Anderlecht vs Lyon Prediction
World · League Stage - 1
Lotto Park, Brussels· Ricardo De Burgos Bengoetxea, Spain 16/09/2026
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.4 / 10
Value Analysis
66%Trust
Total Cards
Cards Over 3.5
1.56SignalGOODModel66%RiskHighGap+3.8%
Anderlecht Rest
5 days
Lyon Rest
4 days
Match Forecasts
Match Result
138%2.90
X25%3.50
237%2.30
Double Chance
1X63%1.59
X262%1.40
Both Teams to Score
Yes50%1.54
No50%2.35
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.29 + 1.18 = 2.47
Over 1.576%1.20
Over 2.555%1.72
Over 3.529%2.70
Under 1.524%4.25
Under 2.545%2.17
Under 3.571%1.44
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.4 + 4.4 = 9.8
Over 8.559%1.44
Over 9.546%1.76
Over 10.536%2.25
Under 8.541%2.51
Under 9.554%1.95
Under 10.564%1.56
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.1 + 2.4 = 4.5
Over 3.566%1.56
Over 4.547%2.08
Under 3.534%2.35
Under 4.553%1.70
Match Events
8'N. Nartey
22'K. NakamuraAssist: M. Ouedraogo
26'M. NiakhateHolding
44'M. OuedraogoFoul
46'M. Niakhate INF. Bacher out
46'M. Ouedraogo INN. Tagliafico out
46'R. Amane INM. Kana out
61'M. CvetkovicAssist: A. Maamar
65'L. Openda INP. Sulc out
74'N. Nartey INM. Bidstrup out
74'T. Morton INC. Tolisso out
74'T. Aasgaard INT. Bentayeb out
74'L. Ambros IND. Sikan out
85'M. Cvetkovic INO. Antman out
90+3'L. Augustinsson INN. Ojea out
Lineups
AnderlechtLyon
4-3-3Coach: Paulo Fonseca
26C. CoosemansColin Coosemans
79A. MaamarAli Maamar
12A. OmobamideleAndrew Omobamidele
27L. PétrotLéo Pétrot
6L. AugustinssonLudwig Augustinsson
18L. AmbrosLukáš Ambros
24E. LlansanaEnric Llansana
8R. AmaneRomeo Amane
10M. WinklerMarten Winkler
9M. CvetkovićMihajlo Cvetković
19T. AasgaardThelo Aasgaard
40R. DescampsRémy Descamps
21R. KluivertRuben Kluivert
22C. MataClinton Mata
19M. NiakhatéMoussa Niakhaté
76M. OuédraogoMohamed Ouédraogo
6T. TessmannTanner Tessmann
23T. MortonTyler Morton
99N. NarteyNoah Nartey
26K. BoudacheKaïl Boudache
17L. OpendaLoïs Openda
11K. NakamuraKeito NakamuraAnderlecht Substitutes
55Marco KanaM
21Tawfik BentayebF
14Danylo SikanF
32Justin HeekerenG
50Kaïs BarryD
5Oleg ReabciukD
68Noah KalonjiM
61Joshua Nga KanaM
83Tristan DegreefM
29Mario StroeykensM
11Oliver AntmanF
53Noa CobiellaM
Lyon Substitutes
3Nicolás TagliaficoD
20Felix BacherD
10Pavel ŠulcM
2Mads BidstrupM
8Corentin TolissoM
25Justin BenguiG
1Dominik GreifG
13Zachary AthekameD
18Khalis MerahM
45Rémi HimbertF
7Ernest NuamahF
24Julien DuranvilleF
Match Stats
AnderlechtLyon 58%Ball Possession42%
6Corner Kicks4
0Yellow Cards2
13Total Shots13
5Shots on Goal10
4Shots off Goal1
10Shots Inside Box11
3Shots Outside Box2
4Blocked Shots2
14Fouls12
3Offsides4
8Goalkeeper Saves3
472Total Passes346
396Passes Accurate271
84%Pass Accuracy78%
Team Comparison
AnderlechtLyon1757Elo Rating 1817
0.89Attack 1.33
2.50Defense 2.24
61%Hit Rate 37%
12.4Shots per Game 12.4
4.2Shots on Target 3.7
5.1Corners per Game 5.2
2.5Cards per Game 1.0
AI Insights
📉Home Underperforming
⚠️Home Rotation Risk70%
⚠️Away Rotation Risk70%
Game State Tendencies
Anderlecht- Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
- Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.6 vs 0.3 in second half)
Lyon- Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
- Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0.5 in first half)
- Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Recent Form
Anderlecht3W1D1L
Referee Profile
Ricardo De Burgos Bengoetxea, Spain · 7 matches analysed
3.6Avg Yellows
3.9Avg Cards
22.9Avg Fouls
Stricter than 4% of referees analysed
League Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Juventus | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5:0 | +5 | 3 | W |
| 2 |  Crystal Palace | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | +4 | 3 | W |
| 3 |  Sparta Praha | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:1 | +3 | 3 | W |
| 4 |  Beşiktaş | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:1 | +3 | 3 | W |
| 5 |  Union St. Gilloise | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | +3 | 3 | W |
| 6 |  Ferencvarosi TC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | +2 | 3 | W |
| 7 |  Benfica | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | +2 | 3 | W |
| 8 |  Bayer Leverkusen | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | +2 | 3 | W |
| 9 |  OFI | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | +2 | 3 | W |
| 10 |  Bournemouth | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | +1 | 3 | W |
| 11 | Lyon | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | +1 | 3 | W |
| 12 |  Torreense | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | +1 | 3 | W |
| 13 |  Olympiakos Piraeus | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | +1 | 3 | W |
| 14 |  Red Bull Salzburg | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | +1 | 3 | W |
| 15 |  Omonia Nicosia | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | +1 | 3 | W |
| 16 |  Sunderland | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | +1 | 3 | W |
| 17 |  Dinamo Zagreb | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 | D |
| 18 |  Hapoel Beer Sheva | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 | D |
| 19 |  Rennes | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 | D |
| 20 |  Sturm Graz | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 | D |
| 21 |  Jagiellonia | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 | L |
| 22 | Anderlecht | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 | L |
| 23 |  Lillestrom | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 | L |
| 24 |  Real Sociedad | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 | L |
| 25 |  AZ Alkmaar | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 | L |
| 26 |  Celta Vigo | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 | L |
| 27 |  Levski Sofia | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 | L |
| 28 |  Celtic | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 0 | L |
| 29 |  Celje | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 | L |
| 30 |  1899 Hoffenheim | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 | L |
| 31 |  AC Milan | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 | L |
| 32 |  Marseille | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:4 | -3 | 0 | L |
| 33 |  Ararat-Armenia | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:4 | -3 | 0 | L |
| 34 |  Plzen | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 | L |
| 35 |  Lech Poznan | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:4 | -4 | 0 | L |
| 36 |  NEC Nijmegen | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:5 | -5 | 0 | L |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Juventus | 1 | 5:0 | 3 |
| 2 | Crystal Palace | 1 | 4:0 | 3 |
| 3 | Sparta Praha | 1 | 4:1 | 3 |
| 4 | Beşiktaş | 1 | 4:1 | 3 |
| 5 | Union St. Gilloise | 1 | 3:0 | 3 |
| 6 | Ferencvarosi TC | 1 | 3:1 | 3 |
| 7 | Benfica | 1 | 2:0 | 3 |
| 8 | Bayer Leverkusen | 1 | 2:0 | 3 |
| 9 | OFI | 1 | 2:0 | 3 |
| 10 | Bournemouth | 1 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 11 | Lyon | 1 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 12 | Torreense | 1 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 13 | Olympiakos Piraeus | 1 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 14 | Red Bull Salzburg | 1 | 1:0 | 3 |
| 15 | Omonia Nicosia | 1 | 1:0 | 3 |
| 16 | Sunderland | 1 | 1:0 | 3 |
| 17 | Dinamo Zagreb | 1 | 0:0 | 1 |
| 18 | Hapoel Beer Sheva | 1 | 0:0 | 1 |
| 19 | Rennes | 1 | 0:0 | 1 |
| 20 | Sturm Graz | 1 | 0:0 | 1 |
| 21 | Jagiellonia | 1 | 1:2 | 0 |
| 22 | Anderlecht | 1 | 1:2 | 0 |
| 23 | Lillestrom | 1 | 1:2 | 0 |
| 24 | Real Sociedad | 1 | 1:2 | 0 |
| 25 | AZ Alkmaar | 1 | 0:1 | 0 |
| 26 | Celta Vigo | 1 | 0:1 | 0 |
| 27 | Levski Sofia | 1 | 0:1 | 0 |
| 28 | Celtic | 1 | 1:3 | 0 |
| 29 | Celje | 1 | 0:2 | 0 |
| 30 | 1899 Hoffenheim | 1 | 0:2 | 0 |
| 31 | AC Milan | 1 | 0:2 | 0 |
| 32 | Marseille | 1 | 1:4 | 0 |
| 33 | Ararat-Armenia | 1 | 1:4 | 0 |
| 34 | Plzen | 1 | 0:3 | 0 |
| 35 | Lech Poznan | 1 | 0:4 | 0 |
| 36 | NEC Nijmegen | 1 | 0:5 | 0 |
Bracket
Qualifying Round 1
Qualifying Round 2
Qualifying Round 3
Play-offs
Kairat Almaty
Mjallby AIF
Kauno ŽalgirisLillestrom
TrabzonsporArarat-Armenia
FK Crvena ZvezdaPlzenOFI
St. Truiden
Aarhus
Shamrock Rovers
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
Larne
Saburtalo
Gornik Zabrze
KuPS
Universitatea CraiovaJagiellonia
RangersLech Poznan
KI Klaksvik
Lincoln Red Imps FCOmonia NicosiaRed Bull Salzburg
FC Thun
Vikingur Reykjavik
Heart Of Midlothian
Hammarby FFAnderlecht
Tromso
Hradec Králové
PAOK
Maccabi Tel AvivBeşiktaş
FC Midtjylland
FC ST. GallenBenfica
Twente
PafosKairat AlmatyMjallby AIFKauno ŽalgirisLillestromTrabzonsporArarat-ArmeniaFK Crvena ZvezdaPlzenOFISt. TruidenAarhusShamrock RoversEgnatia RrogozhinëLarneSaburtaloGornik ZabrzeKuPSUniversitatea CraiovaJagielloniaRangersLech PoznanKI KlaksvikLincoln Red Imps FCOmonia NicosiaRed Bull SalzburgFC ThunVikingur ReykjavikHeart Of MidlothianKairat AlmatyMjallby AIFKauno ŽalgirisLillestromTrabzonsporArarat-ArmeniaFK Crvena ZvezdaPlzenOFISt. TruidenAarhusKairat AlmatyMjallby AIFKauno ŽalgirisLillestromTrabzonsporArarat-ArmeniaFK Crvena ZvezdaPlzenOFISt. TruidenAarhusShamrock RoversEgnatia RrogozhinëLarneSaburtaloGornik ZabrzeKuPSUniversitatea CraiovaJagielloniaRangersLech PoznanKI KlaksvikLincoln Red Imps FCOmonia NicosiaRed Bull SalzburgFC ThunVikingur ReykjavikHeart Of MidlothianHammarby FFAnderlechtTromsoHradec KrálovéPAOKMaccabi Tel AvivBeşiktaşFC MidtjyllandFC ST. GallenBenficaTwentePafosAnderlecht vs Lyon Prediction
As a knockout-stage UEFA Europa League fixture, this match carries added stakes for both sides. Our AI model analyses team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history to build forecasts across six independent markets.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
About UEFA Europa League
ScorePredicts covers UEFA Europa League across every knockout round. Use the navigation to explore today's full fixture list or filter by market.
Key Factors for This Match
Anderlecht have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Anderlecht and Lyon have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.