CF Pachuca vs Cruz Azul Prediction
Mexico · Apertura - 13
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
83%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.17
SignalSTRONGModel44%SurpriseMediumGap-2.7%
CF Pachuca Rest
3 days
Cruz Azul Rest
4 days
CF Pachuca vs Cruz Azul: result, form and history
Cruz Azul beat CF Pachuca 2-1 in the Liga MX on 22 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.
Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.3 goals, with both teams scoring in 5 of them.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
130%2.90
X27%3.58
243%2.23
Double Chance
1X57%1.60
X270%1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes62%1.49
No38%2.50
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.41 + 1.58 = 2.99
Over 1.582%1.17
Over 2.560%1.59
Over 3.539%2.41
Under 1.518%4.80
Under 2.540%2.34
Under 3.561%1.53
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.3 + 5.1 = 10.3
Over 8.568%1.38
Over 9.557%1.70
Over 10.546%2.10
Under 8.532%2.67
Under 9.543%2.02
Under 10.554%1.66
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.4 + 2.4 = 4.8
Over 3.571%1.34
Over 4.553%1.67
Under 3.529%3.10
Under 4.547%2.10
Match Events
11'Eduardo Dos SantosFoul
13'Gabriel FernándezAssist: Alan Mozo
20'Francisco VenegasAssist: Rodolfo Pizarro
39'Carlos RodriguezDissent
45'Oussama IdrissiFoul
48'Francisco VenegasFoul
61'Ángel Márquez INLuka Romero out
61'Omar Campos INRogelio Gonzalez out
63'Rodolfo PizarroTime wasting
67'Rodolfo Pizarro INAdrián Alcaraz out
67'Oussama Idrissi INGael Álvarez out
70'Alan Mozo INCarlos Rotondi out
70'Agustín Palavecino INAndrés Montaño out
75'Pedro BudibFoul
79'Andrés Montaño(Penalty)
79'Jorge Berlanga INCristóbal Hernández out
79'Javier Vallejo INRobert Nunes out
82'Carlos Rodriguez INJesús Orozco out
85'Amaury GarcíaFoul
85'Francisco Venegas INMauricio Isais out
87'Goal cancelledSalomón Rondón
90+4'Luka RomeroFoul
Lineups
CF PachucaCruz Azul
3-4-2-1Coach: Joel HuiquiAvg ratingAvg rating
25C. Moreno
13J. Berlanga
4E. Bauermann
32P. Budib
15F. Venegas
16C. Rivera
26A. Ernesto Bautista Gutiérrez
21N. Vallejo
7R. Pizarro
11O. Idrissi
23S. Rondón
1A. Gudiño
17A. García
12A. Montes
33G. Piovi
2A. Mozo
6É. Lira
16J. Márquez
3O. Campos
8A. Palavecino
19C. Rodríguez
21G. FernándezCF Pachuca Substitutes
187G. Ãlvarez67'for Oussama Idrissi
31J. Eulogio
211C. Hernandez79'for Jorge Berlanga
6M. Isaís85'for Francisco Venegas
29Kenedy79'for Javier Vallejo
30S. Rodríguez
12S. Santos
186Ángel López Bustamante
221Ulises Natanael Martínez Reynoso
9A. Alcáraz67'for Rodolfo Pizarro
Cruz Azul Substitutes
5J. Orozco82'for Carlos Rodriguez
18L. Romero61'for Ángel Márquez90+4'
14J. Calero
7N. Ibáñez
10A. Montaño70'for Agustín Palavecino79'
23K. Mier
55R. Gonzalez61'for Omar Campos
11C. Ebere
60Ariel Castro Sevilla
29C. Rotondi70'for Alan Mozo
Match Stats
CF PachucaCruz Azul 44%Ball Possession56%
0Corner Kicks8
5Yellow Cards3
14Total Shots10
5Shots on Goal5
4Shots off Goal4
10Shots Inside Box7
4Shots Outside Box3
5Blocked Shots1
20Fouls11
3Offsides2
2Goalkeeper Saves5
366Total Passes465
284Passes Accurate383
10Free Kicks20
Team Comparison
CF PachucaCruz Azul1619Elo Rating 1763
1.36Attack 2.77
0.97Defense 1.51
0%Hit Rate 50%
15.7Shots per Game 16.6
4.8Shots on Target 6.3
5.0Corners per Game 5.0
3.5Cards per Game 2.2
AI Insights
⚽High Goal Expectancy2.99 goals
📈BTTS Trend50% in H2H
📊Away Overperforming
Game State Tendencies
CF Pachuca- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
- Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0.5 in first half)
- Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Cruz Azul- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
Head to Head
Last 10 meetings, all competitions
CF Pachuca5Wins · 50%Draws110%
Cruz Azul4Wins · 40%
4Wins · 40%2.3Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored5 of 10
40%3+ goals4 of 10
Previous meetings
05/04/2026Cruz AzulCF Pachuca12
14/09/2025CF PachucaCruz Azul01
09/02/2025Cruz AzulCF Pachuca21
29/09/2024CF PachucaCruz Azul24
14/01/2024Cruz AzulCF Pachuca01
24/08/2023CF PachucaCruz Azul10
02/04/2023CF PachucaCruz Azul02
10/07/2022Cruz AzulCF Pachuca12
20/03/2022CF PachucaCruz Azul10
30/08/2021Cruz AzulCF Pachuca11
Recent Form
CF Pachuca3W4D3L
19/10/2026
MonterreyCF PachucaCF Pachuca
Necaxa
Santos LagunaCF PachucaCF Pachuca
Club Tijuana
Atlante FCCF Pachuca
FC JuarezCF PachucaCF Pachuca
Guadalajara Chivas
Atletico San LuisCF PachucaCF Pachuca
Puebla
MonterreyCF Pachuca21
L12/10/2026CF PachucaNecaxa33
D27/09/2026Santos LagunaCF Pachuca10
L21/09/2026CF PachucaClub Tijuana22
D12/09/2026Atlante FCCF Pachuca03
W05/09/2026FC JuarezCF Pachuca02
W30/08/2026CF PachucaGuadalajara Chivas11
D24/08/2026Atletico San LuisCF Pachuca11
D18/08/2026CF PachucaPuebla23
L12/08/2026
CharlotteCF Pachuca
CharlotteCF Pachuca01
WCruz Azul4W2D4L
18/10/2026Cruz AzulFC JuarezCruz Azul
TolucaMonterreyCruz AzulCruz Azul
Club AmericaCruz AzulSantos LagunaNecaxaCruz AzulCruz Azul
AtlasClub TijuanaCruz Azul
Cruz AzulFC Juarez50
W12/10/2026
U.N.A.M. - PumasCruz Azul
27/09/2026U.N.A.M. - PumasCruz Azul33
DCruz AzulToluca33
D20/09/2026MonterreyCruz Azul10
L17/09/2026
Inter MiamiCruz Azul
13/09/2026Inter MiamiCruz Azul20
LCruz AzulClub America43
W07/09/2026Cruz AzulSantos Laguna10
W29/08/2026NecaxaCruz Azul13
W23/08/2026Cruz AzulAtlas02
L17/08/2026Club TijuanaCruz Azul21
LReferee Profile
4.37Cards per match
4.07Yellow cards per match
0.30Red cards per match
24.0Fouls per match
Compared with other referees
4.37 cards a match, 0.35 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.72).
Cards come from 27 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Club America | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 33:18 | +15 | 27 | LWWDW |
| 2 | Cruz Azul | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 32:23 | +9 | 26 | WWWDD |
| 3 | Guadalajara Chivas | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 21:12 | +9 | 26 | WWDDL |
| 4 | Atlas | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 25:26 | -1 | 24 | WLWDW |
| 5 | Toluca | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 29:19 | +10 | 23 | DDDLD |
| 6 |  Leon | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 21:18 | +3 | 22 | DWLDW |
| 7 | Monterrey | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 23:18 | +5 | 20 | LWWDL |
| 8 | Club Tijuana | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 21:17 | +4 | 20 | WDDDL |
| 9 |  Club Queretaro | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 17:18 | -1 | 20 | LLLWW |
| 10 | Santos Laguna | 14 | 6 | 1 | 7 | 20:20 | 0 | 19 | LWWWW |
| 11 | Atletico San Luis | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 19:22 | -3 | 19 | WWDLW |
| 12 | U.N.A.M. - Pumas | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 20:23 | -3 | 17 | DLWDL |
| 13 | CF Pachuca | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 22:19 | +3 | 16 | WLLDL |
| 14 | Puebla | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 16:21 | -5 | 16 | LLDDL |
| 15 |  Tigres UANL | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 15:19 | -4 | 15 | DLDWW |
| 16 | Atlante FC | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 14:20 | -6 | 14 | LWLLW |
| 17 | Necaxa | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 16:27 | -11 | 10 | DLLDL |
| 18 | FC Juarez | 14 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 9:33 | -24 | 5 | DLLDL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Club America | 13 | 33:18 | 27 |
| 2 | Cruz Azul | 14 | 32:23 | 26 |
| 3 | Guadalajara Chivas | 14 | 21:12 | 26 |
| 4 | Atlas | 14 | 25:26 | 24 |
| 5 | Toluca | 14 | 29:19 | 23 |
| 6 | Leon | 14 | 21:18 | 22 |
| 7 | Monterrey | 13 | 23:18 | 20 |
| 8 | Club Tijuana | 13 | 21:17 | 20 |
| 9 | Club Queretaro | 13 | 17:18 | 20 |
| 10 | Santos Laguna | 14 | 20:20 | 19 |
| 11 | Atletico San Luis | 14 | 19:22 | 19 |
| 12 | U.N.A.M. - Pumas | 14 | 20:23 | 17 |
| 13 | CF Pachuca | 14 | 22:19 | 16 |
| 14 | Puebla | 14 | 16:21 | 16 |
| 15 | Tigres UANL | 14 | 15:19 | 15 |
| 16 | Atlante FC | 14 | 14:20 | 14 |
| 17 | Necaxa | 14 | 16:27 | 10 |
| 18 | FC Juarez | 14 | 9:33 | 5 |
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About the CF Pachuca vs Cruz Azul forecast
Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
CF Pachuca and Cruz Azul in the Liga MX table
In the Liga MX table, Cruz Azul are 2nd and CF Pachuca 13th, 10 points apart. League goal record so far: CF Pachuca 22-19, Cruz Azul 32-23. The full standings are on the Liga MX Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.