Vitória SC vs Casa Pia Prediction

Vitória SC
0-0
Finished
HT 0-0
Casa Pia
G. Correia 06/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
Value Analysis
57%Trust
Home Corners
Home Corners Under 5.5
1.86
SignalGOODModel48%RiskMediumGap+7.7%
Vitória SC Rest
5 days
Casa Pia Rest
7 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
53%1.48
X
29%4.10
2
18%6.75
Double Chance
1X
82%1.10
X2
47%2.50
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%2.10
No
55%1.67
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.52 + 0.89 = 2.41
Over 1.5
74%1.30
Over 2.5
46%2.00
Over 3.5
25%3.50
Under 1.5
26%3.30
Under 2.5
54%1.81
Under 3.5
75%1.30
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.4 + 4 = 9.4
Over 8.5
53%1.61
Over 9.5
40%2.00
Over 10.5
31%2.54
Under 8.5
47%2.15
Under 9.5
60%1.73
Under 10.5
69%1.45
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.2 + 2.7 = 4.9
Over 3.5
72%-
Over 4.5
55%1.54
Under 3.5
28%-
Under 4.5
45%2.20

Match Events

29'André Gomes INIvan Mandic out
45'Kevin Prieto INJoão Pedro out
57'Benjamin Pauwels INMohamed Salah El Boukammiri out
57'Alassana Jatta INHenrique Araújo out
62'Gustavo SilvaArgument
62'Ivan MandicArgument
63'Alioune Ndoye INArnel Jakupović out
66'Tiago Miguel Carvalho MargaridoDissent
70'Domingos José Gabriel Bandeira INJoão Goulart out
70'Miguel Nogueira INOumar Camara out
71'Ahmed Sidibé INÓscar Rivas out
72'João PedroFoul
86'Balieiro ThiagoFoul
87'Lohann Doucet INPatrick Ouotro out
87'Fábio Samuel Amorim Silva INGonçalo Nogueira out

Lineups

Vitória SC
4-2-3-1Coach: Tiago Margarido
Casa Pia
4-2-3-1Coach: Filipe Coelho
O. Zych48O. ZychO. Zych
T. Strata23T. StrataT. Strata
Thiago Balieiro28T. BalieiroThiago Balieiro
A. Sidibé5A. SidibéA. Sidibé
João Mendes13J. MendesJoão Mendes
Beni16BeniBeni
L. Doucet44L. DoucetL. Doucet
Miguel Nogueira17M. NogueiraMiguel Nogueira
Samu20SamuSamu
Gustavo11GustavoGustavo
A. Ndoye24A. NdoyeA. Ndoye
André Gomes31A. GomesAndré Gomes
Geraldes18GeraldesGeraldes
Kaly3KalyKaly
David Sousa43D. SousaDavid Sousa
Pedro Rosas75P. RosasPedro Rosas
Silvi16SilviSilvi
L. Ofori80L. OforiL. Ofori
K. Prieto19K. PrietoK. Prieto
João Pedro Seno Luís Rêgo70J. Pedro Seno Luís RêgoJoão Pedro Seno Luís Rêgo
B. Pauwels77B. PauwelsB. Pauwels
A. Jatta20A. JattaA. Jatta

Vitória SC Substitutes

56S. VerdiM
7O. CamaraF
22J. CastilloG
9A. JakupovicF
82F. DiasD
6M. MitrovićM
19V. AnderssonM
29V. OuotroF
4Óscar RivasD
2Miguel MagaD
18Telmo ArcanjoM
8Gonçalo NogueiraM

Casa Pia Substitutes

10RochinhaF
59Abdu DafeM
90CassianoF
8Gabi PereiraM
4João GoulartD
95Ivan MandićG
17E. MaurinF
9Henrique AraújoF
24S. PérezM
11M. El BoukammiriF
21A. ZouinF
98João TrevisolM

Match Stats

Vitória SCCasa Pia
74%Ball Possession26%
17Corner Kicks4
2Yellow Cards2
29Total Shots7
8Shots on Goal3
11Shots off Goal4
17Shots Inside Box4
12Shots Outside Box3
10Blocked Shots0
16Fouls6
2Offsides0
3Goalkeeper Saves7
551Total Passes191
456Passes Accurate107
6Free Kicks13

Team Comparison

Vitória SCVitória SC
Casa PiaCasa Pia
1573Elo Rating 1523
0.72Attack 0.27
1.84Defense 0.41
17%Hit Rate 0%
18.8Shots per Game 10.2
5.4Shots on Target 2.8
7.1Corners per Game 3.8
3.0Cards per Game 2.2

AI Insights

📉Home Underperforming
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

Vitória SCVitória SC
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.6 vs 0.2 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Casa PiaCasa Pia
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.3 vs 0 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Based on 5 historical meetings

Vitória SC 19%Draw 39%41% Casa Pia
1.08Avg Goals
17%BTTS Rate
0%Over 2.5

Recent Form

Casa PiaCasa Pia
0W0D5L
30/08/2026
Casa PiaMoreirense
01
L
24/08/2026
GIL VicenteCasa Pia
20
L
17/08/2026
Casa PiaBenfica
07
L
08/08/2026
MaritimoCasa Pia
10
L
01/08/2026
LeixoesCasa Pia
62
L

Referee Profile

G. Correia · 10 matches analysed

5.1Avg Yellows
5.5Avg Cards
26.7Avg Fouls
Stricter than 91% of referees analysed

League Table

Primeira Liga 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1FC PortoFC Porto660015:2+1318WWWWW
2BenficaBenfica651021:4+1716WWWWW
3Sporting CPSporting CP642015:6+914DWWWW
4Santa ClaraSanta Clara642011:4+714WWDWW
5AroucaArouca63128:5+310LDWLW
6EstrelaEstrela624014:12+210DWDWD
7SC BragaSC Braga53117:5+210WLWWD
8Academico ViseuAcademico Viseu62227:9-28WWLDL
9GIL VicenteGIL Vicente52124:407LLDWW
10MaritimoMaritimo62137:11-47LLLDW
11MoreirenseMoreirense62137:13-67WLLWL
12AlvercaAlverca61238:11-35WLDLD
13FamalicaoFamalicao60425:7-24DDDLL
14Vitória SCVitória SC61144:7-34LDLWL
15NacionalNacional61147:11-44LLLLW
16Rio AveRio Ave61145:14-94DLLWL
17EstorilEstoril60242:8-62LDLLL
18Casa PiaCasa Pia60151:15-141LDLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1FC PortoFC Porto615:218
2BenficaBenfica621:416
3Sporting CPSporting CP615:614
4Santa ClaraSanta Clara611:414
5AroucaArouca68:510
6EstrelaEstrela614:1210
7SC BragaSC Braga57:510
8Academico ViseuAcademico Viseu67:98
9GIL VicenteGIL Vicente54:47
10MaritimoMaritimo67:117
11MoreirenseMoreirense67:137
12AlvercaAlverca68:115
13FamalicaoFamalicao65:74
14Vitória SCVitória SC64:74
15NacionalNacional67:114
16Rio AveRio Ave65:144
17EstorilEstoril62:82
18Casa PiaCasa Pia61:151
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Vitória SC vs Casa Pia Prediction

Our AI model has analysed this Primeira Liga fixture using team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history. The forecasts cover six independent markets - each probability is a separate model calculation, not derived from the match winner result.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About Primeira Liga

ScorePredicts covers Portugal football across all major markets. Use the navigation to explore today's full fixture list or filter by market.

Key Factors for This Match

Vitória SC and Casa Pia have met 5 times recently, averaging 1.08 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.