Bolton vs Bristol City Prediction
England · Regular Season - 13
Toughsheet Community Stadium, Horwich·Bobby Madley 31/10/2026
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
69%Trust
Double Chance
Draw or Away Win
1.36
SignalSOLIDModel39%SurpriseMediumGap-4.2%
Bolton Rest
7 days
Bristol City Rest
7 days
Bolton vs Bristol City: result, form and history
Bristol City beat Bolton 3-2 in the Championship on 31 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
131%3.00
X29%3.45
240%2.25
Double Chance
1X60%1.60
X269%1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes57%1.62
No43%2.17
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.27 + 1.2 = 2.47
Over 1.575%1.25
Over 2.552%1.79
Over 3.531%2.88
Under 1.525%3.80
Under 2.548%2.00
Under 3.569%1.38
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.4 + 4.6 = 10.1
Over 8.566%1.32
Over 9.554%1.60
Over 10.542%1.96
Under 8.534%2.96
Under 9.546%2.22
Under 10.558%1.76
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.8 + 2 = 3.8
Over 3.553%1.68
Over 4.534%2.49
Under 3.547%2.10
Under 4.566%1.50
Match Events
11'Joe WilliamsFoul
13'Dominic BallardAssist: Jason Knight
16'Josh SheehanAssist: Thierry Gale
30'Josh SheehanFoul
55'Brian de Keersmaecker INYu Hirakawa out
55'Rio Cardines INJed Wallace out
57'Sam DalbyAssist: Atsuki Ito
65'Atsuki Ito INRuben Rodrigues out
65'Thierry Gale INKyliane Dong out
67'Dominic Ballard INScott Twine out
78'Christian Forino Joseph INLewis Brunt out
78'lorent tolaj INSam Bellis out
78'Joe Williams INAdam Randell out
84'Sam BellisAssist: Cameron Pring
88'Ben Davies INAkin Famewo out
88'Samuel Iling INMax Lott out
90+3'Scott TwineAssist: Jed Wallace
Lineups
BoltonBristol City
4-2-3-1Coach: M. SkubalaAvg ratingAvg rating
1J. Bonham
22G. Larrazabal
3C. Forino-Joseph
6B. Davies
25M. Conway
4X. Simons
8J. Sheehan
16S. Iling-Junior
17A. Ito
11T. Gale
10S. Dalby
40B. Collins
19G. Tanner
15L. McNally
2L. Eissat
3C. Pring
12J. Knight
6B. De Keersmaecker
21R. Cardines
23D. Ballard
8J. Williams
9L. TolajBolton Substitutes
9T. Bair
5L. Brunt78'for Christian Forino Joseph
7K. Dong65'for Thierry Gale
14A. Famewo88'for Ben Davies
23D. Harrington
20Ruben Rodrigues65'for Atsuki Ito
27Luca Stephenson
12D. Watson
35Max Lott88'replaced by Samuel Iling
Bristol City Substitutes
20S. Greenwood
7Y. Hirakawa55'for Brian de Keersmaecker
14T. Horvat
4A. Randell78'for Joe Williams
1S. Tickle
10S. Twine67'for Dominic Ballard90+3'
17J. Wallace55'for Rio Cardines
11S. Bell78'for lorent tolaj84'
5R. Atkinson
Match Stats
BoltonBristol City 65%Ball Possession35%
11Corner Kicks4
1Yellow Cards1
19Total Shots14
6Shots on Goal9
5Shots off Goal3
11Shots Inside Box11
8Shots Outside Box3
8Blocked Shots2
5Fouls7
2Offsides5
6Goalkeeper Saves4
589Total Passes323
495Passes Accurate237
7Free Kicks5
Team Comparison
BoltonBristol City1618Elo Rating 1587
1.58Attack 0.31
0.70Defense 2.41
34%Hit Rate 14%
14.6Shots per Game 12.2
4.5Shots on Target 3.1
3.7Corners per Game 5.4
1.7Cards per Game 1.5
AI Insights
📉Away Underperforming
Game State Tendencies
Bolton- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Bristol City- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.3 vs 0 in second half)
- Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Head to Head
1 previous meeting, all competitions
Bolton0Wins · 0%Draws00%
Bristol City1Wins · 100%
1Wins · 100%3.0Avg Goals
100%Both teams scored1 of 1
100%3+ goals1 of 1
Previous meetings
25/01/2019Bristol CityBolton21
Recent Form
Bolton3W1D6L
23/10/2026Bolton
Middlesbrough
SouthamptonBolton
WolvesBoltonBolton
Stoke City
NorwichBoltonBolton
Cardiff
BoltonMiddlesbrough15
L17/10/2026SouthamptonBolton00
D13/10/2026WolvesBolton13
W10/10/2026BoltonStoke City12
L20/09/2026NorwichBolton34
W12/09/2026BoltonCardiff10
W08/09/2026Bolton
West Ham
BoltonWest Ham23
L05/09/2026
MillwallBolton
MillwallBolton40
L01/09/2026
Sheffield UtdBolton
Sheffield UtdBolton32
L29/08/2026Bolton
Lincoln
BoltonLincoln01
LBristol City4W2D4L
24/10/2026Stoke CityBristol CityBristol CitySheffield UtdBristol City
Blackburn
CharltonBristol CityBristol City
WatfordBristol CityLincolnSouthamptonBristol City
BurnleyBristol City
Stoke CityBristol City00
D17/10/2026Bristol CitySheffield Utd01
L13/10/2026Bristol CityBlackburn01
L10/10/2026CharltonBristol City11
D03/10/2026
Crystal PalaceBristol City
18/09/2026Crystal PalaceBristol City02
WBristol CityWatford10
W15/09/2026Bristol CityLincoln01
L12/09/2026SouthamptonBristol City41
L05/09/2026BurnleyBristol City12
W01/09/2026
PrestonBristol City
PrestonBristol City13
WLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Middlesbrough | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 30:17 | +13 | 28 | WWDWW |
| 2 |  Swansea | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 20:13 | +7 | 26 | WLLWW |
| 3 | Wolves | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 23:16 | +7 | 24 | WWDWL |
| 4 |  West Brom | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 19:14 | +5 | 24 | WDWWL |
| 5 | Southampton | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 28:13 | +15 | 23 | WWDWW |
| 6 |  Birmingham | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 23:13 | +10 | 23 | WLWWW |
| 7 | Stoke City | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 20:16 | +4 | 23 | WDWLW |
| 8 | West Ham | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 33:18 | +15 | 22 | LLWWD |
| 9 |  QPR | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 21:16 | +5 | 20 | LWLWD |
| 10 | Sheffield Utd | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 17:15 | +2 | 19 | WDWLW |
| 11 |  Portsmouth | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 16:15 | +1 | 19 | DWDWW |
| 12 | Millwall | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 23:21 | +2 | 18 | WLDLW |
| 13 | Blackburn | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 19:20 | -1 | 18 | LWLWW |
| 14 | Bristol City | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 15:17 | -2 | 18 | WDLLD |
| 15 | Norwich | 13 | 5 | 0 | 8 | 23:24 | -1 | 15 | WWLLL |
| 16 | Lincoln | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 14:23 | -9 | 15 | LWDLL |
| 17 | Cardiff | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 19:20 | -1 | 14 | LWDWL |
| 18 |  Wrexham | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 15:19 | -4 | 14 | LLWLD |
| 19 | Bolton | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 18:26 | -8 | 14 | LLDWL |
| 20 | Charlton | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 11:21 | -10 | 14 | LLLDD |
| 21 | Watford | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 12:23 | -11 | 11 | LLWLL |
| 22 | Burnley | 13 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 17:25 | -8 | 9 | DLLDW |
| 23 |  Derby | 13 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 11:25 | -14 | 7 | LDLLD |
| 24 | Preston | 13 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 10:27 | -17 | 5 | LDLLL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Middlesbrough | 13 | 30:17 | 28 |
| 2 | Swansea | 13 | 20:13 | 26 |
| 3 | Wolves | 13 | 23:16 | 24 |
| 4 | West Brom | 13 | 19:14 | 24 |
| 5 | Southampton | 13 | 28:13 | 23 |
| 6 | Birmingham | 13 | 23:13 | 23 |
| 7 | Stoke City | 13 | 20:16 | 23 |
| 8 | West Ham | 13 | 33:18 | 22 |
| 9 | QPR | 13 | 21:16 | 20 |
| 10 | Sheffield Utd | 13 | 17:15 | 19 |
| 11 | Portsmouth | 13 | 16:15 | 19 |
| 12 | Millwall | 13 | 23:21 | 18 |
| 13 | Blackburn | 13 | 19:20 | 18 |
| 14 | Bristol City | 13 | 15:17 | 18 |
| 15 | Norwich | 13 | 23:24 | 15 |
| 16 | Lincoln | 13 | 14:23 | 15 |
| 17 | Cardiff | 13 | 19:20 | 14 |
| 18 | Wrexham | 13 | 15:19 | 14 |
| 19 | Bolton | 13 | 18:26 | 14 |
| 20 | Charlton | 13 | 11:21 | 14 |
| 21 | Watford | 13 | 12:23 | 11 |
| 22 | Burnley | 13 | 17:25 | 9 |
| 23 | Derby | 13 | 11:25 | 7 |
| 24 | Preston | 13 | 10:27 | 5 |
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About the Bolton vs Bristol City forecast
Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Bolton and Bristol City in the Championship table
In the Championship table, Bristol City are 14th and Bolton 19th, 4 points apart. League goal record so far: Bolton 18-26, Bristol City 15-17. The full standings are on the Championship Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
Bolton and Bristol City have met only 1 time recently, with 3.0 goals in that meeting. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.