Vancouver Whitecaps vs Austin Prediction

Vancouver Whitecaps
1-2
Finished
HT 0-1
Austin
BC Place, Vancouver·V. Rivas 14/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
Value Analysis
61%Trust
BTTS
Both Teams to Score
1.75
SignalSOLIDModel61%SurpriseMediumGap+5.1%
Vancouver Whitecaps Rest
3 days
Austin Rest
3 days

Vancouver Whitecaps vs Austin: the result in context

Austin beat Vancouver Whitecaps 2-1 in the Major League Soccer on 13 Sep 2026. That went against recent form: Vancouver Whitecaps had won 3 of their previous five, compared with 1 for Austin.

Vancouver Whitecaps have had the better of this fixture, winning 6 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 2.1 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
65%1.25
X
20%6.05
2
15%9.72
Double Chance
1X
85%1.06
X2
34%3.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%1.75
No
39%1.99
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.97 + 0.94 = 2.91
Over 1.5
86%1.11
Over 2.5
60%1.39
Over 3.5
36%2.00
Under 1.5
14%6.31
Under 2.5
40%2.90
Under 3.5
64%1.79
Corners
Projected Corners: 6.3 + 3.6 = 9.9
Over 8.5
59%1.28
Over 9.5
49%1.51
Over 10.5
36%1.88
Under 8.5
41%3.30
Under 9.5
51%2.35
Under 10.5
64%1.85
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.9 + 2.1 = 4
Over 3.5
57%1.83
Over 4.5
37%2.55
Under 3.5
43%1.94
Under 4.5
63%1.47

Match Events

28'Christian RamirezAssist: Facundo Daniel Torres Perez
35'Jon BellNot retreating
37'Joseph RosalesFoul
40'Ryan Gauld(Penalty missed)
45'Rui Modesto INÉdier Ocampo out
45+3'Oliver Love LarrazFoul
47'Guilherme BiroFoul
49'Brian WhiteAssist: Ryan Gauld
58'Jon Bell INOleksandr Svatok out
60'Christian RamirezAssist: Joseph Rosales
64'Oliver Love Larraz INJeevan Badwal out
64'Bruno Caicedo INEmmanuel Sabbi out
65'Joseph Rosales INŽan Kolmanič out
65'Jorge Alastuey INBrandon Vazquez out
71'Cheikh Sabaly INYadaly Diaby out
77'Jesper Ingemann SørensenDissent
80'Emmanuel SabbiFoul
85'Andrés Cubas INRayan Elloumi out
85'Mikkel Desler INBrendan Hines-Ike out
85'Christian Ramirez INPrzemyslaw Płacheta out
90'Guilherme Biro
90+3'Besard SabovicFoul

Lineups

Vancouver Whitecaps
4-2-3-1Coach: J. Sørensen
Austin
3-4-3Coach: D. Arnaud
Avg rating6.45
Avg rating6.58
Y. Takaoka5.91Y. Takaoka
Rui Modesto6.070R. Modesto
M. Laborda6.62M. Laborda
T. Blackmon7.033T. Blackmon
T. Johnson6.328T. Johnson
O. Larraz6.28O. Larraz
A. Cubas6.320A. Cubas
C. Sabaly5.77C. Sabaly
R. Gauld7.725R. Gauld
Bruno Steven Caicedo Quiñonez6.114B. Steven Caicedo Quiñonez
B. White7.724B. White
B. Stuver7.11B. Stuver
M. Desler7.03M. Desler
J. Bell6.615J. Bell
Guilherme Biro6.029G. Biro
J. Rosales6.630J. Rosales
Ervin Torres6.338E. Torres
B. Šabović6.214B. Šabović
J. Gallagher6.217J. Gallagher
F. Torres7.211F. Torres
C. Ramirez8.621C. Ramirez
Jorge Alastuey6.524J. Alastuey

Vancouver Whitecaps Substitutes

23A. Cvetković
32I. Boehmer
3S. Adekugbe
77Y. Diaby71'for Cheikh Sabaly6.7
19R. Elloumi85'for Andrés Cubas6.1
29M. Gherasimencov
18É. Ocampo45'for Rui Modesto6.5
11E. Sabbi64'for Bruno Caicedo80'6.4
59J. Badwal64'for Oliver Love Larraz6.0

Austin Substitutes

32M. Burton
35M. Đorđević
4B. Hines-Ike85'for Mikkel Desler6.3
9B. Vázquez65'for Jorge Alastuey6.8
23Ž. Kolmanič65'for Joseph Rosales5.9
12D. Las
77P. Płacheta85'for Christian Ramirez5.8
5O. Svatok58'for Jon Bell6.4
6Ilie Sánchez

Match Stats

Vancouver WhitecapsAustin
60%Ball Possession40%
6Corner Kicks0
2Yellow Cards5
0Red Cards1
20Total Shots4
6Shots on Goal2
12Shots off Goal1
19Shots Inside Box3
1Shots Outside Box1
2Blocked Shots1
16Fouls14
2Offsides1
0Goalkeeper Saves5
539Total Passes371
472Passes Accurate291
88%Pass Accuracy78%

Team Comparison

Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver Whitecaps
AustinAustin
1687Elo Rating 1520
2.60Attack 1.19
2.14Defense 0.51
66%Hit Rate 19%
14.1Shots per Game 13.1
5.6Shots on Target 4.6
5.1Corners per Game 5.5
1.5Cards per Game 1.4

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+167 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy2.91 goals
📈BTTS Trend40% in H2H
📊Home Overperforming
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver Whitecaps
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
AustinAustin
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1 vs 0.2 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver Whitecaps6Wins · 60%
Draws330%
AustinAustin1Wins · 10%
2.1Avg Goals
40%Both teams scored4 of 10
50%3+ goals5 of 10

Previous meetings

Major League Soccer18/05/2025
AustinVancouver Whitecaps
00
Major League Soccer13/04/2025
Vancouver WhitecapsAustin
51
Major League Soccer01/09/2024
AustinVancouver Whitecaps
01
Major League Soccer05/05/2024
Vancouver WhitecapsAustin
00
Major League Soccer13/07/2023
Vancouver WhitecapsAustin
21
Major League Soccer16/04/2023
AustinVancouver Whitecaps
00
Major League Soccer02/10/2022
Vancouver WhitecapsAustin
20
Major League Soccer24/04/2022
AustinVancouver Whitecaps
30
Major League Soccer05/09/2021
Vancouver WhitecapsAustin
21
Major League Soccer19/08/2021
AustinVancouver Whitecaps
12

Recent Form

Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver Whitecaps
4W1D5L
10/09/2026
Vancouver WhitecapsLos Angeles Galaxy
30
W
06/09/2026
Vancouver WhitecapsSt. Louis City
13
L
03/09/2026
Vancouver WhitecapsCF Montreal
11
D
30/08/2026
Sporting Kansas CityVancouver Whitecaps
03
W
23/08/2026
Vancouver WhitecapsFC Dallas
50
W
20/08/2026
Vancouver WhitecapsHouston Dynamo
01
L
17/08/2026
Seattle SoundersVancouver Whitecaps
02
W
12/08/2026
Tigres UANLVancouver Whitecaps
5141
L
08/08/2026
Vancouver WhitecapsFC Juarez
13
L
05/08/2026
Vancouver WhitecapsAtlante FC
01
L

Referee Profile

V. Rivas143 matches

4.75Cards per match
4.53Yellow cards per match
0.22Red cards per match
24.0Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

V. Rivas4.75
Other referees4.30

4.75 cards a match, 0.45 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.30).

Cards come from 139 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Major League Soccer 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver Whitecaps34197874:34+4064WWWLW
2FC DallasFC Dallas341610862:51+1158WDLWD
3St. Louis CitySt. Louis City341591059:48+1154WLLLL
4San Jose EarthquakesSan Jose Earthquakes3414101057:51+652LWDLD
5Houston DynamoHouston Dynamo341491143:43051LLWDD
6Los Angeles FCLos Angeles FC3412111152:40+1247LLDDW
7Portland TimbersPortland Timbers341371462:61+146WWWWD
8Seattle SoundersSeattle Sounders3412101244:46-246WLLDD
9Real Salt LakeReal Salt Lake341361553:52+145WLWWW
10Minnesota United FCMinnesota United FC3411111256:58-244WWWDW
11Los Angeles GalaxyLos Angeles Galaxy3411111250:57-744LWDDW
12Colorado RapidsColorado Rapids341271547:50-343LLDWD
13San DiegoSan Diego349111457:63-638LWLDD
14AustinAustin348101642:65-2334LLLWL
15Sporting Kansas CitySporting Kansas City34752240:81-4126WDLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver Whitecaps3474:3464
2FC DallasFC Dallas3462:5158
3St. Louis CitySt. Louis City3459:4854
4San Jose EarthquakesSan Jose Earthquakes3457:5152
5Houston DynamoHouston Dynamo3443:4351
6Los Angeles FCLos Angeles FC3452:4047
7Portland TimbersPortland Timbers3462:6146
8Seattle SoundersSeattle Sounders3444:4646
9Real Salt LakeReal Salt Lake3453:5245
10Minnesota United FCMinnesota United FC3456:5844
11Los Angeles GalaxyLos Angeles Galaxy3450:5744
12Colorado RapidsColorado Rapids3447:5043
13San DiegoSan Diego3457:6338
14AustinAustin3442:6534
15Sporting Kansas CitySporting Kansas City3440:8126
Promotion

About the Vancouver Whitecaps vs Austin forecast

The forecasts for this Major League Soccer match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Vancouver Whitecaps and Austin in the Major League Soccer table

The table shows a wide gap: Vancouver Whitecaps are 1st in the Major League Soccer, while Austin sit 14th, 30 points behind. League goal record so far: Vancouver Whitecaps 74-34, Austin 42-65. The full standings are on the Major League Soccer Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.