Stoke City vs Bristol City Prediction

Stoke City
0-0
Finished
HT 0-0
Bristol City
bet365 Stadium, Stoke-On-Trent·James Bell 24/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
66%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.36
SignalSOLIDModel38%SurpriseMediumGap-7.2%
Stoke City Rest
7 days
Bristol City Rest
7 days

Stoke City vs Bristol City: the result in context

Stoke City and Bristol City drew 0-0 in the Championship on 24 Oct 2026. Stoke City had gone in with the better form, having won 4 of their previous five against 2 for Bristol City.

When these two meet, goals usually follow: 3.1 a game across 10 meetings, with both teams scoring in 5.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
37%2.39
X
28%3.25
2
35%2.98
Double Chance
1X
65%1.36
X2
62%1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%1.78
No
47%1.94
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.28 + 1.14 = 2.42
Over 1.5
71%1.33
Over 2.5
46%2.04
Over 3.5
26%3.50
Under 1.5
29%3.25
Under 2.5
54%1.75
Under 3.5
74%1.28
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.7 + 4.6 = 10.2
Over 8.5
67%1.35
Over 9.5
56%1.66
Over 10.5
44%2.10
Under 8.5
33%2.81
Under 9.5
44%2.10
Under 10.5
56%1.67
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.8 + 2.4 = 4.2
Over 3.5
60%1.83
Over 4.5
41%2.65
Under 3.5
40%1.87
Under 4.5
59%1.44

Match Events

21'Lamine Cissé INGeorge Hirst out
31'El Hadji SoumareFoul
43'Luke McNallyFoul
62'lorent tolaj INSam Bellis out
62'Gibson Osahumen Yah INBrian de Keersmaecker out
69'El Hadji Soumare INJunior Tchamadeu out
71'Jason KnightFoul
81'Justin Devenny INRóbert Boženík out
87'Dominic Ballard INJed Wallace out
88'Jason Knight INAdam Randell out

Lineups

Stoke City
3-4-3Coach: M. Robins
Bristol City
4-2-3-1Coach: M. Skubala
Avg rating6.53
Avg rating6.54
V. Johansson6.71V. Johansson
B. Wilmot7.116B. Wilmot
B. Lawal7.018B. Lawal
L. Graham6.65L. Graham
B. Johnson6.52B. Johnson
El Hadji Djibril Soumaré6.227E. Hadji Djibril Soumaré
E. Galbraith6.78E. Galbraith
L. Bombino6.821L. Bombino
J. McGlynn6.37J. McGlynn
J. Devenny6.313J. Devenny
L. Cissé5.911L. Cissé
B. Collins7.040B. Collins
C. Pring6.43C. Pring
G. Tanner6.619G. Tanner
L. McNally6.715L. McNally
L. Eissat6.32L. Eissat
J. Knight6.712J. Knight
J. Williams6.98J. Williams
Rio Cardines6.321R. Cardines
D. Ballard6.223D. Ballard
G. Yah6.527G. Yah
L. Tolaj6.19L. Tolaj

Stoke City Substitutes

10Bae Jun-Ho
9R. Boženík81'for Justin Devenny6.6
23B. Gibson
24J. Griffiths
15G. Hirst21'for Lamine Cissé6.3
4B. Pearson
19T. Rigo
40M. Talovierov
22J. Tchamadeu69'for El Hadji Soumare6.5

Bristol City Substitutes

5R. Atkinson
11S. Bell62'for lorent tolaj6.5
6B. De Keersmaecker62'for Gibson Osahumen Yah6.6
20S. Greenwood
7Y. Hirakawa
4A. Randell88'for Jason Knight6.8
1S. Tickle
10S. Twine
17J. Wallace87'for Dominic Ballard6.6

Match Stats

Stoke CityBristol City
63%Ball Possession37%
5Corner Kicks6
1Yellow Cards2
11Total Shots8
1Shots on Goal0
7Shots off Goal6
7Shots Inside Box4
4Shots Outside Box4
3Blocked Shots2
7Fouls13
2Offsides1
0Goalkeeper Saves1
578Total Passes333
476Passes Accurate240
13Free Kicks7

Team Comparison

Stoke CityStoke City
Bristol CityBristol City
1619Elo Rating 1587
1.23Attack 0.31
2.11Defense 2.41
54%Hit Rate 14%
10.5Shots per Game 12.2
2.7Shots on Target 3.1
4.8Corners per Game 5.4
1.4Cards per Game 1.5

AI Insights

📊Home Overperforming
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

Stoke CityStoke City
  • Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.1 vs 0.2 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Bristol CityBristol City
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.3 vs 0 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Stoke CityStoke City4Wins · 40%
Draws110%
Bristol CityBristol City5Wins · 50%
3.1Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored5 of 10
60%3+ goals6 of 10

Previous meetings

Championship02/05/2026
Bristol CityStoke City
20
Championship01/11/2025
Stoke CityBristol City
51
Championship12/02/2025
Bristol CityStoke City
20
Championship22/10/2024
Stoke CityBristol City
22
Championship04/05/2024
Stoke CityBristol City
40
Championship30/09/2023
Bristol CityStoke City
23
Championship07/04/2023
Stoke CityBristol City
12
Championship17/12/2022
Bristol CityStoke City
12
Championship15/04/2022
Stoke CityBristol City
01
Championship24/11/2021
Bristol CityStoke City
10

Recent Form

Referee Profile

James Bell158 matches

3.73Cards per match
3.56Yellow cards per match
0.17Red cards per match
22.0Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

James Bell3.73
Other referees3.76

3.73 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.76).

Cards come from 153 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Championship 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough1274127:17+1025WDWWD
2SwanseaSwansea1272316:13+323LLWWW
3West HamWest Ham1264232:15+1722LWWDD
4WolvesWolves1263320:16+421WDWLL
5West BromWest Brom1263316:13+321DWWLL
6SouthamptonSouthampton1273224:12+1220WDWWL
7BirminghamBirmingham1255220:12+820LWWWD
8QPRQPR1255220:12+820WLWDD
9Stoke CityStoke City1262418:16+220DWLWW
10BlackburnBlackburn1253419:16+318WLWWD
11PortsmouthPortsmouth1253416:15+118WDWWL
12Sheffield UtdSheffield Utd1244416:15+116DWLWL
13MillwallMillwall1243519:20-115LDLWD
14Bristol CityBristol City1243512:15-315DLLDW
15LincolnLincoln1243513:20-715WDLLL
16CardiffCardiff1235419:17+214WDWLW
17WrexhamWrexham1235415:18-314LWLDW
18BoltonBolton1242616:23-714LDWLW
19CharltonCharlton1235411:18-714LLDDL
20NorwichNorwich1240820:22-212WLLLL
21WatfordWatford1232710:20-1011LWLLL
22BurnleyBurnley1215617:25-88LLDWD
23DerbyDerby1214710:21-117DLLDD
24PrestonPreston1212910:25-155DLLLD
#TeamMPGPts
1MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough1227:1725
2SwanseaSwansea1216:1323
3West HamWest Ham1232:1522
4WolvesWolves1220:1621
5West BromWest Brom1216:1321
6SouthamptonSouthampton1224:1220
7BirminghamBirmingham1220:1220
8QPRQPR1220:1220
9Stoke CityStoke City1218:1620
10BlackburnBlackburn1219:1618
11PortsmouthPortsmouth1216:1518
12Sheffield UtdSheffield Utd1216:1516
13MillwallMillwall1219:2015
14Bristol CityBristol City1212:1515
15LincolnLincoln1213:2015
16CardiffCardiff1219:1714
17WrexhamWrexham1215:1814
18BoltonBolton1216:2314
19CharltonCharlton1211:1814
20NorwichNorwich1220:2212
21WatfordWatford1210:2011
22BurnleyBurnley1217:258
23DerbyDerby1210:217
24PrestonPreston1210:255
PromotionRelegation

About the Stoke City vs Bristol City forecast

The forecasts for this Championship match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Stoke City and Bristol City in the Championship table

In the Championship table, Stoke City are 9th and Bristol City 14th, 5 points apart. League goal record so far: Stoke City 18-16, Bristol City 12-15. The full standings are on the Championship Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.