDL
#TeamMPGPts
1Salford CitySalford City1323:1428
2BarnetBarnet1227:1725
3CheltenhamCheltenham1322:2221
4CreweCrewe1316:1621
5YorkYork1322:1620
6WalsallWalsall1218:1119
7ChesterfieldChesterfield1323:1719
8Exeter CityExeter City1310:719
9Accrington STAccrington ST1322:1618
10ShrewsburyShrewsbury1316:2018
11GrimsbyGrimsby1319:1617
12GillinghamGillingham1318:1817
13TranmereTranmere1316:1616
14Swindon TownSwindon Town1313:1616
15Bristol RoversBristol Rovers1316:2016
16Newport CountyNewport County1316:1615
17RochdaleRochdale1315:2215
18Fleetwood TownFleetwood Town1315:1714
19NorthamptonNorthampton118:813
20OldhamOldham1214:1812
21ColchesterColchester1211:1612
22RotherhamRotherham1317:2312
23Port ValePort Vale116:1212
24Crawley TownCrawley Town1112:216
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About the York vs Port Vale forecast

The forecasts for this League Two match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

York and Port Vale in the League Two table

In the League Two table, York are 5th and Port Vale 23rd, 8 points apart. League goal record so far: York 22-16, Port Vale 6-12. The full standings are on the League Two Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Port Vale have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. York and Port Vale have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.