Brighton vs Arsenal Prediction
England · Regular Season - 5
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Brighton vs Arsenal: result, form and history
Brighton beat Arsenal 3-0 in the Premier League on 19 Sep 2026. That went against recent form: Arsenal had won 5 of their previous five, compared with 3 for Brighton.
Arsenal have had the better of this fixture, winning 6 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 2.8 goals a game.
Match Forecasts
Match Events
Lineups
Brighton
Avg ratingAvg rating
1B. Verbruggen
24F. Kadıoğlu
44L. Vušković
4P. Struijk
21O. Boscagli
14J. María Andrés Baixauli
13P. Groß
25D. Gómez
26Y. Ayari
29M. De Cuyper
19C. Kostoulas
1D. Raya
12J. Timber
15E. Konsa
6G. Magalhães
33R. Calafiori
41D. Rice
39B. Guimarães
7B. Saka
8M. Ødegaard
17C. Tzolis
29K. HavertzBrighton Substitutes
Arsenal Substitutes
Match Stats
BrightonArsenal Team Comparison
BrightonArsenalAI Insights
Game State Tendencies
Brighton- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Arsenal- Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
- Scores more in 2nd half (1.3 vs 0.4 in first half)
- Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Head to Head
Last 10 meetings, all competitions
Brighton2Wins · 20%6Wins · 60%Previous meetings
04/03/2026BrightonArsenal27/12/2025ArsenalBrighton
29/10/2025ArsenalBrighton04/01/2025BrightonArsenal31/08/2024ArsenalBrighton06/04/2024BrightonArsenal17/12/2023ArsenalBrighton14/05/2023ArsenalBrighton31/12/2022BrightonArsenal09/11/2022ArsenalBrightonRecent Form
Brighton
Manchester UnitedBrighton
CoventryBrightonBrighton
Leeds
ChelseaBrightonBrighton
TromsoBrighton
Aston VillaTromsoBrightonBrighton
BolognaBrighton
AS RomaBrighton
StrasbourgArsenal
IpswichArsenal
SunderlandArsenal
NapoliArsenalArsenalChelseaAston VillaArsenalArsenalCoventryArsenal
Manchester CityArsenal
ComoArsenal
Borussia DortmundArsenal
Real BetisReferee Profile
Compared with other referees
4.39 cards a match, 0.45 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.94).
Cards come from 33 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 9 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 14:5 | +9 | 24 | WWWWL |
| 2 | Manchester City | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 20:10 | +10 | 21 | LLWWW |
| 3 | Brighton | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 24:7 | +17 | 19 | WLWWW |
| 4 | Chelsea | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 19:15 | +4 | 16 | WLWWL |
| 5 |  Liverpool | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 11:9 | +2 | 15 | LWWLW |
| 6 |  Brentford | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 16:9 | +7 | 14 | WDLDW |
| 7 |  Everton | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 9:9 | 0 | 13 | WLLDW |
| 8 |  Bournemouth | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 14:13 | +1 | 12 | WWWLL |
| 9 |  Tottenham | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 10:10 | 0 | 12 | WWWDL |
| 10 | Aston Villa | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 10:13 | -3 | 12 | DWWDW |
| 11 |  Hull City | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 11:10 | +1 | 11 | DDLDL |
| 12 | Leeds | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 9:8 | +1 | 11 | LDDLD |
| 13 |  Newcastle | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 12:15 | -3 | 11 | LWLLW |
| 14 | Ipswich | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 14:18 | -4 | 11 | DDLWL |
| 15 |  Fulham | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 9:11 | -2 | 9 | DWWLD |
| 16 | Coventry | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 9:16 | -7 | 9 | WLLWW |
| 17 | Manchester United | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 10:15 | -5 | 7 | LLDDD |
| 18 |  Crystal Palace | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 9:21 | -12 | 7 | LLLWD |
| 19 |  Nottingham Forest | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 6:12 | -6 | 6 | LDLLL |
| 20 | Sunderland | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 7:17 | -10 | 5 | LDLLL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 9 | 14:5 | 24 |
| 2 | Manchester City | 9 | 20:10 | 21 |
| 3 | Brighton | 9 | 24:7 | 19 |
| 4 | Chelsea | 9 | 19:15 | 16 |
| 5 | Liverpool | 9 | 11:9 | 15 |
| 6 | Brentford | 9 | 16:9 | 14 |
| 7 | Everton | 9 | 9:9 | 13 |
| 8 | Bournemouth | 9 | 14:13 | 12 |
| 9 | Tottenham | 9 | 10:10 | 12 |
| 10 | Aston Villa | 9 | 10:13 | 12 |
| 11 | Hull City | 9 | 11:10 | 11 |
| 12 | Leeds | 9 | 9:8 | 11 |
| 13 | Newcastle | 9 | 12:15 | 11 |
| 14 | Ipswich | 9 | 14:18 | 11 |
| 15 | Fulham | 9 | 9:11 | 9 |
| 16 | Coventry | 9 | 9:16 | 9 |
| 17 | Manchester United | 9 | 10:15 | 7 |
| 18 | Crystal Palace | 9 | 9:21 | 7 |
| 19 | Nottingham Forest | 9 | 6:12 | 6 |
| 20 | Sunderland | 9 | 7:17 | 5 |
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About the Brighton vs Arsenal forecast
Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Brighton and Arsenal in the Premier League table
This is a meeting of two top-four sides: Arsenal are 1st in the Premier League, 5 points ahead of Brighton in 3rd. League goal record so far: Brighton 24-7, Arsenal 14-5. The full standings are on the Premier League Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.