Strasbourg vs Monaco Prediction

Strasbourg
1-1
Finished
HT 0-0
Monaco
Stade de la Meinau, Strasbourg·Eric Wattellier 12/09/2026
StrasbourgStrasbourg
1-1
Finished
MonacoMonaco

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.5 / 10
AI Best Pick
68%Trust
BTTS
Both Teams to Score
1.46
SignalSOLIDModel44%SurpriseMediumGap-0.2%
Value Analysis
61%Trust
Home Corners
Home Corners Over 4.5
1.93
SignalSOLIDModel61%SurpriseMediumGap+11.0%
Strasbourg Rest
6 days
Monaco Rest
7 days

Strasbourg vs Monaco: the result in context

Strasbourg and Monaco drew 1-1 in the Ligue 1 on 12 Sep 2026. Monaco had gone in with the better form, having won 5 of their previous five against 3 for Strasbourg.

Monaco have had the better of this fixture, winning 6 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 3.7 goals a game. Referee Eric Wattellier averages 3.06 cards a game, 0.90 fewer than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
34%3.30
X
26%3.88
2
40%2.07
Double Chance
1X
60%1.75
X2
66%1.34
Both Teams to Score
Yes
68%1.46
No
32%2.52
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.49 + 1.46 = 2.95
Over 1.5
83%1.14
Over 2.5
62%1.53
Over 3.5
38%2.37
Under 1.5
17%4.92
Under 2.5
38%2.45
Under 3.5
62%1.62
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.8 + 4.3 = 9.2
Over 8.5
51%1.53
Over 9.5
43%1.97
Over 10.5
31%2.45
Under 8.5
49%2.31
Under 9.5
57%1.81
Under 10.5
69%1.48
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.6 + 1.8 = 3.5
Over 3.5
45%1.98
Over 4.5
27%3.14
Under 3.5
55%1.77
Under 4.5
73%1.33

Match Events

22'Anis Soubeir INMatthis Abline out
45'Diogo Sousa INDario Essugo out
52'Sadibou SaneOG
69'Jacobo Ortega INConrad Harder out
71'Paris BrunnerAssist: Lamine Camara
72'Stanis Idumbo INMathys Detourbet out
78'Pape Demba DiopFoul
81'Giovanni Reyna INSamir El-Mourabet out
82'Sebastian Nanasi INSamuel Amo-Ameyaw out
90'Aleksandr GolovinDissent
90+2'Gessime Yassine INAbdoul Karim Coulibaly out

Lineups

Strasbourg
4-3-3Coach: Hugo Oliveira
Monaco
4-2-3-1Coach: Filipe Luís
Avg rating6.65
Avg rating6.89
F. Jörgensen6.61F. Jörgensen
G. Antwi6.716G. Antwi
J. Mitchell7.04J. Mitchell
I. Doukouré6.96I. Doukouré
Oso7.036Oso
Gessime Yassine6.480G. Yassine
P. Diop7.121P. Diop
G. Reyna6.710G. Reyna
Diogo Sousa6.623D. Sousa
J. Ortega6.530J. Ortega
S. Nanasi6.411S. Nanasi
L. Hrádecký6.51L. Hrádecký
Vanderson6.92Vanderson
Sadibou Sané6.272S. Sané
E. Dier7.215E. Dier
Flávio Nazinho6.820F. Nazinho
L. Camara7.78L. Camara
D. Zakaria7.06D. Zakaria
A. Soubeir6.446A. Soubeir
A. Golovin7.110A. Golovin
S. Idumbo-Muzambo6.717S. Idumbo-Muzambo
Paris Josua  Brunner8.229P. Josua Brunner

Strasbourg Substitutes

12M. Piekutowski
24L. Høgsberg
31Abdoul Karim Coulibaly90+2'for Gessime Yassine
28Tyrese Noubissie
14Dário Essugo45'for Diogo Sousa6.8
29S. El Mourabet81'for Giovanni Reyna6.4
45B. Brantlind
7S. Amo-Ameyaw82'for Sebastian Nanasi6.5
40C. Harder69'for Jacobo Ortega6.2

Monaco Substitutes

13C. Mawissa Elebi
16P. Köhn
7M. Detourbet72'for Stanis Idumbo6.5
19Pape Cabral
14M. Biereth
47S. Benzahra
11M. Abline22'for Anis Soubeir6.4
22M. Salisu
49I. Touré

Match Stats

StrasbourgMonaco
44%Ball Possession56%
2Corner Kicks7
1Yellow Cards1
13Total Shots12
2Shots on Goal3
8Shots off Goal6
6Shots Inside Box7
7Shots Outside Box5
3Blocked Shots3
9Fouls10
0Offsides3
2Goalkeeper Saves2
441Total Passes562
370Passes Accurate510
84%Pass Accuracy91%

Team Comparison

StrasbourgStrasbourg
MonacoMonaco
1744Elo Rating 1867
1.72Attack 1.46
0.60Defense 1.98
23%Hit Rate 44%
13.5Shots per Game 11.7
5.0Shots on Target 3.9
3.3Corners per Game 4.0
1.9Cards per Game 2.4

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy2.95 goals
📈BTTS Trend60% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

StrasbourgStrasbourg
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.2 vs 0.5 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
MonacoMonaco
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1 vs 0.4 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

StrasbourgStrasbourg3Wins · 30%
Draws110%
MonacoMonaco6Wins · 60%
3.7Avg Goals
60%Both teams scored6 of 10
70%3+ goals7 of 10

Previous meetings

Ligue 117/05/2026
StrasbourgMonaco
54
Coupe de France05/02/2026
StrasbourgMonaco
31
Ligue 131/08/2025
MonacoStrasbourg
32
Ligue 119/04/2025
MonacoStrasbourg
00
Ligue 109/11/2024
StrasbourgMonaco
13
Ligue 110/03/2024
StrasbourgMonaco
01
Ligue 120/08/2023
MonacoStrasbourg
30
Ligue 102/04/2023
MonacoStrasbourg
43
Ligue 106/08/2022
StrasbourgMonaco
12
Ligue 113/03/2022
StrasbourgMonaco
10

Recent Form

StrasbourgStrasbourg
4W0D6L
06/09/2026
Estac TroyesStrasbourg
26
W
29/08/2026
StrasbourgLens
21
W
21/08/2026
MarseilleStrasbourg
40
L
16/08/2026
NewcastleStrasbourg
2131
W
08/08/2026
SC FreiburgStrasbourg
20
L
04/08/2026
StrasbourgSV Elversberg
25
L
01/08/2026
BrightonStrasbourg
43
L
25/07/2026
StrasbourgBlackburn
02
L
20/07/2026
Sporting CPStrasbourg
70
L
17/05/2026
StrasbourgMonaco
54
W
MonacoMonaco
7W1D2L
04/09/2026
Paris Saint GermainMonaco
12
W
30/08/2026
MonacoMarseille
20
W
27/08/2026
MonacoGornik Zabrze
41
W
23/08/2026
Le HavreMonaco
01
W
20/08/2026
Gornik ZabrzeMonaco
23
W
14/08/2026
CoventryMonaco
20
L
09/08/2026
LiverpoolMonaco
23
W
06/08/2026
MonacoGetafe
10
W
31/07/2026
MonacoCercle Brugge
22
D
25/07/2026
Sporting CPMonaco
20
L

Referee Profile

Eric Wattellier153 matches

3.06Cards per match
2.89Yellow cards per match
0.17Red cards per match
20.8Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Eric Wattellier3.06
Other referees3.96

3.06 cards a match, 0.90 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.96).

Cards come from 149 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Ligue 1 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Paris Saint GermainParis Saint Germain1072122:10+1223WWWWW
2LilleLille1063114:7+721WWDDW
3Paris FCParis FC1062217:10+720WWLWL
4LyonLyon1052315:9+617LWLWL
5NiceNice1052315:12+317WWWLW
6MonacoMonaco1044213:11+216DLDLD
7RennesRennes1051421:21016LLWLW
8MarseilleMarseille950420:13+715WWWWL
9Stade Brestois 29Stade Brestois 291043318:12+615WWLDW
10LorientLorient104339:8+115WLDWW
11LensLens941416:13+313LWWWL
12ToulouseToulouse1034315:14+113WLDWD
13StrasbourgStrasbourg1031618:22-410LWLLL
14AuxerreAuxerre1031613:24-1110LLDWL
15Le MansLe Mans1015412:19-78DLDLL
16AngersAngers102269:19-108LLDLL
17Estac TroyesEstac Troyes102267:17-108LWDLL
18Le HavreLe Havre100289:22-132LLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Paris Saint GermainParis Saint Germain1022:1023
2LilleLille1014:721
3Paris FCParis FC1017:1020
4LyonLyon1015:917
5NiceNice1015:1217
6MonacoMonaco1013:1116
7RennesRennes1021:2116
8MarseilleMarseille920:1315
9Stade Brestois 29Stade Brestois 291018:1215
10LorientLorient109:815
11LensLens916:1313
12ToulouseToulouse1015:1413
13StrasbourgStrasbourg1018:2210
14AuxerreAuxerre1013:2410
15Le MansLe Mans1012:198
16AngersAngers109:198
17Estac TroyesEstac Troyes107:178
18Le HavreLe Havre109:222
Champions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation

About the Strasbourg vs Monaco forecast

The forecasts for this Ligue 1 match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Strasbourg and Monaco in the Ligue 1 table

In the Ligue 1 table, Monaco are 6th and Strasbourg 13th, 6 points apart. League goal record so far: Strasbourg 18-22, Monaco 13-11. The full standings are on the Ligue 1 Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.