Brighton vs Kauno Žalgiris Prediction

Brighton
4-0
Finished
HT 2-0
Kauno Žalgiris
American Express Stadium, Falmer·Mikkel Redder, Denmark 15/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
4.8 / 10
AI Best Pick
66%Trust
BTTS
Both Teams NOT to Score
1.31
SignalSOLIDModel76%SurpriseHighGap-10.2%
Brighton Rest
5 days
Kauno Žalgiris Rest
4 days

Brighton vs Kauno Žalgiris: the result in context

Brighton beat Kauno Žalgiris 4-0 in the UEFA Europa Conference League on 15 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Brighton tend to win more corners, 7.8 a game to 0.6 for Kauno Žalgiris.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
90%1.02
X
8%21.00
2
2%51.00
Double Chance
1X
98%1.01
X2
10%15.00
Both Teams to Score
Yes
34%3.14
No
66%1.31
Goals
Projected Goals: 2.78 + 0.69 = 3.47
Over 1.5
88%1.04
Over 2.5
77%1.14
Over 3.5
63%1.40
Under 1.5
12%12.75
Under 2.5
23%5.05
Under 3.5
37%2.75
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

12'F. OuregaFoul
41'G. RutterAssist: I. Osman
45+2'J. HinshelwoodAssist: G. Rutter
46'L. Dunk INL. Vuskovic out
46'O. Boscagli INM. De Cuyper out
46'Leo Ribeiro INL. Krekovic out
46'F. Ourega INR. Lekiatas out
53'G. RutterAssist: I. Osman
57'P. Gross INY. Ayari out
57'J. Hinshelwood INP. David out
57'F. Baldassarra INA. Kalik out
57'Renan Oliveira ING. Debeljuh out
61'A. Benchaib INV. Slivka out
67'I. Osman INY. Ibrahim out
67'M. O'RileyAssist: Y. Ibrahim

Lineups

Brighton
4-3-3
Kauno Žalgiris
4-1-4-1
Avg rating7.53
Avg rating6.51
Bart Verbruggen6.91B. Verbruggen
Costinha6.720Costinha
Lewis DunkC7.35L. Dunk
Michael Svoboda7.730M. Svoboda
Olivier Boscagli7.921O. Boscagli
Pascal Groß7.613P. Groß
Malick Yalcouyé7.735M. Yalcouyé
Jack Hinshelwood7.58J. Hinshelwood
Matt O'Riley7.733M. O'Riley
Georginio Rutter9.010G. Rutter
Ibrahim Osman7.715I. Osman
Tomas ŠvedkauskasC6.355T. Švedkauskas
Joris Moutachy5.945J. Moutachy
Anton Tolordava7.33A. Tolordava
Aldayr Hernández5.923A. Hernández
Nosa Iyobosa Edokpolor6.337N. Iyobosa Edokpolor
Franco Baldassarra7.332F. Baldassarra
Fabien Ourega6.770F. Ourega
Amine Benchaib6.27A. Benchaib
Yukiyoshi Karashima6.68Y. Karashima
Léo Ribeiro6.315L. Ribeiro
Renan Oliveira6.519R. Oliveira

Brighton Substitutes

29Maxim De Cuyper46'for O. Boscagli8.2
44Luka Vušković46'for L. Dunk7.2
26Yasin Ayari57'for P. Gross7.3
12Promise David57'for J. Hinshelwood6.7
59Younes Ibrahim67'for I. Osman7.3
38Tom McGill
23Jason Steele
24Ferdi Kadıoğlu
25Diego Gómez
14Chema Andrés
50Shane Nti
19Charalampos Kostoulas

Kauno Žalgiris Substitutes

77Rokas Lekiatas46'for F. Ourega6.2
9Leon Kreković46'for Leo Ribeiro6.2
20Anthony Kalik57'for F. Baldassarra6.9
27Gabriel Debeljuh57'for Renan Oliveira6.7
14Vykintas Slivka61'for A. Benchaib6.9
22Deividas Mikelionis
33Marko Konatar
62Lirim Kastrati
17Ivan Fiolić
10Gratas Sirgėdas
24Motiejus Burba

Match Stats

BrightonKauno Žalgiris
78%Ball Possession22%
13Corner Kicks0
0Yellow Cards1
35Total Shots4
9Shots on Goal1
16Shots off Goal2
27Shots Inside Box3
8Shots Outside Box1
10Blocked Shots1
11Fouls8
1Goalkeeper Saves5
687Total Passes207
632Passes Accurate136
92%Pass Accuracy66%

Team Comparison

BrightonBrighton
Kauno ŽalgirisKauno Žalgiris
1952Elo Rating 1695
2.68Attack 1.28
3.00Defense 1.14
73%Hit Rate 54%
22.3Shots per Game 8.6
6.3Shots on Target 1.6
7.8Corners per Game 0.6
1.6Cards per Game 3.3

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+258 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy3.47 goals
📈BTTS Trend
⚠️Home Rotation Risk70%

Game State Tendencies

BrightonBrighton
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
Kauno ŽalgirisKauno Žalgiris
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.8 vs 0.4 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Recent Form

Kauno ŽalgirisKauno Žalgiris
7W1D2L
11/10/2026
MinijaKauno Žalgiris
03
W
20/09/2026
ŠiauliaiKauno Žalgiris
02
W
16/09/2026
FK Zalgiris VilniusKauno Žalgiris
32
L
13/09/2026
PanevėžysKauno Žalgiris
01
W
09/09/2026
Kauno ŽalgirisSuduva Marijampole
51
W
06/09/2026
Kauno ŽalgirisDžiugas Telšiai
50
W
03/09/2026
ŠiauliaiKauno Žalgiris
01
W
30/08/2026
BangaKauno Žalgiris
00
D
27/08/2026
Kauno ŽalgirisBeşiktaş
10
W
20/08/2026
BeşiktaşKauno Žalgiris
30
L

Referee Profile

Mikkel Redder131 matches

4.05Cards per match
3.86Yellow cards per match
0.19Red cards per match
22.7Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Mikkel Redder4.05
Other referees3.90

4.05 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.90).

Cards come from 96 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

UEFA Europa Conference League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1PanathinaikosPanathinaikos22007:2+56WW
2FC LuganoFC Lugano22008:4+46WW
3BrannBrann22006:2+46WW
4TrabzonsporTrabzonspor22006:2+46WW
5TwenteTwente22005:1+46WW
6MonacoMonaco22005:1+46WW
7St. TruidenSt. Truiden22003:0+36WW
8HNK Hajduk SplitHNK Hajduk Split22003:1+26WW
9BrightonBrighton21104:0+44DW
10FC CopenhagenFC Copenhagen21105:2+34DW
11Universitatea CraiovaUniversitatea Craiova21104:2+24WD
12Mjallby AIFMjallby AIF21103:1+24DW
13AjaxAjax21013:2+13WL
14Borac Banja LukaBorac Banja Luka21013:2+13WL
15AtalantaAtalanta21013:303LW
16SC BragaSC Braga21012:3-13WL
17GentGent21011:2-13LW
18SC FreiburgSC Freiburg21013:5-23LW
19FC NordsjaellandFC Nordsjaelland20203:302DD
20Egnatia RrogozhinëEgnatia Rrogozhinë20202:202DD
21RigaRiga20202:202DD
22FK Crvena ZvezdaFK Crvena Zvezda20114:5-11DL
23CSKA SofiaCSKA Sofia20113:4-11DL
24FK JablonecFK Jablonec20112:3-11DL
25FC MidtjyllandFC Midtjylland20111:2-11LD
26AarhusAarhus20111:2-11DL
27PafosPafos20112:4-21DL
28Heart Of MidlothianHeart Of Midlothian20111:3-21LD
29FC Iberia 1999FC Iberia 199920111:3-21DL
30GetafeGetafe20113:6-31LD
31Kairat AlmatyKairat Almaty20112:6-41LD
32FC ThunFC Thun20020:2-20LL
33Lincoln Red Imps FCLincoln Red Imps FC20022:6-40LL
34KuPSKuPS20022:6-40LL
35Inter Club d'EscaldesInter Club d'Escaldes20021:5-40LL
36Kauno ŽalgirisKauno Žalgiris20021:8-70LL
Conference League

About the Brighton vs Kauno Žalgiris forecast

This is a UEFA Europa Conference League cup fixture; the forecasts combine team ratings, recent form and scoring data, with the cup context taken into account.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About UEFA Europa Conference League

More UEFA Europa Conference League fixtures and forecasts are on the UEFA Europa Conference League Predictions page.

Key Factors for This Match

Brighton have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Brighton and Kauno Žalgiris have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.