France vs Spain Prediction

France
0-2
Finished
HT 0-1
Spain
Dallas Stadium, Arlington· Iván Barton, El Salvador 14/07/2026
FranceFrance
0-2
Finished
SpainSpain

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
9.3 / 10
Value Analysis
75%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 3.5 Goals
1.33
SignalSOLIDModel40%RiskMediumGap+5.2%
France Rest
4 days
Spain Rest
4 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
25%2.38
X
45%3.15
2
30%3.20
Double Chance
1X
70%1.35
X2
75%1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%1.65
No
47%2.15
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.32 + 1.21 = 2.53
Over 1.5
73%1.28
Over 2.5
45%1.90
Over 3.5
25%3.15
Under 1.5
27%3.52
Under 2.5
55%1.91
Under 3.5
75%1.33
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.8 + 4.2 = 8.9
Over 8.5
55%1.62
Over 9.5
46%2.02
Over 10.5
33%2.62
Under 8.5
45%2.17
Under 9.5
54%1.71
Under 10.5
67%1.44
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.9 + 1.6 = 3.5
Over 3.5
46%2.21
Over 4.5
27%3.35
Under 3.5
54%1.59
Under 4.5
73%1.27

Match Events

9'Adrien RabiotFoul
22'Mikel Oyarzabal(Penalty)
30'William Saliba INMaxence Lacroix out
31'Marc CucurellaFoul
46'Adrien Rabiot INManu Koné out
57'Bradley Barcola INDésiré Doué out
58'Pedro PorroAssist: Dani Olmo
72'Lucas Digne INTheo Hernández out
72'Michael Olise INRayan Cherki out
74'Mikel Oyarzabal INFerran Torres out
78'Fabián Ruiz INPedri out
78'Dani Olmo INMikel Merino out
84'Pedro Porro INMarcos Llorente out
84'Alex Baena INNico Williams out
86'Kylian MbappéViolent conduct

Lineups

France
Coach: Didier Deschamps
Spain
Coach: Luis de la Fuente

France Starting XI

16Mike MaignanG
5Jules KoundéD
4Dayot UpamecanoD
17William SalibaD
3Lucas DigneD
8Aurélien TchouaméniM
14Adrien RabiotM
7Ousmane DembéléM
11Michael OliseM
12Bradley BarcolaM
10Kylian MbappéF

Spain Starting XI

23Unai SimónG
12Pedro PorroD
22Pau CubarsíD
14Aymeric LaporteD
24Marc CucurellaD
16RodriM
8Fabián RuizM
19Lamine YamalM
10Dani OlmoM
15Alex BaenaM
21Mikel OyarzabalF

France Substitutes

26Maxence LacroixD
6Manu KonéM
20Désiré DouéF
19Theo HernándezD
24Rayan CherkiM
1Brice SambaG
23Robin RisserG
15Ibrahima KonatéD
21Lucas HernándezD
2Malo GustoD
25Maghnes AklioucheM
13N'Golo KantéM
18Warren Zaïre-EmeryM
22Jean-Philippe MatetaF
9Marcus ThuramF

Spain Substitutes

7Ferran TorresF
6Mikel MerinoM
20PedriM
5Marcos LlorenteM
17Nico WilliamsF
1David RayaG
13Joan GarcíaG
2Marc PubillD
4Eric GarcíaD
3Alejandro GrimaldoD
18Martín ZubimendiM
9Pablo GaviM
26Borja IglesiasF
25Víctor MuñozF
11Yéremy PinoM

Match Stats

FranceSpain
49%Ball Possession51%
7Corner Kicks1
2Yellow Cards1
10Total Shots10
3Shots on Goal2
5Shots off Goal5
4Shots Inside Box5
6Shots Outside Box5
2Blocked Shots3
11Fouls12
4Offsides5
0Goalkeeper Saves3
473Total Passes500
396Passes Accurate428
84%Pass Accuracy86%

Team Comparison

FranceFrance
SpainSpain
1898Elo Rating 1957
2.06Attack 1.44
0.92Defense 2.81
50%Hit Rate 73%
17.5Shots per Game 16.7
7.2Shots on Target 7.7
6.6Corners per Game 6.1
1.6Cards per Game 0.8

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend81% in H2H
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

FranceFrance
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.9 vs 0.1 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
SpainSpain
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0.6 in first half)

Head to Head

Based on 4 historical meetings

France 23%Draw 0%77% Spain
4.69Avg Goals
81%BTTS Rate
81%Over 2.5

Referee Profile

Iván Barton, El Salvador · 5 matches analysed

3.8Avg Yellows
4.0Avg Cards
27.1Avg Fouls
Stricter than 47% of referees analysed

League Table

World Cup 2026

Group H

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1SpainSpain32105:0+57WWD
2Cape Verde IslandsCape Verde Islands30302:203DDD
3UruguayUruguay30213:4-12LDD
4Saudi ArabiaSaudi Arabia30211:5-42DLD
#TeamMPGPts
1SpainSpain35:07
2Cape Verde IslandsCape Verde Islands32:23
3UruguayUruguay33:42
4Saudi ArabiaSaudi Arabia31:52

Group I

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1FranceFrance330010:2+89WWW
2NorwayNorway32018:7+16LWW
3SenegalSenegal31028:6+23WLL
4IraqIraq30031:12-110LLL
#TeamMPGPts
1FranceFrance310:29
2NorwayNorway38:76
3SenegalSenegal38:63
4IraqIraq31:120

France vs Spain Prediction

As a knockout-stage World Cup fixture, this match carries added stakes for both sides. Our AI model analyses team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history to build forecasts across six independent markets.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About World Cup

ScorePredicts covers World Cup across every knockout round. Use the navigation to explore today's full fixture list or filter by market.

Key Factors for This Match

This is a high-importance fixture for both sides, rated 9.3 out of 10 by our context model. France and Spain have met 4 times recently, averaging 4.69 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.