Mirassol vs Botafogo Prediction

Mirassol
2-0
Finished
HT 2-0
Botafogo
José Maria de Campos Maia, Mirasol·Felipe Fernandes de Lima 19/09/2026
MirassolMirassol
2-0
Finished
BotafogoBotafogo

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
71%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.30
SignalGOODModel42%SurpriseMediumGap-6.4%
Value Analysis
62%Trust
Home Cards
Home Cards Under 2.5
1.74
SignalSOLIDModel62%SurpriseMediumGap+5.2%
Mirassol Rest
6 days
Botafogo Rest
2 days

Mirassol vs Botafogo: result, form and history

Mirassol beat Botafogo 2-0 in the Serie A on 19 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Games between these two are rarely quiet: their 3 previous meetings averaged 3.7 goals, and both sides scored in 2 of them. Referee Felipe Fernandes de Lima averages 5.65 cards a game, 0.52 more than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
45%2.08
X
27%3.50
2
28%3.45
Double Chance
1X
72%1.30
X2
55%1.73
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%1.60
No
42%2.20
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.31 + 1.03 = 2.34
Over 1.5
75%1.22
Over 2.5
51%1.75
Over 3.5
31%2.75
Under 1.5
25%3.86
Under 2.5
49%2.06
Under 3.5
69%1.40
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.2 + 4.8 = 10
Over 8.5
66%1.43
Over 9.5
53%1.78
Over 10.5
39%2.21
Under 8.5
34%2.56
Under 9.5
47%1.93
Under 10.5
61%1.58
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.2 + 2.4 = 4.6
Over 3.5
67%1.28
Over 4.5
48%1.55
Under 3.5
33%3.50
Under 4.5
52%2.35

Match Events

16'Carlos Eduardo de Oliveira AlveAssist: Igor Formiga
35'HuguinhoFoul
45'Álvaro Montoro INEdenilson out
45'Danilo INHakim Ziyech out
45'Huguinho INJúnior Santos out
45+2'Carlos Eduardo de Oliveira Alve
61'Arthur Cabral INLucas Villalba out
67'Carlos Eduardo de Oliveira Alve INShaylon Kallyson Cardozo out
76'Edson Carioca INCarlos Eduardo out
76'Denilson Alves Borges INWallisson out
77'Cristian Medina INKauan Toledo out
89'Bruno Santos de Oliveira INJose Roberto out
90'Igor Formiga INDaniel Borges out

Lineups

Mirassol
4-2-3-1Coach: Rafael Guanaes
Botafogo
4-4-2Coach: Tite
Avg rating7.32
Avg rating6.52
Walter7.922Walter
Igor Formiga7.832I. Formiga
João Victor8.034J. Victor
Willian Machado8.03W. Machado
Reinaldo7.66Reinaldo
Denilson7.127Denilson
Neto Moura7.225N. Moura
Edson6.495Edson
Eduardo9.133Eduardo
Chico7.210Chico
Bruno Santos6.230B. Santos
Gabriel Batista7.012G. Batista
Vitinho6.62Vitinho
N. Ferraresi6.85N. Ferraresi
L. Monzón6.833L. Monzón
Alex Telles6.913A. Telles
C. Medina6.36C. Medina
Huguinho6.175Huguinho
Danilo Santos6.58D. Santos
Álvaro Montoro6.810Á. Montoro
Danilo6.390Danilo
Arthur Cabral6.519A. Cabral

Mirassol Substitutes

9André Luís
20Daniel Borges90'for Igor Formiga
17Fernandinho
44Gabriel
19Gustavo Silva
5Japa
2Lucas Oliveira
7Shaylon67'for Carlos Eduardo de Oliveira Alve7.0
90Thomazella
80Wallisson76'for Denilson Alves Borges6.8
99Zé Roberto89'for Bruno Santos de Oliveira6.7
96Carlos Eduardo76'for Edson Carioca6.7

Botafogo Substitutes

22H. Ziyech45'for Danilo6.7
3Arthur Chaves
17Warleson
77L. Villalba61'for Arthur Cabral6.6
9Tiquinho Soares
21Marçal
59Kauan Toledo77'for Cristian Medina5.9
42Kadu Santos
34G. Justino
7Júnior Santos45'for Huguinho6.2
88Edenílson45'for Álvaro Montoro6.4
25Allan

Match Stats

MirassolBotafogo
49%Ball Possession51%
3Corner Kicks4
0Yellow Cards1
12Total Shots12
7Shots on Goal5
4Shots off Goal4
7Shots Inside Box11
5Shots Outside Box1
1Blocked Shots3
8Fouls7
0Offsides1
5Goalkeeper Saves5
583Total Passes562
530Passes Accurate508
7Free Kicks8

Team Comparison

MirassolMirassol
BotafogoBotafogo
1649Elo Rating 1605
0.76Attack 0.77
1.93Defense 1.33
19%Hit Rate 19%
11.9Shots per Game 14.5
2.9Shots on Target 4.7
3.9Corners per Game 6.7
2.4Cards per Game 1.2

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend67% in H2H
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

MirassolMirassol
  • Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.5 vs 0.2 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
BotafogoBotafogo
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 3 meetings, all competitions

MirassolMirassol0Wins · 0%
Draws267%
BotafogoBotafogo1Wins · 33%
3.7Avg Goals
67%Both teams scored2 of 3
67%3+ goals2 of 3

Previous meetings

Serie A02/04/2026
BotafogoMirassol
32
Serie A01/11/2025
MirassolBotafogo
00
Serie A18/09/2025
BotafogoMirassol
33

Referee Profile

Felipe Fernandes de Lima185 matches

5.65Cards per match
5.38Yellow cards per match
0.27Red cards per match
31.5Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Felipe Fernandes de Lima5.65
Other referees5.13

5.65 cards a match, 0.52 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.13).

Cards come from 132 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Serie A 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1FlamengoFlamengo33227468:28+4073WWWWD
2PalmeirasPalmeiras332010356:22+3470DWWWW
3CruzeiroCruzeiro331761052:46+657WWWLW
4FluminenseFluminense33159952:42+1054WLLLW
5Atletico ParanaenseAtletico Paranaense33159950:40+1054LDLWD
6BahiaBahia331411848:42+653WDLWL
7Atletico-MGAtletico-MG331481144:39+550LLWWD
8SantosSantos3312111049:47+247DDWLD
9RB BragantinoRB Bragantino331281342:38+444WLDWD
10Sao PauloSao Paulo331271439:39043LDWWL
11CoritibaCoritiba331191340:50-1042WLLDL
12BotafogoBotafogo331091445:53-839LLWDL
13Vasco DA GamaVasco DA Gama321081440:49-938LWLDW
14VitoriaVitoria331081535:48-1338LDDLW
15GremioGremio339101437:44-737WWLDD
16MirassolMirassol339101437:47-1037LDWLD
17CorinthiansCorinthians33991536:42-636WLDLL
18InternacionalInternacional338111437:42-535LWLDW
19RemoRemo336111636:51-1529WLDDD
20Chapecoense-scChapecoense-sc32491932:66-3421LWLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1FlamengoFlamengo3368:2873
2PalmeirasPalmeiras3356:2270
3CruzeiroCruzeiro3352:4657
4FluminenseFluminense3352:4254
5Atletico ParanaenseAtletico Paranaense3350:4054
6BahiaBahia3348:4253
7Atletico-MGAtletico-MG3344:3950
8SantosSantos3349:4747
9RB BragantinoRB Bragantino3342:3844
10Sao PauloSao Paulo3339:3943
11CoritibaCoritiba3340:5042
12BotafogoBotafogo3345:5339
13Vasco DA GamaVasco DA Gama3240:4938
14VitoriaVitoria3335:4838
15GremioGremio3337:4437
16MirassolMirassol3337:4737
17CorinthiansCorinthians3336:4236
18InternacionalInternacional3337:4235
19RemoRemo3336:5129
20Chapecoense-scChapecoense-sc3232:6621
PromotionRelegation

About the Mirassol vs Botafogo forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Mirassol and Botafogo in the Serie A table

In the Serie A table, Botafogo are 12th and Mirassol 16th, 2 points apart. League goal record so far: Mirassol 37-47, Botafogo 45-53. The full standings are on the Serie A Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.