Rio Ave vs Estrela Prediction

Rio Ave
3-3
Finished
HT 1-1
Estrela
14/09/2026
Rio AveRio Ave
3-3
Finished
EstrelaEstrela

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
71%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.46
SignalSOLIDModel46%RiskMediumGap+2.3%
Value Analysis
54%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 2.5 Goals
2.05
SignalGOODModel54%RiskMediumGap+5.9%
Rio Ave Rest
8 days
Estrela Rest
3 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
49%2.70
X
25%3.20
2
26%2.62
Double Chance
1X
74%1.46
X2
52%1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%1.75
No
46%1.95
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.44 + 1.15 = 2.59
Over 1.5
75%1.33
Over 2.5
51%2.05
Over 3.5
27%3.60
Under 1.5
25%3.13
Under 2.5
49%1.75
Under 3.5
73%1.25
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.7 + 4.6 = 9.2
Over 8.5
54%1.78
Over 9.5
40%2.23
Over 10.5
33%2.94
Under 8.5
46%1.89
Under 9.5
60%1.56
Under 10.5
67%1.32
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.7 + 2.3 = 4
Over 3.5
56%1.36
Over 4.5
37%1.72
Under 3.5
44%3.00
Under 4.5
63%2.05

Match Events

21'Ianis StoicaAssist: Leandro Antonetti
26'Max ScholzeFoul
44'Francisco PetrassoFoul
45+3'Francisco PetrassoAssist: Diogo Bezerra
53'Abraham MarcusAssist: Max Scholze
54'Sebastian Clemensen INRoland Galcik out
56'Roland GalcikAssist: Diogo Bezerra
58'Eddy DouéFoul
61'Abraham MarcusAssist: Ianis Stoica
63'Miguel Patricío INTamble Ulisses Folgado Monteiro out
63'Eddy Doué INJoan Jordan out
68'João Tomé Baptista INNelson Abbey out
68'Tamas Nikitscher INMalik Sellouki out
68'Pedro Amaral INMarios Vrushai out
71'Max Scholze INKevin Hoog Jansson out
72'Santiago Serra INJefferson Encada out
76'Stefan LekovicFoul
78'Jalen Blesa(Penalty)
84'Abraham Marcus INBeni Souza out
84'Ianis Stoica INAlisson Souza out
90+1'Tamble Ulisses Folgado MonteiroFoul

Lineups

Rio Ave
4-2-3-1Coach: S. Silaidopoulos
Estrela
4-2-3-1Coach: Pepa
E. van der Gouw99E. van der GouwE. van der Gouw
João Tomé20J. ToméJoão Tomé
F. Petrasso23F. PetrassoF. Petrasso
S. Garcia3S. GarciaS. Garcia
Pedro Amaral24P. AmaralPedro Amaral
T. Nikitscher44T. NikitscherT. Nikitscher
A. Ntoi5A. NtoiA. Ntoi
S. Clemmensen80S. ClemmensenS. Clemmensen
M. Patricio79M. PatricioM. Patricio
Diogo Bezerra7D. BezerraDiogo Bezerra
J. Blesa11J. BlesaJ. Blesa
Léo Linck24L. LinckLéo Linck
M. Scholze21M. ScholzeM. Scholze
Patrick Luan30P. LuanPatrick Luan
S. Leković5S. LekovićS. Leković
Rafa Soares55R. SoaresRafa Soares
Santiago Serra78S. SerraSantiago Serra
Eddy Doue39E. DoueEddy Doue
A. Marcus99A. MarcusA. Marcus
L. Zvonarek14L. ZvonarekL. Zvonarek
I. Stoica10I. StoicaI. Stoica
L. Antonetti37L. AntonettiL. Antonetti

Rio Ave Substitutes

30R. GalčíkF
39Gustavo ManchaD
6N. AbbeyD
54G. LiavasM
19M. SelloukiM
21R. ŠilerF
77D. ŠpikićF
9Tamble MonteiroF
32Vitor HugoG
17M. VrousaiF
70A. WenckM
60CaikeD

Estrela Substitutes

4Bernardo SchappoD
17Jefferson EncadaD
6K. Höög JanssonM
19Joan JordánM
3L. Mincarelli DavinD
49R. MutebaF
71E. Pedro VangaM
51Diogo PintoG
8RobinhoM
93B. SouzaM
80AlissonF
22David GriloG

Match Stats

Rio AveEstrela
38%Ball Possession62%
4Corner Kicks5
2Yellow Cards3
11Total Shots20
6Shots on Goal6
3Shots off Goal7
4Shots Inside Box14
7Shots Outside Box6
2Blocked Shots7
16Fouls12
0Offsides2
2Goalkeeper Saves3
297Total Passes475
247Passes Accurate421
13Free Kicks15

Team Comparison

Rio AveRio Ave
EstrelaEstrela
1557Elo Rating 1606
1.14Attack 2.44
0.21Defense 0.96
17%Hit Rate 39%
7.6Shots per Game 13.6
2.9Shots on Target 5.2
3.3Corners per Game 4.0
1.1Cards per Game 2.6

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend64% in H2H
📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

Rio AveRio Ave
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.7 vs 0.4 in first half)
EstrelaEstrela
  • Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.8 vs 0.7 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Based on 5 historical meetings

Rio Ave 69%Draw 14%17% Estrela
2.61Avg Goals
64%BTTS Rate
64%Over 2.5

League Table

Primeira Liga 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1FC PortoFC Porto660015:2+1318WWWWW
2BenficaBenfica651021:4+1716WWWWW
3Sporting CPSporting CP642015:6+914DWWWW
4Santa ClaraSanta Clara642011:4+714WWDWW
5AroucaArouca63128:5+310LDWLW
6EstrelaEstrela624014:12+210DWDWD
7SC BragaSC Braga53117:5+210WLWWD
8Academico ViseuAcademico Viseu62227:9-28WWLDL
9GIL VicenteGIL Vicente52124:407LLDWW
10MaritimoMaritimo62137:11-47LLLDW
11MoreirenseMoreirense62137:13-67WLLWL
12AlvercaAlverca61238:11-35WLDLD
13FamalicaoFamalicao60425:7-24DDDLL
14Vitória SCVitória SC61144:7-34LDLWL
15NacionalNacional61147:11-44LLLLW
16Rio AveRio Ave61145:14-94DLLWL
17EstorilEstoril60242:8-62LDLLL
18Casa PiaCasa Pia60151:15-141LDLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1FC PortoFC Porto615:218
2BenficaBenfica621:416
3Sporting CPSporting CP615:614
4Santa ClaraSanta Clara611:414
5AroucaArouca68:510
6EstrelaEstrela614:1210
7SC BragaSC Braga57:510
8Academico ViseuAcademico Viseu67:98
9GIL VicenteGIL Vicente54:47
10MaritimoMaritimo67:117
11MoreirenseMoreirense67:137
12AlvercaAlverca68:115
13FamalicaoFamalicao65:74
14Vitória SCVitória SC64:74
15NacionalNacional67:114
16Rio AveRio Ave65:144
17EstorilEstoril62:82
18Casa PiaCasa Pia61:151
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Rio Ave vs Estrela Prediction

Our AI model has analysed this Primeira Liga fixture using team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history. The forecasts cover six independent markets - each probability is a separate model calculation, not derived from the match winner result.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About Primeira Liga

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Key Factors for This Match

Rio Ave and Estrela have met 5 times recently, averaging 2.61 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.