Casa Pia vs FC Porto Prediction

Casa Pia
1-4
Finished
HT 1-1
FC Porto
12/09/2026
Casa PiaCasa Pia
1-4
Finished
FC PortoFC Porto

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
Value Analysis
61%Trust
Total Cards
Cards Under 4.5
1.74
SignalSOLIDModel61%SurpriseMediumGap+8.7%
Casa Pia Rest
6 days
FC Porto Rest
3 days

Casa Pia vs FC Porto: result, form and history

FC Porto beat Casa Pia 4-1 in the Primeira Liga on 12 Sep 2026. It was in line with recent form: FC Porto had won 4 of their previous five, compared with none for Casa Pia.

FC Porto have had the better of this fixture, winning 6 of the 8 previous meetings, which averaged 2.5 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
9%13.00
X
16%6.25
2
75%1.21
Double Chance
1X
25%4.00
X2
91%1.04
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%2.33
No
50%1.53
Goals
Projected Goals: 0.78 + 1.99 = 2.77
Over 1.5
79%1.19
Over 2.5
53%1.64
Over 3.5
32%2.57
Under 1.5
21%4.40
Under 2.5
47%2.25
Under 3.5
68%1.45
Corners
Projected Corners: 3.2 + 6.8 = 10
Over 8.5
63%1.60
Over 9.5
52%2.00
Over 10.5
42%2.56
Under 8.5
37%2.15
Under 9.5
48%1.72
Under 10.5
58%1.42
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.2 + 1.9 = 4.1
Over 3.5
59%1.50
Over 4.5
39%2.01
Under 3.5
41%2.46
Under 4.5
61%1.74

Match Events

43'Henrique Araújo(Penalty)
45'Jakub KiwiorDissent
45+3'André SilvaAssist: Pablo Rosario
53'Domingos José Gabriel BandeiraFoul
54'Andre GeraldesDissent
60'Jakub KiwiorAssist: Gabri Veiga
62'William Gomes INBorja Sainz out
62'André Silva INSantiago Giménez out
66'Borja Sainz
68'Benjamin Pauwels INEvans Maurin out
70'Hwang In-Beom INAlan Gonzalo Varela out
74'Mohamed Salah El Boukammiri INJoão Pedro out
74'Henrique Araújo INCassiano out
80'Gabri Veiga INSeko Fofana out
80'Alberto Costa INMartim Fernandes out
87'David SousaFoul
88'João Rego INAymen Zouin out
90'Ivan MandicFoul
90+1'Santiago Giménez(Penalty)

Lineups

Casa Pia
4-2-3-1Coach: Filipe Coelho
FC Porto
4-3-3Coach: F. Farioli
Avg rating5.97
Avg rating6.79
Ivan Mandić5.395I. Mandić
Geraldes5.018Geraldes
Kaly5.53Kaly
David Sousa5.743D. Sousa
Pedro Rosas5.975P. Rosas
Silvi6.516Silvi
L. Ofori6.080L. Ofori
M. El Boukammiri6.111M. El Boukammiri
João Pedro Seno Luís Rêgo5.970J. Pedro Seno Luís Rêgo
B. Pauwels5.877B. Pauwels
Henrique Araújo6.89H. Araújo
Diogo Costa6.999D. Costa
Alberto Baio6.320A. Baio
J. Bednarek7.05J. Bednarek
J. Kiwior7.34J. Kiwior
Francisco Moura6.674F. Moura
Hwang In-Beom6.516H. In-Beom
P. Rosario6.813P. Rosario
Gabri Veiga7.210G. Veiga
William6.47William
André Silva8.019A. Silva
Pepê Aquino6.111P. Aquino

Casa Pia Substitutes

4João Goulart
8Gabi Pereira
90Cassiano74'for Henrique Araújo6.6
59Abdu Dafe
10Rochinha
20A. Jatta
17E. Maurin68'for Benjamin Pauwels6.3
19K. Prieto
24S. Pérez
1P. Sequeira
21A. Zouin88'for João Rego6.3
98JP74'for Mohamed Salah El Boukammiri6.0

FC Porto Substitutes

33Souza
42S. Fofana80'for Gabri Veiga6.0
29S. Giménez62'for André Silva90+1'7.7
52Martim Fernandes80'for Alberto Costa6.2
14Cláudio Ramos
21D. Prpić
18N. Pérez
17Borja Sainz62'for William Gomes66'7.4
22A. Varela70'for Hwang In-Beom6.2
58T. Silva
50J. Afonso
37Gabriel Mec

Match Stats

Casa PiaFC Porto
36%Ball Possession64%
5Corner Kicks10
4Yellow Cards1
15Total Shots17
5Shots on Goal4
7Shots off Goal6
6Shots Inside Box12
9Shots Outside Box5
3Blocked Shots7
13Fouls10
0Offsides1
0Goalkeeper Saves4
240Total Passes409
163Passes Accurate334
68%Pass Accuracy82%

Team Comparison

Casa PiaCasa Pia
FC PortoFC Porto
1576Elo Rating 1879
1.24Attack 1.41
2.08Defense 1.88
66%Hit Rate 58%
9.9Shots per Game 14.5
3.5Shots on Target 5.4
4.3Corners per Game 4.2
2.9Cards per Game 1.6

Game State Tendencies

Casa PiaCasa Pia
  • Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.8 vs 0.4 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
FC PortoFC Porto
  • Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.1 vs 0.3 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 8 meetings, all competitions

Casa PiaCasa Pia1Wins · 13%
Draws112%
FC PortoFC Porto6Wins · 75%
2.5Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored4 of 8
63%3+ goals5 of 8

Previous meetings

Primeira Liga02/02/2026
Casa PiaFC Porto
21
Primeira Liga24/08/2025
FC PortoCasa Pia
40
Primeira Liga12/04/2025
Casa PiaFC Porto
01
Primeira Liga02/12/2024
FC PortoCasa Pia
20
Primeira Liga21/04/2024
Casa PiaFC Porto
12
Primeira Liga09/12/2023
FC PortoCasa Pia
31
Primeira Liga14/05/2023
FC PortoCasa Pia
21
Primeira Liga07/01/2023
Casa PiaFC Porto
00

Recent Form

Casa PiaCasa Pia
2W2D6L
06/09/2026
Vitória SCCasa Pia
00
D
30/08/2026
Casa PiaMoreirense
01
L
24/08/2026
GIL VicenteCasa Pia
20
L
17/08/2026
Casa PiaBenfica
07
L
08/08/2026
MaritimoCasa Pia
10
L
01/08/2026
LeixoesCasa Pia
62
L
25/07/2026
Benfica BCasa Pia
10
L
18/07/2026
EstrelaCasa Pia
12
W
28/05/2026
Casa PiaTorreense
20
W
20/05/2026
TorreenseCasa Pia
00
D
FC PortoFC Porto
8W0D2L
08/09/2026
FC PortoManchester City
02
L
04/09/2026
FC PortoMoreirense
21
W
29/08/2026
Academico ViseuFC Porto
03
W
23/08/2026
FC PortoArouca
20
W
15/08/2026
Rio AveFC Porto
02
W
09/08/2026
FC PortoAlverca
20
W
01/08/2026
FC PortoTorreense
10
W
25/07/2026
FC PortoAston Villa
21
W
16/05/2026
FC PortoSanta Clara
10
W
10/05/2026
AVSFC Porto
31
L

League Table

Primeira Liga 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1FC PortoFC Porto990021:4+1727WWWWW
2BenficaBenfica861124:7+1719WLWWW
3Sporting CPSporting CP953121:11+1018LWDDW
4Santa ClaraSanta Clara853012:4+818WDWWD
5AroucaArouca952212:7+517WWDLD
6Academico ViseuAcademico Viseu952213:11+217WWWWW
7GIL VicenteGIL Vicente94238:7+114LWWDL
8AlvercaAlverca932413:13011LWWWL
9SC BragaSC Braga93249:11-211LLLDW
10MoreirenseMoreirense932411:16-511WLDWL
11FamalicaoFamalicao924314:11+310WLWDD
12EstrelaEstrela924314:17-310LLLDW
13Vitória SCVitória SC922510:1008WLDLD
14MaritimoMaritimo92259:19-108LLDLL
15NacionalNacional921610:18-87WLLLL
16Casa PiaCasa Pia92165:17-127WLWLD
17Rio AveRio Ave92168:21-137LWLDL
18EstorilEstoril90275:15-102LLLLD
#TeamMPGPts
1FC PortoFC Porto921:427
2BenficaBenfica824:719
3Sporting CPSporting CP921:1118
4Santa ClaraSanta Clara812:418
5AroucaArouca912:717
6Academico ViseuAcademico Viseu913:1117
7GIL VicenteGIL Vicente98:714
8AlvercaAlverca913:1311
9SC BragaSC Braga99:1111
10MoreirenseMoreirense911:1611
11FamalicaoFamalicao914:1110
12EstrelaEstrela914:1710
13Vitória SCVitória SC910:108
14MaritimoMaritimo99:198
15NacionalNacional910:187
16Casa PiaCasa Pia95:177
17Rio AveRio Ave98:217
18EstorilEstoril95:152
Champions LeagueEuropa LeagueConference LeagueRelegation

About the Casa Pia vs FC Porto forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Casa Pia and FC Porto in the Primeira Liga table

The table shows a wide gap: FC Porto are 1st in the Primeira Liga, while Casa Pia sit 16th, 20 points behind. League goal record so far: Casa Pia 5-17, FC Porto 21-4. The full standings are on the Primeira Liga Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.