Atletico Goianiense vs Fortaleza EC Prediction

Estádio Antônio Accioly, Goiânia·Lucas Canetto Bellote, Brazil 12/07/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
79%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.34
SignalHIGHModel48%SurpriseMediumGap+4.2%
Atletico Goianiense Rest
8 days
Fortaleza EC Rest
9 days

Atletico Goianiense vs Fortaleza EC: result, form and history

Atletico Goianiense beat Fortaleza EC 1-0 in the Serie B on 12 Jul 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their 6 previous meetings averaged 2.3 goals, with both teams scoring in 3 of them. Atletico Goianiense tend to win more corners, 10.4 a game to 6.2 for Fortaleza EC.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
48%2.35
X
30%3.05
2
22%3.02
Double Chance
1X
79%1.34
X2
52%1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%1.83
No
50%1.85
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.53 + 0.94 = 2.47
Over 1.5
72%1.36
Over 2.5
47%2.12
Over 3.5
24%3.80
Under 1.5
28%2.90
Under 2.5
53%1.67
Under 3.5
76%1.25
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.7 + 3.1 = 8.9
Over 8.5
53%1.40
Over 9.5
43%1.71
Over 10.5
33%2.10
Under 8.5
47%2.66
Under 9.5
57%2.03
Under 10.5
67%1.66
Cards
Projected Cards: 3 + 3.1 = 6.1
Over 3.5
88%-
Over 4.5
87%1.67
Under 3.5
12%-
Under 4.5
13%2.10

Match Events

20'Bruno JoséFoul
32'Card upgradeGustavo Coutinho
33'Gustavo CoutinhoViolent conduct
36'Bruno Jose INTito out
36'Geovany Soares INCristiano out
41'Maurício JúniorFoul
42'Klebert
46'Vitinho INPedro Henrique out
46'Mauricio Junior INMailton out
46'Pierre INWelliton out
49'Lucas GazalFoul
62'RodriguinhoFoul
77'Klebert INMatheus Indio out
79'Rodriguinho INLucas Crispim out
80'Lucas Gazal INLucca Prior out
84'Gabriel FuentesFoul
87'Marrony INLeo Jaco out
90+1'MaíltonFoul

Lineups

Atletico Goianiense
4-3-3Coach: Souza Eduardo
Fortaleza EC
4-1-4-1Coach: Carpini Thiago
Avg rating6.94
Avg rating6.73
Paulo Vitor7.21P. Vitor
Ewerthon7.52Ewerthon
O. J. Barreto Viera7.04O. J. Barreto Viera
Adriano Martins7.73A. Martins
Guilherme7.26Guilherme
Klebert7.98Klebert
Leandro Vilela6.65L. Vilela
Marrony7.310Marrony
Bruno Jose6.37B. Jose
Gustavo CoutinhoC5.29G. Coutinho
Geovany Soares6.711G. Soares
Joao RicardoC6.31J. Ricardo
Mauricio Junior6.713M. Junior
Luan Freitas6.64L. Freitas
Lucas Gazal7.33L. Gazal
G. Fuentes6.718G. Fuentes
Pierre6.95Pierre
Vitinho6.511Vitinho
Rodriguinho6.675Rodriguinho
Rodrigo7.229Rodrigo
Luiz Fernando6.932L. Fernando
J. B. Miritello6.29J. B. Miritello

Atletico Goianiense Substitutes

12Paulo Henrique
19Guilherme
17Matheus Indio77'for Klebert6.7
21Leo Tocantins
14Nata
15Tito36'for Bruno Jose7.2
20Leo Jaco87'for Marrony6.7
22Brenno
18Cristiano36'for Geovany Soares6.9
16Gustavo Daniel
13K. Henrique

Fortaleza EC Substitutes

25Vinicius Silvestre
16Pedro Henrique46'for Vitinho6.3
10Lucas Crispim79'for Rodriguinho6.7
23Neris
22Mailton46'for Mauricio Junior90+1'7.2
8Ronald
37Ryan
38Lucca Prior80'for Lucas Gazal7.0
88Lucas Sasha
31Welliton46'for Pierre6.5
77Paulo Baya
33Kaua Rocha

Match Stats

Atletico GoianienseFortaleza EC
36%Ball Possession64%
1Corner Kicks11
1Yellow Cards5
1Red Cards0
6Total Shots15
2Shots on Goal3
4Shots off Goal6
2Shots Inside Box8
4Shots Outside Box7
1Blocked Shots6
9Fouls16
3Goalkeeper Saves1
297Total Passes493
242Passes Accurate450
81%Pass Accuracy91%

Team Comparison

Atletico GoianienseAtletico Goianiense
Fortaleza ECFortaleza EC
1650Elo Rating 1701
0.50Attack 1.32
1.99Defense 2.21
0%Hit Rate 34%
23.3Shots per Game 14.3
4.4Shots on Target 3.7
10.4Corners per Game 6.2
2.8Cards per Game 2.7

AI Insights

📉Home Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

Atletico GoianienseAtletico Goianiense
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Concedes more in 2nd half and can tire late
Fortaleza ECFortaleza EC
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Starts fast: scores more in 1st half (0.9 vs 0.4 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half, then tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 6 meetings, all competitions

Atletico GoianienseAtletico Goianiense2Wins · 34%
Draws233%
Fortaleza ECFortaleza EC2Wins · 33%
2.3Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored3 of 6
50%3+ goals3 of 6

Previous meetings

Serie A05/12/2024
Atletico GoianienseFortaleza EC
31
Serie A21/07/2024
Fortaleza ECAtletico Goianiense
31
Serie A06/11/2022
Fortaleza ECAtletico Goianiense
11
Serie A17/07/2022
Atletico GoianienseFortaleza EC
01
Serie A02/10/2021
Fortaleza ECAtletico Goianiense
03
Serie A18/06/2021
Atletico GoianienseFortaleza EC
00

Recent Form

Atletico GoianienseAtletico Goianiense
3W4D3L
04/07/2026
NovorizontinoAtletico Goianiense
30
L
28/06/2026
Atletico GoianiensePonte Preta
20
W
19/06/2026
Sport RecifeAtletico Goianiense
11
D
13/06/2026
Atletico GoianienseCRB
33
D
09/06/2026
America MineiroAtletico Goianiense
12
W
30/05/2026
Atletico GoianienseGoias
11
D
24/05/2026
Atletico GoianienseSão Bernardo
01
L
17/05/2026
CriciumaAtletico Goianiense
11
D
15/05/2026
Atletico GoianienseAtletico Paranaense
1040
L
10/05/2026
CearaAtletico Goianiense
01
W
Fortaleza ECFortaleza EC
5W1D4L
03/07/2026
Fortaleza ECPonte Preta
20
W
28/06/2026
Fortaleza ECSport Recife
21
W
21/06/2026
CRBFortaleza EC
11
D
17/06/2026
Fortaleza ECAmerica Mineiro
03
L
10/06/2026
Nautico RecifeFortaleza EC
01
W
06/06/2026
VitoriaFortaleza EC
21
L
03/06/2026
Fortaleza ECVitoria
12
L
30/05/2026
Athletic ClubFortaleza EC
10
L
28/05/2026
Sport RecifeFortaleza EC
02
W
23/05/2026
Fortaleza ECLondrina
30
W

Referee Profile

Lucas Canetto Bellote67 matches

5.12Cards per match
4.92Yellow cards per match
0.20Red cards per match
26.4Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Lucas Canetto Bellote5.12
Other referees4.98

5.12 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.98).

Cards come from 51 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Serie B 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1NovorizontinoNovorizontino372010766:32+3470WWWDW
2JuventudeJuventude371911749:26+2368WDWDD
3Vila NovaVila Nova37199953:38+1566WDLDW
4CriciumaCriciuma371881138:31+762LWLWW
5Fortaleza ECFortaleza EC371614744:33+1162LDDWD
6CRBCRB371771357:51+658WLWLD
7GoiasGoias371771339:41-258WWWDW
8Atletico GoianienseAtletico Goianiense371513945:35+1058WDLDD
9Operario-PROperario-PR381691351:50+157WWLWL
10Sport RecifeSport Recife3714131050:42+855LDWLD
11São BernardoSão Bernardo3814111354:44+1053DLWWL
12Botafogo SPBotafogo SP371491445:39+651WDWWW
13Athletic ClubAthletic Club3811151246:46048DLWLD
14CuiabaCuiaba3711141234:32+247LLLLL
15Nautico RecifeNautico Recife3812101641:51-1046LLWLD
16CearaCeara3711101638:47-943LLLDL
17AvaiAvai371171935:47-1240WLLDW
18LondrinaLondrina38982147:59-1235WLLLW
19America MineiroAmerica Mineiro37852427:55-2829WWWWL
20Ponte PretaPonte Preta38362921:81-6015LLLDD
#TeamMPGPts
1NovorizontinoNovorizontino3766:3270
2JuventudeJuventude3749:2668
3Vila NovaVila Nova3753:3866
4CriciumaCriciuma3738:3162
5Fortaleza ECFortaleza EC3744:3362
6CRBCRB3757:5158
7GoiasGoias3739:4158
8Atletico GoianienseAtletico Goianiense3745:3558
9Operario-PROperario-PR3851:5057
10Sport RecifeSport Recife3750:4255
11São BernardoSão Bernardo3854:4453
12Botafogo SPBotafogo SP3745:3951
13Athletic ClubAthletic Club3846:4648
14CuiabaCuiaba3734:3247
15Nautico RecifeNautico Recife3841:5146
16CearaCeara3738:4743
17AvaiAvai3735:4740
18LondrinaLondrina3847:5935
19America MineiroAmerica Mineiro3727:5529
20Ponte PretaPonte Preta3821:8115
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About the Atletico Goianiense vs Fortaleza EC forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage is the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% means strong statistical confidence; 45-65% points to a competitive, open match; below 45% means the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for information and entertainment only.

Atletico Goianiense and Fortaleza EC in the Serie B table

In the Serie B table, Fortaleza EC are 5th and Atletico Goianiense 8th, 4 points apart. League goal record so far: Atletico Goianiense 45-35, Fortaleza EC 44-33. The full standings are on the Serie B Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Fortaleza EC have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.