Cuiaba vs Nautico Recife Prediction

Cuiaba
3-0
Finished
HT 1-0
Nautico Recife
Arena Pantanal, Cuiaba·Raimundo Rodrigues de Oliveira Junior 22/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
77%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.25
SignalHIGHModel47%SurpriseMediumGap-3.1%
Value Analysis
65%Trust
Total Cards
Cards Under 4.5
1.83
SignalSOLIDModel65%SurpriseMediumGap+11.5%
Cuiaba Rest
8 days
Nautico Recife Rest
6 days

Cuiaba vs Nautico Recife: result, form and history

Cuiaba beat Nautico Recife 3-0 in the Serie B on 22 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
49%2.05
X
30%3.14
2
21%3.60
Double Chance
1X
79%1.25
X2
51%1.70
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%1.95
No
52%1.75
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.5 + 0.84 = 2.34
Over 1.5
67%1.40
Over 2.5
42%2.30
Over 3.5
22%4.33
Under 1.5
33%2.70
Under 2.5
58%1.58
Under 3.5
78%1.20
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.7 + 4.2 = 9.9
Over 8.5
64%1.37
Over 9.5
52%1.68
Over 10.5
41%2.10
Under 8.5
36%2.71
Under 9.5
48%2.08
Under 10.5
59%1.67
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.9 + 2 = 3.9
Over 3.5
55%-
Over 4.5
35%1.83
Under 3.5
45%-
Under 4.5
65%1.83

Match Events

33'Lorenzo Silva MartinsAssist: Jean Dias da Costa
45'Auremir INPatricio Nunez\t out
45'Reginaldo INLuan Sales out
45'Benjamín Borasi INTodinho out
52'Kauan Cristtyan Cabral do CarmoAssist: Fabio Gomes
61'Jean Dias da Costa INEliel Chrystian out
62'David Miguel de Souza Arcanjo INWesley Dias Claudino out
63'Kauan Cristtyan Cabral do Carmo
67'Kauan Almeida da Costa INDerek Freitas Ribeiro out
67'Jean Carlos INDaniel Ferreira dos Santos Filho out
68'TodinhoDissent
73'Kauan Cristtyan Cabral do Carmo INRamon de Araujo Silva Moutinho out
73'Fabio Gomes INPedro Henrique out
80'Wanderson Camelo VianaFoul
85'Igor INRodrigo Antonio Rodrigues out

Lineups

Cuiaba
3-4-2-1Coach: Eduardo Barros
Nautico Recife
4-2-3-1Coach: Hélio dos Anjos
Avg rating7.21
Avg rating6.17
João Carlos6.61J. Carlos
João Basso7.813J. Basso
Calebe7.65Calebe
Vitor Mendes7.44V. Mendes
Igor Inocêncio7.22I. Inocêncio
Raul6.930Raul
David Miguel6.320D. Miguel
Lorenzo8.236Lorenzo
Kauan9.541Kauan
Jean Dias7.777J. Dias
Fábio Gomes7.490F. Gomes
Muriel6.31Muriel
Reginaldo Lopes5.993R. Lopes
Wanderson5.834Wanderson
Alberto6.63Alberto
Igor Fernandes6.523I. Fernandes
Wenderson6.88Wenderson
Auremir5.95Auremir
Vinícius5.37Vinícius
Jean Carlos6.110J. Carlos
B. Borasi5.624B. Borasi
Kaua Almeida da Costa6.519K. Almeida da Costa

Cuiaba Substitutes

96Pedro Henrique73'for Fabio Gomes6.5
12Busatto
53Weverson
7Ramon de Araujo Silva Moutinho73'replaced by Kauan Cristtyan Cabral do Carmo
26Joao Silva
27Rodrigo Farofa85'for Igor6.6
11Eliel61'for Jean Dias da Costa6.3
29Vinicius Peixoto
91Luisão
70Wesley Dias62'for David Miguel de Souza Arcanjo6.9
14Eric
97Luiz Otávio

Nautico Recife Substitutes

88Caio
55G. Guruceaga
72Derek67'for Kauan Almeida da Costa6.6
78Daniel Ferreira dos Santos Filho67'replaced by Jean Carlos
16Luiz Cláudio
22P. Núñez45'for Auremir6.4
29Júnior Todinho45'for Benjamín Borasi68'6.0
6Ryan
13Gabriel Severino de Sousa
2Arnaldo45'for Reginaldo6.0

Match Stats

CuiabaNautico Recife
44%Ball Possession56%
7Corner Kicks4
1Yellow Cards2
28Total Shots12
7Shots on Goal2
13Shots off Goal6
17Shots Inside Box7
11Shots Outside Box5
8Blocked Shots4
18Fouls10
1Offsides0
2Goalkeeper Saves4
393Total Passes510
306Passes Accurate422
10Free Kicks17

Team Comparison

CuiabaCuiaba
Nautico RecifeNautico Recife
1612Elo Rating 1553
0.33Attack 0.59
2.08Defense 1.85
17%Hit Rate 14%
18.0Shots per Game 14.2
5.0Shots on Target 3.0
8.1Corners per Game 6.6
1.8Cards per Game 1.7

AI Insights

📉Home Underperforming
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

CuiabaCuiaba
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Nautico RecifeNautico Recife
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

1 previous meeting, all competitions

CuiabaCuiaba0Wins · 0%
Draws00%
Nautico RecifeNautico Recife1Wins · 100%
1.0Avg Goals
0%Both teams scored0 of 1
0%3+ goals0 of 1

Previous meetings

Serie B23/05/2026
Nautico RecifeCuiaba
10

Recent Form

Nautico RecifeNautico Recife
4W5D1L
16/09/2026
Nautico RecifeOperario-PR
33
D
10/09/2026
America MineiroNautico Recife
21
L
04/09/2026
Nautico RecifeBotafogo SP
10
W
29/08/2026
Nautico RecifeAthletic Club
21
W
23/08/2026
São BernardoNautico Recife
11
D
19/08/2026
Nautico RecifeCeara
10
W
15/08/2026
Ponte PretaNautico Recife
11
D
09/08/2026
Nautico RecifeAtletico Goianiense
11
D
26/07/2026
CriciumaNautico Recife
00
D
23/07/2026
Nautico RecifeLondrina
21
W

Referee Profile

Raimundo Rodrigues de Oliveira Junior3 matches analysed

4.67Cards per match
4.51Yellow cards per match
0.16Red cards per match
24.5Fouls per match

Strictness

Stricter than 67% of referees analysed

Model estimates, weighted toward the competition average while the sample is small.

Full referee stats

League Table

Serie B 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1NovorizontinoNovorizontino351810762:30+3264WDWWW
2Vila NovaVila Nova35188950:36+1462LDWDW
3JuventudeJuventude341710741:23+1861DDWWW
4Fortaleza ECFortaleza EC341612641:29+1260WDWDD
5CriciumaCriciuma351781036:30+659LWWLW
6Sport RecifeSport Recife351412947:38+954WLDWW
7Atletico GoianienseAtletico Goianiense351412942:33+954LDDLW
8CRBCRB341571251:48+352LDWLW
9Operario-PROperario-PR351491245:46-151WLLLL
10GoiasGoias341471334:40-649DWWLL
11São BernardoSão Bernardo3513101249:39+1049WLDLW
12Botafogo SPBotafogo SP351381440:38+247WWWWL
13CuiabaCuiaba341114932:27+547LLDWL
14Athletic ClubAthletic Club3510141140:40044LDDLL
15Nautico RecifeNautico Recife3411101339:42-343DLLDW
16CearaCeara3411101337:42-543DLWWD
17AvaiAvai351071833:45-1237LDWWL
18LondrinaLondrina34881843:49-632WDLLL
19America MineiroAmerica Mineiro34552422:54-3220WLLLL
20Ponte PretaPonte Preta34352619:74-5514DLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1NovorizontinoNovorizontino3562:3064
2Vila NovaVila Nova3550:3662
3JuventudeJuventude3441:2361
4Fortaleza ECFortaleza EC3441:2960
5CriciumaCriciuma3536:3059
6Sport RecifeSport Recife3547:3854
7Atletico GoianienseAtletico Goianiense3542:3354
8CRBCRB3451:4852
9Operario-PROperario-PR3545:4651
10GoiasGoias3434:4049
11São BernardoSão Bernardo3549:3949
12Botafogo SPBotafogo SP3540:3847
13CuiabaCuiaba3432:2747
14Athletic ClubAthletic Club3540:4044
15Nautico RecifeNautico Recife3439:4243
16CearaCeara3437:4243
17AvaiAvai3533:4537
18LondrinaLondrina3443:4932
19America MineiroAmerica Mineiro3422:5420
20Ponte PretaPonte Preta3419:7414
PromotionRelegation

About the Cuiaba vs Nautico Recife forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Cuiaba and Nautico Recife in the Serie B table

Cuiaba and Nautico Recife are close in the Serie B table, 13th and 15th, with 4 points between them. League goal record so far: Cuiaba 32-27, Nautico Recife 39-42. The full standings are on the Serie B Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Cuiaba and Nautico Recife have met only 1 time recently, with 1.0 goals in that meeting. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.