Lorient vs Toulouse Prediction
France · Regular Season - 4
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.5 / 10
Value Analysis
65%Trust
Total Cards
Cards Under 4.5
1.59
SignalSOLIDModel65%SurpriseMediumGap+3.2%
Lorient Rest
7 days
Toulouse Rest
9 days
Match Forecasts
Match Result
137%2.40
X28%3.30
235%3.00
Double Chance
1X65%1.39
X263%1.55
Both Teams to Score
Yes56%1.65
No44%2.15
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.58 + 1.15 = 2.73
Over 1.575%1.27
Over 2.555%1.89
Over 3.532%3.15
Under 1.525%3.56
Under 2.545%1.96
Under 3.568%1.35
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.4 + 4.3 = 9.7
Over 8.561%1.55
Over 9.552%1.99
Over 10.538%2.50
Under 8.539%2.31
Under 9.548%1.80
Under 10.562%1.47
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.6 + 2.3 = 3.9
Over 3.555%1.73
Over 4.535%2.25
Under 3.545%2.00
Under 4.565%1.59
Match Events
17'Panos KatserisFoul
37'Ibrahima BaldeAssist: Panos Katseris
39'Noah MbambaAssist: Panos Katseris
45'Santiago Hidalgo INCasper Tengstedt out
45'Rafik Messali INNiko Sigur out
48'Casper TengstedtAssist: Cristian Casseres
58'Panos Katseris INThéo Le Bris out
58'Gabin Bernardeau INIsak Jensen out
67'Ilyas Azizi INSion Oppong out
68'Thomas JorgensenAssist: Cristian Casseres
69'Ibrahima Balde INMamadou Kone out
69'Noah Mbamba INArthur Avom out
84'Niklas Schmidt INAlexis Vossah out
84'Christ Tape INIsmaïl Diallo out
Lineups
LorientToulouse
4-2-3-1Coach: Jens Berthel AskouAvg ratingAvg rating
38Y. Mvogo
20D. Sylla
3M. Talbi
32N. Adjei
77P. Katseris
8N. Cadiou
72N. Mbamba
43K. Kouassi
33G. Bernardeau
17J. Makengo
18I. Baldé
60M. Niflore
22R. Messali
5S. Koumbassa
3M. McKenzie
12C. Tapé
31N. Schmidt
23C. Cásseres
9S. Hidalgo
8T. Jørgensen
37Y. Azizi
13J. Russell-RoweLorient Substitutes
19S. Faye
2A. Georgen
21B. Kamara
42M. Kone69'for Ibrahima Balde
55N. Obaretin
10I. Jensen58'for Gabin Bernardeau
11T. Le Bris58'for Panos Katseris
62A. Avom69'for Noah Mbamba
15A. Tosin
Toulouse Substitutes
18M. Amougou
1T. Collin
94I. Diallo84'for Christ Tape
6A. Vossah84'for Niklas Schmidt
19D. Odogu
11S. Oppong67'for Ilyas Azizi
14N. Sigur45'for Rafik Messali
20C. Tengstedt45'for Santiago Hidalgo48'
7Julián Vignolo
Match Stats
LorientToulouse 41%Ball Possession59%
4Corner Kicks3
1Yellow Cards0
10Total Shots13
3Shots on Goal4
4Shots off Goal6
6Shots Inside Box13
4Shots Outside Box0
3Blocked Shots3
8Fouls18
2Offsides1
2Goalkeeper Saves1
445Total Passes657
372Passes Accurate581
84%Pass Accuracy88%
Team Comparison
LorientToulouse1740Elo Rating 1759
0.50Attack 1.59
2.18Defense 1.99
36%Hit Rate 44%
10.5Shots per Game 10.5
1.9Shots on Target 4.9
5.3Corners per Game 4.2
1.5Cards per Game 2.7
AI Insights
📈BTTS Trend67% in H2H
Game State Tendencies
Lorient- Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
- Scores more in 2nd half (0.5 vs 0 in first half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Toulouse- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
- Scores more in 2nd half (1.3 vs 0.3 in first half)
- Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Head to Head
Last 6 meetings, all competitions
Lorient0Wins · 0%Draws350%
Toulouse3Wins · 50%
3Wins · 50%2.2Avg Goals
67%Both teams scored4 of 6
33%3+ goals2 of 6
Previous meetings
21/03/2026ToulouseLorient10
09/11/2025LorientToulouse11
28/04/2024LorientToulouse12
03/12/2023ToulouseLorient11
23/04/2023LorientToulouse01
21/08/2022ToulouseLorient22
Recent Form
Lorient5W1D4L
05/09/2026
LensLorientLorient
Estac Troyes
NiceLorient
LensLorient01
W29/08/2026LorientEstac Troyes12
L22/08/2026NiceLorient00
D15/08/2026
SV ElversbergLorient
SV ElversbergLorient41
L08/08/2026
AngersLorient
AngersLorient21
L04/08/2026Lorient
UNFP
LorientUNFP51
W25/07/2026
GuingampLorient
GuingampLorient02
W18/07/2026Lorient
Nantes
LorientNantes10
W11/07/2026
ConcarneauLorient
ConcarneauLorient12
W17/05/2026Lorient
Le Havre
LorientLe Havre02
LToulouse3W3D4L
03/09/2026Toulouse
Lille
Stade Brestois 29ToulouseToulouse
Lyon
ToulouseLille01
L29/08/2026Stade Brestois 29Toulouse22
D22/08/2026ToulouseLyon02
L15/08/2026Toulouse
Hamburger SV
ToulouseHamburger SV12
L31/07/2026Toulouse
Real Sociedad
ToulouseReal Sociedad21
W25/07/2026Toulouse
Rodez
ToulouseRodez11
D10/05/2026ToulouseLyon
ToulouseLyon21
W03/05/2026
StrasbourgToulouse
StrasbourgToulouse12
W25/04/2026Toulouse
Monaco
ToulouseMonaco22
D21/04/2026LensToulouse
LensToulouse41
LReferee Profile
3.77Cards per match
3.54Yellow cards per match
0.23Red cards per match
25.7Fouls per match
Compared with other referees
3.77 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.97).
Cards come from 132 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Paris Saint Germain | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 22:10 | +12 | 23 | WWWWW |
| 2 | Lille | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 14:7 | +7 | 21 | WWDDW |
| 3 |  Paris FC | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 17:10 | +7 | 20 | WWLWL |
| 4 |  Marseille | 10 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 22:14 | +8 | 18 | WWWWW |
| 5 | Lyon | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 15:9 | +6 | 17 | LWLWL |
| 6 | Nice | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 15:12 | +3 | 17 | WWWLW |
| 7 | Monaco | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 13:11 | +2 | 16 | DLDLD |
| 8 |  Rennes | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 21:21 | 0 | 16 | LLWLW |
| 9 | Stade Brestois 29 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 18:12 | +6 | 15 | WWLDW |
| 10 | Lorient | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 9:8 | +1 | 15 | WLDWW |
| 11 | Lens | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 17:15 | +2 | 13 | LLWWW |
| 12 | Toulouse | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 15:14 | +1 | 13 | WLDWD |
| 13 | Strasbourg | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 18:22 | -4 | 10 | LWLLL |
| 14 |  Auxerre | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 13:24 | -11 | 10 | LLDWL |
| 15 |  Le Mans | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 12:19 | -7 | 8 | DLDLL |
| 16 | Angers | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 9:19 | -10 | 8 | LLDLL |
| 17 | Estac Troyes | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 7:17 | -10 | 8 | LWDLL |
| 18 | Le Havre | 10 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 9:22 | -13 | 2 | LLLLL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paris Saint Germain | 10 | 22:10 | 23 |
| 2 | Lille | 10 | 14:7 | 21 |
| 3 | Paris FC | 10 | 17:10 | 20 |
| 4 | Marseille | 10 | 22:14 | 18 |
| 5 | Lyon | 10 | 15:9 | 17 |
| 6 | Nice | 10 | 15:12 | 17 |
| 7 | Monaco | 10 | 13:11 | 16 |
| 8 | Rennes | 10 | 21:21 | 16 |
| 9 | Stade Brestois 29 | 10 | 18:12 | 15 |
| 10 | Lorient | 10 | 9:8 | 15 |
| 11 | Lens | 10 | 17:15 | 13 |
| 12 | Toulouse | 10 | 15:14 | 13 |
| 13 | Strasbourg | 10 | 18:22 | 10 |
| 14 | Auxerre | 10 | 13:24 | 10 |
| 15 | Le Mans | 10 | 12:19 | 8 |
| 16 | Angers | 10 | 9:19 | 8 |
| 17 | Estac Troyes | 10 | 7:17 | 8 |
| 18 | Le Havre | 10 | 9:22 | 2 |
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About the Lorient vs Toulouse forecast
Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Lorient and Toulouse in the Ligue 1 table
Lorient and Toulouse are close in the Ligue 1 table, 10th and 12th, with 2 points between them. League goal record so far: Lorient 9-8, Toulouse 15-14. The full standings are on the Ligue 1 Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.