Colo Colo vs A. Italiano Prediction

Colo Colo
5-1
Finished
HT 2-1
A. Italiano
Estadio Monumental David Arellano, Santiago de Chile·Franco Esteban Jimenez Lazo, Chile 30/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
76%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.42
SignalHIGHModel74%SurpriseMediumGap+5.6%
Value Analysis
81%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.42
SignalSTRONGModel70%SurpriseMediumGap+15.8%
Colo Colo Rest
3 days
A. Italiano Rest
8 days

Colo Colo vs A. Italiano: the result in context

Colo Colo beat A. Italiano 5-1 in the Primera División on 30 Aug 2026. It was in line with recent form: Colo Colo had won 4 of their previous five, compared with 1 for A. Italiano.

Colo Colo have had the better of this fixture, winning 6 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 2.6 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
79%1.42
X
8%4.45
2
13%6.63
Double Chance
1X
87%1.08
X2
21%2.63
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%1.83
No
39%1.89
Goals
Projected Goals: 2.17 + 0.87 = 3.04
Over 1.5
85%1.20
Over 2.5
68%1.68
Over 3.5
45%2.67
Under 1.5
15%4.10
Under 2.5
32%2.13
Under 3.5
55%1.43
Corners
Projected Corners: 6.7 + 3.7 = 10.5
Over 8.5
71%1.38
Over 9.5
64%1.65
Over 10.5
46%2.06
Under 8.5
29%2.83
Under 9.5
36%2.11
Under 10.5
54%1.68
Cards
Projected Cards: 2 + 3 = 5
Over 3.5
69%-
Over 4.5
55%1.37
Under 3.5
31%-
Under 4.5
45%2.95

Match Events

15'J. CorreaAssist: V. Mendez
26'J. SosaFoul
31'L. Pastran
34'G. ChiaveranoAssist: C. Pinares
52'J. Sosa INI. Roman out
57'D. Coelho INF. Troyansky out
57'M. Sandoval INM. Collao out
57'A. Uribe IND. Pizarro out
61'L. HernandezAssist: A. Madrid
73'L. Pastran INT. Alarcon out
73'C. Pinares INM. Fuentes out
78'J. Villagra INE. Wiemberg out
79'J. CorreaAssist: T. Alarcon
82'L. HernandezAssist: J. Correa

Lineups

Colo Colo
3-4-2-1Coach: Fernando Ortiz
A. Italiano
4-4-2Coach: Patricio Graff
Avg rating7.49
Avg rating6.27
Gabriel Maureira7.325G. Maureira
Jonathan Villagra6.92J. Villagra
Arturo VidalC7.723A. Vidal
Joaquín Sosa6.64J. Sosa
Jeyson Rojas7.228J. Rojas
Álvaro Madrid7.38Á. Madrid
Víctor Felipe Méndez8.05V. Felipe Méndez
Diego Ulloa6.726D. Ulloa
Leandro Hernández8.924L. Hernández
Lautaro Pastrán8.010L. Pastrán
Javier Correa9.99J. Correa
Tomás Ahumada5.01T. Ahumada
Raimundo Rebolledo5.935R. Rebolledo
Enzo FerrarioC6.313E. Ferrario
Daniel Piña5.94D. Piña
Felipe Salomoni5.63F. Salomoni
Paolo Guajardo6.37P. Guajardo
Mario Sandoval6.36M. Sandoval
César Pinares6.719C. Pinares
Giovani Chiaverano6.921G. Chiaverano
Ariel Uribe6.930A. Uribe
Diego Coelho6.29D. Coelho

Colo Colo Substitutes

29Vozinha
17Iván Román52'for J. Sosa6.9
21Erick Wiemberg78'for J. Villagra6.9
13Matías Fernández
42Cristian Diaz
7Francisco Marchant
6Tomás Alarcón73'for L. Pastran6.6
50Felipe Raipán
11Marcos Bolados

A. Italiano Substitutes

25Pedro Garrido
29Marcelo Ortíz
14Diego Monreal
8Marco Collao57'for M. Sandoval6.7
17Favian Loyola
2Vicente Zenteno
27Michael Vadulli73'for C. Pinares6.7
11Franco Troyansky57'for D. Coelho6.7
22Damián Pizarro57'for A. Uribe6.0

Match Stats

Colo ColoA. Italiano
61%Ball Possession39%
4Corner Kicks6
1Yellow Cards0
19Total Shots9
7Shots on Goal5
6Shots off Goal3
13Shots Inside Box6
6Shots Outside Box3
6Blocked Shots1
11Fouls5
5Offsides1
2Goalkeeper Saves2
546Total Passes336
455Passes Accurate256
83%Pass Accuracy76%

Team Comparison

Colo ColoColo Colo
A. ItalianoA. Italiano
1721Elo Rating 1563
2.85Attack 0.42
1.75Defense 1.87
64%Hit Rate 0%
13.9Shots per Game 16.9
6.0Shots on Target 6.7
7.3Corners per Game 6.3
1.6Cards per Game 4.6

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+158 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy3.04 goals
📈BTTS Trend70% in H2H
💎Value Analysis Identified
📊Home Overperforming
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

Colo ColoColo Colo
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Starts fast: scores more in 1st half (1.8 vs 1.1 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half and can tire late
A. ItalianoA. Italiano
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
  • Concedes more in 1st half, then tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Colo ColoColo Colo6Wins · 60%
Draws110%
A. ItalianoA. Italiano3Wins · 30%
2.6Avg Goals
70%Both teams scored7 of 10
60%3+ goals6 of 10

Previous meetings

Primera División07/03/2026
A. ItalianoColo Colo
01
Primera División07/12/2025
Colo ColoA. Italiano
12
Primera División22/06/2025
A. ItalianoColo Colo
21
Primera División07/10/2024
Colo ColoA. Italiano
21
Primera División12/05/2024
A. ItalianoColo Colo
14
Primera División26/11/2023
A. ItalianoColo Colo
01
Primera División10/05/2023
Colo ColoA. Italiano
21
Primera División16/07/2022
A. ItalianoColo Colo
12
Primera División19/02/2022
Colo ColoA. Italiano
11
Primera División28/10/2021
A. ItalianoColo Colo
20

Referee Profile

Franco Esteban Jimenez Lazo89 matches

5.50Cards per match
4.88Yellow cards per match
0.62Red cards per match
20.0Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Franco Esteban Jimenez Lazo5.50
Other referees5.73

5.50 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.73).

Cards come from 26 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Primera División 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Colo ColoColo Colo27194459:30+2961WWDLD
2Universidad de ChileUniversidad de Chile27156647:22+2551WLWWW
3U. CatolicaU. Catolica27154856:37+1949WWDLW
4Deportes LimacheDeportes Limache271241148:40+840LWWDL
5Everton de VinaEverton de Vina27117943:35+840LDLWW
6Coquimbo UnidoCoquimbo Unido261151039:35+438WWLWL
7PalestinoPalestino271151139:38+138LLDDL
8ConcepciónConcepción271151130:30038WWLDD
9D. La SerenaD. La Serena27910840:42-237WDWLL
10NublenseNublense27981031:41-1035LLWLL
11HuachipatoHuachipato26961134:41-733LDDWW
12O'HigginsO'Higgins27941432:42-1031LWDLL
13A. ItalianoA. Italiano27791128:36-830LLDDW
14CobresalCobresal27761439:50-1127LDDDW
15Universidad de ConcepcionUniversidad de Concepcion27751522:49-2726WLLDL
16Union La CaleraUnion La Calera27661524:43-1924WLWDW
#TeamMPGPts
1Colo ColoColo Colo2759:3061
2Universidad de ChileUniversidad de Chile2747:2251
3U. CatolicaU. Catolica2756:3749
4Deportes LimacheDeportes Limache2748:4040
5Everton de VinaEverton de Vina2743:3540
6Coquimbo UnidoCoquimbo Unido2639:3538
7PalestinoPalestino2739:3838
8ConcepciónConcepción2730:3038
9D. La SerenaD. La Serena2740:4237
10NublenseNublense2731:4135
11HuachipatoHuachipato2634:4133
12O'HigginsO'Higgins2732:4231
13A. ItalianoA. Italiano2728:3630
14CobresalCobresal2739:5027
15Universidad de ConcepcionUniversidad de Concepcion2722:4926
16Union La CaleraUnion La Calera2724:4324

About the Colo Colo vs A. Italiano forecast

The forecasts for this Primera División match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage is the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% means strong statistical confidence; 45-65% points to a competitive, open match; below 45% means the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for information and entertainment only.

Colo Colo and A. Italiano in the Primera División table

The table shows a wide gap: Colo Colo are 1st in the Primera División, while A. Italiano sit 13th, 31 points behind. League goal record so far: Colo Colo 59-30, A. Italiano 28-36. The full standings are on the Primera División Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Colo Colo have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.