Fredrikstad vs Bodo/Glimt Prediction

Fredrikstad
1-2
Finished
HT 0-1
Bodo/Glimt
Fredrikstad Stadion, Fredrikstad·S. Sletner 04/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
75%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 2.5 Goals
1.36
SignalHIGHModel68%SurpriseMediumGap+1.8%
Value Analysis
76%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 2.5 Goals
1.36
SignalHIGHModel65%SurpriseMediumGap+7.9%
Fredrikstad Rest
4 days
Bodo/Glimt Rest
5 days

Fredrikstad vs Bodo/Glimt: the result in context

Bodo/Glimt beat Fredrikstad 2-1 in the Eliteserien on 4 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Bodo/Glimt have had the better of this fixture, winning 4 of the 5 previous meetings, which averaged 2.6 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
15%8.00
X
18%5.50
2
67%1.30
Double Chance
1X
33%3.32
X2
85%1.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%1.63
No
44%2.15
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.02 + 2.4 = 3.42
Over 1.5
88%1.10
Over 2.5
75%1.36
Over 3.5
50%1.95
Under 1.5
12%6.20
Under 2.5
25%2.92
Under 3.5
50%1.82
Corners
Projected Corners: 3.5 + 6.8 = 10.3
Over 8.5
64%1.36
Over 9.5
53%1.60
Over 10.5
41%1.95
Under 8.5
36%2.80
Under 9.5
47%2.16
Under 10.5
59%1.76
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.2 + 1.5 = 2.7
Over 3.5
29%-
Over 4.5
14%-
Under 3.5
71%-
Under 4.5
86%-

Match Events

29'Ole Didrik BlombergAssist: Patrick Berg
45+1'Max NilssonFoul
56'Bryan FiabemaAssist: Henrik Langaas Skogvold
58'Solomon OwusuFoul
61'Fredrik SjovoldFoul
64'Solomon Owusu INSimen Rafn out
69'Ola Brynhildsen INJens Petter Hauge out
69'Sondre Auklend INJoshua Kitolano out
69'Samuel Holm INjakub jezierski out
69'Bryan Fiabema INGabriel Wesseh out
73'Jens Petter HaugeAssist: Sondre Fet
78'Benjamin Thoresen Faraas INLiam West out
78'Sondre Sørløkk INSalim Laghzaoui out
81'Daniel EidFoul
84'Fredrik Bjorkan INIsak Dybvik Maatta out
84'Jens Petter Hauge INJoel Mvuka out
90+5'Andreas Helmersen INUlrik Saltnes out

Lineups

Fredrikstad
3-4-3Coach: Casper Röjkjaer
Bodo/Glimt
4-4-2Coach: K. Knutsen
Avg rating6.38
Avg rating6.95
M. Børsheim5.777M. Børsheim
I. Amundsen6.838I. Amundsen
F. Holmé6.64F. Holmé
S. Owusu5.928S. Owusu
D. Eid6.416D. Eid
S. Leach Holm6.26S. Leach Holm
M. Nilsson6.514M. Nilsson
S. Sørløkk6.113S. Sørløkk
B. Thoresen6.77B. Thoresen
H. Skogvold7.323H. Skogvold
B. Fiabema7.718B. Fiabema
N. Haikin6.812N. Haikin
F. Sjøvold6.720F. Sjøvold
V. Nielsen7.42V. Nielsen
O. Bjørtuft6.74O. Bjørtuft
F. Bjørkan7.015F. Bjørkan
S. Auklend6.38S. Auklend
P. Berg7.77P. Berg
S. Fet7.619S. Fet
O. Brynhildsen6.617O. Brynhildsen
O. Didrik Blomberg8.211O. Didrik Blomberg
A. Helmersen6.321A. Helmersen

Fredrikstad Substitutes

30J. Torkildsen
29G. Wesseh69'for Bryan Fiabema6.0
11L. West78'for Benjamin Thoresen Faraas6.3
12U. Fredriksen
21J. Jezierski69'for Samuel Holm5.8
9S. Laghzaoui78'for Sondre Sørløkk6.0
10J. Hummelvoll-Nuñez
24L. Owusu
5S. Rafn64'for Solomon Owusu6.3

Bodo/Glimt Substitutes

22J. Mvuka84'replaced by Jens Petter Hauge6.3
25I. Määttä84'for Fredrik Bjorkan6.5
1J. Faye Lund
16J. Kitolano69'for Sondre Auklend6.6
10J. Hauge69'for Ola Brynhildsen73'84'for Joel Mvuka7.6
14U. Saltnes90+5'for Andreas Helmersen
32K. Solhaug

Match Stats

FredrikstadBodo/Glimt
42%Ball Possession58%
3Corner Kicks5
3Yellow Cards1
9Total Shots17
4Shots on Goal3
4Shots off Goal7
6Shots Inside Box14
3Shots Outside Box3
1Blocked Shots7
8Fouls5
2Offsides1
1Goalkeeper Saves3
481Total Passes667
420Passes Accurate614
87%Pass Accuracy92%

Team Comparison

FredrikstadFredrikstad
Bodo/GlimtBodo/Glimt
1598Elo Rating 1897
1.81Attack 1.47
0.12Defense 1.68
23%Hit Rate 37%
15.3Shots per Game 13.8
4.6Shots on Target 4.7
5.1Corners per Game 5.4
1.4Cards per Game 0.3

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy3.43 goals
📈BTTS Trend20% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

FredrikstadFredrikstad
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
Bodo/GlimtBodo/Glimt
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.1 vs 0.3 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 5 meetings, all competitions

FredrikstadFredrikstad0Wins · 0%
Draws120%
Bodo/GlimtBodo/Glimt4Wins · 80%
2.6Avg Goals
20%Both teams scored1 of 5
40%3+ goals2 of 5

Previous meetings

Eliteserien17/07/2026
Bodo/GlimtFredrikstad
10
Eliteserien30/11/2025
Bodo/GlimtFredrikstad
50
Eliteserien16/07/2025
FredrikstadBodo/Glimt
01
Eliteserien10/11/2024
Bodo/GlimtFredrikstad
22
Eliteserien01/04/2024
FredrikstadBodo/Glimt
02

Referee Profile

S. Sletner107 matches

3.24Cards per match
3.21Yellow cards per match
0.03Red cards per match
22.4Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

S. Sletner3.24
Other referees3.51

3.24 cards a match, 0.27 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.51).

Cards come from 29 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Eliteserien 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1VikingViking26202469:27+4262WLWWW
2Bodo/GlimtBodo/Glimt26202463:23+4062WWLWW
3RosenborgRosenborg26144853:32+2146WWWWD
4LillestromLillestrom26143939:35+445WWWWD
5MoldeMolde26135864:44+2044DLWWD
6TromsoTromso26117843:40+340LLLDD
7BrannBrann261031347:44+333DWLLL
8ValerengaValerenga26951243:47-432LWWWL
9Sarpsborg 08 FFSarpsborg 08 FF26871132:42-1031LLWLW
10KFUM OsloKFUM Oslo26871133:46-1331LDDDW
11Ham-KamHam-Kam26861238:53-1530WDLLW
12FredrikstadFredrikstad26861231:46-1530DLLLD
13SandefjordSandefjord26771231:39-828DWLLD
14Kristiansund BKKristiansund BK26751430:51-2126WWDLL
15AalesundAalesund26591245:60-1524LLLWL
16StartStart26541727:59-3219LLWLL
#TeamMPGPts
1VikingViking2669:2762
2Bodo/GlimtBodo/Glimt2663:2362
3RosenborgRosenborg2653:3246
4LillestromLillestrom2639:3545
5MoldeMolde2664:4444
6TromsoTromso2643:4040
7BrannBrann2647:4433
8ValerengaValerenga2643:4732
9Sarpsborg 08 FFSarpsborg 08 FF2632:4231
10KFUM OsloKFUM Oslo2633:4631
11Ham-KamHam-Kam2638:5330
12FredrikstadFredrikstad2631:4630
13SandefjordSandefjord2631:3928
14Kristiansund BKKristiansund BK2630:5126
15AalesundAalesund2645:6024
16StartStart2627:5919
Champions LeagueConference LeagueRelegation

About the Fredrikstad vs Bodo/Glimt forecast

The forecasts for this Eliteserien match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Fredrikstad and Bodo/Glimt in the Eliteserien table

In the Eliteserien table, Bodo/Glimt are 2nd and Fredrikstad 12th, 32 points apart. League goal record so far: Fredrikstad 31-46, Bodo/Glimt 63-23. The full standings are on the Eliteserien Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.