Colo Colo vs A. Italiano Prediction

Colo Colo
5-1
Finished
HT 2-1
A. Italiano
Estadio Monumental David Arellano, Santiago de Chile· Franco Esteban Jimenez Lazo, Chile 30/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
76%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.42
SignalSTRONGModel74%RiskMediumGap+5.6%
Value Analysis
81%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.42
SignalSTRONGModel70%RiskMediumGap+15.8%
Colo Colo Rest
3 days
A. Italiano Rest
8 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
79%1.42
X
8%4.45
2
13%6.63
Double Chance
1X
87%1.08
X2
21%2.63
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%1.83
No
39%1.89
Goals
Projected Goals: 2.17 + 0.87 = 3.04
Over 1.5
85%1.20
Over 2.5
68%1.68
Over 3.5
45%2.67
Under 1.5
15%4.10
Under 2.5
32%2.13
Under 3.5
55%1.43
Corners
Projected Corners: 6.7 + 3.7 = 10.5
Over 8.5
71%1.38
Over 9.5
64%1.65
Over 10.5
46%2.06
Under 8.5
29%2.83
Under 9.5
36%2.11
Under 10.5
54%1.68
Cards
Projected Cards: 2 + 3 = 5
Over 3.5
69%-
Over 4.5
55%1.37
Under 3.5
31%-
Under 4.5
45%2.95

Match Events

15'J. CorreaAssist: V. Mendez
26'J. SosaFoul
31'L. Pastran
34'G. ChiaveranoAssist: C. Pinares
52'J. Sosa INI. Roman out
57'D. Coelho INF. Troyansky out
57'M. Sandoval INM. Collao out
57'A. Uribe IND. Pizarro out
61'L. HernandezAssist: A. Madrid
73'L. Pastran INT. Alarcon out
73'C. Pinares INM. Fuentes out
78'J. Villagra INE. Wiemberg out
79'J. CorreaAssist: T. Alarcon
82'L. HernandezAssist: J. Correa

Lineups

Colo Colo
3-4-2-1Coach: Fernando Ortiz
A. Italiano
4-4-2Coach: Patricio Graff
Gabriel Maureira25G. MaureiraGabriel Maureira
Jonathan Villagra2J. VillagraJonathan Villagra
Arturo Vidal23A. VidalArturo Vidal
Joaquín Sosa4J. SosaJoaquín Sosa
Jeyson Rojas28J. RojasJeyson Rojas
Álvaro Madrid8Á. MadridÁlvaro Madrid
Víctor Felipe Méndez5V. Felipe MéndezVíctor Felipe Méndez
Diego Ulloa26D. UlloaDiego Ulloa
Leandro Hernández24L. HernándezLeandro Hernández
Lautaro Pastrán10L. PastránLautaro Pastrán
Javier Correa9J. CorreaJavier Correa
Tomás Ahumada1T. AhumadaTomás Ahumada
Raimundo Rebolledo35R. RebolledoRaimundo Rebolledo
Enzo Ferrario13E. FerrarioEnzo Ferrario
Daniel Piña4D. PiñaDaniel Piña
Felipe Salomoni3F. SalomoniFelipe Salomoni
Paolo Guajardo7P. GuajardoPaolo Guajardo
Mario Sandoval6M. SandovalMario Sandoval
César Pinares19C. PinaresCésar Pinares
Giovani Chiaverano21G. ChiaveranoGiovani Chiaverano
Ariel Uribe30A. UribeAriel Uribe
Diego Coelho9D. CoelhoDiego Coelho

Colo Colo Substitutes

29VozinhaG
17Iván RománD
21Erick WiembergD
13Matías FernándezD
42Cristian DiazM
7Francisco MarchantM
6Tomás AlarcónM
50Felipe RaipánF
11Marcos BoladosF

A. Italiano Substitutes

25Pedro GarridoG
29Marcelo OrtízD
14Diego MonrealD
8Marco CollaoM
17Favian LoyolaM
2Vicente ZentenoM
27Michael VadulliF
11Franco TroyanskyF
22Damián PizarroF

Match Stats

Colo ColoA. Italiano
61%Ball Possession39%
3Corner Kicks6
1Yellow Cards0
18Total Shots9
7Shots on Goal5
6Shots off Goal3
12Shots Inside Box6
6Shots Outside Box3
5Blocked Shots1
11Fouls5
5Offsides1
2Goalkeeper Saves2
542Total Passes334
452Passes Accurate254
83%Pass Accuracy76%

Team Comparison

Colo ColoColo Colo
A. ItalianoA. Italiano
1740Elo Rating 1586
2.02Attack 0.83
2.39Defense 1.89
50%Hit Rate 50%
17.2Shots per Game 11.3
5.2Shots on Target 3.1
7.1Corners per Game 4.6
1.2Cards per Game 2.9

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+154 Elo
High Goal Expectancy3.04 goals
📈BTTS Trend73% in H2H
💎Value Analysis Identified

Game State Tendencies

Colo ColoColo Colo
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.2 vs 0.9 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
A. ItalianoA. Italiano
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.8 vs 0 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Based on 5 historical meetings

Colo Colo 58%Draw 0%42% A. Italiano
2.74Avg Goals
73%BTTS Rate
73%Over 2.5

Referee Profile

Franco Esteban Jimenez Lazo, Chile · 22 matches analysed

4.8Avg Yellows
5.3Avg Cards
21.2Avg Fouls
Stricter than 79% of referees analysed

League Table

Primera División 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Colo ColoColo Colo23173348:22+2654DDWWD
2U. CatolicaU. Catolica23133750:33+1742WWWWL
3Universidad de ChileUniversidad de Chile23126535:19+1642WWLLW
4Everton de VinaEverton de Vina23106737:25+1236WLWWD
5PalestinoPalestino23113936:33+336LWLWW
6Deportes LimacheDeportes Limache231031043:35+833LWWLW
7NublenseNublense2388728:31-332LLLLW
8ConcepciónConcepción23941025:26-131DLWDW
9D. La SerenaD. La Serena2379734:38-430LWWDW
10Coquimbo UnidoCoquimbo Unido2285931:31029LLLWL
11A. ItalianoA. Italiano2377926:31-528WWLDD
12O'HigginsO'Higgins23831228:36-827LWLLD
13HuachipatoHuachipato21741029:39-1025WDLLL
14CobresalCobresal23731334:44-1024WLWDL
15Universidad de ConcepcionUniversidad de Concepcion22641217:37-2022LLWLL
16Union La CaleraUnion La Calera23451419:40-2117WLLDL
#TeamMPGPts
1Colo ColoColo Colo2348:2254
2U. CatolicaU. Catolica2350:3342
3Universidad de ChileUniversidad de Chile2335:1942
4Everton de VinaEverton de Vina2337:2536
5PalestinoPalestino2336:3336
6Deportes LimacheDeportes Limache2343:3533
7NublenseNublense2328:3132
8ConcepciónConcepción2325:2631
9D. La SerenaD. La Serena2334:3830
10Coquimbo UnidoCoquimbo Unido2231:3129
11A. ItalianoA. Italiano2326:3128
12O'HigginsO'Higgins2328:3627
13HuachipatoHuachipato2129:3925
14CobresalCobresal2334:4424
15Universidad de ConcepcionUniversidad de Concepcion2217:3722
16Union La CaleraUnion La Calera2319:4017

Colo Colo vs A. Italiano Prediction

Our AI model has analysed this Primera División fixture using team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history. The forecasts cover six independent markets - each probability is a separate model calculation, not derived from the match winner result.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About Primera División

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Key Factors for This Match

A. Italiano have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Colo Colo and A. Italiano have met 5 times recently, averaging 2.74 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.