Atlas vs Club America Prediction

Atlas
2-5
Finished
HT 0-2
Club America
Estadio Jalisco, Guadalajara·Cesar Arturo Ramos 22/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
82%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.17
SignalSTRONGModel47%SurpriseMediumGap-3.3%
Atlas Rest
5 days
Club America Rest
4 days

Atlas vs Club America: the result in context

Club America beat Atlas 5-2 in the Liga MX on 22 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.9 goals, with both teams scoring in 5 of them. Atlas tend to win more corners, 8.1 a game to 4.4 for Club America.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
25%3.35
X
25%3.65
2
50%2.00
Double Chance
1X
50%1.74
X2
75%1.30
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%1.53
No
39%2.38
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.23 + 1.76 = 2.99
Over 1.5
81%1.17
Over 2.5
61%1.61
Over 3.5
40%2.50
Under 1.5
19%4.50
Under 2.5
39%2.27
Under 3.5
60%1.50
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.2 + 4.7 = 9.9
Over 8.5
64%1.33
Over 9.5
52%1.58
Over 10.5
40%1.99
Under 8.5
36%2.89
Under 9.5
48%2.18
Under 10.5
60%1.73
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.3 + 2.4 = 4.8
Over 3.5
70%1.42
Over 4.5
52%1.67
Under 3.5
30%2.75
Under 4.5
48%2.10

Match Events

22'Franco RossanoFoul
26'Miguel BorjaAssist: Brian Rodríguez
28'Erick SánchezAssist: Carlos Álvarez
45'Carlos Álvarez INIsaias Violante out
58'Brian RodríguezAssist: Álex Zendejas
63'Álex Zendejas
68'Miguel Borja INHenry Martin out
68'Álex Zendejas INOscar Andres Perea Abonce out
68'Paulo Ramirez INSergio Hernández out
68'Arturo González INEdgar Zaldívar out
68'Florián Monzón INJosé Martín out
70'Penalty confirmedEdgar Zaldívar
73'Luís André Leite Esteves(Penalty)
77'Franco Rossano INEmilio Lara out
77'Israel Reyes INAlan Cervantes out
78'Ryan MmaeeAssist: Sergio Hernández
78'Milton Valenzuela INJorge Rodríguez out
79'Kevin Alvarez
85'Juan SánchezFoul
85'Elías Montiel INVíctor Ríos out
90+4'Sergio HernándezDissent

Lineups

Atlas
4-2-2-2Coach: H. Crespo
Club America
4-2-3-1Coach: G. Almada
Avg rating6.21
Avg rating7.00
C. Vargas5.512C. Vargas
J. Sánchez6.53J. Sánchez
A. Frías5.919A. Frías
J. Purata5.444J. Purata
M. Valenzuela5.416M. Valenzuela
E. Montiel6.418E. Montiel
Paulo Ramírez6.315P. Ramírez
A. González5.958A. González
Luís Esteves7.510L. Esteves
F. Monzón6.59F. Monzón
R. Mmaee8.28R. Mmaee
L. Malagón6.61L. Malagón
K. Álvarez7.35K. Álvarez
S. Bueno5.814S. Bueno
S. Ramos6.515S. Ramos
F. Rossano6.224F. Rossano
I. Reyes6.53I. Reyes
É. Sánchez7.528É. Sánchez
A. Zendejas8.910A. Zendejas
Carlos Álvarez6.88C. Álvarez
B. Rodríguez8.87B. Rodríguez
M. Borja7.993M. Borja

Atlas Substitutes

6É. Zaldívar68'for Arturo González6.6
27V. Ríos85'for Elías Montiel5.8
22A. Sánchez
23S. Hernández68'for Paulo Ramirez90+4'5.8
28M. Capasso
13G. Aguirre
17J. Lozano
203J. Martín68'for Florián Monzón6.2
26A. Rocha
5J. Rodríguez78'for Milton Valenzuela5.5

Club America Substitutes

13A. Cervantes77'for Israel Reyes6.2
30R. Cota
20A. Gutiérrez
2E. Lara77'for Franco Rossano6.4
9H. Martín68'for Miguel Borja6.6
22Ó. Perea68'for Álex Zendejas7.2
12I. Violante45'for Carlos Álvarez6.7
32M. Vázquez
217Icaro
6E. Cerrillo

Match Stats

AtlasClub America
56%Ball Possession44%
9Corner Kicks5
2Yellow Cards1
24Total Shots14
6Shots on Goal6
12Shots off Goal2
12Shots Inside Box12
12Shots Outside Box2
6Blocked Shots6
8Fouls14
1Offsides2
1Goalkeeper Saves4
458Total Passes359
383Passes Accurate279
12Free Kicks8

Team Comparison

AtlasAtlas
Club AmericaClub America
1605Elo Rating 1776
1.83Attack 3.63
0.98Defense 0.97
39%Hit Rate 66%
17.3Shots per Game 15.8
4.8Shots on Target 7.7
8.1Corners per Game 4.4
1.9Cards per Game 2.0

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy2.99 goals
📈BTTS Trend50% in H2H
📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

AtlasAtlas
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.3 vs 0.5 in first half)
Club AmericaClub America
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (2.1 vs 1.5 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

AtlasAtlas2Wins · 20%
Draws330%
Club AmericaClub America5Wins · 50%
2.9Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored5 of 10
50%3+ goals5 of 10

Previous meetings

Liga MX26/04/2026
Club AmericaAtlas
01
Liga MX25/08/2025
AtlasClub America
24
Liga MX16/03/2025
AtlasClub America
13
Liga MX18/09/2024
Club AmericaAtlas
30
Liga MX03/03/2024
AtlasClub America
15
Liga MX21/08/2023
Club AmericaAtlas
11
Liga MX26/02/2023
AtlasClub America
22
Liga MX03/07/2022
Club AmericaAtlas
00
Liga MX23/01/2022
Club AmericaAtlas
02
Liga MX16/08/2021
AtlasClub America
01

Referee Profile

Cesar Arturo Ramos3 matches analysed

4.55Cards per match
4.30Yellow cards per match
0.26Red cards per match
24.8Fouls per match

Strictness

Stricter than 48% of referees analysed

Model estimates, weighted toward the competition average while the sample is small.

League Table

Liga MX 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Club AmericaClub America1283132:16+1627WWDWD
2Guadalajara ChivasGuadalajara Chivas1475221:12+926WWDDL
3AtlasAtlas1473425:26-124WLWDW
4TolucaToluca1465329:19+1023DDDLD
5Cruz AzulCruz Azul1372429:22+723WWDDL
6LeonLeon1464421:18+322DWLDW
7MonterreyMonterrey1362523:18+520LWWDL
8Club QueretaroClub Queretaro1262416:15+120LLWWD
9Santos LagunaSantos Laguna1361619:16+319WWWWW
10Atletico San LuisAtletico San Luis1454519:22-319WWDLW
11Club TijuanaClub Tijuana1245317:16+117DDDLD
12U.N.A.M. - PumasU.N.A.M. - Pumas1445520:23-317DLWDL
13PueblaPuebla1444616:21-516LLDDL
14Tigres UANLTigres UANL1436515:19-415DLDWW
15Atlante FCAtlante FC1435614:20-614LWLLW
16CF PachucaCF Pachuca1334620:18+213LLDLD
17NecaxaNecaxa1424816:27-1110DLLDL
18FC JuarezFC Juarez1412119:33-245DLLDL
#TeamMPGPts
1Club AmericaClub America1232:1627
2Guadalajara ChivasGuadalajara Chivas1421:1226
3AtlasAtlas1425:2624
4TolucaToluca1429:1923
5Cruz AzulCruz Azul1329:2223
6LeonLeon1421:1822
7MonterreyMonterrey1323:1820
8Club QueretaroClub Queretaro1216:1520
9Santos LagunaSantos Laguna1319:1619
10Atletico San LuisAtletico San Luis1419:2219
11Club TijuanaClub Tijuana1217:1617
12U.N.A.M. - PumasU.N.A.M. - Pumas1420:2317
13PueblaPuebla1416:2116
14Tigres UANLTigres UANL1415:1915
15Atlante FCAtlante FC1414:2014
16CF PachucaCF Pachuca1320:1813
17NecaxaNecaxa1416:2710
18FC JuarezFC Juarez149:335
Promotion

About the Atlas vs Club America forecast

The forecasts for this Liga MX match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Atlas and Club America in the Liga MX table

This is a meeting of two top-four sides: Club America are 1st in the Liga MX, 3 points ahead of Atlas in 3rd. League goal record so far: Atlas 25-26, Club America 32-16. The full standings are on the Liga MX Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.