Coventry vs Brighton Prediction

Coventry
0-5
Finished
HT 0-1
Brighton
Coventry Building Society Arena, Coventry 13/09/2026
CoventryCoventry
0-5
Finished
BrightonBrighton

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.5 / 10
Value Analysis
61%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 2.5 Goals
1.72
SignalSOLIDModel61%SurpriseHighGap+5.1%
Coventry Rest
7 days
Brighton Rest
7 days

Coventry vs Brighton: the result in context

Brighton beat Coventry 5-0 in the Premier League on 13 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Brighton tend to win more corners, 6.9 a game to 3.0 for Coventry.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
23%3.93
X
26%3.77
2
51%1.91
Double Chance
1X
49%1.94
X2
77%1.25
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%1.62
No
43%2.20
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.2 + 1.74 = 2.94
Over 1.5
83%1.22
Over 2.5
61%1.72
Over 3.5
37%2.74
Under 1.5
17%4.20
Under 2.5
39%2.18
Under 3.5
63%1.44
Corners
Projected Corners: 3.8 + 4.8 = 8.6
Over 8.5
46%1.47
Over 9.5
35%1.85
Over 10.5
26%2.36
Under 8.5
54%2.46
Under 9.5
65%1.93
Under 10.5
74%1.52
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.8 + 2 = 3.8
Over 3.5
54%1.74
Over 4.5
34%2.52
Under 3.5
46%2.02
Under 4.5
66%1.49

Match Events

35'Charalampos KostoulasAssist: Pascal Groß
51'Malick YalcouyéAssist: Maxim De Cuyper
53'Taiwo AwoniyiViolent conduct
60'Ephron Mason-Clark INSidiki Cherif out
65'Malick Yalcouyé INChema Andrés out
70'Pascal Groß(Penalty)
73'Frank Onyeka INCaleb Yirenkyi out
73'Jack Rudoni INBrandon Thomas-Asante out
78'Luka Vuskovic INPascal Struijk out
78'Olivier Boscagli INIbrahim Osman out
83'Lewis DunkAssist: Chema Andrés
84'Diego Gomez INCostinha out
84'Charalampos Kostoulas INMatt O'Riley out
84'Matt Grimes INVictor Torp out
90+4'Yasin AyariAssist: Pascal Groß

Lineups

Coventry
3-4-2-1Coach: F. Lampard
Brighton
4-2-3-1Coach: F. Hürzeler
Avg rating5.98
Avg rating7.54
C. Rushworth6.019C. Rushworth
A. Amenda5.724A. Amenda
B. Thomas5.64B. Thomas
E. Pinnock5.72E. Pinnock
M. van Ewijk6.127M. van Ewijk
F. Onyeka6.216F. Onyeka
M. Grimes5.96M. Grimes
J. Dasilva6.23J. Dasilva
J. Rudoni6.35J. Rudoni
E. Mason-Clark6.110E. Mason-Clark
T. Awoniyi5.314T. Awoniyi
B. Verbruggen9.01B. Verbruggen
F. Kadıoğlu7.024F. Kadıoğlu
L. Vušković7.644L. Vušković
L. Dunk7.95L. Dunk
O. Boscagli7.521O. Boscagli
P. Groß8.613P. Groß
Y. Ayari8.226Y. Ayari
D. Gómez6.725D. Gómez
M. Yalcouyé8.235M. Yalcouyé
M. De Cuyper7.729M. De Cuyper
C. Kostoulas7.619C. Kostoulas

Coventry Substitutes

49S. Cherif60'for Ephron Mason-Clark6.4
23B. Thomas-Asante73'for Jack Rudoni6.7
38G. Hamer
25D. Bentley
12S. Mfuni
7T. Sakamoto
8Caleb Marfo Yirenkyi73'for Frank Onyeka6.0
17L. Tchaouna
29V. Torp84'for Matt Grimes5.8

Brighton Substitutes

3J. Hadjam
4P. Struijk78'for Luka Vuskovic7.3
20Costinha84'for Diego Gomez7.0
14José María Andrés Baixauli65'for Malick Yalcouyé6.9
15I. Osman78'for Olivier Boscagli6.6
33M. O'Riley84'for Charalampos Kostoulas6.9
23J. Steele
12P. David
59Y. Ibrahim

Match Stats

CoventryBrighton
31%Ball Possession69%
5Corner Kicks3
1Red Cards0
14Total Shots22
6Shots on Goal7
6Shots off Goal10
12Shots Inside Box14
2Shots Outside Box8
2Blocked Shots5
9Fouls15
2Offsides2
2Goalkeeper Saves6
249Total Passes584
174Passes Accurate526
70%Pass Accuracy90%

Team Comparison

CoventryCoventry
BrightonBrighton
1708Elo Rating 1936
1.31Attack 1.93
1.43Defense 2.00
36%Hit Rate 31%
11.8Shots per Game 21.3
3.1Shots on Target 5.4
3.0Corners per Game 6.9
1.3Cards per Game 1.8

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy2.94 goals
📈BTTS Trend

Game State Tendencies

CoventryCoventry
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1 vs 0.3 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
BrightonBrighton
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Recent Form

CoventryCoventry
6W1D3L
05/09/2026
Manchester CityCoventry
10
L
29/08/2026
CoventryHull City
01
L
25/08/2026
PlymouthCoventry
24
W
21/08/2026
ArsenalCoventry
30
L
14/08/2026
CoventryMonaco
20
W
08/08/2026
CoventryEspanyol
31
W
18/07/2026
NorthamptonCoventry
00
D
02/05/2026
WatfordCoventry
04
W
26/04/2026
CoventryWrexham
31
W
21/04/2026
CoventryPortsmouth
51
W
BrightonBrighton
5W2D3L
05/09/2026
BrightonLeeds
11
D
30/08/2026
ChelseaBrighton
43
L
27/08/2026
BrightonTromso
40
W
23/08/2026
BrightonAston Villa
40
W
20/08/2026
TromsoBrighton
00
D
15/08/2026
BrightonBologna
10
W
08/08/2026
BrightonAS Roma
30
W
01/08/2026
BrightonStrasbourg
43
W
24/05/2026
BrightonManchester United
03
L
17/05/2026
LeedsBrighton
10
L

League Table

Premier League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1ArsenalArsenal980114:5+924WWWWL
2Manchester CityManchester City970220:10+1021LLWWW
3BrightonBrighton961224:7+1719WLWWW
4ChelseaChelsea951319:15+416WLWWL
5LiverpoolLiverpool943211:9+215LWWLW
6BrentfordBrentford935116:9+714WDLDW
7BournemouthBournemouth933314:13+112WWWLL
8TottenhamTottenham933310:10012WWWDL
9Aston VillaAston Villa933310:13-312DWWDW
10Hull CityHull City925211:10+111DDLDL
11LeedsLeeds92529:8+111LDDLD
12NewcastleNewcastle832312:14-211WLLWL
13IpswichIpswich932414:18-411DDLWL
14EvertonEverton82428:9-110LLDWD
15FulhamFulham92349:11-29DWWLD
16CoventryCoventry93069:16-79WLLWW
17Manchester UnitedManchester United914410:15-57LLDDD
18Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace92169:21-127LLLWD
19Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest91356:12-66LDLLL
20SunderlandSunderland91267:17-105LDLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1ArsenalArsenal914:524
2Manchester CityManchester City920:1021
3BrightonBrighton924:719
4ChelseaChelsea919:1516
5LiverpoolLiverpool911:915
6BrentfordBrentford916:914
7BournemouthBournemouth914:1312
8TottenhamTottenham910:1012
9Aston VillaAston Villa910:1312
10Hull CityHull City911:1011
11LeedsLeeds99:811
12NewcastleNewcastle812:1411
13IpswichIpswich914:1811
14EvertonEverton88:910
15FulhamFulham99:119
16CoventryCoventry99:169
17Manchester UnitedManchester United910:157
18Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace99:217
19Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest96:126
20SunderlandSunderland97:175
Champions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation

About the Coventry vs Brighton forecast

The forecasts for this Premier League match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Coventry and Brighton in the Premier League table

In the Premier League table, Brighton are 3rd and Coventry 16th, 10 points apart. League goal record so far: Coventry 9-16, Brighton 24-7. The full standings are on the Premier League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Coventry and Brighton have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.