Estoril vs Casa Pia Prediction

Estoril
1-2
Finished
HT 0-0
Casa Pia
Estádio António Coimbra da Mota, Cascais·Pedro Miguel Torres Ramalho 20/09/2026
EstorilEstoril
1-2
Finished
Casa PiaCasa Pia

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
75%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.18
SignalHIGHModel49%SurpriseMediumGap-10.0%
Value Analysis
66%Trust
Corners Total
Corners Over 8.5
1.60
SignalGOODModel66%SurpriseMediumGap+8.5%
Estoril Rest
5 days
Casa Pia Rest
8 days

Estoril vs Casa Pia: result, form and history

Casa Pia beat Estoril 2-1 in the Primeira Liga on 20 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.4 goals, with both teams scoring in 4 of them. Referee Pedro Miguel Torres Ramalho averages 5.79 cards a game, 0.56 more than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
54%1.70
X
25%3.80
2
21%4.74
Double Chance
1X
79%1.18
X2
46%2.10
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%1.70
No
47%2.04
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.5 + 0.94 = 2.44
Over 1.5
76%1.22
Over 2.5
52%1.75
Over 3.5
32%2.75
Under 1.5
24%4.00
Under 2.5
48%2.08
Under 3.5
68%1.40
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.7 + 4.3 = 10
Over 8.5
66%1.60
Over 9.5
54%2.02
Over 10.5
44%2.58
Under 8.5
34%2.16
Under 9.5
46%1.71
Under 10.5
56%1.42
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.9 + 2 = 3.9
Over 3.5
56%1.30
Over 4.5
36%1.62
Under 3.5
44%3.30
Under 4.5
64%2.22

Match Events

27'Henrique Araújo(Penalty missed)
41'Ismael SierraFoul
45'Axel Camblan INJordan Arnolin out
45'Henrique Araújo INAlassana Jatta out
60'Milan Robin INAntef Tsoungui out
60'Nail Omerovic INRafik Guitane out
62'David SousaFoul
65'Mohamed Salah El Boukammiri INEvans Maurin out
65'João Pedro INBenjamin Pauwels out
70'Ricard Sanchez SendraAssist: Jordan Holsgrove
72'Selvi CluaAssist: Lawrence Ofori
74'Selvi Clua INSebastián Pérez out
80'Xavier Sintes Egea INPedro Carvalho out
80'João Carvalho INAndré Lacximicant out
82'Yanis BegraouiDissent
85'Jordan ArnolinFoul
87'João Rego INAbdu Dafe out
89'Benjamin PauwelsAssist: Sebastián Pérez
90+5'Alassana JattaFoul

Lineups

Estoril
4-2-3-1Coach: Vasco Matos
Casa Pia
4-2-3-1Coach: Filipe Coelho
Avg rating6.40
Avg rating6.78
Joel Robles5.71J. Robles
Ricard Sánchez7.32R. Sánchez
Xavi Sintes6.76X. Sintes
Isma Sierra5.715I. Sierra
R. Jurišić6.321R. Jurišić
J. Holsgrove7.710J. Holsgrove
M. Robin6.244M. Robin
N. Omerović6.811N. Omerović
João Carvalho6.212J. Carvalho
A. Camblan6.09A. Camblan
Y. Begraoui6.114Y. Begraoui
Ivan Mandić7.695I. Mandić
Geraldes6.518Geraldes
Kaly6.43Kaly
David Sousa6.843D. Sousa
Pedro Rosas6.475P. Rosas
Silvi7.716Silvi
L. Ofori7.580L. Ofori
M. El Boukammiri6.711M. El Boukammiri
João Pedro Seno Luís Rêgo7.070J. Pedro Seno Luís Rêgo
JP6.398JP
Henrique Araújo6.29H. Araújo

Estoril Substitutes

90Tiago Brito
35S. Amissah
7André Lacximicant80'for João Carvalho6.4
99R. Guitane60'for Nail Omerovic6.3
3Fernando Medrano
19Tiago Parreira Parente
17Peixinho
22Pedro Carvalho80'for Xavier Sintes Egea6.0
42J. Arnolin45'for Axel Camblan85'6.5
43fletcher lowe
5A. Tsoungui60'for Milan Robin6.4
16M. Turk

Casa Pia Substitutes

24S. Pérez74'for Selvi Clua6.5
19K. Prieto
77B. Pauwels65'for João Pedro89'7.7
17E. Maurin65'for Mohamed Salah El Boukammiri6.6
20A. Jatta45'for Henrique Araújo90+5'6.6
4João Goulart
44Felipe Silva
8Gabi Pereira
90Cassiano
59Abdu Dafe87'for João Rego6.1
10Rochinha
1P. Sequeira

Match Stats

EstorilCasa Pia
53%Ball Possession47%
7Corner Kicks4
3Yellow Cards2
14Total Shots11
6Shots on Goal3
6Shots off Goal7
7Shots Inside Box7
7Shots Outside Box4
2Blocked Shots1
7Fouls11
0Offsides3
0Goalkeeper Saves5
394Total Passes346
301Passes Accurate271
11Free Kicks7

Team Comparison

EstorilEstoril
Casa PiaCasa Pia
1537Elo Rating 1546
0.69Attack 0.82
1.72Defense 1.91
0%Hit Rate 46%
14.6Shots per Game 9.3
6.2Shots on Target 3.1
5.4Corners per Game 3.9
3.0Cards per Game 3.1

AI Insights

📉Home Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

EstorilEstoril
  • Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.7 vs 0 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Casa PiaCasa Pia
  • Tied at half-time in 100% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.7 vs 0.2 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

EstorilEstoril4Wins · 40%
Draws550%
Casa PiaCasa Pia1Wins · 10%
2.4Avg Goals
40%Both teams scored4 of 10
40%3+ goals4 of 10

Previous meetings

Primeira Liga07/03/2026
EstorilCasa Pia
00
Primeira Liga03/10/2025
Casa PiaEstoril
22
Primeira Liga29/04/2025
Casa PiaEstoril
13
Primeira Liga15/12/2024
EstorilCasa Pia
02
Primeira Liga08/04/2024
Casa PiaEstoril
00
Primeira Liga10/11/2023
EstorilCasa Pia
40
Primeira Liga21/05/2023
Casa PiaEstoril
22
Primeira Liga16/01/2023
EstorilCasa Pia
20
Segunda Liga23/04/2021
EstorilCasa Pia
11
Segunda Liga30/12/2020
Casa PiaEstoril
02

Recent Form

EstorilEstoril
1W4D5L
14/09/2026
SC BragaEstoril
10
L
07/09/2026
EstorilArouca
00
D
31/08/2026
BenficaEstoril
21
L
22/08/2026
EstorilRio Ave
02
L
16/08/2026
NacionalEstoril
20
L
07/08/2026
EstorilFamalicao
11
D
31/07/2026
CF Os BelenensesEstoril
11
D
25/07/2026
EstorilTorreense
00
D
22/07/2026
AlvercaEstoril
20
L
11/07/2026
EstorilAtlético CP
30
W
Casa PiaCasa Pia
2W1D7L
12/09/2026
Casa PiaFC Porto
14
L
06/09/2026
Vitória SCCasa Pia
00
D
30/08/2026
Casa PiaMoreirense
01
L
24/08/2026
GIL VicenteCasa Pia
20
L
17/08/2026
Casa PiaBenfica
07
L
08/08/2026
MaritimoCasa Pia
10
L
01/08/2026
LeixoesCasa Pia
62
L
25/07/2026
Benfica BCasa Pia
10
L
18/07/2026
EstrelaCasa Pia
12
W
28/05/2026
Casa PiaTorreense
20
W

Referee Profile

Pedro Miguel Torres Ramalho101 matches

5.79Cards per match
5.49Yellow cards per match
0.31Red cards per match
28.0Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Pedro Miguel Torres Ramalho5.79
Other referees5.23

5.79 cards a match, 0.56 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.23).

Cards come from 39 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Primeira Liga 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1FC PortoFC Porto880020:4+1624WWWWW
2BenficaBenfica861124:7+1719WLWWW
3Sporting CPSporting CP853020:9+1118WDDWW
4Santa ClaraSanta Clara853012:4+818WDWWD
5AroucaArouca842211:7+414WDLDW
6GIL VicenteGIL Vicente84228:6+214WWDLL
7Academico ViseuAcademico Viseu842211:10+114WWWWL
8AlvercaAlverca832313:12+111WWWLD
9SC BragaSC Braga83239:10-111LLDWL
10EstrelaEstrela824214:15-110LLDWD
11MaritimoMaritimo82249:14-58LDLLL
12MoreirenseMoreirense82248:15-78LDWLL
13FamalicaoFamalicao814310:11-17LWDDD
14Rio AveRio Ave82158:17-97WLDLL
15Vitória SCVitória SC81255:10-55LDLDL
16NacionalNacional81169:18-94LLLLL
17Casa PiaCasa Pia81163:17-144LWLDL
18EstorilEstoril80264:12-82LLLDL
#TeamMPGPts
1FC PortoFC Porto820:424
2BenficaBenfica824:719
3Sporting CPSporting CP820:918
4Santa ClaraSanta Clara812:418
5AroucaArouca811:714
6GIL VicenteGIL Vicente88:614
7Academico ViseuAcademico Viseu811:1014
8AlvercaAlverca813:1211
9SC BragaSC Braga89:1011
10EstrelaEstrela814:1510
11MaritimoMaritimo89:148
12MoreirenseMoreirense88:158
13FamalicaoFamalicao810:117
14Rio AveRio Ave88:177
15Vitória SCVitória SC85:105
16NacionalNacional89:184
17Casa PiaCasa Pia83:174
18EstorilEstoril84:122
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About the Estoril vs Casa Pia forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Estoril and Casa Pia in the Primeira Liga table

Casa Pia and Estoril are close in the Primeira Liga table, 17th and 18th, with 2 points between them. League goal record so far: Estoril 4-12, Casa Pia 3-17. The full standings are on the Primeira Liga Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.