Bristol Rovers vs Salford City Prediction

Memorial Stadium, Bristol 20/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
65%Trust
Double Chance
Draw or Away Win
1.44
SignalSOLIDModel38%SurpriseHighGap-4.1%
Bristol Rovers Rest
3 days
Salford City Rest
3 days

Bristol Rovers vs Salford City: the result in context

Salford City beat Bristol Rovers 2-1 in the League Two on 20 Oct 2026. It was in line with recent form: Salford City had won 4 of their previous five, compared with 1 for Bristol Rovers.

Their history points to a close game: 4 previous meetings produced 1.8 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
34%2.60
X
28%3.32
2
38%2.56
Double Chance
1X
63%1.44
X2
66%1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%1.57
No
43%2.25
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.16 + 1.19 = 2.35
Over 1.5
74%1.22
Over 2.5
51%1.74
Over 3.5
29%2.70
Under 1.5
26%3.85
Under 2.5
49%2.04
Under 3.5
71%1.37
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.1 + 4.7 = 9.9
Over 8.5
63%1.42
Over 9.5
52%1.79
Over 10.5
40%2.17
Under 8.5
37%2.65
Under 9.5
48%1.96
Under 10.5
60%1.61
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.1 + 2.1 = 4.2
Over 3.5
60%-
Over 4.5
41%-
Under 3.5
40%-
Under 4.5
59%-

Match Events

6'Brendan Sarpeng-WireduAssist: Kallum Cesay
20'Daniel UdohAssist: Luke Molyneux
29'Elliot BondsNot retreating
37'Kofi BalmerDissent
38'Ciaran KellyFoul
41'Shaqai FordeFoul
45+1'Ryan GraydonDissent
48'Luke GarbuttFoul
54'Ellis Harrison(Penalty missed)
57'Jack Sparkes
67'Ryan Graydon INJorge Grant out
67'Luke Garbutt INWill Aimson out
67'Daniel Udoh INMacaulay Langstaff out
67'Elliot Bonds INMatt·Butcher out
69'Fabrizio Cavegn INReiss-Alexander Russell-Denny out
81'Shaqai Forde INBobby Kamwa out
81'Ellis Harrison INJoe Quigley out
81'Jack Sparkes INArvin Appiah out
83'Luke Molyneux INNathan Asiimwe out
90+3'Keenan GoughFoul

Lineups

Bristol Rovers
3-4-1-2Coach: S. Evans
Salford City
3-5-2Coach: P. Cklamovski
Avg rating6.12
Avg rating6.68
Brad Young5.81B. Young
T. James6.32T. James
A. Kilgour6.15A. Kilgour
C. Kelly5.617C. Kelly
K. Balmer5.64K. Balmer
Keenan Gough6.522K. Gough
C. Mola6.26C. Mola
J. Sparkes6.73J. Sparkes
S. Forde6.07S. Forde
F. Cavegn6.429F. Cavegn
E. Harrison5.819E. Harrison
W. Norris7.81W. Norris
A. Oluwo6.722A. Oluwo
D. Scarr6.617D. Scarr
T. Allen6.524T. Allen
L. Molyneux6.743L. Molyneux
K. Cesay6.521K. Cesay
E. Bonds6.416E. Bonds
B. Sarpong-Wiredu7.144B. Sarpong-Wiredu
L. Garbutt6.329L. Garbutt
R. Graydon6.319R. Graydon
D. Udoh7.823D. Udoh

Bristol Rovers Substitutes

28A. Appiah81'for Jack Sparkes6.3
10B. Kamwa81'for Shaqai Forde6.6
14B. Purrington
9J. Quigley81'for Ellis Harrison5.9
8R. Russell-Denny69'for Fabrizio Cavegn6.1
21R. Smallwood
32Charlie Binns

Salford City Substitutes

14A. Odoh
9M. Langstaff67'for Daniel Udoh6.2
8J. Grant67'for Ryan Graydon6.0
18M. Butcher67'for Elliot Bonds6.6
26L. Burge
2N. Asiimwe83'for Luke Molyneux6.8
4W. Aimson67'for Luke Garbutt6.6

Match Stats

Bristol RoversSalford City
49%Ball Possession51%
7Corner Kicks3
4Yellow Cards3
14Total Shots12
6Shots on Goal5
6Shots off Goal4
8Shots Inside Box8
6Shots Outside Box4
2Blocked Shots3
15Fouls14
2Offsides1
3Goalkeeper Saves5
343Total Passes384
215Passes Accurate253
13Free Kicks15

Team Comparison

Bristol RoversBristol Rovers
Salford CitySalford City
1484Elo Rating 1607
0.54Attack 1.69
1.29Defense 2.34
0%Hit Rate 83%
15.9Shots per Game 13.5
5.1Shots on Target 4.7
4.9Corners per Game 4.8
2.5Cards per Game 1.9

AI Insights

📉Home Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

Bristol RoversBristol Rovers
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
Salford CitySalford City
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 4 meetings, all competitions

Bristol RoversBristol Rovers2Wins · 50%
Draws125%
Salford CitySalford City1Wins · 25%
1.8Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored2 of 4
25%3+ goals1 of 4

Previous meetings

League Two24/01/2026
Salford CityBristol Rovers
10
League Two27/09/2025
Bristol RoversSalford City
21
League Two15/04/2022
Bristol RoversSalford City
10
League Two23/11/2021
Salford CityBristol Rovers
11

Recent Form

Bristol RoversBristol Rovers
4W0D6L
17/10/2026
ShrewsburyBristol Rovers
10
L
10/10/2026
Bristol RoversBarnet
13
L
06/10/2026
WycombeBristol Rovers
41
L
03/10/2026
CreweBristol Rovers
31
L
26/09/2026
Bristol RoversExeter City
10
W
19/09/2026
GillinghamBristol Rovers
30
L
12/09/2026
GrimsbyBristol Rovers
20
L
05/09/2026
Bristol RoversRotherham
10
W
01/09/2026
Bristol RoversColchester
20
W
29/08/2026
Crawley TownBristol Rovers
02
W
Salford CitySalford City
7W1D2L
17/10/2026
Salford CityCrawley Town
21
W
10/10/2026
CheltenhamSalford City
02
W
06/10/2026
Accrington STSalford City
5141
L
03/10/2026
Salford CityFleetwood Town
10
W
26/09/2026
OldhamSalford City
14
W
22/09/2026
Salford CitySheffield Wednesday
12
L
19/09/2026
Salford CitySwindon Town
10
W
12/09/2026
RotherhamSalford City
33
D
05/09/2026
Salford CityPort Vale
10
W
01/09/2026
Salford CityNewport County
21
W

League Table

League Two 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Salford CitySalford City1391323:14+928WWWWW
2BarnetBarnet1274127:17+1025WDLWW
3CheltenhamCheltenham1363422:22021WWLLL
4CreweCrewe1356216:16021LLWWW
5YorkYork1355322:16+620LWDDD
6WalsallWalsall1247118:11+719LWDDD
7ChesterfieldChesterfield1354423:17+619WDLDW
8Exeter CityExeter City1354410:7+319WWDWW
9Accrington STAccrington ST1346322:16+618WDWDW
10ShrewsburyShrewsbury1353516:20-418DWWLW
11GrimsbyGrimsby1345419:16+317WDLLL
12GillinghamGillingham1345418:18017LDLWD
13TranmereTranmere1337316:16016DWLDL
14Swindon TownSwindon Town1344513:16-316DWDLL
15Bristol RoversBristol Rovers1351716:20-416DLLLL
16Newport CountyNewport County1336416:16015LDDWD
17RochdaleRochdale1343615:22-715LDLDW
18Fleetwood TownFleetwood Town1335515:17-214LLWDL
19NorthamptonNorthampton113448:8013WLWDL
20OldhamOldham1233614:18-412DLWDL
21ColchesterColchester1226411:16-512LDDLD
22RotherhamRotherham1326517:23-612DDLLL
23Port ValePort Vale113356:12-612LDWWL
24Crawley TownCrawley Town1113712:21-96DLLDL
#TeamMPGPts
1Salford CitySalford City1323:1428
2BarnetBarnet1227:1725
3CheltenhamCheltenham1322:2221
4CreweCrewe1316:1621
5YorkYork1322:1620
6WalsallWalsall1218:1119
7ChesterfieldChesterfield1323:1719
8Exeter CityExeter City1310:719
9Accrington STAccrington ST1322:1618
10ShrewsburyShrewsbury1316:2018
11GrimsbyGrimsby1319:1617
12GillinghamGillingham1318:1817
13TranmereTranmere1316:1616
14Swindon TownSwindon Town1313:1616
15Bristol RoversBristol Rovers1316:2016
16Newport CountyNewport County1316:1615
17RochdaleRochdale1315:2215
18Fleetwood TownFleetwood Town1315:1714
19NorthamptonNorthampton118:813
20OldhamOldham1214:1812
21ColchesterColchester1211:1612
22RotherhamRotherham1317:2312
23Port ValePort Vale116:1212
24Crawley TownCrawley Town1112:216
PromotionRelegation

About the Bristol Rovers vs Salford City forecast

The forecasts for this League Two match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Bristol Rovers and Salford City in the League Two table

In the League Two table, Salford City are 1st and Bristol Rovers 15th, 12 points apart. League goal record so far: Bristol Rovers 16-20, Salford City 23-14. The full standings are on the League Two Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.