Estrela vs Academico Viseu Prediction

Estrela
0-2
Finished
HT 0-2
Academico Viseu
Estadio Jose Gomes, Amadora·Andre Narciso 20/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
71%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.28
SignalGOODModel48%SurpriseMediumGap-7.0%
Value Analysis
65%Trust
Corners Total
Corners Over 8.5
1.68
SignalSOLIDModel65%SurpriseMediumGap+8.3%
Estrela Rest
5 days
Academico Viseu Rest
7 days

Estrela vs Academico Viseu: the result in context

Academico Viseu beat Estrela 2-0 in the Primeira Liga on 20 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Estrela have had the better of this fixture, winning 3 of the 4 previous meetings, which averaged 3.3 goals a game. Estrela tend to win more corners, 5.1 a game to 2.9 for Academico Viseu.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
46%2.08
X
28%3.30
2
26%3.60
Double Chance
1X
74%1.28
X2
54%1.72
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%1.75
No
47%2.00
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.52 + 0.97 = 2.49
Over 1.5
72%1.29
Over 2.5
48%1.96
Over 3.5
27%3.35
Under 1.5
28%3.35
Under 2.5
52%1.86
Under 3.5
73%1.29
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.4 + 4.5 = 9.9
Over 8.5
65%1.68
Over 9.5
54%2.06
Over 10.5
44%2.69
Under 8.5
35%2.09
Under 9.5
46%1.66
Under 10.5
56%1.36
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.1 + 2.5 = 4.6
Over 3.5
68%1.30
Over 4.5
49%1.62
Under 3.5
32%3.30
Under 4.5
51%2.22

Match Events

10'André ClóvisAssist: Cihan Kahraman
24'André ClóvisAssist: Cihan Kahraman
30'Eddy DouéFoul
45'Eddy Doué INJoan Jordan out
45'Gustavo Costa INMiguel Ángel Brau Blanquez out
45+1'Gustavo CostaFoul
64'Lovro Zvonarek INBeni Souza out
64'Santiago Serra INKevin Hoog Jansson out
68'Joan JordanFoul
69'Lorougnon Gohi INAlvaro Zamora out
73'Luis SilvaHandball
73'Soufiane MesseguemFoul
77'Ianis Stoica INRené Mitongo out
79'André Clóvis INMohamed Bouldini out
79'Cihan Kahraman INAlejandro Mestanza out
84'Bernardo Schappo INRobson Lucas Oliveira Botelho out
86'João Guilherme INNils Mortimer out

Lineups

Estrela
4-2-3-1Coach: Pepa
Academico Viseu
4-2-3-1Coach: Bruno Pinheiro
Avg rating6.42
Avg rating7.07
Léo Linck6.324L. Linck
M. Scholze6.721M. Scholze
S. Leković6.55S. Leković
Bernardo Schappo6.94B. Schappo
Rafa Soares7.455R. Soares
Santiago Serra6.578S. Serra
Eddy Doue5.839E. Doue
A. Marcus6.499A. Marcus
L. Zvonarek6.314L. Zvonarek
I. Stoica6.610I. Stoica
L. Antonetti5.937L. Antonetti
Ewerton6.898Ewerton
Robinho6.975Robinho
A. Correia7.341A. Correia
N. Michelis7.72N. Michelis
G. Costa7.057G. Costa
C. Kahraman8.68C. Kahraman
Luís Silva6.77L. Silva
João Guilherme6.731J. Guilherme
S. Messeguem6.614S. Messeguem
L. Gohi6.647L. Gohi
André Clóvis9.133A. Clóvis

Estrela Substitutes

17Jefferson Encada
93B. Souza64'for Lovro Zvonarek6.2
8Robinho84'for Bernardo Schappo6.1
51Diogo Pinto
71E. Pedro Vanga
49R. Muteba77'for Ianis Stoica6.1
80Alisson
22David Grilo
6K. Höög Jansson64'for Santiago Serra6.4
30Patrick Luan
3L. Mincarelli Davin
19Joan Jordán45'for Eddy Doué68'6.8

Academico Viseu Substitutes

10Á. Zamora69'for Lorougnon Gohi6.3
9M. Bouldini79'for André Clóvis6.5
3Miguel Brau45'for Gustavo Costa7.2
17Valery
44Rúben Pereira
5Pedro Barcelos
22Nils Mortimer86'for João Guilherme6.2
45Alejandro Mestanza79'for Cihan Kahraman7.1
1Marcos Lavín
18C. Ferreira
21Tomás Domingos
6André Ceitil

Match Stats

EstrelaAcademico Viseu
59%Ball Possession41%
5Corner Kicks2
2Yellow Cards3
16Total Shots8
2Shots on Goal4
9Shots off Goal2
10Shots Inside Box6
6Shots Outside Box2
5Blocked Shots2
10Fouls11
2Goalkeeper Saves2
452Total Passes327
380Passes Accurate255
9Free Kicks9

Team Comparison

EstrelaEstrela
Academico ViseuAcademico Viseu
1539Elo Rating 1654
0.66Attack 1.21
1.36Defense 2.00
19%Hit Rate 61%
13.9Shots per Game 12.2
2.8Shots on Target 4.6
5.1Corners per Game 2.9
1.4Cards per Game 2.4

AI Insights

📉Home Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

EstrelaEstrela
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.7 vs 0 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half and can tire late
Academico ViseuAcademico Viseu
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0.3 in first half)

Head to Head

Last 4 meetings, all competitions

EstrelaEstrela3Wins · 75%
Draws125%
Academico ViseuAcademico Viseu0Wins · 0%
3.3Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored2 of 4
75%3+ goals3 of 4

Previous meetings

Segunda Liga05/03/2023
Academico ViseuEstrela
11
Segunda Liga12/09/2022
EstrelaAcademico Viseu
21
Segunda Liga05/03/2022
Academico ViseuEstrela
04
Segunda Liga10/10/2021
EstrelaAcademico Viseu
40

Recent Form

EstrelaEstrela
4W6D0L
14/09/2026
Rio AveEstrela
33
D
10/09/2026
EstrelaSC Braga
21
W
05/09/2026
EstrelaFamalicao
22
D
30/08/2026
NacionalEstrela
23
W
15/08/2026
AlvercaEstrela
22
D
08/08/2026
EstrelaSporting CP
22
D
01/08/2026
EstrelaAl-Nassr
42
W
29/07/2026
MaritimoEstrela
11
D
29/07/2026
EstrelaLusitano Évora 1911
10
W
29/07/2026
EstrelaPortimonense
11
D
Academico ViseuAcademico Viseu
3W4D3L
12/09/2026
Academico ViseuVitória SC
21
W
06/09/2026
GIL VicenteAcademico Viseu
01
W
29/08/2026
Academico ViseuFC Porto
03
L
22/08/2026
MaritimoAcademico Viseu
22
D
15/08/2026
Academico ViseuSanta Clara
01
L
09/08/2026
BenficaAcademico Viseu
22
D
29/07/2026
Celta VigoAcademico Viseu
22
D
25/07/2026
Lusitânia LourosaAcademico Viseu
10
L
16/05/2026
Academico ViseuSporting CP B
00
D
09/05/2026
Benfica BAcademico Viseu
02
W

Referee Profile

Andre Narciso148 matches

5.46Cards per match
5.21Yellow cards per match
0.25Red cards per match
30.7Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Andre Narciso5.46
Other referees5.58

5.46 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.58).

Cards come from 107 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Primeira Liga 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1FC PortoFC Porto11110027:5+2233WWWWW
2BenficaBenfica1191130:10+2028WWWWL
3Sporting CPSporting CP1173124:11+1324WWLWD
4Santa ClaraSanta Clara1163216:8+821LWLWD
5AroucaArouca1162313:8+520LWWWD
6Academico ViseuAcademico Viseu1162315:13+220LWWWW
7GIL VicenteGIL Vicente1153310:8+218WDLWW
8SC BragaSC Braga1152413:11+217WWLLL
9MoreirenseMoreirense1142513:18-514LWWLD
10FamalicaoFamalicao1134415:14+113WLWLW
11AlvercaAlverca1133514:15-112DLLWW
12EstrelaEstrela1124517:22-510LLLLL
13NacionalNacional1131711:19-810WLWLL
14Vitória SCVitória SC1123611:12-19LDWLD
15MaritimoMaritimo102269:21-128LLLDL
16Casa PiaCasa Pia112276:20-148DLWLW
17Rio AveRio Ave112189:24-157LLLWL
18EstorilEstoril100285:19-142LLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1FC PortoFC Porto1127:533
2BenficaBenfica1130:1028
3Sporting CPSporting CP1124:1124
4Santa ClaraSanta Clara1116:821
5AroucaArouca1113:820
6Academico ViseuAcademico Viseu1115:1320
7GIL VicenteGIL Vicente1110:818
8SC BragaSC Braga1113:1117
9MoreirenseMoreirense1113:1814
10FamalicaoFamalicao1115:1413
11AlvercaAlverca1114:1512
12EstrelaEstrela1117:2210
13NacionalNacional1111:1910
14Vitória SCVitória SC1111:129
15MaritimoMaritimo109:218
16Casa PiaCasa Pia116:208
17Rio AveRio Ave119:247
18EstorilEstoril105:192
Champions LeagueEuropa LeagueConference LeagueRelegation

About the Estrela vs Academico Viseu forecast

The forecasts for this Primeira Liga match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage is the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% means strong statistical confidence; 45-65% points to a competitive, open match; below 45% means the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for information and entertainment only.

Estrela and Academico Viseu in the Primeira Liga table

In the Primeira Liga table, Academico Viseu are 6th and Estrela 12th, 10 points apart. League goal record so far: Estrela 17-22, Academico Viseu 15-13. The full standings are on the Primeira Liga Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.