Maritimo vs FC Porto Prediction

Maritimo
1-2
Finished
HT 1-1
FC Porto
Estádio do Marítimo, Funchal·Joao Goncalves 10/10/2026
MaritimoMaritimo
1-2
Finished
FC PortoFC Porto

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
72%Trust
1X2
Away Win
1.28
SignalGOODModel72%SurpriseMediumGap-6.3%
Maritimo Rest
21 days
FC Porto Rest
8 days

Maritimo vs FC Porto: result, form and history

FC Porto beat Maritimo 2-1 in the Primeira Liga on 10 Oct 2026. It was in line with recent form: FC Porto had won 4 of their previous five, compared with none for Maritimo.

FC Porto have had the better of this fixture, winning 4 of the 6 previous meetings, which averaged 3.5 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
8%10.50
X
18%5.33
2
74%1.28
Double Chance
1X
26%3.50
X2
91%1.05
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%2.22
No
56%1.59
Goals
Projected Goals: 0.83 + 1.95 = 2.78
Over 1.5
76%1.22
Over 2.5
53%1.80
Over 3.5
30%3.00
Under 1.5
24%3.80
Under 2.5
47%2.02
Under 3.5
70%1.36
Corners
Projected Corners: 3.6 + 6.6 = 10.2
Over 8.5
64%1.69
Over 9.5
52%2.07
Over 10.5
43%2.74
Under 8.5
36%2.08
Under 9.5
48%1.65
Under 10.5
57%1.35
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.5 + 1.9 = 4.4
Over 3.5
65%1.45
Over 4.5
46%1.91
Under 3.5
35%2.60
Under 4.5
54%1.83

Match Events

16'Gábor SzalaiAssist: Maxime Dominguez
36'Alan Gonzalo VarelaFoul
42'Victor Froholdt
45'Alan Gonzalo Varela INPablo Rosario out
54'Hwang In-Beom INGabri Veiga out
55'William Gomes INBorja Sainz out
57'Eduardo Gabriel Aquino CossaFoul
66'Tomas Tavares INSimo Bouzaidi out
66'Maxime Dominguez INRodri Andrade out
66'André Silva INSamuel Aghehowa out
78'Adrián Butzke INMons Rogeani Bassouamina out
79'Martín Tejón INMaurice Boakye out
79'Eduardo Gabriel Aquino Cossa INOskar Pietuszewski out
84'Oskar PietuszewskiAssist: Jakub Kiwior
84'Goal confirmedOskar Pietuszewski
87'Igor JuliãoFoul
89'Ibrahim Akitunde Alani INSamuel Bamba out

Lineups

Maritimo
4-2-3-1Coach: M. van der Gaag
FC Porto
4-3-3Coach: F. Farioli
Avg rating6.24
Avg rating6.77
Fran Vieites7.230F. Vieites
Igor Julião5.12I. Julião
Romain Correia6.444R. Correia
G. Szalai7.322G. Szalai
Paulo Henrique5.723P. Henrique
I. Alani6.321I. Alani
Raphael Guzzo6.114R. Guzzo
Tomás Tavares5.615T. Tavares
M. Dominguez6.48M. Dominguez
Martín Tejón6.110M. Tejón
Adrián Butzke6.317A. Butzke
Diogo Costa7.099D. Costa
Alberto Baio6.120A. Baio
J. Bednarek7.55J. Bednarek
J. Kiwior7.34J. Kiwior
Francisco Moura6.874F. Moura
Victor Mow Froholdt7.18V. Mow Froholdt
A. Varela6.422A. Varela
Hwang In-Beom6.716H. In-Beom
William6.77William
André Silva6.519A. Silva
Pepê Aquino6.411P. Aquino

Maritimo Substitutes

1Gonçalo Tabuaço
13Alfonso Pastor
3N. Ogbeta
4Rafael Fernandes
35B. Limbombe
66I. Ayuma
18V. Danilović
12M. Bassouamina78'for Adrián Butzke6.6
27S. Bamba89'for Ibrahim Akitunde Alani5.9
90Maurice Osei Boakye79'for Martín Tejón6.5
6Rodrigo Andrade66'for Maxime Dominguez6.0
11M. Diouri66'for Tomas Tavares6.5

FC Porto Substitutes

29S. Giménez
17Borja Sainz55'for William Gomes7.2
9Samu66'for André Silva6.3
77O. Pietuszewski79'for Eduardo Gabriel Aquino Cossa84'7.7
10Gabri Veiga54'for Hwang In-Beom6.6
13P. Rosario45'for Alan Gonzalo Varela6.0
42S. Fofana
37Gabriel Mec
52Martim Fernandes
33Souza
14Cláudio Ramos
6C. Smalling

Match Stats

MaritimoFC Porto
42%Ball Possession58%
2Corner Kicks6
1Yellow Cards2
7Total Shots19
4Shots on Goal9
1Shots off Goal7
2Shots Inside Box15
5Shots Outside Box4
2Blocked Shots3
15Fouls15
0Offsides2
7Goalkeeper Saves3
308Total Passes420
221Passes Accurate346
15Free Kicks15

Team Comparison

MaritimoMaritimo
FC PortoFC Porto
1563Elo Rating 1879
0.96Attack 1.41
0.45Defense 1.88
23%Hit Rate 58%
9.1Shots per Game 14.5
2.7Shots on Target 5.4
3.8Corners per Game 4.2
2.1Cards per Game 1.6

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend83% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

MaritimoMaritimo
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.8 vs 0.2 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
FC PortoFC Porto
  • Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.1 vs 0.3 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 6 meetings, all competitions

MaritimoMaritimo1Wins · 17%
Draws117%
FC PortoFC Porto4Wins · 66%
3.5Avg Goals
83%Both teams scored5 of 6
67%3+ goals4 of 6

Previous meetings

Primeira Liga01/02/2023
MaritimoFC Porto
02
Primeira Liga06/08/2022
FC PortoMaritimo
51
Primeira Liga30/01/2022
FC PortoMaritimo
21
Primeira Liga22/08/2021
MaritimoFC Porto
11
Primeira Liga22/02/2021
MaritimoFC Porto
12
Primeira Liga03/10/2020
FC PortoMaritimo
23

Recent Form

MaritimoMaritimo
3W3D4L
19/09/2026
GIL VicenteMaritimo
11
D
14/09/2026
MoreirenseMaritimo
31
L
05/09/2026
MaritimoBenfica
03
L
29/08/2026
AroucaMaritimo
21
L
22/08/2026
MaritimoAcademico Viseu
22
D
16/08/2026
FamalicaoMaritimo
12
W
08/08/2026
MaritimoCasa Pia
10
W
29/07/2026
MaritimoEstrela
11
D
22/07/2026
MaritimoCamacha
20
W
17/07/2026
MaritimoLeixoes
15
L
FC PortoFC Porto
9W0D1L
02/10/2026
Deportivo La CorunaFC Porto
13
W
20/09/2026
FC PortoBenfica
31
W
12/09/2026
Casa PiaFC Porto
14
W
08/09/2026
FC PortoManchester City
02
L
04/09/2026
FC PortoMoreirense
21
W
29/08/2026
Academico ViseuFC Porto
03
W
23/08/2026
FC PortoArouca
20
W
15/08/2026
Rio AveFC Porto
02
W
09/08/2026
FC PortoAlverca
20
W
01/08/2026
FC PortoTorreense
10
W

Referee Profile

Joao Goncalves50 matches

5.51Cards per match
5.11Yellow cards per match
0.41Red cards per match
27.4Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Joao Goncalves5.51
Other referees5.18

5.51 cards a match, 0.33 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.18).

Cards come from 37 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Primeira Liga 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1FC PortoFC Porto990021:4+1727WWWWW
2BenficaBenfica861124:7+1719WLWWW
3Sporting CPSporting CP853020:9+1118WDDWW
4Santa ClaraSanta Clara853012:4+818WDWWD
5AroucaArouca952212:7+517WWDLD
6Academico ViseuAcademico Viseu842211:10+114WWWWL
7GIL VicenteGIL Vicente94238:7+114LWWDL
8AlvercaAlverca932413:13011LWWWL
9SC BragaSC Braga93249:11-211LLLDW
10MoreirenseMoreirense932411:16-511WLDWL
11FamalicaoFamalicao924314:11+310WLWDD
12EstrelaEstrela924314:17-310LLLDW
13Vitória SCVitória SC922510:1008WLDLD
14MaritimoMaritimo92259:19-108LLDLL
15NacionalNacional921610:18-87WLLLL
16Casa PiaCasa Pia92165:17-127WLWLD
17Rio AveRio Ave92168:21-137LWLDL
18EstorilEstoril90275:15-102LLLLD
#TeamMPGPts
1FC PortoFC Porto921:427
2BenficaBenfica824:719
3Sporting CPSporting CP820:918
4Santa ClaraSanta Clara812:418
5AroucaArouca912:717
6Academico ViseuAcademico Viseu811:1014
7GIL VicenteGIL Vicente98:714
8AlvercaAlverca913:1311
9SC BragaSC Braga99:1111
10MoreirenseMoreirense911:1611
11FamalicaoFamalicao914:1110
12EstrelaEstrela914:1710
13Vitória SCVitória SC910:108
14MaritimoMaritimo99:198
15NacionalNacional910:187
16Casa PiaCasa Pia95:177
17Rio AveRio Ave98:217
18EstorilEstoril95:152
Champions LeagueEuropa LeagueConference LeagueRelegation

About the Maritimo vs FC Porto forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Maritimo and FC Porto in the Primeira Liga table

In the Primeira Liga table, FC Porto are 1st and Maritimo 14th, 19 points apart. League goal record so far: Maritimo 9-19, FC Porto 21-4. The full standings are on the Primeira Liga Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.