Seattle Sounders vs Austin Prediction

Major League SoccerUSA USA · Regular Season - 20
Seattle Sounders
1-2
Finished
HT 0-0
Austin
Lumen Field, Seattle· A. Chapman 20/08/2026
Seattle SoundersSeattle Sounders
1-2
Finished
AustinAustin

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
60%Trust
BTTS
Both Teams to Score
1.57
SignalSOLIDModel52%RiskMediumGap-3.8%
Value Analysis
67%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 3.5 Goals
1.56
SignalGOODModel49%RiskMediumGap+6.8%
Seattle Sounders Rest
2 days
Austin Rest
3 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
53%1.65
X
23%4.05
2
24%4.60
Double Chance
1X
76%1.18
X2
47%2.20
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%1.57
No
40%2.26
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.57 + 1.07 = 2.64
Over 1.5
77%1.17
Over 2.5
56%1.54
Over 3.5
34%2.39
Under 1.5
23%4.92
Under 2.5
44%2.40
Under 3.5
66%1.56
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.4 + 4.4 = 9.8
Over 8.5
65%1.32
Over 9.5
47%1.54
Over 10.5
34%1.91
Under 8.5
35%2.96
Under 9.5
53%2.26
Under 10.5
66%1.80
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.3 + 2.4 = 4.7
Over 3.5
63%1.65
Over 4.5
42%-
Under 3.5
37%2.15
Under 4.5
58%-

Match Events

46'S. Gomez INS. Brunell out
48'K. Kossa-Rienzi
59'C. Fodrey INGuilherme Biro out
66'F. TorresAssist: Z. Kolmanic
69'J. Ragen INS. Hawkins out
71'P. Placheta INM. Desler out
71'J. Nelson INE. Torres out
76'P. Kingston INO. De Rosario out
79'Z. Kolmanic INM. Djordjevic out
79'I. Sanchez INB. Sabovic out
87'Guilherme BiroAssist: B. Vazquez
88'Nouhou INR. Jauregui out
90'S. HawkinsAssist: A. Rusnak

Lineups

Seattle Sounders
4-2-3-1Coach: Brian Schmetzer
Austin
3-4-2-1
Andrew Thomas26A. ThomasAndrew Thomas
Kalani Kossa-Rienzi85K. Kossa-RienziKalani Kossa-Rienzi
Kim Kee-hee20K. Kee-heeKim Kee-hee
Jackson Ragen25J. RagenJackson Ragen
Nouhou Tolo5N. ToloNouhou Tolo
Alex Roldán16A. RoldánAlex Roldán
Peter Kingston45P. KingstonPeter Kingston
Sebastian Gomez90S. GomezSebastian Gomez
Albert Rusnák11A. RusnákAlbert Rusnák
Paul Rothrock14P. RothrockPaul Rothrock
Daniel Musovski19D. MusovskiDaniel Musovski
Damian Las12D. LasDamian Las
Brendan Hines-Ike4B. Hines-IkeBrendan Hines-Ike
Jonathan Bell15J. BellJonathan Bell
Žan Kolmanič23Ž. KolmaničŽan Kolmanič
Przemysław Płacheta77P. PłachetaPrzemysław Płacheta
Ilie Sánchez6I. SánchezIlie Sánchez
Jorge Alastuey24J. AlastueyJorge Alastuey
Calvin Fodrey19C. FodreyCalvin Fodrey
Facundo Torres11F. TorresFacundo Torres
Jayden Nelson7J. NelsonJayden Nelson
Brandon Vázquez9B. VázquezBrandon Vázquez

Seattle Sounders Substitutes

37Snyder BrunellM
39Stuart HawkinsD
95Osaze De RosarioF
42Rafael JaureguiM
24Stefan FreiG
35Antino LopezD
4Ryan SailorD
84Charlie GaffneyM
32Xavi GnaulatiM

Austin Substitutes

29Guilherme BiroD
3Mikkel DeslerD
38Ervin TorresM
35Mateja ĐorđevićD
14Besard SabovićM
1Brad StuverG
2Riley ThomasD
32Micah BurtonM

Match Stats

Seattle SoundersAustin
46%Ball Possession54%
7Corner Kicks5
1Yellow Cards0
19Total Shots12
7Shots on Goal7
6Shots off Goal4
12Shots Inside Box7
7Shots Outside Box5
6Blocked Shots1
10Fouls9
0Offsides1
5Goalkeeper Saves6
454Total Passes561
382Passes Accurate486
84%Pass Accuracy87%

Team Comparison

Seattle SoundersSeattle Sounders
AustinAustin
1559Elo Rating 1584
0.97Attack 1.29
1.89Defense 1.86
0%Hit Rate 44%
15.4Shots per Game 9.6
5.6Shots on Target 2.2
5.3Corners per Game 4.8
1.2Cards per Game 2.6

AI Insights

📉Home Underperforming
📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

Seattle SoundersSeattle Sounders
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.8 vs 0.2 in first half)
AustinAustin
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0.4 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Based on 5 historical meetings

Seattle Sounders 36%Draw 14%50% Austin
2.32Avg Goals
50%BTTS Rate
50%Over 2.5

Recent Form

Seattle SoundersSeattle Sounders
1W0D4L
17/08/2026
Seattle SoundersVancouver Whitecaps
02
L
13/08/2026
Seattle SoundersGuadalajara Chivas
12
L
09/08/2026
Seattle SoundersClub Queretaro
30
W
06/08/2026
TolucaSeattle Sounders
30
L
02/08/2026
Portland TimbersSeattle Sounders
21
L
AustinAustin
3W0D2L
17/08/2026
AustinFC Dallas
12
L
14/08/2026
Club AmericaAustin
5161
W
10/08/2026
AustinPuebla
30
W
07/08/2026
AustinClub Tijuana
20
W
02/08/2026
Colorado RapidsAustin
10
L

Referee Profile

A. Chapman · 103 matches analysed

3.6Avg Yellows
3.7Avg Cards
21.9Avg Fouls
Stricter than 8% of referees analysed

League Table

Major League Soccer 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver Whitecaps25154656:23+3349WLWLW
2Houston DynamoHouston Dynamo26135834:30+444DLWDD
3St. Louis CitySt. Louis City26128645:36+944WWDWD
4FC DallasFC Dallas26128649:42+744DWWWD
5San Jose EarthquakesSan Jose Earthquakes26126846:38+842DWWDD
6Los Angeles FCLos Angeles FC27118843:29+1441DLWDD
7Colorado RapidsColorado Rapids261131236:35+136DWDLW
8Los Angeles GalaxyLos Angeles Galaxy27891034:42-833WDLWL
9Portland TimbersPortland Timbers26951247:48-132LLDWL
10San DiegoSan Diego26871144:44031DLLLW
11AustinAustin26791032:44-1230DWDDW
12Real Salt LakeReal Salt Lake25851237:42-529LLLDL
13Seattle SoundersSeattle Sounders2478928:33-529DDDDD
14Minnesota United FCMinnesota United FC26781139:46-729LLLLD
15Sporting Kansas CitySporting Kansas City25531729:63-3418LWLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver Whitecaps2556:2349
2Houston DynamoHouston Dynamo2634:3044
3St. Louis CitySt. Louis City2645:3644
4FC DallasFC Dallas2649:4244
5San Jose EarthquakesSan Jose Earthquakes2646:3842
6Los Angeles FCLos Angeles FC2743:2941
7Colorado RapidsColorado Rapids2636:3536
8Los Angeles GalaxyLos Angeles Galaxy2734:4233
9Portland TimbersPortland Timbers2647:4832
10San DiegoSan Diego2644:4431
11AustinAustin2632:4430
12Real Salt LakeReal Salt Lake2537:4229
13Seattle SoundersSeattle Sounders2428:3329
14Minnesota United FCMinnesota United FC2639:4629
15Sporting Kansas CitySporting Kansas City2529:6318
Promotion

Seattle Sounders vs Austin Prediction

Our AI model has analysed this Major League Soccer fixture using team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history. The forecasts cover six independent markets - each probability is a separate model calculation, not derived from the match winner result.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

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Key Factors for This Match

Seattle Sounders and Austin have met 5 times recently, averaging 2.32 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.