Nautico Recife vs Atletico Goianiense Prediction

Estádio dos Aflitos, Recife·Wagner do Nascimento Magalhaes, Brazil 09/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
87%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 3.5 Goals
1.22
SignalSTRONGModel43%SurpriseMediumGap+5.0%
Value Analysis
75%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.38
SignalHIGHModel36%SurpriseMediumGap+8.6%
Nautico Recife Rest
14 days
Atletico Goianiense Rest
12 days

Nautico Recife vs Atletico Goianiense: the result in context

Nautico Recife and Atletico Goianiense drew 1-1 in the Serie B on 9 Aug 2026. Atletico Goianiense had gone in with the better form, having won 3 of their previous five against 1 for Nautico Recife.

Atletico Goianiense tend to win more corners, 10.2 a game to 6.6 for Nautico Recife.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
37%2.40
X
37%3.19
2
26%2.88
Double Chance
1X
75%1.38
X2
63%1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%1.83
No
48%1.88
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.22 + 0.92 = 2.14
Over 1.5
67%1.36
Over 2.5
39%2.13
Over 3.5
13%3.84
Under 1.5
33%3.00
Under 2.5
61%1.67
Under 3.5
87%1.22
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.5 + 4.3 = 9.9
Over 8.5
60%1.35
Over 9.5
51%1.61
Over 10.5
39%2.00
Under 8.5
40%2.88
Under 9.5
49%2.17
Under 10.5
61%1.73
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.4 + 2.6 = 5.1
Over 3.5
74%-
Over 4.5
58%1.43
Under 3.5
26%-
Under 4.5
42%2.58

Match Events

6'Kauan MaranhaoAssist: Igor Fernandes
18'ArnaldoFoul
22'Adriano MartinsFoul
46'Leo Tocantins INCristiano out
46'Leandro Vilela INBruno Jose out
46'Matheusinho INHenrique Freitas out
52'Muriel BeckerFoul
56'Geovany SoaresAssist: Henrique Freitas
64'Auremir INGustavo Henrique out
64'Samuel Felix INP. Nunez out
64'Igor Fernandes INRyan Carlos out
71'Arnaldo INVictor Andrade out
73'Geovany Soares INGustavo Maia out
80'Gustavo Coutinho INJoao Pedro out
82'Victor AndradeFoul
83'CristianoFoul
86'B. BorasiFoul
87'B. Borasi INJuan Rikelme out

Lineups

Nautico Recife
4-2-3-1Coach: Anjos Helio dos
Atletico Goianiense
4-2-3-1Coach: Souza Eduardo
Avg rating6.83
Avg rating6.79
Muriel6.71Muriel
Arnaldo6.22Arnaldo
Léo Índio7.215L. Índio
Betão6.73Betão
Igor Fernandes8.523I. Fernandes
Auremir6.75Auremir
Samuel6.341Samuel
Reginaldo7.293Reginaldo
Jean CarlosC7.910J. Carlos
Benjamín Borasi7.024B. Borasi
Kaua Almeida da Costa6.319K. Almeida da Costa
Paulo Vítor7.91P. Vítor
Ewerthon6.92Ewerthon
Junior Barreto7.54J. Barreto
Adriano Martins6.23A. Martins
Yuri Alves de Aquino6.96Y. Alves de Aquino
Peixoto7.38Peixoto
Leandro Vilela6.35L. Vilela
Léo Tocantins6.07L. Tocantins
Matheusinho6.510Matheusinho
Geovany Soares7.311G. Soares
Gustavo CoutinhoC6.39G. Coutinho

Nautico Recife Substitutes

46Gustavo Henrique64'replaced by Auremir6.7
6Ryan64'for Igor Fernandes6.7
22Patricio Núñez64'for Samuel Felix6.5
55Gastón Guruceaga
75Hector Silva
34Wanderson
37Juan Rikelme87'for B. Borasi6.3
11Victor Andrade71'for Arnaldo82'6.3
21Felipe Redaelli
88Caio
99Isaque Ferreira
16Luiz Claudio

Atletico Goianiense Substitutes

17Cristiano46'for Leo Tocantins83'6.9
19Henrique Freitas46'for Matheusinho6.9
21Bruno José46'for Leandro Vilela6.7
13Kauã Henrique
14Tito
16Natã
15Igor Henrique
22Gustavo Maia73'for Geovany Soares6.3
20Netinho
12Paulo
18João Pedro Silva80'for Gustavo Coutinho6.7

Match Stats

Nautico RecifeAtletico Goianiense
42%Ball Possession58%
5Corner Kicks5
4Yellow Cards2
16Total Shots17
5Shots on Goal6
5Shots off Goal9
11Shots Inside Box9
5Shots Outside Box8
6Blocked Shots2
15Fouls15
1Offsides4
5Goalkeeper Saves4
278Total Passes398
197Passes Accurate328
71%Pass Accuracy82%

Team Comparison

Nautico RecifeNautico Recife
Atletico GoianienseAtletico Goianiense
1553Elo Rating 1647
0.59Attack 0.87
1.85Defense 1.81
14%Hit Rate 14%
14.2Shots per Game 24.8
3.0Shots on Target 4.3
6.6Corners per Game 10.2
1.7Cards per Game 2.4

AI Insights

📉Home Underperforming
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

Nautico RecifeNautico Recife
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Atletico GoianienseAtletico Goianiense
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

1 previous meeting, all competitions

Nautico RecifeNautico Recife1Wins · 100%
Draws00%
Atletico GoianienseAtletico Goianiense0Wins · 0%
3.0Avg Goals
100%Both teams scored1 of 1
100%3+ goals1 of 1

Previous meetings

Serie B02/04/2026
Atletico GoianienseNautico Recife
12

Recent Form

Atletico GoianienseAtletico Goianiense
5W4D1L
28/07/2026
Atletico GoianienseOperario-PR
31
W
24/07/2026
CuiabaAtletico Goianiense
01
W
18/07/2026
Atletico GoianienseAthletic Club
00
D
12/07/2026
Atletico GoianienseFortaleza EC
10
W
04/07/2026
NovorizontinoAtletico Goianiense
30
L
28/06/2026
Atletico GoianiensePonte Preta
20
W
19/06/2026
Sport RecifeAtletico Goianiense
11
D
13/06/2026
Atletico GoianienseCRB
33
D
09/06/2026
America MineiroAtletico Goianiense
12
W
30/05/2026
Atletico GoianienseGoias
11
D

Referee Profile

Wagner do Nascimento Magalhaes223 matches

5.58Cards per match
5.37Yellow cards per match
0.21Red cards per match
28.6Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Wagner do Nascimento Magalhaes5.58
Other referees5.23

5.58 cards a match, 0.35 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.23).

Cards come from 177 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Serie B 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1NovorizontinoNovorizontino351810762:30+3264WDWWW
2Vila NovaVila Nova35188950:36+1462LDWDW
3JuventudeJuventude341710741:23+1861DDWWW
4Fortaleza ECFortaleza EC351613643:31+1261DWDWD
5CriciumaCriciuma351781036:30+659LWWLW
6CRBCRB351671253:49+455WLDWL
7Sport RecifeSport Recife351412947:38+954WLDWW
8Atletico GoianienseAtletico Goianiense351412942:33+954LDDLW
9Operario-PROperario-PR351491245:46-151WLLLL
10GoiasGoias341471334:40-649DWWLL
11São BernardoSão Bernardo3513101249:39+1049WLDLW
12Botafogo SPBotafogo SP351381440:38+247WWWWL
13CuiabaCuiaba341114932:27+547LLDWL
14Athletic ClubAthletic Club3510141140:40044LDDLL
15Nautico RecifeNautico Recife3411101339:42-343DLLDW
16CearaCeara3411101337:42-543DLWWD
17AvaiAvai351071833:45-1237LDWWL
18LondrinaLondrina35881944:51-732LWDLL
19America MineiroAmerica Mineiro34552422:54-3220WLLLL
20Ponte PretaPonte Preta35362621:76-5515DDLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1NovorizontinoNovorizontino3562:3064
2Vila NovaVila Nova3550:3662
3JuventudeJuventude3441:2361
4Fortaleza ECFortaleza EC3543:3161
5CriciumaCriciuma3536:3059
6CRBCRB3553:4955
7Sport RecifeSport Recife3547:3854
8Atletico GoianienseAtletico Goianiense3542:3354
9Operario-PROperario-PR3545:4651
10GoiasGoias3434:4049
11São BernardoSão Bernardo3549:3949
12Botafogo SPBotafogo SP3540:3847
13CuiabaCuiaba3432:2747
14Athletic ClubAthletic Club3540:4044
15Nautico RecifeNautico Recife3439:4243
16CearaCeara3437:4243
17AvaiAvai3533:4537
18LondrinaLondrina3544:5132
19America MineiroAmerica Mineiro3422:5420
20Ponte PretaPonte Preta3521:7615
PromotionRelegation

About the Nautico Recife vs Atletico Goianiense forecast

The forecasts for this Serie B match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Nautico Recife and Atletico Goianiense in the Serie B table

In the Serie B table, Atletico Goianiense are 8th and Nautico Recife 15th, 11 points apart. League goal record so far: Nautico Recife 39-42, Atletico Goianiense 42-33. The full standings are on the Serie B Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Nautico Recife and Atletico Goianiense have met only 1 time recently, with 3.0 goals in that meeting. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.