Auxerre vs Nice Prediction
France · Regular Season - 4
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.5 / 10
Value Analysis
57%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 2.5 Goals
1.90
SignalNEUTRALModel57%SurpriseMediumGap+5.9%
Auxerre Rest
8 days
Nice Rest
7 days
Match Forecasts
Match Result
128%2.88
X32%3.30
240%2.49
Double Chance
1X60%1.50
X272%1.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes48%1.68
No52%2.07
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.28 + 1.18 = 2.46
Over 1.573%1.29
Over 2.543%1.94
Over 3.519%3.25
Under 1.527%3.45
Under 2.557%1.90
Under 3.581%1.33
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.5 + 4.6 = 10.1
Over 8.566%1.36
Over 9.555%1.64
Over 10.548%2.02
Under 8.534%2.70
Under 9.545%2.08
Under 10.552%1.68
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.7 + 1.6 = 3.3
Over 3.542%1.60
Over 4.524%2.20
Under 3.558%2.25
Under 4.576%1.63
Match Events
44'Kevin DanoisFoul
71'Remy Labeau Lascary INRomain Faivre out
72'Niels Nkounkou INAli Abdi out
74'Djibril CoulibalyFoul
74'Cameron ArcherAssist: Christ Makosso
81'Danny Namaso INNaouirou Ahamada out
82'Arthur Piedfort INPierre Ekwah out
86'Sepe Elye Wahi INSofiane Diop out
86'Mohamed Amoura INNathan Ngoumou out
86'Axel Witsel INHicham Boudaoui out
86'Mohamed Abdelmoneim INIsak Jansson out
87'Cameron Archer INRayan Mandengue out
Lineups
AuxerreNice
3-4-2-1Coach: O. PantaloniAvg ratingAvg rating
23M. Diop
15C. Makosso
4A. Tuanzebe
92C. Akpa
27L. Sy
46A. Piedfort
5K. Danois
22F. Oppegård
10D. Namaso
9C. Archer
3R. Labeau Lascary
23Y. Diouf
5M. Abdelmonem
55Y. Ndayishimiye
35X. Mandza Tsiendi
92J. Clauss
39D. Coulibaly
28A. Witsel
27N. Nkounkou
7G. Hein
11E. Wahi
9M. AmouraAuxerre Substitutes
35E. Legros
1P. Nardi
77Aristide Zossou
8N. Ahamada81'for Danny Namaso
20S. Diomandé
34L. Dioubate
17P. Ekwah82'for Arthur Piedfort
21R. Faivre71'for Remy Labeau Lascary
32R. Mandengue87'for Cameron Archer
Nice Substitutes
87E. Pereira
6H. Boudaoui86'for Axel Witsel
77T. Boulhendi
38A. Camara
10S. Diop86'for Sepe Elye Wahi
2A. Abdi72'for Niels Nkounkou
21I. Jansson86'for Mohamed Abdelmoneim
41D. Morana
29N. Ngoumou86'for Mohamed Amoura
Match Stats
AuxerreNice 30%Ball Possession70%
3Corner Kicks8
1Yellow Cards1
11Total Shots12
7Shots on Goal4
3Shots off Goal5
11Shots Inside Box7
0Shots Outside Box5
1Blocked Shots3
9Fouls7
0Offsides3
4Goalkeeper Saves4
302Total Passes695
207Passes Accurate611
69%Pass Accuracy88%
Team Comparison
AuxerreNice1689Elo Rating 1757
1.53Attack 2.61
0.42Defense 1.54
34%Hit Rate 81%
10.7Shots per Game 12.2
4.2Shots on Target 5.1
4.3Corners per Game 5.2
2.1Cards per Game 3.6
AI Insights
📈BTTS Trend86% in H2H
📊Away Overperforming
Game State Tendencies
Auxerre- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
- Scores more in 2nd half (1.2 vs 0.4 in first half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Nice- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
- Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Head to Head
Last 7 meetings, all competitions
Auxerre2Wins · 29%Draws457%
Nice1Wins · 14%
1Wins · 14%2.3Avg Goals
86%Both teams scored6 of 7
43%3+ goals3 of 7
Previous meetings
10/05/2026AuxerreNice21
23/08/2025NiceAuxerre31
14/03/2025NiceAuxerre11
18/08/2024AuxerreNice21
06/01/2024NiceAuxerre4020
03/03/2023NiceAuxerre11
16/10/2022AuxerreNice11
Recent Form
Auxerre4W2D4L
04/09/2026
LyonAuxerreAuxerre
Angers
LensAuxerre
LyonAuxerre31
L29/08/2026AuxerreAngers13
L22/08/2026LensAuxerre52
L08/08/2026Auxerre
Estac Troyes
AuxerreEstac Troyes11
D01/08/2026
SochauxAuxerre
SochauxAuxerre11
D25/07/2026Auxerre
Orleans
AuxerreOrleans12
L18/07/2026Auxerre
St Maur Lusitanos
AuxerreSt Maur Lusitanos52
W17/05/2026
LilleAuxerre
LilleAuxerre02
W10/05/2026AuxerreNice
AuxerreNice21
W03/05/2026AuxerreAngers
AuxerreAngers31
WNice2W5D3L
05/09/2026Nice
Le Mans
Paris FCNiceNice
Lorient
NiceLe Mans11
D30/08/2026Paris FCNice30
L22/08/2026NiceLorient00
D15/08/2026
Hull CityNice
Hull CityNice00
D08/08/2026
CagliariNice
CagliariNice0000
D31/07/2026
JuventusNice
JuventusNice20
L18/07/2026Nice
Nimes
NiceNimes40
W29/05/2026Nice
Saint Etienne
NiceSaint Etienne41
W26/05/2026Saint EtienneNice
Saint EtienneNice00
D22/05/2026LensNice
LensNice31
LReferee Profile
4.27Cards per match
4.02Yellow cards per match
0.24Red cards per match
23.1Fouls per match
Compared with other referees
4.27 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.04).
Cards come from 221 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Paris Saint Germain | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 22:10 | +12 | 23 | WWWWW |
| 2 | Lille | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 14:7 | +7 | 21 | WWDDW |
| 3 | Paris FC | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 17:10 | +7 | 20 | WWLWL |
| 4 | Lyon | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 15:9 | +6 | 17 | LWLWL |
| 5 | Nice | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 15:12 | +3 | 17 | WWWLW |
| 6 |  Monaco | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 13:11 | +2 | 16 | DLDLD |
| 7 |  Rennes | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 21:21 | 0 | 16 | LLWLW |
| 8 |  Marseille | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 20:13 | +7 | 15 | WWWWL |
| 9 |  Stade Brestois 29 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 18:12 | +6 | 15 | WWLDW |
| 10 | Lorient | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 9:8 | +1 | 15 | WLDWW |
| 11 | Lens | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 16:13 | +3 | 13 | LWWWL |
| 12 |  Toulouse | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 15:14 | +1 | 13 | WLDWD |
| 13 |  Strasbourg | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 18:22 | -4 | 10 | LWLLL |
| 14 | Auxerre | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 13:24 | -11 | 10 | LLDWL |
| 15 | Le Mans | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 12:19 | -7 | 8 | DLDLL |
| 16 | Angers | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 9:19 | -10 | 8 | LLDLL |
| 17 | Estac Troyes | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 7:17 | -10 | 8 | LWDLL |
| 18 |  Le Havre | 10 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 9:22 | -13 | 2 | LLLLL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paris Saint Germain | 10 | 22:10 | 23 |
| 2 | Lille | 10 | 14:7 | 21 |
| 3 | Paris FC | 10 | 17:10 | 20 |
| 4 | Lyon | 10 | 15:9 | 17 |
| 5 | Nice | 10 | 15:12 | 17 |
| 6 | Monaco | 10 | 13:11 | 16 |
| 7 | Rennes | 10 | 21:21 | 16 |
| 8 | Marseille | 9 | 20:13 | 15 |
| 9 | Stade Brestois 29 | 10 | 18:12 | 15 |
| 10 | Lorient | 10 | 9:8 | 15 |
| 11 | Lens | 9 | 16:13 | 13 |
| 12 | Toulouse | 10 | 15:14 | 13 |
| 13 | Strasbourg | 10 | 18:22 | 10 |
| 14 | Auxerre | 10 | 13:24 | 10 |
| 15 | Le Mans | 10 | 12:19 | 8 |
| 16 | Angers | 10 | 9:19 | 8 |
| 17 | Estac Troyes | 10 | 7:17 | 8 |
| 18 | Le Havre | 10 | 9:22 | 2 |
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About the Auxerre vs Nice forecast
The forecasts for this Ligue 1 match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Auxerre and Nice in the Ligue 1 table
In the Ligue 1 table, Nice are 5th and Auxerre 14th, 7 points apart. League goal record so far: Auxerre 13-24, Nice 15-12. The full standings are on the Ligue 1 Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.