Exeter City vs Crewe Prediction

Exeter City
2-0
Finished
HT 1-0
Crewe
St James Park, Exeter 20/10/2026
Exeter CityExeter City
2-0
Finished
CreweCrewe

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
68%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.39
SignalSOLIDModel38%SurpriseHighGap-3.7%
Exeter City Rest
3 days
Crewe Rest
3 days

Exeter City vs Crewe: the result in context

Exeter City beat Crewe 2-0 in the League Two on 20 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
38%2.48
X
29%3.19
2
33%2.83
Double Chance
1X
67%1.39
X2
62%1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%1.80
No
47%1.90
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.34 + 1.26 = 2.60
Over 1.5
72%1.33
Over 2.5
47%2.10
Over 3.5
27%3.73
Under 1.5
28%2.95
Under 2.5
53%1.71
Under 3.5
73%1.25
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.9 + 4.2 = 9.1
Over 8.5
55%1.56
Over 9.5
43%1.98
Over 10.5
32%2.48
Under 8.5
45%2.23
Under 9.5
57%1.72
Under 10.5
68%1.48
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.9 + 2.2 = 4.2
Over 3.5
60%-
Over 4.5
40%-
Under 3.5
40%-
Under 4.5
60%-

Match Events

21'Anthony Scully(Penalty)
45'Jake Doyle Hayes INReece Cole out
45'Kyle Ure INReece Hutchinson out
45'Joe White INCharlie McNeill out
57'Charlie McNeillFoul
58'Taylor Perry INHarry Kite out
60'Lee BellDissent
66'Anthony Scully INJosh Gordon out
79'Jordan Gibson INAdrien thibaut out
79'George Birch INEthan Sutherland out
79'Sonny Cox INVincent Harper out
81'Jack FitzwaterFoul
85'Matthew James TaylorDissent
86'Owen lunt INCalum·Agius out
90+4'Reece Cole

Lineups

Exeter City
4-2-3-1Coach: M. Taylor
Crewe
4-2-3-1Coach: Lee Bell
Avg rating7.13
Avg rating6.24
J. Bycroft7.41J. Bycroft
L. Samuel7.02L. Samuel
J. Taylor7.66J. Taylor
J. Fitzwater6.35J. Fitzwater
L. Woodhouse7.73L. Woodhouse
J. Doyle-Hayes7.231J. Doyle-Hayes
C. Cummins7.516C. Cummins
George Birch6.720G. Birch
T. Perry6.88T. Perry
A. Scully7.625A. Scully
S. Cox6.519S. Cox
T. Booth5.91T. Booth
L. Billington6.02L. Billington
L. Offord6.26L. Offord
J. Stephenson6.612J. Stephenson
Kyle Ure6.34K. Ure
O. Lunt6.219O. Lunt
J. White6.110J. White
J. Tabiner5.711J. Tabiner
M. Holíček6.417M. Holíček
J. Gibson6.714J. Gibson
J. March6.29J. March

Exeter City Substitutes

23Ethan Sutherland79'for George Birch7.1
12R. Cole45'for Jake Doyle Hayes90+4'8.0
10J. Gordon66'for Anthony Scully6.7
24V. Harper79'for Sonny Cox7.1
40E. James
14H. Kite58'for Taylor Perry6.9
22Frankie Phillips

Crewe Substitutes

3R. Hutchinson45'for Kyle Ure6.0
30Stan Dancey
20Calum Agius86'for Owen lunt6.5
13I. Lawlor
23C. McNeill45'for Joe White57'6.3
32L. Moore
29A. Thibaut79'for Jordan Gibson6.5

Match Stats

Exeter CityCrewe
46%Ball Possession54%
3Corner Kicks6
1Yellow Cards1
15Total Shots15
5Shots on Goal4
6Shots off Goal7
6Shots Inside Box8
9Shots Outside Box7
4Blocked Shots4
11Fouls13
2Offsides2
4Goalkeeper Saves3
375Total Passes423
276Passes Accurate330
13Free Kicks11

Team Comparison

Exeter CityExeter City
CreweCrewe
1560Elo Rating 1550
1.44Attack 1.30
2.45Defense 0.52
66%Hit Rate 36%
9.9Shots per Game 9.3
3.0Shots on Target 3.6
3.2Corners per Game 3.7
1.9Cards per Game 1.0

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend
📊Home Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

Exeter CityExeter City
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0.5 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
CreweCrewe
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.8 vs 0.5 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Recent Form

Exeter CityExeter City
4W3D3L
17/10/2026
ColchesterExeter City
00
D
10/10/2026
ShrewsburyExeter City
01
W
06/10/2026
Exeter CityOxford United
4232
W
03/10/2026
Exeter CityRotherham
10
W
26/09/2026
Bristol RoversExeter City
10
L
22/09/2026
CheltenhamExeter City
4232
L
19/09/2026
Exeter CityTranmere
00
D
12/09/2026
Port ValeExeter City
10
L
08/09/2026
Exeter CityTottenham Hotspur U21
20
W
05/09/2026
Exeter CityWalsall
00
D
CreweCrewe
4W5D1L
17/10/2026
CreweRochdale
32
W
10/10/2026
Swindon TownCrewe
01
W
06/10/2026
BlackpoolCrewe
4222
L
03/10/2026
CreweBristol Rovers
31
W
26/09/2026
RotherhamCrewe
11
D
22/09/2026
CreweAston Villa U21
41
W
19/09/2026
CreweShrewsbury
11
D
12/09/2026
ColchesterCrewe
11
D
05/09/2026
CreweYork
11
D
01/09/2026
CreweWalsall
22
D

League Table

League Two 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Salford CitySalford City1391323:14+928WWWWW
2BarnetBarnet1274127:17+1025WDLWW
3CheltenhamCheltenham1363422:22021WWLLL
4CreweCrewe1356216:16021LLWWW
5YorkYork1355322:16+620LWDDD
6WalsallWalsall1247118:11+719LWDDD
7ChesterfieldChesterfield1354423:17+619WDLDW
8Exeter CityExeter City1354410:7+319WWDWW
9Accrington STAccrington ST1346322:16+618WDWDW
10ShrewsburyShrewsbury1353516:20-418DWWLW
11GrimsbyGrimsby1345419:16+317WDLLL
12GillinghamGillingham1345418:18017LDLWD
13TranmereTranmere1337316:16016DWLDL
14Swindon TownSwindon Town1344513:16-316DWDLL
15Bristol RoversBristol Rovers1351716:20-416DLLLL
16Newport CountyNewport County1336416:16015LDDWD
17RochdaleRochdale1343615:22-715LDLDW
18Fleetwood TownFleetwood Town1335515:17-214LLWDL
19NorthamptonNorthampton113448:8013WLWDL
20OldhamOldham1233614:18-412DLWDL
21ColchesterColchester1226411:16-512LDDLD
22RotherhamRotherham1326517:23-612DDLLL
23Port ValePort Vale113356:12-612LDWWL
24Crawley TownCrawley Town1113712:21-96DLLDL
#TeamMPGPts
1Salford CitySalford City1323:1428
2BarnetBarnet1227:1725
3CheltenhamCheltenham1322:2221
4CreweCrewe1316:1621
5YorkYork1322:1620
6WalsallWalsall1218:1119
7ChesterfieldChesterfield1323:1719
8Exeter CityExeter City1310:719
9Accrington STAccrington ST1322:1618
10ShrewsburyShrewsbury1316:2018
11GrimsbyGrimsby1319:1617
12GillinghamGillingham1318:1817
13TranmereTranmere1316:1616
14Swindon TownSwindon Town1313:1616
15Bristol RoversBristol Rovers1316:2016
16Newport CountyNewport County1316:1615
17RochdaleRochdale1315:2215
18Fleetwood TownFleetwood Town1315:1714
19NorthamptonNorthampton118:813
20OldhamOldham1214:1812
21ColchesterColchester1211:1612
22RotherhamRotherham1317:2312
23Port ValePort Vale116:1212
24Crawley TownCrawley Town1112:216
PromotionRelegation

About the Exeter City vs Crewe forecast

The forecasts for this League Two match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Exeter City and Crewe in the League Two table

In the League Two table, Crewe are 4th and Exeter City 8th, 2 points apart. League goal record so far: Exeter City 10-7, Crewe 16-16. The full standings are on the League Two Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Exeter City and Crewe have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.