Lincoln vs Birmingham Prediction

Lincoln
1-3
Finished
HT 0-1
Birmingham
Sincil Bank, Lincoln·Lewis Smith 31/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
68%Trust
Double Chance
Draw or Away Win
1.31
SignalSOLIDModel38%SurpriseMediumGap-8.8%
Lincoln Rest
6 days
Birmingham Rest
6 days

Lincoln vs Birmingham: result, form and history

Birmingham beat Lincoln 3-1 in the Championship on 31 Oct 2026. It was in line with recent form: Birmingham had won 3 of their previous five, compared with 1 for Lincoln.

Their 3 previous meetings averaged 2.7 goals, with both teams scoring in 2 of them. Birmingham tend to win more corners, 4.2 a game to 2.2 for Lincoln.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
32%3.27
X
28%3.41
2
40%2.15
Double Chance
1X
60%1.69
X2
68%1.31
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%1.72
No
45%2.01
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.34 + 1.16 = 2.50
Over 1.5
73%1.29
Over 2.5
50%1.91
Over 3.5
29%3.25
Under 1.5
27%3.45
Under 2.5
50%1.88
Under 3.5
71%1.32
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.8 + 4.8 = 9.7
Over 8.5
61%1.49
Over 9.5
49%1.83
Over 10.5
38%2.24
Under 8.5
39%2.50
Under 9.5
51%1.90
Under 10.5
62%1.53
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.9 + 2.4 = 4.3
Over 3.5
62%1.77
Over 4.5
43%2.42
Under 3.5
38%1.99
Under 4.5
57%1.52

Match Events

16'August Priske
25'Mikkel LadefogedFoul
27'Liam MillarTime wasting
32'Ethan LairdFoul
42'Dom Jefferies
45'James Beadle INRyan Allsop out
59'Dom Jefferies INF. Draper out
59'Ivan Varfolomeev INTom Bayliss out
60'August PriskeAssist: Christoph·Klarer
63'Tom BaylissAssist: Mikkel Ladefoged
66'August Priske INMax Bird out
73'Alex CochraneAssist: Ryan Allsop
74'Reeco Hackett-Fairchild INRobert Nicholas Street out
74'Ben House INChiedozie Ogbene out
75'Patrick Roberts INDemarai Gray out
75'Ethan Laird INBright Osayi-Samuel out
84'Mikkel Ladefoged INIsaac Olaofe out
88'Jay Stansfield INMarvin Ducksch out
89'Yunus KonakFoul

Lineups

Lincoln
4-2-3-1Coach: Chris Cohen
Birmingham
4-2-3-1Coach: C. Davies
Avg rating6.07
Avg rating6.79
G. Wickens5.91G. Wickens
A. Coubiș5.34A. Coubiș
D. Elerewe5.925D. Elerewe
S. Bradley6.215S. Bradley
A. Reach5.73A. Reach
Y. Konak5.826Y. Konak
I. Varfolomeev5.824I. Varfolomeev
R. Hackett6.17R. Hackett
D. Jefferies6.016D. Jefferies
B. House5.618B. House
M. Ladefoged6.811M. Ladefoged
J. Beadle7.51J. Beadle
E. Laird6.02E. Laird
P. Neumann6.95P. Neumann
C. Klarer6.74C. Klarer
A. Cochrane7.220A. Cochrane
T. Iwata6.424T. Iwata
J. Solis6.314J. Solis
P. Roberts6.716P. Roberts
J. Stansfield6.628J. Stansfield
L. Millar7.017L. Millar
A. Priske8.99A. Priske

Lincoln Substitutes

6R. Towler
46J. Gauci
34F. Draper59'for Dom Jefferies6.3
8T. Bayliss59'for Ivan Varfolomeev63'6.7
27C. Ogbene74'for Ben House6.4
19I. Olaofe84'for Mikkel Ladefoged6.4
33D. Oyegoke
20C. Elder
17R. Street74'for Reeco Hackett-Fairchild6.4

Birmingham Substitutes

18M. Bird66'for August Priske6.9
3L. Buchanan
33M. Ducksch88'for Jay Stansfield6.4
19T. Gardner-Hickman
10D. Gray75'for Patrick Roberts6.3
26B. Osayi-Samuel75'for Ethan Laird6.5
7Carlos Vicente
21R. Allsop45'for James Beadle6.4
32L. Vázquez

Match Stats

LincolnBirmingham
54%Ball Possession46%
3Corner Kicks3
3Yellow Cards2
12Total Shots17
6Shots on Goal7
5Shots off Goal6
11Shots Inside Box8
1Shots Outside Box9
1Blocked Shots4
14Fouls9
4Offsides2
2Goalkeeper Saves5
403Total Passes335
270Passes Accurate221
9Free Kicks13

Team Comparison

LincolnLincoln
BirminghamBirmingham
1694Elo Rating 1686
1.68Attack 1.91
0.32Defense 2.45
27%Hit Rate 59%
12.5Shots per Game 12.7
3.6Shots on Target 4.9
2.2Corners per Game 4.2
2.6Cards per Game 2.1

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend67% in H2H
📊Home Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

LincolnLincoln
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
BirminghamBirmingham
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 3 meetings, all competitions

LincolnLincoln0Wins · 0%
Draws00%
BirminghamBirmingham3Wins · 100%
2.7Avg Goals
67%Both teams scored2 of 3
67%3+ goals2 of 3

Previous meetings

League One08/03/2025
BirminghamLincoln
10
FA Cup11/01/2025
BirminghamLincoln
21
League One19/10/2024
LincolnBirmingham
13

Referee Profile

Lewis Smith35 matches

4.00Cards per match
3.94Yellow cards per match
0.06Red cards per match
19.5Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Lewis Smith4.00
Other referees3.86

4.00 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.86).

Cards come from 31 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Championship 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough1274127:17+1025WDWWD
2BirminghamBirmingham1365223:13+1023WLWWW
3Stoke CityStoke City1372420:16+423WDWLW
4SwanseaSwansea1272316:13+323LLWWW
5West HamWest Ham1264232:15+1722LWWDD
6WolvesWolves1263320:16+421WDWLL
7West BromWest Brom1263316:13+321DWWLL
8SouthamptonSouthampton1273224:12+1220WDWWL
9QPRQPR1255220:12+820WLWDD
10Sheffield UtdSheffield Utd1354417:15+219WDWLW
11BlackburnBlackburn1253419:16+318WLWWD
12PortsmouthPortsmouth1253416:15+118WDWWL
13NorwichNorwich1350823:24-115WWLLL
14MillwallMillwall1243519:20-115LDLWD
15Bristol CityBristol City1243512:15-315DLLDW
16LincolnLincoln1343614:23-915LWDLL
17CardiffCardiff1235419:17+214WDWLW
18WrexhamWrexham1335515:19-414LLWLD
19BoltonBolton1242616:23-714LDWLW
20CharltonCharlton1235411:18-714LLDDL
21WatfordWatford1332812:23-1111LLWLL
22BurnleyBurnley1215617:25-88LLDWD
23DerbyDerby1214710:21-117DLLDD
24PrestonPreston13121010:27-175LDLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough1227:1725
2BirminghamBirmingham1323:1323
3Stoke CityStoke City1320:1623
4SwanseaSwansea1216:1323
5West HamWest Ham1232:1522
6WolvesWolves1220:1621
7West BromWest Brom1216:1321
8SouthamptonSouthampton1224:1220
9QPRQPR1220:1220
10Sheffield UtdSheffield Utd1317:1519
11BlackburnBlackburn1219:1618
12PortsmouthPortsmouth1216:1518
13NorwichNorwich1323:2415
14MillwallMillwall1219:2015
15Bristol CityBristol City1212:1515
16LincolnLincoln1314:2315
17CardiffCardiff1219:1714
18WrexhamWrexham1315:1914
19BoltonBolton1216:2314
20CharltonCharlton1211:1814
21WatfordWatford1312:2311
22BurnleyBurnley1217:258
23DerbyDerby1210:217
24PrestonPreston1310:275
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About the Lincoln vs Birmingham forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Lincoln and Birmingham in the Championship table

In the Championship table, Birmingham are 2nd and Lincoln 16th, 8 points apart. League goal record so far: Lincoln 14-23, Birmingham 23-13. The full standings are on the Championship Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Birmingham have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.