Atlanta United FC vs Inter Miami Prediction

Atlanta Stadium, Atlanta·Allen Chapman 18/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
75%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 2.5 Goals
1.28
SignalGOODModel51%SurpriseMediumGap-3.2%
Value Analysis
68%Trust
Home Cards
Home Cards Over 1.5
1.54
SignalGOODModel68%SurpriseMediumGap+4.6%
Atlanta United FC Rest
3 days
Inter Miami Rest
3 days

Atlanta United FC vs Inter Miami: result, form and history

Inter Miami beat Atlanta United FC 3-1 in the Major League Soccer on 18 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Games between these two are rarely quiet: their 10 previous meetings averaged 4.0 goals, and both sides scored in 9 of them. Referee Allen Chapman averages 3.55 cards a game, 0.85 fewer than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
26%3.35
X
24%4.20
2
50%1.89
Double Chance
1X
50%1.85
X2
74%1.30
Both Teams to Score
Yes
69%1.30
No
31%3.25
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.35 + 1.69 = 3.04
Over 1.5
86%1.06
Over 2.5
70%1.28
Over 3.5
48%1.77
Under 1.5
14%7.40
Under 2.5
30%3.53
Under 3.5
52%2.00
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.6 + 4.7 = 9.2
Over 8.5
56%1.53
Over 9.5
44%1.88
Over 10.5
33%2.42
Under 8.5
44%2.32
Under 9.5
56%1.85
Under 10.5
67%1.51
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.4 + 2.5 = 4.8
Over 3.5
71%1.73
Over 4.5
53%2.07
Under 3.5
29%2.06
Under 4.5
47%1.70

Match Events

44'Tomás JacobFoul
45'Germán BerterameAssist: Luis Suárez
54'Mauricio AmaroNot retreating
56'Lionel MessiAssist: Germán Berterame
60'Lionel MessiAssist: Luis Suárez
61'Tristan Muyumba INSteven Alzate out
71'Breel EmboloDissent
71'Penalty cancelledLuis Suárez
75'Carlos Henrique Casimiro INMaximiliano Falcon out
81'Matías Galarza INTelasco Segovia out
81'Germán Berterame INFacundo Mura out
81'Giuliano Galoppo INCooper Sanchez out
82'Miguel Almirón INFafà Picault out
82'Elías Báez INMatthew Edwards out
89'Maximiliano FalconFoul
89'Fafà Picault(Penalty)
90+6'Lionel MessiFoul

Lineups

Atlanta United FC
4-3-3Coach: G. Martino
Inter Miami
4-3-3Coach: Kily González
Avg rating6.35
Avg rating7.10
L. Hoyos5.81L. Hoyos
T. Jacob6.455T. Jacob
P. Díaz6.627P. Díaz
J. Alonso6.86J. Alonso
E. Báez6.73E. Báez
T. Muyumba6.28T. Muyumba
M. Amaro6.114M. Amaro
G. Galoppo6.311G. Galoppo
A. Miranchuk6.559A. Miranchuk
B. Embolo6.436B. Embolo
M. Almirón6.310M. Almirón
D. St. Clair6.797D. St. Clair
G. Luján7.22G. Luján
Casemiro7.35Casemiro
Micael7.016Micael
Reguilón6.53Reguilón
R. De Paul6.97R. De Paul
D. Ayala7.222D. Ayala
M. Galarza6.380M. Galarza
L. Messi9.110L. Messi
L. Suárez7.49L. Suárez
G. Berterame8.519G. Berterame

Atlanta United FC Substitutes

7S. Alzate61'for Tristan Muyumba6.0
20L. Brennan
47Matthew Edwards82'for Elías Báez6.0
35A. Fortune
42Jayden Hibbert
4E. Mihaj
22F. Picault82'for Miguel Almirón89'7.4
48C. Sanchez81'for Giuliano Galoppo5.9
19Sergio Santos

Inter Miami Substitutes

37M. Falcón75'for Carlos Henrique Casimiro89'6.3
17I. Fray
20S. Morales
4F. Mura81'for Germán Berterame6.7
56Daniel Pinter
34R. Ríos Novo
11Riquelme Fillipi
8T. Segovia81'for Matías Galarza6.5
88A. Shaw

Match Stats

Atlanta United FCInter Miami
44%Ball Possession56%
5Corner Kicks2
3Yellow Cards2
21Total Shots7
3Shots on Goal5
11Shots off Goal1
10Shots Inside Box5
11Shots Outside Box2
7Blocked Shots1
8Fouls11
0Offsides3
2Goalkeeper Saves2
433Total Passes565
383Passes Accurate502
11Free Kicks7

Team Comparison

Atlanta United FCAtlanta United FC
Inter MiamiInter Miami
1520Elo Rating 1740
1.62Attack 2.49
1.28Defense 2.12
37%Hit Rate 69%
15.5Shots per Game 11.7
4.6Shots on Target 6.1
4.8Corners per Game 2.7
2.1Cards per Game 2.3

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy3.04 goals
📈BTTS Trend90% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

Atlanta United FCAtlanta United FC
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Inter MiamiInter Miami
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.4 vs 1.1 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Atlanta United FCAtlanta United FC4Wins · 40%
Draws220%
Inter MiamiInter Miami4Wins · 40%
4.0Avg Goals
90%Both teams scored9 of 10
100%3+ goals10 of 10

Previous meetings

Major League Soccer06/09/2026
Inter MiamiAtlanta United FC
22
Major League Soccer12/10/2025
Inter MiamiAtlanta United FC
40
Major League Soccer17/03/2025
Atlanta United FCInter Miami
12
Major League Soccer10/11/2024
Inter MiamiAtlanta United FC
23
Major League Soccer03/11/2024
Atlanta United FCInter Miami
21
Major League Soccer26/10/2024
Inter MiamiAtlanta United FC
21
Major League Soccer19/09/2024
Atlanta United FCInter Miami
22
Major League Soccer30/05/2024
Inter MiamiAtlanta United FC
13
Major League Soccer16/09/2023
Atlanta United FCInter Miami
52
Major League Soccer07/05/2023
Inter MiamiAtlanta United FC
21

Referee Profile

Allen Chapman138 matches

3.55Cards per match
3.46Yellow cards per match
0.10Red cards per match
21.4Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Allen Chapman3.55
Other referees4.40

3.55 cards a match, 0.85 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.40).

Cards come from 134 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Major League Soccer 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Nashville SCNashville SC30207364:23+4167DWWWW
2Inter MiamiInter Miami301510573:51+2255WWWLD
3New England RevolutionNew England Revolution301641049:41+852WWLLW
4Chicago FireChicago Fire301461052:44+848LLWWW
5CharlotteCharlotte30138953:45+847DLWLW
6Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia Union301371061:48+1346DWWWW
7Orlando City SCOrlando City SC301251358:70-1241WDWLL
8FC CincinnatiFC Cincinnati301091162:71-939WLLWL
9New York Red BullsNew York Red Bulls301061439:56-1736LLWLW
10Toronto FCToronto FC308121046:55-936WDWLL
11Columbus CrewColumbus Crew301051546:47-135WWLWW
12New York City FCNew York City FC308101243:41+234DLLDL
13DC UnitedDC United307121138:53-1533LLWLD
14Atlanta United FCAtlanta United FC30861637:51-1430LWLDW
15CF MontrealCF Montreal30671736:60-2425DLLWL
#TeamMPGPts
1Nashville SCNashville SC3064:2367
2Inter MiamiInter Miami3073:5155
3New England RevolutionNew England Revolution3049:4152
4Chicago FireChicago Fire3052:4448
5CharlotteCharlotte3053:4547
6Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia Union3061:4846
7Orlando City SCOrlando City SC3058:7041
8FC CincinnatiFC Cincinnati3062:7139
9New York Red BullsNew York Red Bulls3039:5636
10Toronto FCToronto FC3046:5536
11Columbus CrewColumbus Crew3046:4735
12New York City FCNew York City FC3043:4134
13DC UnitedDC United3038:5333
14Atlanta United FCAtlanta United FC3037:5130
15CF MontrealCF Montreal3036:6025
Promotion

About the Atlanta United FC vs Inter Miami forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Atlanta United FC and Inter Miami in the Major League Soccer table

The table shows a wide gap: Inter Miami are 2nd in the Major League Soccer, while Atlanta United FC sit 14th, 25 points behind. League goal record so far: Atlanta United FC 37-51, Inter Miami 73-51. The full standings are on the Major League Soccer Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Inter Miami have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.