Anderlecht vs Lyon Prediction

Anderlecht
1-2
Finished
HT 0-2
Lyon
Lotto Park, Brussels·Ricardo De Burgos Bengoetxea, Spain 16/09/2026
AnderlechtAnderlecht
1-2
Finished
LyonLyon

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.4 / 10
Value Analysis
66%Trust
Total Cards
Cards Over 3.5
1.56
SignalGOODModel66%SurpriseHighGap+3.8%
Anderlecht Rest
5 days
Lyon Rest
4 days

Anderlecht vs Lyon: the result in context

Lyon beat Anderlecht 2-1 in the UEFA Europa League on 16 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Referee Ricardo De Burgos Bengoetxea averages 4.29 cards a game, 0.58 fewer than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
38%2.90
X
25%3.50
2
37%2.30
Double Chance
1X
63%1.59
X2
62%1.40
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%1.54
No
50%2.35
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.29 + 1.18 = 2.47
Over 1.5
76%1.20
Over 2.5
55%1.72
Over 3.5
29%2.70
Under 1.5
24%4.25
Under 2.5
45%2.17
Under 3.5
71%1.44
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.4 + 4.4 = 9.8
Over 8.5
59%1.44
Over 9.5
46%1.76
Over 10.5
36%2.25
Under 8.5
41%2.51
Under 9.5
54%1.95
Under 10.5
64%1.56
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.1 + 2.4 = 4.5
Over 3.5
66%1.56
Over 4.5
47%2.08
Under 3.5
34%2.35
Under 4.5
53%1.70

Match Events

8'N. Nartey
22'K. NakamuraAssist: M. Ouedraogo
26'M. NiakhateHolding
44'M. OuedraogoFoul
46'M. Niakhate INF. Bacher out
46'M. Ouedraogo INN. Tagliafico out
46'R. Amane INM. Kana out
61'M. CvetkovicAssist: A. Maamar
65'L. Openda INP. Sulc out
74'N. Nartey INM. Bidstrup out
74'T. Morton INC. Tolisso out
74'T. Aasgaard INT. Bentayeb out
74'L. Ambros IND. Sikan out
85'M. Cvetkovic INO. Antman out
90+3'L. Augustinsson INN. Ojea out

Lineups

Anderlecht
4-4-2Coach: Vitor Bruno
Lyon
4-3-3Coach: Paulo Fonseca
Avg rating6.78
Avg rating6.88
Colin CoosemansC8.326C. Coosemans
Ali Maamar7.379A. Maamar
Andrew Omobamidele6.612A. Omobamidele
Léo Pétrot6.327L. Pétrot
Ludwig Augustinsson6.36L. Augustinsson
Lukáš Ambros6.718L. Ambros
Enric Llansana6.524E. Llansana
Romeo Amane6.68R. Amane
Marten Winkler6.610M. Winkler
Mihajlo Cvetković7.79M. Cvetković
Thelo Aasgaard6.319T. Aasgaard
Rémy Descamps6.340R. Descamps
Ruben Kluivert7.021R. Kluivert
Clinton Mata6.222C. Mata
Moussa NiakhatéC7.019M. Niakhaté
Mohamed Ouédraogo7.376M. Ouédraogo
Tanner Tessmann6.96T. Tessmann
Tyler Morton7.323T. Morton
Noah Nartey6.999N. Nartey
Kaïl Boudache7.226K. Boudache
Loïs Openda6.217L. Openda
Keito Nakamura8.211K. Nakamura

Anderlecht Substitutes

55Marco Kana46'for R. Amane6.9
21Tawfik Bentayeb74'for T. Aasgaard6.5
14Danylo Sikan74'for L. Ambros6.3
32Justin Heekeren
50Kaïs Barry
5Oleg Reabciuk
68Noah Kalonji
61Joshua Nga Kana
83Tristan Degreef
29Mario Stroeykens
11Oliver Antman85'for M. Cvetkovic
53Noa Cobiella90+3'for L. Augustinsson

Lyon Substitutes

3Nicolás Tagliafico46'for M. Ouedraogo6.2
20Felix Bacher46'for M. Niakhate6.7
10Pavel Šulc65'for L. Openda7.6
2Mads Bidstrup74'for N. Nartey6.9
8Corentin Tolisso74'for T. Morton6.2
25Justin Bengui
1Dominik Greif
13Zachary Athekame
18Khalis Merah
45Rémi Himbert
7Ernest Nuamah
24Julien Duranville

Match Stats

AnderlechtLyon
58%Ball Possession42%
6Corner Kicks4
0Yellow Cards2
14Total Shots13
5Shots on Goal10
5Shots off Goal1
11Shots Inside Box11
3Shots Outside Box2
4Blocked Shots2
14Fouls12
3Offsides5
8Goalkeeper Saves3
477Total Passes350
398Passes Accurate274
83%Pass Accuracy78%

Team Comparison

AnderlechtAnderlecht
LyonLyon
1759Elo Rating 1835
2.09Attack 1.01
1.71Defense 1.70
66%Hit Rate 37%
16.8Shots per Game 12.3
7.0Shots on Target 4.1
4.5Corners per Game 4.9
3.3Cards per Game 1.6

AI Insights

📉Away Underperforming
⚠️Home Rotation Risk70%
⚠️Away Rotation Risk70%

Game State Tendencies

AnderlechtAnderlecht
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
LyonLyon
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time

Referee Profile

Ricardo De Burgos Bengoetxea191 matches

4.29Cards per match
4.08Yellow cards per match
0.21Red cards per match
22.9Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Ricardo De Burgos Bengoetxea4.29
Other referees4.87

4.29 cards a match, 0.58 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.87).

Cards come from 177 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

UEFA Europa League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1BenficaBenfica440013:3+1012WWWW
2BournemouthBournemouth440011:2+912WWWW
3Ferencvarosi TCFerencvarosi TC440011:3+812WWWW
4Union St. GilloiseUnion St. Gilloise431010:2+810WWDW
5JuventusJuventus431011:4+710WDWW
6Olympiakos PiraeusOlympiakos Piraeus43104:1+310DWWW
7Bayer LeverkusenBayer Leverkusen43018:1+79LWWW
8BeşiktaşBeşiktaş421111:8+37LDWW
9Dinamo ZagrebDinamo Zagreb42115:4+17WLWD
10Levski SofiaLevski Sofia42114:3+17WWDL
11SunderlandSunderland42114:407LDWW
12NEC NijmegenNEC Nijmegen42118:9-17WWDL
13LyonLyon42116:7-17DLWW
14AZ AlkmaarAZ Alkmaar42027:4+36LWWL
15AnderlechtAnderlecht42026:3+36WWLL
16OFIOFI42025:4+16WLLW
17RennesRennes41304:3+16DDWD
18Omonia NicosiaOmonia Nicosia42026:7-16LLWW
19TorreenseTorreense42027:9-26WLLW
20Real SociedadReal Sociedad41219:4+55DWDL
21Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace41219:6+35DDLW
22Sparta PrahaSparta Praha41126:604LLDW
231899 Hoffenheim1899 Hoffenheim41126:604DWLL
24Sturm GrazSturm Graz41123:6-34LWLD
25CeljeCelje41125:9-44WDLL
26Red Bull SalzburgRed Bull Salzburg41123:8-54LDLW
27Celta VigoCelta Vigo41034:6-23LWLL
28AC MilanAC Milan41034:7-33LLWL
29JagielloniaJagiellonia41034:7-33LLWL
30PlzenPlzen41033:7-43WLLL
31MarseilleMarseille41032:6-43WLLL
32CelticCeltic41036:11-53WLLL
33Hapoel Beer ShevaHapoel Beer Sheva40131:8-71LLLD
34LillestromLillestrom40132:10-81LLDL
35Lech PoznanLech Poznan40132:12-101LDLL
36Ararat-ArmeniaArarat-Armenia40044:14-100LLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1BenficaBenfica413:312
2BournemouthBournemouth411:212
3Ferencvarosi TCFerencvarosi TC411:312
4Union St. GilloiseUnion St. Gilloise410:210
5JuventusJuventus411:410
6Olympiakos PiraeusOlympiakos Piraeus44:110
7Bayer LeverkusenBayer Leverkusen48:19
8BeşiktaşBeşiktaş411:87
9Dinamo ZagrebDinamo Zagreb45:47
10Levski SofiaLevski Sofia44:37
11SunderlandSunderland44:47
12NEC NijmegenNEC Nijmegen48:97
13LyonLyon46:77
14AZ AlkmaarAZ Alkmaar47:46
15AnderlechtAnderlecht46:36
16OFIOFI45:46
17RennesRennes44:36
18Omonia NicosiaOmonia Nicosia46:76
19TorreenseTorreense47:96
20Real SociedadReal Sociedad49:45
21Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace49:65
22Sparta PrahaSparta Praha46:64
231899 Hoffenheim1899 Hoffenheim46:64
24Sturm GrazSturm Graz43:64
25CeljeCelje45:94
26Red Bull SalzburgRed Bull Salzburg43:84
27Celta VigoCelta Vigo44:63
28AC MilanAC Milan44:73
29JagielloniaJagiellonia44:73
30PlzenPlzen43:73
31MarseilleMarseille42:63
32CelticCeltic46:113
33Hapoel Beer ShevaHapoel Beer Sheva41:81
34LillestromLillestrom42:101
35Lech PoznanLech Poznan42:121
36Ararat-ArmeniaArarat-Armenia44:140
Europa League

About the Anderlecht vs Lyon forecast

This is a UEFA Europa League cup fixture; the forecasts combine team ratings, recent form and scoring data, with the cup context taken into account.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Anderlecht and Lyon in the UEFA Europa League table

Lyon and Anderlecht are close in the UEFA Europa League table, 13th and 15th, with 1 point between them. League goal record so far: Anderlecht 6-3, Lyon 6-7. The full standings are on the UEFA Europa League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Anderlecht have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Anderlecht and Lyon have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.