Millwall vs Derby Prediction
England · Regular Season - 13
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Millwall vs Derby: result, form and history
Millwall beat Derby 4-1 in the Championship on 31 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.
Meetings between them tend to be tight, with just 1.6 goals a game across 8 matches. Millwall tend to win more corners, 7.7 a game to 5.1 for Derby.
Match Forecasts
Match Events
Lineups
Millwall
Avg ratingAvg rating
15M. Crocombe
4T. Crama
6C. Taylor
5J. Cooper
3Z. Norton Sturge
14J. Metcalfe
49D. Mazou-Sacko
10C. Neghli
25L. Cundle
22K. Lisbie
13L. Dykes
1J. Widell Zetterström
22M. Johnston
24R. Nyambe
14J. Robinson
26R. Hedges
4D. Ozoh
8B. Clark
10R. Brewster
11S. Szmodics
19H. Meister
9C. MorrisMillwall Substitutes
Derby Substitutes
Match Stats
MillwallDerby Team Comparison
MillwallDerbyAI Insights
Game State Tendencies
Millwall- Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
Derby- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Head to Head
Last 8 meetings, all competitions
Millwall4Wins · 50%1Wins · 12%Previous meetings
10/03/2026MillwallDerby10/12/2025DerbyMillwall22/02/2025DerbyMillwall19/10/2024MillwallDerby23/02/2022DerbyMillwall06/11/2021MillwallDerby13/03/2021DerbyMillwall05/12/2020MillwallDerbyRecent Form
Millwall
PortsmouthMillwallMillwall
LincolnMillwall
Swansea
PrestonMillwallMillwall
West Ham
MiddlesbroughMillwall
BlackburnMillwallMillwall
NewcastleMillwall
BoltonMillwall
WrexhamDerby
Sheffield UtdDerbyDerby
Stoke City
QPRDerbyDerbyWrexham
BurnleyDerbyDerby
BirminghamDerby
West BromWest HamDerbyPortsmouthDerbyDerbySwanseaReferee Profile
Compared with other referees
3.88 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.70).
Cards come from 178 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Middlesbrough | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 27:17 | +10 | 25 | WDWWD |
| 2 | Birmingham | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 23:13 | +10 | 23 | WLWWW |
| 3 | Stoke City | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 20:16 | +4 | 23 | WDWLW |
| 4 | Swansea | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 16:13 | +3 | 23 | LLWWW |
| 5 | West Ham | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 32:15 | +17 | 22 | LWWDD |
| 6 |  Wolves | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 20:16 | +4 | 21 | WDWLL |
| 7 | West Brom | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 16:13 | +3 | 21 | DWWLL |
| 8 |  Southampton | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 24:12 | +12 | 20 | WDWWL |
| 9 | QPR | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 20:12 | +8 | 20 | WLWDD |
| 10 | Sheffield Utd | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 17:15 | +2 | 19 | WDWLW |
| 11 | Blackburn | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 19:16 | +3 | 18 | WLWWD |
| 12 | Portsmouth | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 16:15 | +1 | 18 | WDWWL |
| 13 |  Norwich | 13 | 5 | 0 | 8 | 23:24 | -1 | 15 | WWLLL |
| 14 | Millwall | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 19:20 | -1 | 15 | LDLWD |
| 15 |  Bristol City | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 12:15 | -3 | 15 | DLLDW |
| 16 | Lincoln | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 14:23 | -9 | 15 | LWDLL |
| 17 |  Cardiff | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 19:17 | +2 | 14 | WDWLW |
| 18 | Wrexham | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 15:19 | -4 | 14 | LLWLD |
| 19 | Bolton | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 16:23 | -7 | 14 | LDWLW |
| 20 |  Charlton | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 11:18 | -7 | 14 | LLDDL |
| 21 |  Watford | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 12:23 | -11 | 11 | LLWLL |
| 22 | Burnley | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 17:25 | -8 | 8 | LLDWD |
| 23 | Derby | 12 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 10:21 | -11 | 7 | DLLDD |
| 24 | Preston | 13 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 10:27 | -17 | 5 | LDLLL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Middlesbrough | 12 | 27:17 | 25 |
| 2 | Birmingham | 13 | 23:13 | 23 |
| 3 | Stoke City | 13 | 20:16 | 23 |
| 4 | Swansea | 12 | 16:13 | 23 |
| 5 | West Ham | 12 | 32:15 | 22 |
| 6 | Wolves | 12 | 20:16 | 21 |
| 7 | West Brom | 12 | 16:13 | 21 |
| 8 | Southampton | 12 | 24:12 | 20 |
| 9 | QPR | 12 | 20:12 | 20 |
| 10 | Sheffield Utd | 13 | 17:15 | 19 |
| 11 | Blackburn | 12 | 19:16 | 18 |
| 12 | Portsmouth | 12 | 16:15 | 18 |
| 13 | Norwich | 13 | 23:24 | 15 |
| 14 | Millwall | 12 | 19:20 | 15 |
| 15 | Bristol City | 12 | 12:15 | 15 |
| 16 | Lincoln | 13 | 14:23 | 15 |
| 17 | Cardiff | 12 | 19:17 | 14 |
| 18 | Wrexham | 13 | 15:19 | 14 |
| 19 | Bolton | 12 | 16:23 | 14 |
| 20 | Charlton | 12 | 11:18 | 14 |
| 21 | Watford | 13 | 12:23 | 11 |
| 22 | Burnley | 12 | 17:25 | 8 |
| 23 | Derby | 12 | 10:21 | 7 |
| 24 | Preston | 13 | 10:27 | 5 |
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This match
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About the Millwall vs Derby forecast
Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Millwall and Derby in the Championship table
In the Championship table, Millwall are 14th and Derby 23rd, 8 points apart. League goal record so far: Millwall 19-20, Derby 10-21. The full standings are on the Championship Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.