U. Catolica vs O'Higgins Prediction

U. Catolica
3-2
Finished
HT 2-1
O'Higgins
Claro Arena, Santiago·Juan Ignacio Lara Luco, Chile 01/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
61%Trust
BTTS
Both Teams to Score
1.67
SignalNEUTRALModel48%SurpriseMediumGap+0.5%
Value Analysis
63%Trust
BTTS
Both Teams to Score
1.67
SignalSOLIDModel46%SurpriseMediumGap+7.1%
U. Catolica Rest
5 days
O'Higgins Rest
5 days

U. Catolica vs O'Higgins: the result in context

U. Catolica beat O'Higgins 3-2 in the Primera División on 1 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.7 goals, with both teams scoring in 4 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
55%1.73
X
27%3.70
2
18%4.30
Double Chance
1X
81%1.18
X2
45%2.00
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%1.67
No
37%2.10
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.6 + 1.23 = 2.83
Over 1.5
78%1.21
Over 2.5
59%1.70
Over 3.5
35%2.75
Under 1.5
22%4.05
Under 2.5
41%2.08
Under 3.5
65%1.42
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.3 + 4 = 9.3
Over 8.5
55%1.33
Over 9.5
40%1.59
Over 10.5
29%1.99
Under 8.5
45%2.92
Under 9.5
60%2.19
Under 10.5
71%1.74
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.5 + 2.7 = 5.2
Over 3.5
69%-
Over 4.5
55%-
Under 3.5
31%-
Under 4.5
45%-

Match Events

13'C. MoralesAssist: S. Toloza
16'J. A. MartinezFoul
26'F. Zampedri
35'Goal Disallowed - FoulA. Castillo
38'A. RobledoFoul
40'N. GarridoUnsportsmanlike conduct
40'F. Zampedri(Penalty)
41'W. BouFoul
59'C. Montes INJ. Giani out
59'D. Corral INM. Palavecino out
67'I. Schor INT. Vecino out
68'S. ArancibiaFoul
70'A. CastilloAssist: S. Toloza
71'S. TolozaFoul
75'S. Toloza INR. Godoy out
77'A. Canales INM. Gomez out
87'M. GomezAssist: J. Giani
88'J. A. Martinez IND. Gonzalez out
88'S. Arancibia INA. Farias out
88'Felipe Ogaz INT. Aviles out
88'J. Leiva INM. Maturana out

Lineups

U. Catolica
4-1-4-1Coach: Daniel Garnero
O'Higgins
4-4-2Coach: Lucas Bovaglio
Avg rating7.06
Avg rating6.82
Vicente Bernedo8.71V. Bernedo
Sebastián Arancibia6.36S. Arancibia
Branco Ampuero6.919B. Ampuero
Agustín García Basso6.621A. García Basso
Eugenio Mena6.93E. Mena
Jhojan Valencia7.320J. Valencia
Diego Corral6.625D. Corral
Jimmy Martínez6.514J. Martínez
Alfred Canales7.013A. Canales
Clemente Montes7.511C. Montes
Fernando ZampedriC7.39F. Zampedri
Omar Carabalí6.731O. Carabalí
Cristian Morales7.92C. Morales
Alan RobledoC6.522A. Robledo
Nicolás Garrido6.621N. Garrido
Luis Pavez Muñoz6.76L. Pavez Muñoz
‪Ignacio Schor6.225‪. Schor
Felipe Ogaz6.78F. Ogaz
Juan Leiva7.311J. Leiva
Santiago Toloza6.67S. Toloza
Walter Bou6.628W. Bou
Arnaldo Castillo7.59A. Castillo

U. Catolica Substitutes

10Matías Palavecino59'for D. Corral6.9
7Justo Giani59'for C. Montes6.9
22Martín Gómez77'for A. Canales87'7.5
12Francisco Valdés
39Nicolás L'Huiller
2Daniel González
28Bernardo Cerezo
5Agustín Farías88'replaced by S. Arancibia
43Amaro Pérez

O'Higgins Substitutes

32Thiago Vecino67'for I. Schor6.7
26Rodrigo Godoy75'for S. Toloza6.7
1Jorge Peña
27José Movillo
17Tomás Avilés88'replaced by Felipe Ogaz
15Benjamín Rojas
20Leandro Díaz
14Martín Maturana88'for J. Leiva
30Joaquín Tapia

Match Stats

U. CatolicaO'Higgins
43%Ball Possession57%
7Corner Kicks10
2Yellow Cards4
16Total Shots16
5Shots on Goal9
8Shots off Goal5
9Shots Inside Box11
7Shots Outside Box5
3Blocked Shots2
10Fouls11
2Offsides0
7Goalkeeper Saves2
353Total Passes459
278Passes Accurate392
79%Pass Accuracy85%

Team Comparison

U. CatolicaU. Catolica
O'HigginsO'Higgins
1677Elo Rating 1597
0.83Attack 0.97
2.05Defense 2.38
27%Hit Rate 58%
11.2Shots per Game 17.3
2.9Shots on Target 4.1
3.6Corners per Game 5.3
2.6Cards per Game 2.1

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy2.84 goals
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

U. CatolicaU. Catolica
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.7 vs 0.1 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
O'HigginsO'Higgins
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

U. CatolicaU. Catolica4Wins · 40%
Draws110%
O'HigginsO'Higgins5Wins · 50%
2.7Avg Goals
40%Both teams scored4 of 10
50%3+ goals5 of 10

Previous meetings

Primera División08/03/2026
O'HigginsU. Catolica
10
Primera División02/11/2025
U. CatolicaO'Higgins
02
Primera División17/05/2025
O'HigginsU. Catolica
20
Primera División06/10/2024
O'HigginsU. Catolica
02
Primera División11/05/2024
U. CatolicaO'Higgins
32
Primera División07/10/2023
O'HigginsU. Catolica
03
Primera División23/04/2023
U. CatolicaO'Higgins
01
Primera División12/08/2022
U. CatolicaO'Higgins
22
Primera División19/03/2022
O'HigginsU. Catolica
21
Primera División31/10/2021
O'HigginsU. Catolica
13

Referee Profile

Juan Ignacio Lara Luco118 matches

5.49Cards per match
5.13Yellow cards per match
0.36Red cards per match
23.4Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Juan Ignacio Lara Luco5.49
Other referees5.66

5.49 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.66).

Cards come from 78 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Primera División 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Colo ColoColo Colo27194459:30+2961WWDLD
2Universidad de ChileUniversidad de Chile27156647:22+2551WLWWW
3U. CatolicaU. Catolica27154856:37+1949WWDLW
4Deportes LimacheDeportes Limache271241148:40+840LWWDL
5Everton de VinaEverton de Vina27117943:35+840LDLWW
6Coquimbo UnidoCoquimbo Unido261151039:35+438WWLWL
7PalestinoPalestino271151139:38+138LLDDL
8ConcepciónConcepción271151130:30038WWLDD
9D. La SerenaD. La Serena27910840:42-237WDWLL
10NublenseNublense27981031:41-1035LLWLL
11HuachipatoHuachipato26961134:41-733LDDWW
12O'HigginsO'Higgins27941432:42-1031LWDLL
13A. ItalianoA. Italiano27791128:36-830LLDDW
14CobresalCobresal27761439:50-1127LDDDW
15Universidad de ConcepcionUniversidad de Concepcion27751522:49-2726WLLDL
16Union La CaleraUnion La Calera27661524:43-1924WLWDW
#TeamMPGPts
1Colo ColoColo Colo2759:3061
2Universidad de ChileUniversidad de Chile2747:2251
3U. CatolicaU. Catolica2756:3749
4Deportes LimacheDeportes Limache2748:4040
5Everton de VinaEverton de Vina2743:3540
6Coquimbo UnidoCoquimbo Unido2639:3538
7PalestinoPalestino2739:3838
8ConcepciónConcepción2730:3038
9D. La SerenaD. La Serena2740:4237
10NublenseNublense2731:4135
11HuachipatoHuachipato2634:4133
12O'HigginsO'Higgins2732:4231
13A. ItalianoA. Italiano2728:3630
14CobresalCobresal2739:5027
15Universidad de ConcepcionUniversidad de Concepcion2722:4926
16Union La CaleraUnion La Calera2724:4324

About the U. Catolica vs O'Higgins forecast

The forecasts for this Primera División match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

U. Catolica and O'Higgins in the Primera División table

In the Primera División table, U. Catolica are 3rd and O'Higgins 12th, 18 points apart. League goal record so far: U. Catolica 56-37, O'Higgins 32-42. The full standings are on the Primera División Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.