Cheltenham vs Fleetwood Town Prediction
England · Regular Season - 12
Whaddon Road, Cheltenham 20/10/2026
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
69%Trust
Double Chance
Draw or Away Win
1.33
SignalSOLIDModel44%SurpriseMediumGap-6.5%
Cheltenham Rest
3 days
Fleetwood Town Rest
3 days
Cheltenham vs Fleetwood Town: result, form and history
Cheltenham beat Fleetwood Town 4-2 in the League Two on 20 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.
Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.3 goals, with both teams scoring in 3 of them.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
131%3.10
X27%3.38
242%2.20
Double Chance
1X58%1.60
X269%1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes55%1.65
No45%2.12
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.2 + 1.23 = 2.43
Over 1.574%1.25
Over 2.550%1.82
Over 3.528%3.00
Under 1.526%3.60
Under 2.550%1.95
Under 3.572%1.36
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.3 + 5.3 = 10.7
Over 8.572%1.39
Over 9.561%1.73
Over 10.549%2.13
Under 8.528%2.67
Under 9.539%2.02
Under 10.551%1.65
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.2 + 2.1 = 4.3
Over 3.562%-
Over 4.542%-
Under 3.538%-
Under 4.558%-
Match Events
11'Adam MurphyFoul
17'Jay LynchOG
20'Ben StevensonFoul
25'K. Otchere
31'Shaun RooneyDissent
39'Jake EvansAssist: Charlie McCann
45'Will davies INChed Evans out
45'Adam Murphy INCrispin McLean out
45'Ronan Coughlan INConor Haughey out
50'Ched EvansAssist: Crispin McLean
64'Jonathan TomkinsonFoul
65'Ched Evans(Penalty)
65'Stephen John CotterillDissent
74'K. Otchere INRyan Broom out
76'Lewis McCann INAaron Loupalo-Bi out
80'Freddie willcox
84'Jake Evans INGeorge Miller out
85'Jordan Shipley INGeorge Nurse out
88'Andreas Weimann INJake Bickerstaff out
88'Finley Potter INR. Cirino out
89'R. BennettFoul
Lineups
CheltenhamFleetwood Town
3-1-4-2Coach: M. LawlorAvg ratingAvg rating
23W. Stanway
3J. Tomkinson
6J. Wilson
25P. Sweeney
33F. Willcox
7B. Stevenson
19J. Evans
9K. Otchere
8C. McCann
26J. Shipley
18A. Weimann
1J. Lynch
26S. Rooney
6R. Bennett
5F. Potter
4H. Neal
14L. McCann
15A. Murphy
10M. Helm
24J. Thomas Batty
19R. Coughlan
9W. DaviesCheltenham Substitutes
11J. Bickerstaff88'for Andreas Weimann
14R. Broom74'for K. Otchere
31M. Diallo
10G. Miller84'for Jake Evans
21G. Nurse85'for Jordan Shipley
20Favour Onukwuli
Fleetwood Town Substitutes
17C. Evans45'for Will davies50'65'
20A. Loupalo-Bi76'for Lewis McCann
22J. Pradic
28J. Robertson
27C. McLean45'for Adam Murphy
16Conor Haughey45'for Ronan Coughlan
29R. Cirino88'for Finley Potter
Match Stats
CheltenhamFleetwood Town 43%Ball Possession57%
6Corner Kicks5
2Yellow Cards3
11Total Shots13
5Shots on Goal4
4Shots off Goal5
8Shots Inside Box7
2Shots Outside Box6
2Blocked Shots4
17Fouls11
0Offsides1
1Goalkeeper Saves2
356Total Passes469
232Passes Accurate345
11Free Kicks15
Team Comparison
CheltenhamFleetwood Town1501Elo Rating 1528
1.71Attack 1.85
1.15Defense 1.24
50%Hit Rate 34%
8.9Shots per Game 14.2
3.0Shots on Target 5.1
4.3Corners per Game 6.0
2.4Cards per Game 2.6
AI Insights
📈BTTS Trend30% in H2H
📊Home Overperforming
Game State Tendencies
Cheltenham- Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
- Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.3 vs 0.4 in second half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Fleetwood Town- Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
- Scores more in 2nd half (1.8 vs 0 in first half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Head to Head
Last 10 meetings, all competitions
Cheltenham4Wins · 40%Draws220%
Fleetwood Town4Wins · 40%
4Wins · 40%2.3Avg Goals
30%Both teams scored3 of 10
30%3+ goals3 of 10
Previous meetings
10/03/2026Fleetwood TownCheltenham22
04/10/2025CheltenhamFleetwood Town20
08/02/2025Fleetwood TownCheltenham20
28/09/2024CheltenhamFleetwood Town02
29/03/2024Fleetwood TownCheltenham12
03/10/2023CheltenhamFleetwood Town02
04/03/2023CheltenhamFleetwood Town10
16/08/2022Fleetwood TownCheltenham00
12/02/2022CheltenhamFleetwood Town20
21/08/2021Fleetwood TownCheltenham32
Recent Form
Cheltenham5W2D3L
17/10/2026
OldhamCheltenhamCheltenham
Salford CityCheltenham
Chesterfield
Crawley TownCheltenham
OldhamCheltenham41
L13/10/2026Cheltenham
Tottenham Hotspur U21
10/10/2026CheltenhamTottenham Hotspur U217262
WCheltenhamSalford City02
L03/10/2026
Accrington STCheltenham
26/09/2026Accrington STCheltenham20
LCheltenhamChesterfield21
W22/09/2026Cheltenham
Exeter City
CheltenhamExeter City4232
W19/09/2026
ColchesterCheltenham
12/09/2026ColchesterCheltenham11
DCrawley TownCheltenham13
W05/09/2026Cheltenham
Grimsby
CheltenhamGrimsby22
D01/09/2026Cheltenham
York
CheltenhamYork32
WFleetwood Town4W2D4L
17/10/2026Fleetwood Town
RotherhamSalford CityFleetwood TownFleetwood Town
RochdaleFleetwood Town
Sheffield UtdFleetwood Town
Shrewsbury
Fleetwood TownRotherham20
W10/10/2026Fleetwood Town
Walsall
Fleetwood TownWalsall11
D06/10/2026Fleetwood Town
Barnsley
03/10/2026Fleetwood TownBarnsley41
WSalford CityFleetwood Town10
L26/09/2026Fleetwood TownRochdale12
L22/09/2026OldhamFleetwood Town
OldhamFleetwood Town10
L19/09/2026
BarnetFleetwood Town
16/09/2026BarnetFleetwood Town31
LFleetwood TownSheffield Utd10
W12/09/2026
Newport CountyFleetwood Town
05/09/2026Newport CountyFleetwood Town11
DFleetwood TownShrewsbury20
WLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Salford City | 13 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 23:14 | +9 | 28 | WWWWW |
| 2 | Barnet | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 27:17 | +10 | 25 | WDLWW |
| 3 | Cheltenham | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 22:22 | 0 | 21 | WWLLL |
| 4 |  Crewe | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 16:16 | 0 | 21 | LLWWW |
| 5 | York | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 22:16 | +6 | 20 | LWDDD |
| 6 | Walsall | 12 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 18:11 | +7 | 19 | LWDDD |
| 7 | Chesterfield | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 23:17 | +6 | 19 | WDLDW |
| 8 | Exeter City | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 10:7 | +3 | 19 | WWDWW |
| 9 | Accrington ST | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 22:16 | +6 | 18 | WDWDW |
| 10 | Shrewsbury | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 16:20 | -4 | 18 | DWWLW |
| 11 | Grimsby | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 19:16 | +3 | 17 | WDLLL |
| 12 |  Gillingham | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 18:18 | 0 | 17 | LDLWD |
| 13 |  Tranmere | 13 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 16:16 | 0 | 16 | DWLDL |
| 14 |  Swindon Town | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 13:16 | -3 | 16 | DWDLL |
| 15 |  Bristol Rovers | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 16:20 | -4 | 16 | DLLLL |
| 16 | Newport County | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 16:16 | 0 | 15 | LDDWD |
| 17 | Rochdale | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 15:22 | -7 | 15 | LDLDW |
| 18 | Fleetwood Town | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 15:17 | -2 | 14 | LLWDL |
| 19 |  Northampton | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 8:8 | 0 | 13 | WLWDL |
| 20 | Oldham | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 14:18 | -4 | 12 | DLWDL |
| 21 | Colchester | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 11:16 | -5 | 12 | LDDLD |
| 22 | Rotherham | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 17:23 | -6 | 12 | DDLLL |
| 23 |  Port Vale | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 6:12 | -6 | 12 | LDWWL |
| 24 | Crawley Town | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 12:21 | -9 | 6 | DLLDL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Salford City | 13 | 23:14 | 28 |
| 2 | Barnet | 12 | 27:17 | 25 |
| 3 | Cheltenham | 13 | 22:22 | 21 |
| 4 | Crewe | 13 | 16:16 | 21 |
| 5 | York | 13 | 22:16 | 20 |
| 6 | Walsall | 12 | 18:11 | 19 |
| 7 | Chesterfield | 13 | 23:17 | 19 |
| 8 | Exeter City | 13 | 10:7 | 19 |
| 9 | Accrington ST | 13 | 22:16 | 18 |
| 10 | Shrewsbury | 13 | 16:20 | 18 |
| 11 | Grimsby | 13 | 19:16 | 17 |
| 12 | Gillingham | 13 | 18:18 | 17 |
| 13 | Tranmere | 13 | 16:16 | 16 |
| 14 | Swindon Town | 13 | 13:16 | 16 |
| 15 | Bristol Rovers | 13 | 16:20 | 16 |
| 16 | Newport County | 13 | 16:16 | 15 |
| 17 | Rochdale | 13 | 15:22 | 15 |
| 18 | Fleetwood Town | 13 | 15:17 | 14 |
| 19 | Northampton | 11 | 8:8 | 13 |
| 20 | Oldham | 12 | 14:18 | 12 |
| 21 | Colchester | 12 | 11:16 | 12 |
| 22 | Rotherham | 13 | 17:23 | 12 |
| 23 | Port Vale | 11 | 6:12 | 12 |
| 24 | Crawley Town | 11 | 12:21 | 6 |
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About the Cheltenham vs Fleetwood Town forecast
Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Cheltenham and Fleetwood Town in the League Two table
In the League Two table, Cheltenham are 3rd and Fleetwood Town 18th, 7 points apart. League goal record so far: Cheltenham 22-22, Fleetwood Town 15-17. The full standings are on the League Two Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
Cheltenham have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.