São Bernardo vs Cuiaba Prediction

Serie BBrazil Brazil · Regular Season - 17
São Bernardo
2-2
Finished
HT 2-2
Cuiaba
Estádio Primeiro de Maio, Sao Bernardo do Campo·Bruno Pereira Vasconcelos, Brazil 12/07/2026
São BernardoSão Bernardo
2-2
Finished
CuiabaCuiaba

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
Value Analysis
70%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.57
SignalGOODModel32%SurpriseMediumGap+10.7%
São Bernardo Rest
5 days
Cuiaba Rest
9 days

São Bernardo vs Cuiaba: the result in context

São Bernardo and Cuiaba drew 2-2 in the Serie B on 12 Jul 2026. Cuiaba had gone in with the better form, having won 3 of their previous five against 1 for São Bernardo.

Cuiaba tend to win more corners, 8.6 a game to 6.2 for São Bernardo.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
40%2.42
X
30%2.90
2
30%3.13
Double Chance
1X
70%1.33
X2
60%1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%2.20
No
50%1.59
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.24 + 1.07 = 2.31
Over 1.5
69%1.57
Over 2.5
43%2.71
Over 3.5
22%5.58
Under 1.5
31%2.29
Under 2.5
57%1.40
Under 3.5
78%1.12
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.2 + 4.2 = 9.4
Over 8.5
59%1.48
Over 9.5
51%1.80
Over 10.5
38%2.27
Under 8.5
41%2.47
Under 9.5
49%1.91
Under 10.5
62%1.55
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.8 + 2.4 = 5.2
Over 3.5
73%-
Over 4.5
54%1.62
Under 3.5
27%-
Under 4.5
46%2.20

Match Events

7'Lucas RianAssist: Dudu Miraima
12'MarlonAssist: Pepe
29'Alex AlvesOG
45'Rodrigo FerreiraAssist: Daniel Amorim
46'Weverson INJean Dias out
58'Echapora INHyoran out
59'Calebe CostaFoul
61'Vinicius Peixoto INH. Pedro out
61'Calebe Costa INDavid Miguel out
74'Lucas Rian INFabricio Daniel out
74'Foguinho IND. Davi out
75'Pepe INRaylan out
80'AugustoArgument
81'Daniel Davi Simão RoqueFoul
88'Dudu Miraima INMarcao Silva out
88'Daniel Amorim INLucas Reis out
89'Kauan Cristtyan INRodrigo Rodrigues out
90+1'Jean DiasFoul

Lineups

São Bernardo
4-2-3-1Coach: Catala Ricardo
Cuiaba
3-4-2-1Coach: Eduardo Barros
Avg rating6.91
Avg rating6.43
Alex Alves6.71A. Alves
Rodrigo Ferreira7.52R. Ferreira
Jemerson7.235Jemerson
Augusto6.297Augusto
Para7.36Para
Dudu Miraima8.226D. Miraima
FoguinhoC6.78Foguinho
Lucas Rian7.97L. Rian
Romisson6.717Romisson
Echapora6.527Echapora
Daniel Amorim6.589D. Amorim
Marcelo Carne6.231M. Carne
Vitor Mendes5.94V. Mendes
Joao Basso5.913J. Basso
Alan EmpereurC6.233A. Empereur
Kauan Cristtyan6.241K. Cristtyan
Calebe Costa6.25C. Costa
Raul6.630Raul
Marlon7.66Marlon
Pepe6.98Pepe
Weverson6.553Weverson
Vinicius Peixoto6.229V. Peixoto

São Bernardo Substitutes

12Junior Oliveira
42Hyoran58'for Echapora6.3
77Marcao Silva88'for Dudu Miraima
3Helder Maciel
10Fabricio Daniel74'for Lucas Rian6.5
25W. Gonzaga
70Lucas Reis88'for Daniel Amorim
37D. Davi74'for Foguinho81'6.5
33Mario Sergio
29Pedrinho
21Hugo Sanches
14Lucas Lima

Cuiaba Substitutes

1Joao Carlos
96H. Pedro61'for Vinicius Peixoto6.2
97Luiz Otavio
27Rodrigo Rodrigues89'for Kauan Cristtyan
91Luis Soares
36Lorenzo
77Jean Dias46'for Weverson90+1'6.3
37Raylan75'for Pepe6.6
14Eric Melo
20David Miguel61'for Calebe Costa6.9

Match Stats

São BernardoCuiaba
73%Ball Possession27%
6Corner Kicks7
2Yellow Cards2
11Total Shots9
3Shots on Goal3
4Shots off Goal4
5Shots Inside Box3
6Shots Outside Box6
4Blocked Shots2
9Fouls15
2Goalkeeper Saves1
609Total Passes212
533Passes Accurate135
88%Pass Accuracy64%

Team Comparison

São BernardoSão Bernardo
CuiabaCuiaba
1618Elo Rating 1583
1.70Attack 0.27
1.46Defense 1.87
50%Hit Rate 0%
11.5Shots per Game 21.1
4.2Shots on Target 5.1
6.2Corners per Game 8.6
2.1Cards per Game 0.5

AI Insights

📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

São BernardoSão Bernardo
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1 vs 0.7 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
CuiabaCuiaba
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.3 vs 0 in second half)

Recent Form

São BernardoSão Bernardo
4W3D3L
07/07/2026
Vila NovaSão Bernardo
21
L
27/06/2026
CriciumaSão Bernardo
10
L21/06/2026
São BernardoJuventude
01
L14/06/2026
São BernardoSport Recife
00
D
07/06/2026
CRBSão Bernardo
23
W
31/05/2026
São BernardoNovorizontino
11
D
24/05/2026
Atletico GoianienseSão Bernardo
01
W
16/05/2026
São BernardoAmerica Mineiro
11
D
13/05/2026
LondrinaSão Bernardo
13
W
03/05/2026
São BernardoPonte Preta
30
W
CuiabaCuiaba
4W4D2L
03/07/2026
CuiabaAmerica Mineiro
10
W26/06/2026
CuiabaLondrina
22
D21/06/2026
AvaiCuiaba
10
L14/06/2026
CuiabaVila Nova
10
W10/06/2026
Ponte PretaCuiaba
12
W
01/06/2026
CuiabaCRB
20
W
23/05/2026
Nautico RecifeCuiaba
10
L
17/05/2026
CuiabaNovorizontino
00
D
09/05/2026
Athletic ClubCuiaba
00
D
02/05/2026
CuiabaCriciuma
11
D

Referee Profile

Bruno Pereira Vasconcelos94 matches

5.40Cards per match
5.15Yellow cards per match
0.25Red cards per match
25.8Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Bruno Pereira Vasconcelos5.40
Other referees5.22

5.40 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.22).

Cards come from 52 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Serie B 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1NovorizontinoNovorizontino372010766:32+3470WWWDW
2JuventudeJuventude371911749:26+2368WDWDD
3Vila NovaVila Nova37199953:38+1566WDLDW
4CriciumaCriciuma371881138:31+762LWLWW
5Fortaleza ECFortaleza EC371614744:33+1162LDDWD
6CRBCRB371771357:51+658WLWLD
7GoiasGoias371771339:41-258WWWDW
8Atletico GoianienseAtletico Goianiense371513945:35+1058WDLDD
9Sport RecifeSport Recife3714131050:42+855LDWLD
10Operario-PROperario-PR371591349:50-154WLWLL
11São BernardoSão Bernardo3714101352:42+1052LWWLD
12Botafogo SPBotafogo SP371491445:39+651WDWWW
13CuiabaCuiaba3711141234:32+247LLLLL
14Athletic ClubAthletic Club3711141244:44047LWLDD
15Nautico RecifeNautico Recife3712101540:49-946LWLDL
16CearaCeara3711101638:47-943LLLDL
17AvaiAvai371171935:47-1240WLLDW
18LondrinaLondrina37882145:58-1332LLLWD
19America MineiroAmerica Mineiro37852427:55-2829WWWWL
20Ponte PretaPonte Preta37362821:79-5815LLDDL
#TeamMPGPts
1NovorizontinoNovorizontino3766:3270
2JuventudeJuventude3749:2668
3Vila NovaVila Nova3753:3866
4CriciumaCriciuma3738:3162
5Fortaleza ECFortaleza EC3744:3362
6CRBCRB3757:5158
7GoiasGoias3739:4158
8Atletico GoianienseAtletico Goianiense3745:3558
9Sport RecifeSport Recife3750:4255
10Operario-PROperario-PR3749:5054
11São BernardoSão Bernardo3752:4252
12Botafogo SPBotafogo SP3745:3951
13CuiabaCuiaba3734:3247
14Athletic ClubAthletic Club3744:4447
15Nautico RecifeNautico Recife3740:4946
16CearaCeara3738:4743
17AvaiAvai3735:4740
18LondrinaLondrina3745:5832
19America MineiroAmerica Mineiro3727:5529
20Ponte PretaPonte Preta3721:7915
PromotionRelegation

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About the São Bernardo vs Cuiaba forecast

The forecasts for this Serie B match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

São Bernardo and Cuiaba in the Serie B table

São Bernardo and Cuiaba are close in the Serie B table, 11th and 13th, with 5 points between them. League goal record so far: São Bernardo 52-42, Cuiaba 34-32. The full standings are on the Serie B Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

São Bernardo and Cuiaba have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.