Nublense vs Concepción Prediction

Nublense
0-1
Finished
HT 0-1
Concepción
Estadio Municipal Nelson Oyarzún Arenas, Chillan·Miguel Araos, Chile 30/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
80%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.25
SignalSTRONGModel50%SurpriseMediumGap+0.1%
Value Analysis
69%Trust
Away Corners
Away Corners Under 4.5
1.64
SignalGOODModel48%SurpriseMediumGap+12.7%
Nublense Rest
7 days
Concepción Rest
6 days

Nublense vs Concepción: result, form and history

Concepción beat Nublense 1-0 in the Primera División on 30 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
52%2.15
X
27%3.05
2
21%3.60
Double Chance
1X
79%1.25
X2
48%1.65
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%2.05
No
44%1.69
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.76 + 0.89 = 2.65
Over 1.5
74%1.47
Over 2.5
50%2.40
Over 3.5
31%4.63
Under 1.5
26%2.60
Under 2.5
50%1.51
Under 3.5
69%1.17
Corners
Projected Corners: 5 + 4 = 8.9
Over 8.5
52%1.52
Over 9.5
34%1.87
Over 10.5
20%2.38
Under 8.5
48%2.38
Under 9.5
66%1.85
Under 10.5
80%1.50
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.7 + 2.9 = 5.5
Over 3.5
81%-
Over 4.5
66%-
Under 3.5
19%-
Under 4.5
34%-

Match Events

30'J. Henriquez(Penalty)
41'N. RodriguezUnsportsmanlike conduct
43'P. CalderonFoul
46'M. Plaza INF. Ovelar out
46'M. Rivera INF. Campos Mosqueira out
46'G. Graciani INE. Calderon out
50'A. Caceres INF. Martinez out
55'C. Escobar INF. Romero out
60'D. Sanhueza INI. Jeraldino out
65'F. Campos MosqueiraFoul
74'J. Henriquez INM. Davila Carvajal out
74'E. Espinoza INA. Jara out
74'J. Montecinos INJ. Larrivey out
75'J. CampusanoFoul
90+3'L. Molina Canto INC. Salomon out

Lineups

Nublense
3-5-2Coach: Jose Ribera Juan
Concepción
4-2-3-1Coach: Patricio Almendra
Avg rating6.84
Avg rating7.10
Nicola Pérez7.71N. Pérez
Pablo Calderón6.36P. Calderón
Osvaldo Bosso6.74O. Bosso
Sebastián Valencia7.915S. Valencia
Diego Sanhueza6.316D. Sanhueza
Matías Plaza6.910M. Plaza
Lorenzo ReyesC7.021L. Reyes
Manuel Rivera6.528M. Rivera
Jovany Campusano6.714J. Campusano
Lucas Molina6.311L. Molina
Gabriel Graciani6.78G. Graciani
Nicolás Araya8.225N. Araya
Ariel Cáceres7.24A. Cáceres
Norman Rodríguez7.321N. Rodríguez
Fausto Grillo7.237F. Grillo
Cristian Riquelme7.323C. Riquelme
Mario SandovalC7.616M. Sandoval
Yonathan Rodríguez7.018Y. Rodríguez
Joaquín Montecinos6.915J. Montecinos
Jorge Henríquez7.320J. Henríquez
Ethan Espinoza6.230E. Espinoza
Carlos Escobar6.79C. Escobar

Nublense Substitutes

5Felipe Campos46'for M. Rivera65'7.0
7Fernando Ovelar46'for M. Plaza7.2
26Esteban Calderón6.7
20Ignacio Jeraldino60'for D. Sanhueza6.7
3Carlos Salomón90+3'for L. Molina Canto
12Claudio Chandía
27Vicente Guzmán
35Christian Mansilla
18Diego Céspedes

Concepción Substitutes

8Fernando Martinez50'for A. Caceres7.3
7Fernando Romero55'replaced by C. Escobar7.3
19Aldrix Jara74'replaced by E. Espinoza6.9
22Misael Dávila74'for J. Henriquez6.7
32Joaquín Larrivey74'for J. Montecinos6.5
12Nery Veloso
29Dilan Varas
24Matías Cavalleri
27Diego Acosta

Match Stats

NublenseConcepción
52%Ball Possession48%
3Corner Kicks2
3Yellow Cards1
16Total Shots15
3Shots on Goal5
8Shots off Goal7
10Shots Inside Box6
6Shots Outside Box9
5Blocked Shots3
14Fouls8
0Offsides1
4Goalkeeper Saves3
418Total Passes409
345Passes Accurate327
8Free Kicks12

Team Comparison

NublenseNublense
ConcepciónConcepción
1529Elo Rating 1593
0.79Attack 0.69
0.89Defense 1.65
39%Hit Rate 27%
12.6Shots per Game 8.5
3.9Shots on Target 2.8
4.0Corners per Game 3.3
3.1Cards per Game 2.6

AI Insights

📉Home Underperforming
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

NublenseNublense
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
ConcepciónConcepción
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.5 vs 0.2 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

1 previous meeting, all competitions

NublenseNublense1Wins · 100%
Draws00%
ConcepciónConcepción0Wins · 0%
2.0Avg Goals
0%Both teams scored0 of 1
0%3+ goals0 of 1

Previous meetings

Primera División07/03/2026
ConcepciónNublense
02

Referee Profile

Miguel Araos109 matches

5.85Cards per match
5.41Yellow cards per match
0.44Red cards per match
21.0Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Miguel Araos5.85
Other referees5.87

5.85 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.87).

Cards come from 39 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Primera División 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Colo ColoColo Colo27194459:30+2961WWDLD
2Universidad de ChileUniversidad de Chile27156647:22+2551WLWWW
3U. CatolicaU. Catolica27154856:37+1949WWDLW
4Deportes LimacheDeportes Limache271241148:40+840LWWDL
5Everton de VinaEverton de Vina27117943:35+840LDLWW
6Coquimbo UnidoCoquimbo Unido261151039:35+438WWLWL
7PalestinoPalestino271151139:38+138LLDDL
8ConcepciónConcepción271151130:30038WWLDD
9D. La SerenaD. La Serena27910840:42-237WDWLL
10NublenseNublense27981031:41-1035LLWLL
11HuachipatoHuachipato26961134:41-733LDDWW
12O'HigginsO'Higgins27941432:42-1031LWDLL
13A. ItalianoA. Italiano27791128:36-830LLDDW
14CobresalCobresal27761439:50-1127LDDDW
15Universidad de ConcepcionUniversidad de Concepcion27751522:49-2726WLLDL
16Union La CaleraUnion La Calera27661524:43-1924WLWDW
#TeamMPGPts
1Colo ColoColo Colo2759:3061
2Universidad de ChileUniversidad de Chile2747:2251
3U. CatolicaU. Catolica2756:3749
4Deportes LimacheDeportes Limache2748:4040
5Everton de VinaEverton de Vina2743:3540
6Coquimbo UnidoCoquimbo Unido2639:3538
7PalestinoPalestino2739:3838
8ConcepciónConcepción2730:3038
9D. La SerenaD. La Serena2740:4237
10NublenseNublense2731:4135
11HuachipatoHuachipato2634:4133
12O'HigginsO'Higgins2732:4231
13A. ItalianoA. Italiano2728:3630
14CobresalCobresal2739:5027
15Universidad de ConcepcionUniversidad de Concepcion2722:4926
16Union La CaleraUnion La Calera2724:4324

About the Nublense vs Concepción forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Nublense and Concepción in the Primera División table

Concepción and Nublense are close in the Primera División table, 8th and 10th, with 3 points between them. League goal record so far: Nublense 31-41, Concepción 30-30. The full standings are on the Primera División Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Nublense and Concepción have met only 1 time recently, with 2.0 goals in that meeting. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.