Atletico Paranaense vs Atletico-MG Prediction
Brazil · Regular Season - 29
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Atletico Paranaense vs Atletico-MG: the result in context
Atletico Paranaense and Atletico-MG drew 2-2 in the Serie A on 9 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.
Atletico-MG have had the better of this fixture, winning 6 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 2.5 goals a game. Atletico Paranaense tend to win more corners, 9.3 a game to 6.3 for Atletico-MG.
Match Forecasts
Match Events
Lineups
Atletico Paranaense
Avg ratingAvg rating
1Mycael
4A. Dias
22C. Terán
37L. Esquivel
12Gilberto
16Jádson
14L. Gustavo
7S. Mendoza
18K. Vargas
8J. Cruz
9K. Viveros
1G. Delfim
2Natanael
40Vitão
13Lyanco
6R. Lodi
8Maycon
39M. Cisse
28T. Cuello
7Fred
11Bernard
19ReinierAtletico Paranaense Substitutes
Atletico-MG Substitutes
Match Stats
Atletico ParanaenseAtletico-MG Team Comparison
Atletico ParanaenseAtletico-MGAI Insights
Game State Tendencies
Atletico Paranaense- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.3 vs 0.7 in second half)
- Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Atletico-MG- Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
- Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0.5 in first half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Head to Head
Last 10 meetings, all competitions
Atletico Paranaense3Wins · 30%6Wins · 60%Previous meetings
05/04/2026Atletico-MGAtletico Paranaense08/12/2024Atletico-MGAtletico Paranaense16/11/2024Atletico ParanaenseAtletico-MG02/09/2023Atletico ParanaenseAtletico-MG
24/05/2023Atletico-MGAtletico Paranaense30/04/2023Atletico-MGAtletico Paranaense19/04/2023Atletico ParanaenseAtletico-MG08/08/2022Atletico-MGAtletico Paranaense17/04/2022Atletico ParanaenseAtletico-MG
16/12/2021Atletico ParanaenseAtletico-MGRecent Form
Atletico ParanaenseAtletico Paranaense
Bahia
CoritibaAtletico Paranaense
CruzeiroAtletico ParanaenseAtletico Paranaense
Fluminense
BotafogoAtletico ParanaenseAtletico Paranaense
RB Bragantino
SantosAtletico Paranaense
VitoriaAtletico ParanaenseAtletico ParanaenseVitoria
CorinthiansAtletico ParanaenseAtletico-MGAtletico-MGRB BragantinoAtletico-MG
Chapecoense-scAtletico-MGSantosAtletico-MGFluminenseSantosAtletico-MG
Sao PauloAtletico-MGAtletico-MGCruzeiroAtletico-MGVitoriaCruzeiroAtletico-MG
InternacionalAtletico-MGReferee Profile
Compared with other referees
4.78 cards a match, 0.33 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.11).
Cards come from 180 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Flamengo | 31 | 20 | 7 | 4 | 61:25 | +36 | 67 | WWDWW |
| 2 |  Palmeiras | 31 | 19 | 9 | 3 | 54:22 | +32 | 66 | WWWDW |
| 3 | Atletico Paranaense | 31 | 15 | 8 | 8 | 49:37 | +12 | 53 | LWDWD |
| 4 | Cruzeiro | 31 | 15 | 6 | 10 | 50:46 | +4 | 51 | WLWWL |
| 5 | Fluminense | 31 | 14 | 9 | 8 | 49:39 | +10 | 51 | LLWWL |
| 6 | Atletico-MG | 31 | 14 | 8 | 9 | 42:35 | +7 | 50 | WWDWD |
| 7 | Bahia | 31 | 13 | 10 | 8 | 44:39 | +5 | 49 | LWLLW |
| 8 | Santos | 31 | 12 | 9 | 10 | 48:46 | +2 | 45 | WLDWW |
| 9 | Sao Paulo | 31 | 12 | 6 | 13 | 36:35 | +1 | 42 | WWLLW |
| 10 | RB Bragantino | 31 | 11 | 8 | 12 | 39:36 | +3 | 41 | DWDLL |
| 11 | Botafogo | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 44:48 | -4 | 39 | WDLLW |
| 12 | Coritiba | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 38:49 | -11 | 39 | LDLLD |
| 13 | Vitoria | 31 | 10 | 7 | 14 | 34:45 | -11 | 37 | DLWLD |
| 14 |  Mirassol | 31 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 36:44 | -8 | 36 | WLDWD |
| 15 |  Vasco DA Gama | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 36:43 | -7 | 35 | LDWWW |
| 16 | Corinthians | 31 | 8 | 9 | 14 | 32:39 | -7 | 33 | DLLLL |
| 17 | Internacional | 31 | 7 | 11 | 13 | 33:40 | -7 | 32 | LDWLW |
| 18 |  Gremio | 31 | 7 | 10 | 14 | 34:44 | -10 | 31 | LDDDL |
| 19 |  Remo | 31 | 5 | 11 | 15 | 34:49 | -15 | 26 | DDDLL |
| 20 | Chapecoense-sc | 30 | 3 | 9 | 18 | 30:62 | -32 | 18 | LLLDL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Flamengo | 31 | 61:25 | 67 |
| 2 | Palmeiras | 31 | 54:22 | 66 |
| 3 | Atletico Paranaense | 31 | 49:37 | 53 |
| 4 | Cruzeiro | 31 | 50:46 | 51 |
| 5 | Fluminense | 31 | 49:39 | 51 |
| 6 | Atletico-MG | 31 | 42:35 | 50 |
| 7 | Bahia | 31 | 44:39 | 49 |
| 8 | Santos | 31 | 48:46 | 45 |
| 9 | Sao Paulo | 31 | 36:35 | 42 |
| 10 | RB Bragantino | 31 | 39:36 | 41 |
| 11 | Botafogo | 31 | 44:48 | 39 |
| 12 | Coritiba | 31 | 38:49 | 39 |
| 13 | Vitoria | 31 | 34:45 | 37 |
| 14 | Mirassol | 31 | 36:44 | 36 |
| 15 | Vasco DA Gama | 30 | 36:43 | 35 |
| 16 | Corinthians | 31 | 32:39 | 33 |
| 17 | Internacional | 31 | 33:40 | 32 |
| 18 | Gremio | 31 | 34:44 | 31 |
| 19 | Remo | 31 | 34:49 | 26 |
| 20 | Chapecoense-sc | 30 | 30:62 | 18 |
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This match
About the Atletico Paranaense vs Atletico-MG forecast
The forecasts for this Serie A match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Atletico Paranaense and Atletico-MG in the Serie A table
In the Serie A table, Atletico Paranaense are 3rd and Atletico-MG 6th, 3 points apart. League goal record so far: Atletico Paranaense 49-37, Atletico-MG 42-35. The full standings are on the Serie A Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.