Velez Sarsfield vs San Lorenzo Prediction

Jose Amalfitani, Buenos Aires

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
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Velez Sarsfield Rest
5 days
San Lorenzo Rest
7 days

Velez Sarsfield vs San Lorenzo: what the numbers say

On form this looks evenly balanced, with Velez Sarsfield on 3 wins from their last five and San Lorenzo on 2. They meet in the Liga Profesional Argentina on 31 Oct 2026.

Their history points to a close game: 8 previous meetings produced 1.3 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
1.95
X
3.15
2
4.13
Double Chance
1X
1.22
X2
1.80
Both Teams to Score
Yes
2.11
No
1.66
Goals
Over 1.5
1.48
Over 2.5
2.47
Over 3.5
4.75
Under 1.5
2.58
Under 2.5
1.53
Under 3.5
1.16
Corners
Over 8.5
1.73
Over 9.5
2.21
Over 10.5
2.92
Under 8.5
2.00
Under 9.5
1.59
Under 10.5
1.34
Cards
Over 3.5
-
Over 4.5
-
Under 3.5
-
Under 4.5
-
Predictions for this match are lockedA free account opens the match result market. Pro opens every goal market.

Team Comparison

Velez SarsfieldVelez Sarsfield
San LorenzoSan Lorenzo
1720Elo Rating 1611
1.30Attack 0.91
1.68Defense 1.67
44%Hit Rate 50%
14.4Shots per Game 12.0
4.9Shots on Target 4.1
6.0Corners per Game 4.6
1.9Cards per Game 2.7

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+109 Elo
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

Velez SarsfieldVelez Sarsfield
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.8 vs 0.5 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
San LorenzoSan Lorenzo
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.6 vs 0.3 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 8 meetings, all competitions

Velez SarsfieldVelez Sarsfield3Wins · 38%
Draws337%
San LorenzoSan Lorenzo2Wins · 25%
1.3Avg Goals
25%Both teams scored2 of 8
25%3+ goals2 of 8

Previous meetings

Liga Profesional Argentina21/04/2026
San LorenzoVelez Sarsfield
00
Liga Profesional Argentina08/08/2025
San LorenzoVelez Sarsfield
10
Liga Profesional Argentina08/02/2025
Velez SarsfieldSan Lorenzo
00
Liga Profesional Argentina14/09/2024
San LorenzoVelez Sarsfield
01
Copa Argentina07/08/2024
San LorenzoVelez Sarsfield
13
Liga Profesional Argentina29/04/2023
Velez SarsfieldSan Lorenzo
00
Liga Profesional Argentina08/10/2022
San LorenzoVelez Sarsfield
10
Liga Profesional Argentina07/11/2021
Velez SarsfieldSan Lorenzo
21

League Table

Liga Profesional Argentina 2026

Apertura - Group A

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Estudiantes L.P.Estudiantes L.P.1694319:7+1231WWLWW
2Boca JuniorsBoca Juniors1686222:9+1330WDWWD
3Velez SarsfieldVelez Sarsfield1677218:12+628DWLLW
4Talleres CordobaTalleres Cordoba1675417:13+426WWLWD
5IndependienteIndependiente1666424:20+424WDWLL
6LanusLanus1666418:15+324LWDLW
7San LorenzoSan Lorenzo1657414:14022DDWDL
8Union Santa FeUnion Santa Fe1656524:20+421LLWLD
9Instituto CordobaInstituto Cordoba1663717:17021LWWLW
10Defensa Y JusticiaDefensa Y Justicia1647518:21-319LLLWW
11Gimnasia M.Gimnasia M.1654714:22-819WDWLL
12PlatensePlatense1637610:15-516LDDLL
13Central Cordoba de SantiagoCentral Cordoba de Santiago1644811:21-1016WLLLW
14Newells Old BoysNewells Old Boys1636715:27-1215WDWWL
15Deportivo RiestraDeportivo Riestra161875:12-711LLLDL
#TeamMPGPts
1Estudiantes L.P.Estudiantes L.P.1619:731
2Boca JuniorsBoca Juniors1622:930
3Velez SarsfieldVelez Sarsfield1618:1228
4Talleres CordobaTalleres Cordoba1617:1326
5IndependienteIndependiente1624:2024
6LanusLanus1618:1524
7San LorenzoSan Lorenzo1614:1422
8Union Santa FeUnion Santa Fe1624:2021
9Instituto CordobaInstituto Cordoba1617:1721
10Defensa Y JusticiaDefensa Y Justicia1618:2119
11Gimnasia M.Gimnasia M.1614:2219
12PlatensePlatense1610:1516
13Central Cordoba de SantiagoCentral Cordoba de Santiago1611:2116
14Newells Old BoysNewells Old Boys1615:2715
15Deportivo RiestraDeportivo Riestra165:1211

Clausura - Group A

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Instituto CordobaInstituto Cordoba14102221:10+1132LWWLW
2Velez SarsfieldVelez Sarsfield1476123:13+1027DWLLW
3Boca JuniorsBoca Juniors1476122:14+827WDWWD
4Defensa Y JusticiaDefensa Y Justicia1483320:13+727LLLWW
5LanusLanus1473417:10+724LWDLW
6Newells Old BoysNewells Old Boys1456313:10+321WDWWL
7Gimnasia M.Gimnasia M.1462616:15+120WDWLL
8IndependienteIndependiente1454512:14-219WDWLL
9San LorenzoSan Lorenzo145367:12-518DDWDL
10Union Santa FeUnion Santa Fe1452721:23-217LLWLD
11Estudiantes L.P.Estudiantes L.P.1442817:18-114WWLWW
12PlatensePlatense1435614:20-614LDDLL
13Deportivo RiestraDeportivo Riestra1426610:14-412LLLDL
14Central Cordoba de SantiagoCentral Cordoba de Santiago1424811:23-1210WLLLW
15Talleres CordobaTalleres Cordoba1423913:22-99WWLWD
#TeamMPGPts
1Instituto CordobaInstituto Cordoba1421:1032
2Velez SarsfieldVelez Sarsfield1423:1327
3Boca JuniorsBoca Juniors1422:1427
4Defensa Y JusticiaDefensa Y Justicia1420:1327
5LanusLanus1417:1024
6Newells Old BoysNewells Old Boys1413:1021
7Gimnasia M.Gimnasia M.1416:1520
8IndependienteIndependiente1412:1419
9San LorenzoSan Lorenzo147:1218
10Union Santa FeUnion Santa Fe1421:2317
11Estudiantes L.P.Estudiantes L.P.1417:1814
12PlatensePlatense1414:2014
13Deportivo RiestraDeportivo Riestra1410:1412
14Central Cordoba de SantiagoCentral Cordoba de Santiago1411:2310
15Talleres CordobaTalleres Cordoba1413:229

About the Velez Sarsfield vs San Lorenzo forecast

The forecasts for this Liga Profesional Argentina match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Velez Sarsfield and San Lorenzo in the Liga Profesional Argentina table

In the Liga Profesional Argentina table, Velez Sarsfield are 3rd and San Lorenzo 7th, 6 points apart. League goal record so far: Velez Sarsfield 18-12, San Lorenzo 14-14. The full standings are on the Liga Profesional Argentina Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.