Atletico Paranaense vs Vasco DA Gama Prediction
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Atletico Paranaense vs Vasco DA Gama: the result in context
Vasco DA Gama beat Atletico Paranaense 3-1 in the Serie A on 4 Nov 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.
Their history points to a close game: 7 previous meetings produced 1.9 goals a game. Atletico Paranaense tend to win more corners, 8.3 a game to 3.1 for Vasco DA Gama.
Match Forecasts
Match Events
Lineups
1Mycael
25Dantas
33J. Felipe Aguirre
4A. Dias
29G. Benavídez
16Jádson
C14L. Gustavo
37L. Esquivel
7S. Mendoza
18K. Vargas
9K. Viveros
1L. Jardim
55G. Pereira
4A. Saldivia
30R. Renan
2P. Rodríguez
22A. Lescano
5S. Sosa
C23T. Mendes
66Cuiabano
11A. Gómez
20BrennerAtletico Paranaense Substitutes
Vasco DA Gama Substitutes
Match Stats
Team Comparison
AI Insights
Game State Tendencies
- Starts fast: scores more in 1st half (0.9 vs 0.1 in second half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half and can tire late
- Scores more in 2nd half (1.3 vs 0.4 in first half)
- Concedes more in 1st half, then tightens up after the break
Head to Head
Last 7 meetings, all competitions
Previous meetings
Recent Form
Referee Profile
Compared with other referees
4.76 cards a match, 0.35 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.11).
Cards come from 183 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 34 | 23 | 7 | 4 | 71:29 | +42 | 76 | WWWWW | |
| 2 | 34 | 21 | 10 | 3 | 62:23 | +39 | 73 | WDWWW | |
| 3 | 34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 55:48 | +7 | 60 | WWWWL | |
| 4 | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 55:42 | +13 | 57 | WWLLL | |
| 5 | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 51:43 | +8 | 54 | LLDLW | |
| 6 | 34 | 14 | 11 | 9 | 50:45 | +5 | 53 | LWDLW | |
| 7 | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 44:40 | +4 | 50 | LLLWW | |
| 8 | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 44:39 | +5 | 47 | WWLDW | |
| 9 | 34 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 50:49 | +1 | 47 | LDDWL | |
| 10 | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 39:39 | 0 | 44 | DLDWW | |
| 11 | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 46:53 | -7 | 42 | WLLWD | |
| 12 | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 40:51 | -11 | 42 | LWLLD | |
| 13 | 33 | 11 | 8 | 14 | 43:50 | -7 | 41 | WLWLD | |
| 14 | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 39:48 | -9 | 40 | WLDWL | |
| 15 | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 35:51 | -16 | 38 | LLDDL | |
| 16 | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 38:42 | -4 | 38 | WLWLD | |
| 17 | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 36:42 | -6 | 37 | DWLDL | |
| 18 | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 38:47 | -9 | 37 | LWWLD | |
| 19 | 34 | 6 | 11 | 17 | 37:57 | -20 | 29 | LWLDD | |
| 20 | 33 | 4 | 9 | 20 | 33:68 | -35 | 21 | LLWLL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 34 | 71:29 | 76 | |
| 2 | 34 | 62:23 | 73 | |
| 3 | 34 | 55:48 | 60 | |
| 4 | 34 | 55:42 | 57 | |
| 5 | 34 | 51:43 | 54 | |
| 6 | 34 | 50:45 | 53 | |
| 7 | 34 | 44:40 | 50 | |
| 8 | 34 | 44:39 | 47 | |
| 9 | 34 | 50:49 | 47 | |
| 10 | 34 | 39:39 | 44 | |
| 11 | 34 | 46:53 | 42 | |
| 12 | 34 | 40:51 | 42 | |
| 13 | 33 | 43:50 | 41 | |
| 14 | 34 | 39:48 | 40 | |
| 15 | 34 | 35:51 | 38 | |
| 16 | 34 | 38:42 | 38 | |
| 17 | 34 | 36:42 | 37 | |
| 18 | 34 | 38:47 | 37 | |
| 19 | 34 | 37:57 | 29 | |
| 20 | 33 | 33:68 | 21 |
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This match
More Serie A matches
About the Atletico Paranaense vs Vasco DA Gama forecast
The forecasts for this Serie A match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage is the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% means strong statistical confidence; 45-65% points to a competitive, open match; below 45% means the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for information and entertainment only.
Atletico Paranaense and Vasco DA Gama in the Serie A table
In the Serie A table, Atletico Paranaense are 5th and Vasco DA Gama 13th, 13 points apart. League goal record so far: Atletico Paranaense 51-43, Vasco DA Gama 43-50. The full standings are on the Serie A Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.


