Botafogo vs Atletico-MG Prediction

Botafogo
-
05/11/2026
01:30
Atletico-MG
Estadio Olimpico Nilton Santos, Rio de Janeiro·L. Casagrande
BotafogoBotafogo
05/11/202601:30
Atletico-MGAtletico-MG

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
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Botafogo Rest
7 days
Atletico-MG Rest
3 days

Botafogo vs Atletico-MG in numbers

Neither Botafogo nor Atletico-MG arrives in good form, with no more than one win each from their last five. The match is played in the Serie A on 5 Nov 2026.

Meetings between them tend to be tight, with just 1.7 goals a game across 10 matches. Botafogo tend to win more corners, 6.7 a game to 4.6 for Atletico-MG.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
1.91
X
3.70
2
3.60
Double Chance
1X
1.25
X2
1.83
Both Teams to Score
Yes
1.60
No
2.21
Goals
Over 1.5
1.20
Over 2.5
1.67
Over 3.5
2.70
Under 1.5
4.20
Under 2.5
2.18
Under 3.5
1.44
Corners
Over 8.5
1.21
Over 9.5
1.42
Over 10.5
1.73
Under 8.5
3.42
Under 9.5
2.54
Under 10.5
1.99
Cards
Over 3.5
1.43
Over 4.5
1.80
Under 3.5
2.71
Under 4.5
1.95
Predictions for this match are lockedA free account opens the match result market. Pro opens every goal market.

Team Comparison

BotafogoBotafogo
Atletico-MGAtletico-MG
1605Elo Rating 1745
0.77Attack 1.05
1.33Defense 1.65
19%Hit Rate 31%
14.5Shots per Game 12.4
4.7Shots on Target 4.6
6.7Corners per Game 4.6
1.2Cards per Game 1.7

AI Insights

📉Home Underperforming
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

BotafogoBotafogo
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Atletico-MGAtletico-MG
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

BotafogoBotafogo5Wins · 50%
Draws220%
Atletico-MGAtletico-MG3Wins · 30%
1.7Avg Goals
20%Both teams scored2 of 10
20%3+ goals2 of 10

Previous meetings

Serie A10/05/2026
Atletico-MGBotafogo
11
Serie A20/09/2025
BotafogoAtletico-MG
10
Serie A20/04/2025
Atletico-MGBotafogo
10
CONMEBOL Libertadores30/11/2024
Atletico-MGBotafogo
13
Serie A21/11/2024
Atletico-MGBotafogo
00
Serie A08/07/2024
BotafogoAtletico-MG
30
Serie A17/09/2023
Atletico-MGBotafogo
10
Serie A07/05/2023
BotafogoAtletico-MG
20
Serie A08/11/2022
Atletico-MGBotafogo
02
Serie A17/07/2022
BotafogoAtletico-MG
01

Referee Profile

L. Casagrande70 matches

4.59Cards per match
4.35Yellow cards per match
0.24Red cards per match
27.9Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

L. Casagrande4.59
Other referees5.07

4.59 cards a match, 0.48 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.07).

Cards come from 54 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Serie A 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1FlamengoFlamengo33227468:28+4073WWWWD
2PalmeirasPalmeiras332010356:22+3470DWWWW
3CruzeiroCruzeiro331761052:46+657WWWLW
4FluminenseFluminense33159952:42+1054WLLLW
5Atletico ParanaenseAtletico Paranaense33159950:40+1054LDLWD
6BahiaBahia331411848:42+653WDLWL
7Atletico-MGAtletico-MG331481144:39+550LLWWD
8SantosSantos3312111049:47+247DDWLD
9RB BragantinoRB Bragantino331281342:38+444WLDWD
10Sao PauloSao Paulo331271439:39043LDWWL
11CoritibaCoritiba331191340:50-1042WLLDL
12BotafogoBotafogo331091445:53-839LLWDL
13Vasco DA GamaVasco DA Gama321081440:49-938LWLDW
14VitoriaVitoria331081535:48-1338LDDLW
15GremioGremio339101437:44-737WWLDD
16MirassolMirassol339101437:47-1037LDWLD
17CorinthiansCorinthians33991536:42-636WLDLL
18InternacionalInternacional338111437:42-535LWLDW
19RemoRemo336111636:51-1529WLDDD
20Chapecoense-scChapecoense-sc32491932:66-3421LWLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1FlamengoFlamengo3368:2873
2PalmeirasPalmeiras3356:2270
3CruzeiroCruzeiro3352:4657
4FluminenseFluminense3352:4254
5Atletico ParanaenseAtletico Paranaense3350:4054
6BahiaBahia3348:4253
7Atletico-MGAtletico-MG3344:3950
8SantosSantos3349:4747
9RB BragantinoRB Bragantino3342:3844
10Sao PauloSao Paulo3339:3943
11CoritibaCoritiba3340:5042
12BotafogoBotafogo3345:5339
13Vasco DA GamaVasco DA Gama3240:4938
14VitoriaVitoria3335:4838
15GremioGremio3337:4437
16MirassolMirassol3337:4737
17CorinthiansCorinthians3336:4236
18InternacionalInternacional3337:4235
19RemoRemo3336:5129
20Chapecoense-scChapecoense-sc3232:6621
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About the Botafogo vs Atletico-MG forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Botafogo and Atletico-MG in the Serie A table

In the Serie A table, Atletico-MG are 7th and Botafogo 12th, 11 points apart. League goal record so far: Botafogo 45-53, Atletico-MG 44-39. The full standings are on the Serie A Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.