Nice vs Le Mans Prediction

Nice
1-1
Finished
HT 1-1
Le Mans
Allianz Riviera, Nice·J. Pignard 05/09/2026
NiceNice
1-1
Finished
Le MansLe Mans

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.5 / 10
Value Analysis
69%Trust
Corners Total
Corners Under 10.5
1.67
SignalGOODModel53%SurpriseMediumGap+13.5%
Nice Rest
6 days
Le Mans Rest
6 days

Nice vs Le Mans: the result in context

Nice and Le Mans drew 1-1 in the Ligue 1 on 5 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Nice tend to win more corners, 5.2 a game to 2.0 for Le Mans.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
54%1.85
X
27%3.65
2
19%4.20
Double Chance
1X
81%1.22
X2
46%1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%1.74
No
47%2.01
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.43 + 1.09 = 2.52
Over 1.5
72%1.27
Over 2.5
48%1.85
Over 3.5
19%3.12
Under 1.5
28%3.56
Under 2.5
52%1.97
Under 3.5
81%1.35
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.2 + 4.1 = 9.3
Over 8.5
57%1.40
Over 9.5
47%1.70
Over 10.5
31%2.09
Under 8.5
43%2.65
Under 9.5
53%2.05
Under 10.5
69%1.67
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.1 + 2.1 = 4.2
Over 3.5
60%1.50
Over 4.5
41%1.96
Under 3.5
40%2.42
Under 4.5
59%1.75

Match Events

13'Adil BourabaaAssist: Jean Vercruysse
44'Sepe Elye WahiAssist: Sofiane Diop
58'Alexandre LaurayFoul
61'Raul Torrente Navarro INSamuel Yohou out
61'Jean Vercruysse INAntoine Rabillard out
61'Dame Gueye INHabib Diallo out
65'Nathan Ngoumou INGauthier Hein out
65'Sofiane Diop INMohamed Amoura out
70'Adil Bourabaa INBilal Brahimi out
73'Axel Witsel INAntoine Mendy out
73'Niels Nkounkou INAli Abdi out
75'Youssouf NdayishimiyeFoul
78'Lucas Calodat INYasser Larouci out
82'Noa BoisséFoul
84'Sepe Elye WahiArgument
85'Jonathan Clauss INAboulaye Camara out

Lineups

Nice
3-4-2-1Coach: O. Pantaloni
Le Mans
3-1-4-2Coach: P. Videira
Avg rating6.55
Avg rating6.58
Y. Diouf6.123Y. Diouf
Mohamed Abdelmonem7.05M. Abdelmonem
Y. Ndayishimiye6.055Y. Ndayishimiye
X. Mandza Tsiendi7.035X. Mandza Tsiendi
J. Clauss6.492J. Clauss
D. Coulibaly6.739D. Coulibaly
A. Witsel6.228A. Witsel
N. Nkounkou6.827N. Nkounkou
N. Ngoumou6.529N. Ngoumou
S. Diop6.910S. Diop
E. Wahi7.611E. Wahi
E. Hatfout6.71E. Hatfout
N. Boissé6.115N. Boissé
Raúl Torrente6.516R. Torrente
H. Voyer6.95H. Voyer
A. Lauray6.58A. Lauray
R. Bamba6.226R. Bamba
A. Bourabaa7.711A. Bourabaa
J. Vercruysse7.110J. Vercruysse
L. Calodat6.822L. Calodat
L. Mafouta6.414L. Mafouta
D. Guèye5.925D. Guèye

Nice Substitutes

9M. Amoura65'for Sofiane Diop6.6
77T. Boulhendi
38A. Camara85'for Jonathan Clauss5.9
2A. Abdi73'for Niels Nkounkou6.3
7G. Hein65'for Nathan Ngoumou6.6
21I. Jansson
33A. Mendy73'for Axel Witsel6.3
41D. Morana
87E. Pereira

Le Mans Substitutes

23D. Traoré
9A. Rabillard61'for Jean Vercruysse6.9
76Y. Larouci78'for Lucas Calodat6.3
13H. Diallo61'for Dame Gueye6.4
55A. Delbecque
18L. Buadés
29L. Bretelle
7B. Brahimi70'for Adil Bourabaa6.7
17S. Yohou61'for Raul Torrente Navarro6.3

Match Stats

NiceLe Mans
58%Ball Possession42%
5Corner Kicks2
2Yellow Cards2
8Total Shots8
2Shots on Goal3
4Shots off Goal4
5Shots Inside Box2
3Shots Outside Box6
2Blocked Shots1
4Fouls11
3Offsides1
2Goalkeeper Saves1
541Total Passes387
471Passes Accurate314
87%Pass Accuracy81%

Team Comparison

NiceNice
Le MansLe Mans
1757Elo Rating 1640
2.61Attack 0.68
1.54Defense 1.01
81%Hit Rate 14%
12.2Shots per Game 8.8
5.1Shots on Target 2.2
5.2Corners per Game 2.0
3.6Cards per Game 3.2

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+116 Elo
📊Home Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

NiceNice
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Le MansLe Mans
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.5 vs 0.1 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Recent Form

NiceNice
2W5D3L
30/08/2026
Paris FCNice
30
L
22/08/2026
NiceLorient
00
D
15/08/2026
Hull CityNice
00
D
08/08/2026
CagliariNice
0000
D
31/07/2026
JuventusNice
20
L
18/07/2026
NiceNimes
40
W
29/05/2026
NiceSaint Etienne
41
W
26/05/2026
Saint EtienneNice
00
D
22/05/2026
LensNice
31
L
17/05/2026
NiceMetz
00
D
Le MansLe Mans
4W3D3L
30/08/2026
RennesLe Mans
32
L
22/08/2026
Le MansStade Brestois 29
22
D
15/08/2026
Le MansLe Havre
01
L
08/08/2026
Le MansUNFP
11
D
01/08/2026
AngersLe Mans
23
W
25/07/2026
Le MansNantes
10
W
22/07/2026
Le MansVersailles
31
W
18/07/2026
Le MansLa Roche VF
23
L
09/05/2026
BastiaLe Mans
02
W
02/05/2026
Le MansReims
11
D

Referee Profile

J. Pignard162 matches

4.42Cards per match
4.14Yellow cards per match
0.28Red cards per match
22.4Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

J. Pignard4.41
Other referees3.92

4.41 cards a match, 0.49 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.92).

Cards come from 153 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Ligue 1 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Paris Saint GermainParis Saint Germain1072122:10+1223WWWWW
2LilleLille1063114:7+721WWDDW
3Paris FCParis FC1062217:10+720WWLWL
4MarseilleMarseille1060422:14+818WWWWW
5LyonLyon1052315:9+617LWLWL
6NiceNice1052315:12+317WWWLW
7MonacoMonaco1044213:11+216DLDLD
8RennesRennes1051421:21016LLWLW
9Stade Brestois 29Stade Brestois 291043318:12+615WWLDW
10LorientLorient104339:8+115WLDWW
11LensLens1041517:15+213LLWWW
12ToulouseToulouse1034315:14+113WLDWD
13StrasbourgStrasbourg1031618:22-410LWLLL
14AuxerreAuxerre1031613:24-1110LLDWL
15Le MansLe Mans1015412:19-78DLDLL
16AngersAngers102269:19-108LLDLL
17Estac TroyesEstac Troyes102267:17-108LWDLL
18Le HavreLe Havre100289:22-132LLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Paris Saint GermainParis Saint Germain1022:1023
2LilleLille1014:721
3Paris FCParis FC1017:1020
4MarseilleMarseille1022:1418
5LyonLyon1015:917
6NiceNice1015:1217
7MonacoMonaco1013:1116
8RennesRennes1021:2116
9Stade Brestois 29Stade Brestois 291018:1215
10LorientLorient109:815
11LensLens1017:1513
12ToulouseToulouse1015:1413
13StrasbourgStrasbourg1018:2210
14AuxerreAuxerre1013:2410
15Le MansLe Mans1012:198
16AngersAngers109:198
17Estac TroyesEstac Troyes107:178
18Le HavreLe Havre109:222
Champions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation

About the Nice vs Le Mans forecast

The forecasts for this Ligue 1 match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Nice and Le Mans in the Ligue 1 table

In the Ligue 1 table, Nice are 6th and Le Mans 15th, 9 points apart. League goal record so far: Nice 15-12, Le Mans 12-19. The full standings are on the Ligue 1 Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Nice and Le Mans have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.