Flamengo vs Atletico-MG Prediction

Flamengo
-
27/10/2026
00:00
Atletico-MG
Estádio do Maracanã, Rio de Janeiro·Rodrigo Jose Pereira de Lima
FlamengoFlamengo
27/10/202600:00
Atletico-MGAtletico-MG

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick Free pick
81%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.17
SignalSTRONGModel75%SurpriseMediumGap-4.3%
Value Analysis
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Flamengo Rest
3 days
Atletico-MG Rest
5 days

Flamengo vs Atletico-MG in numbers

There is little to separate the two on recent form: Flamengo have won 2 of their last five and Atletico-MG 3. The match is played in the Serie A on 26 Oct 2026.

Flamengo have had the better of this fixture, winning 6 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 2.3 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
1.30
X
5.25
2
9.55
Double Chance
1X
1.05
X2
3.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
1.88
No
1.82
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.79 + 0.89 = 2.68
Over 1.5
80%1.17
Over 2.5
59%1.57
Over 3.5
36%2.45
Under 1.5
20%4.80
Under 2.5
41%2.37
Under 3.5
64%1.53
Corners
Over 8.5
1.34
Over 9.5
1.65
Over 10.5
2.05
Under 8.5
2.73
Under 9.5
2.07
Under 10.5
1.72
Cards
Over 3.5
1.32
Over 4.5
1.66
Under 3.5
3.20
Under 4.5
2.13
Predictions for this match are lockedA free account opens the match result market. Pro opens every goal market.

Team Comparison

FlamengoFlamengo
Atletico-MGAtletico-MG
1908Elo Rating 1770
1.13Attack 1.43
2.72Defense 2.01
39%Hit Rate 59%
13.8Shots per Game 14.8
6.1Shots on Target 6.5
7.0Corners per Game 6.3
2.2Cards per Game 1.9

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+138 Elo
📉Home Underperforming
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

FlamengoFlamengo
  • Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0.3 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Atletico-MGAtletico-MG
  • Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0.5 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

FlamengoFlamengo6Wins · 60%
Draws220%
Atletico-MGAtletico-MG2Wins · 20%
2.3Avg Goals
30%Both teams scored3 of 10
40%3+ goals4 of 10

Previous meetings

Serie A27/04/2026
Atletico-MGFlamengo
04
Serie A26/11/2025
Atletico-MGFlamengo
11
Copa Do Brasil07/08/2025
Atletico-MGFlamengo
4031
Copa Do Brasil01/08/2025
FlamengoAtletico-MG
01
Serie A28/07/2025
FlamengoAtletico-MG
10
Serie A14/11/2024
FlamengoAtletico-MG
00
Copa Do Brasil10/11/2024
Atletico-MGFlamengo
01
Copa Do Brasil03/11/2024
FlamengoAtletico-MG
31
Serie A04/07/2024
Atletico-MGFlamengo
24
Serie A29/11/2023
FlamengoAtletico-MG
03

Referee Profile

Rodrigo Jose Pereira de Lima167 matches

5.36Cards per match
5.10Yellow cards per match
0.25Red cards per match
27.7Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Rodrigo Jose Pereira de Lima5.36
Other referees5.26

5.36 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.26).

Cards come from 115 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Serie A 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1PalmeirasPalmeiras32209356:22+3469WWWWD
2FlamengoFlamengo31207461:25+3667WWDWW
3CruzeiroCruzeiro321661051:46+554WWLWW
4Atletico ParanaenseAtletico Paranaense32159850:38+1254DLWDW
5FluminenseFluminense32149950:41+951LLLWW
6Atletico-MGAtletico-MG31148942:35+750WWDWD
7BahiaBahia321311845:40+550DLWLL
8SantosSantos3212101049:47+246DWLDW
9Sao PauloSao Paulo321271337:36+143DWWLL
10RB BragantinoRB Bragantino321181339:38+141LDWDL
11BotafogoBotafogo321091344:51-739LWDLL
12CoritibaCoritiba311091238:49-1139LDLLD
13Vasco DA GamaVasco DA Gama311081339:45-638WLDWW
14VitoriaVitoria321081435:46-1138DDLWL
15MirassolMirassol329101337:45-837DWLDW
16InternacionalInternacional328111336:40-435WLDWL
17CorinthiansCorinthians32891534:42-833LDLLL
18GremioGremio317101434:44-1031LDDDL
19RemoRemo325111634:50-1626LDDDL
20Chapecoense-scChapecoense-sc31491832:63-3121WLLLD
#TeamMPGPts
1PalmeirasPalmeiras3256:2269
2FlamengoFlamengo3161:2567
3CruzeiroCruzeiro3251:4654
4Atletico ParanaenseAtletico Paranaense3250:3854
5FluminenseFluminense3250:4151
6Atletico-MGAtletico-MG3142:3550
7BahiaBahia3245:4050
8SantosSantos3249:4746
9Sao PauloSao Paulo3237:3643
10RB BragantinoRB Bragantino3239:3841
11BotafogoBotafogo3244:5139
12CoritibaCoritiba3138:4939
13Vasco DA GamaVasco DA Gama3139:4538
14VitoriaVitoria3235:4638
15MirassolMirassol3237:4537
16InternacionalInternacional3236:4035
17CorinthiansCorinthians3234:4233
18GremioGremio3134:4431
19RemoRemo3234:5026
20Chapecoense-scChapecoense-sc3132:6321
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About the Flamengo vs Atletico-MG forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Flamengo and Atletico-MG in the Serie A table

In the Serie A table, Flamengo are 2nd and Atletico-MG 6th, 17 points apart. League goal record so far: Flamengo 61-25, Atletico-MG 42-35. The full standings are on the Serie A Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.