Atletico-MG vs Santos Prediction
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Atletico-MG vs Santos: the result in context
Atletico-MG beat Santos 2-1 in the Serie A on 11 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.
Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.4 goals, with both teams scoring in 5 of them. Atletico-MG tend to win more corners, 6.3 a game to 3.7 for Santos.
Match Forecasts
Match Events
Lineups
1G. Delfim
2Natanael
3L. Duarte
14V. Hugo
36K. Pascini
21A. Franco
5Alexsander
30V. Hugo
15K. Castaño
17I. Gomes
18T. Borbas
1Diógenes
23Rodinei
4L. Veríssimo
15W. Arão
31G. Escobar
48G. Henrique Pereira
28C. Oliva
8G. Bontempo
32B. Rollheiser
7Everton
9G. BarbosaAtletico-MG Substitutes
Santos Substitutes
Match Stats
Team Comparison
AI Insights
Game State Tendencies
- Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
- Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0.5 in first half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
- Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
- Scores more in 2nd half (1.6 vs 0.2 in first half)
Head to Head
Last 10 meetings, all competitions
Previous meetings
Recent Form
Referee Profile
Compared with other referees
5.17 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.28).
Cards come from 93 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 31 | 20 | 7 | 4 | 61:25 | +36 | 67 | WWDWW | |
| 2 | 31 | 19 | 9 | 3 | 54:22 | +32 | 66 | WWWDW | |
| 3 | 31 | 15 | 8 | 8 | 49:37 | +12 | 53 | LWDWD | |
| 4 | 31 | 15 | 6 | 10 | 50:46 | +4 | 51 | WLWWL | |
| 5 | 31 | 14 | 9 | 8 | 49:39 | +10 | 51 | LLWWL | |
| 6 | 31 | 14 | 8 | 9 | 42:35 | +7 | 50 | WWDWD | |
| 7 | 31 | 13 | 10 | 8 | 44:39 | +5 | 49 | LWLLW | |
| 8 | 31 | 12 | 9 | 10 | 48:46 | +2 | 45 | WLDWW | |
| 9 | 31 | 12 | 6 | 13 | 36:35 | +1 | 42 | WWLLW | |
| 10 | 31 | 11 | 8 | 12 | 39:36 | +3 | 41 | DWDLL | |
| 11 | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 44:48 | -4 | 39 | WDLLW | |
| 12 | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 38:49 | -11 | 39 | LDLLD | |
| 13 | 31 | 10 | 7 | 14 | 34:45 | -11 | 37 | DLWLD | |
| 14 | 31 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 36:44 | -8 | 36 | WLDWD | |
| 15 | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 36:43 | -7 | 35 | LDWWW | |
| 16 | 31 | 8 | 9 | 14 | 32:39 | -7 | 33 | DLLLL | |
| 17 | 31 | 7 | 11 | 13 | 33:40 | -7 | 32 | LDWLW | |
| 18 | 31 | 7 | 10 | 14 | 34:44 | -10 | 31 | LDDDL | |
| 19 | 31 | 5 | 11 | 15 | 34:49 | -15 | 26 | DDDLL | |
| 20 | 30 | 3 | 9 | 18 | 30:62 | -32 | 18 | LLLDL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 31 | 61:25 | 67 | |
| 2 | 31 | 54:22 | 66 | |
| 3 | 31 | 49:37 | 53 | |
| 4 | 31 | 50:46 | 51 | |
| 5 | 31 | 49:39 | 51 | |
| 6 | 31 | 42:35 | 50 | |
| 7 | 31 | 44:39 | 49 | |
| 8 | 31 | 48:46 | 45 | |
| 9 | 31 | 36:35 | 42 | |
| 10 | 31 | 39:36 | 41 | |
| 11 | 31 | 44:48 | 39 | |
| 12 | 31 | 38:49 | 39 | |
| 13 | 31 | 34:45 | 37 | |
| 14 | 31 | 36:44 | 36 | |
| 15 | 30 | 36:43 | 35 | |
| 16 | 31 | 32:39 | 33 | |
| 17 | 31 | 33:40 | 32 | |
| 18 | 31 | 34:44 | 31 | |
| 19 | 31 | 34:49 | 26 | |
| 20 | 30 | 30:62 | 18 |
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This match
About the Atletico-MG vs Santos forecast
The forecasts for this Serie A match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Atletico-MG and Santos in the Serie A table
Atletico-MG and Santos are close in the Serie A table, 6th and 8th, with 5 points between them. League goal record so far: Atletico-MG 42-35, Santos 48-46. The full standings are on the Serie A Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.


