Lyon vs Auxerre Prediction
France · Regular Season - 3
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.5 / 10
Value Analysis
66%Trust
Corners Total
Corners Under 10.5
1.70
SignalGOODModel66%SurpriseMediumGap+11.3%
Lyon Rest
5 days
Auxerre Rest
5 days
Match Forecasts
Match Result
167%1.43
X16%4.75
217%7.00
Double Chance
1X82%1.11
X233%2.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes45%1.73
No55%2.00
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.72 + 0.9 = 2.62
Over 1.573%1.17
Over 2.554%1.60
Over 3.526%2.44
Under 1.527%4.75
Under 2.546%2.35
Under 3.574%1.53
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.4 + 4.1 = 9.5
Over 8.558%1.38
Over 9.546%1.65
Over 10.534%2.06
Under 8.542%2.69
Under 9.554%2.07
Under 10.566%1.70
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.2 + 2.1 = 4.3
Over 3.562%1.80
Over 4.542%2.41
Under 3.538%1.91
Under 4.558%1.50
Match Events
18'Goal cancelledLoïs Openda
22'Goal cancelledCameron Archer
26'Arthur PiedfortFoul
28'Felix BacherAssist: Ernest Nuamah
31'Zachary AthekameAssist: Loïs Openda
42'Cameron Archer
53'Ernest NuamahAssist: Pavel Šulc
62'Felix BacherFoul
66'Elikya Legros INRayan Mandengue out
66'Naouirou Ahamada INPierre Ekwah out
66'Remy Labeau Lascary INAristide Zossou out
67'Ernest Nuamah INKail Boudache out
67'Pavel Šulc INKhalis Merah out
68'Rayan MandengueFoul
76'Mads Bidstrup INTanner Tessmann out
77'Tyler MortonFoul
77'Cameron Archer INRomain Faivre out
86'Tyler Morton INNoah Teye Nartey out
86'Felix Bacher INRuben Kluivert out
90+3'Lamine Sy INLamfia Dioubaté out
Lineups
LyonAuxerre
4-2-3-1Coach: W. StillAvg ratingAvg rating
1D. Greif
13Z. Athekame
20F. Bacher
19M. Niakhaté
16Abner
2M. Bidstrup
23T. Morton
8C. Tolisso
7E. Nuamah
10P. Šulc
17L. Openda
23M. Diop
27L. Sy
15C. Makosso
35E. Legros
92C. Akpa
5K. Danois
46A. Piedfort
10D. Namaso
8N. Ahamada
3R. Labeau Lascary
9C. ArcherLyon Substitutes
3N. Tagliafico
6T. Tessmann76'for Mads Bidstrup
26K. Boudache67'for Ernest Nuamah
40R. Descamps
45R. Himbert
21R. Kluivert86'for Felix Bacher
22Clinton Mata
18K. Merah67'for Pavel Šulc
99N. Nartey86'for Tyler Morton
Auxerre Substitutes
36T. Devernois
20S. Diomandé
34L. Dioubate90+3'for Lamine Sy
17P. Ekwah66'for Naouirou Ahamada
21R. Faivre77'for Cameron Archer
32R. Mandengue66'for Elikya Legros68'
1P. Nardi
77Aristide Zossou66'for Remy Labeau Lascary
7J. Casimir
Match Stats
LyonAuxerre 64%Ball Possession36%
9Corner Kicks5
2Yellow Cards2
21Total Shots8
7Shots on Goal3
9Shots off Goal4
14Shots Inside Box4
7Shots Outside Box4
5Blocked Shots1
11Fouls8
2Offsides0
2Goalkeeper Saves5
522Total Passes291
447Passes Accurate229
86%Pass Accuracy79%
Team Comparison
LyonAuxerre1835Elo Rating 1689
1.01Attack 1.53
1.70Defense 0.42
37%Hit Rate 34%
12.3Shots per Game 10.7
4.1Shots on Target 4.2
4.9Corners per Game 4.3
1.6Cards per Game 2.1
AI Insights
🏠Strong Home Advantage+146 Elo
📈BTTS Trend83% in H2H
📉Home Underperforming
Game State Tendencies
Lyon- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
Auxerre- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
- Scores more in 2nd half (1.2 vs 0.4 in first half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Head to Head
Last 6 meetings, all competitions
Lyon3Wins · 50%Draws233%
Auxerre1Wins · 17%
1Wins · 17%3.2Avg Goals
83%Both teams scored5 of 6
83%3+ goals5 of 6
Previous meetings
25/04/2026LyonAuxerre32
23/11/2025AuxerreLyon00
13/04/2025AuxerreLyon13
27/10/2024LyonAuxerre22
17/02/2023AuxerreLyon21
31/08/2022LyonAuxerre21
Recent Form
Lyon4W2D4L
29/08/2026Lyon
Le HavreLyon
Fenerbahçe
ToulouseLyonFenerbahçeLyonLyon
Sparta PrahaSparta PrahaLyon
LyonLe Havre11
D26/08/2026LyonFenerbahçe12
L22/08/2026ToulouseLyon02
W18/08/2026FenerbahçeLyon11
D11/08/2026LyonSparta Praha30
W04/08/2026Sparta PrahaLyon21
L29/07/2026
Real BetisLyon
Real BetisLyon40
L24/07/2026
VfL WolfsburgLyon
VfL WolfsburgLyon02
W18/07/2026
Slavia PrahaLyon
Slavia PrahaLyon20
L15/07/2026Lyon
Servette FC
LyonServette FC21
WAuxerre4W2D4L
29/08/2026Auxerre
Angers
LensAuxerre
AuxerreAngers13
L22/08/2026LensAuxerre52
L08/08/2026Auxerre
Estac Troyes
AuxerreEstac Troyes11
D01/08/2026
SochauxAuxerre
SochauxAuxerre11
D25/07/2026Auxerre
Orleans
AuxerreOrleans12
L18/07/2026Auxerre
St Maur Lusitanos
AuxerreSt Maur Lusitanos52
W17/05/2026
LilleAuxerre
LilleAuxerre02
W10/05/2026Auxerre
Nice
AuxerreNice21
W03/05/2026AuxerreAngers
AuxerreAngers31
W25/04/2026LyonAuxerre
LyonAuxerre32
LReferee Profile
4.10Cards per match
3.86Yellow cards per match
0.24Red cards per match
23.7Fouls per match
Compared with other referees
4.10 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.97).
Cards come from 173 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Paris Saint Germain | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 22:10 | +12 | 23 | WWWWW |
| 2 | Lille | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 14:7 | +7 | 21 | WWDDW |
| 3 |  Paris FC | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 17:10 | +7 | 20 | WWLWL |
| 4 |  Marseille | 10 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 22:14 | +8 | 18 | WWWWW |
| 5 | Lyon | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 15:9 | +6 | 17 | LWLWL |
| 6 | Nice | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 15:12 | +3 | 17 | WWWLW |
| 7 |  Monaco | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 13:11 | +2 | 16 | DLDLD |
| 8 |  Rennes | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 21:21 | 0 | 16 | LLWLW |
| 9 |  Stade Brestois 29 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 18:12 | +6 | 15 | WWLDW |
| 10 |  Lorient | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 9:8 | +1 | 15 | WLDWW |
| 11 | Lens | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 17:15 | +2 | 13 | LLWWW |
| 12 | Toulouse | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 15:14 | +1 | 13 | WLDWD |
| 13 |  Strasbourg | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 18:22 | -4 | 10 | LWLLL |
| 14 | Auxerre | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 13:24 | -11 | 10 | LLDWL |
| 15 |  Le Mans | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 12:19 | -7 | 8 | DLDLL |
| 16 | Angers | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 9:19 | -10 | 8 | LLDLL |
| 17 | Estac Troyes | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 7:17 | -10 | 8 | LWDLL |
| 18 | Le Havre | 10 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 9:22 | -13 | 2 | LLLLL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paris Saint Germain | 10 | 22:10 | 23 |
| 2 | Lille | 10 | 14:7 | 21 |
| 3 | Paris FC | 10 | 17:10 | 20 |
| 4 | Marseille | 10 | 22:14 | 18 |
| 5 | Lyon | 10 | 15:9 | 17 |
| 6 | Nice | 10 | 15:12 | 17 |
| 7 | Monaco | 10 | 13:11 | 16 |
| 8 | Rennes | 10 | 21:21 | 16 |
| 9 | Stade Brestois 29 | 10 | 18:12 | 15 |
| 10 | Lorient | 10 | 9:8 | 15 |
| 11 | Lens | 10 | 17:15 | 13 |
| 12 | Toulouse | 10 | 15:14 | 13 |
| 13 | Strasbourg | 10 | 18:22 | 10 |
| 14 | Auxerre | 10 | 13:24 | 10 |
| 15 | Le Mans | 10 | 12:19 | 8 |
| 16 | Angers | 10 | 9:19 | 8 |
| 17 | Estac Troyes | 10 | 7:17 | 8 |
| 18 | Le Havre | 10 | 9:22 | 2 |
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About the Lyon vs Auxerre forecast
The forecasts for this Ligue 1 match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Lyon and Auxerre in the Ligue 1 table
In the Ligue 1 table, Lyon are 5th and Auxerre 14th, 7 points apart. League goal record so far: Lyon 15-9, Auxerre 13-24. The full standings are on the Ligue 1 Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.