FC Dallas vs San Jose Earthquakes Prediction

Toyota Stadium(Texas), Frisco·Rubiel Vazquez

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
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FC Dallas Rest
7 days
San Jose Earthquakes Rest
6 days

FC Dallas vs San Jose Earthquakes preview: form and head-to-head

On form this looks evenly balanced, with FC Dallas on 2 wins from their last five and San Jose Earthquakes on 1. They meet in the Major League Soccer on 25 Oct 2026.

When these two meet, goals usually follow: 3.6 a game across 10 meetings, with both teams scoring in 10.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
1.80
X
4.00
2
3.84
Double Chance
1X
1.25
X2
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
1.44
No
2.62
Goals
Over 1.5
1.13
Over 2.5
1.44
Over 3.5
2.13
Under 1.5
5.86
Under 2.5
2.70
Under 3.5
1.69
Corners
Over 8.5
1.33
Over 9.5
1.57
Over 10.5
1.96
Under 8.5
3.00
Under 9.5
2.27
Under 10.5
1.75
Cards
Over 3.5
1.67
Over 4.5
2.37
Under 3.5
2.10
Under 4.5
1.55
Predictions for this match are lockedA free account opens the match result market. Pro opens every goal market.

Team Comparison

FC DallasFC Dallas
San Jose EarthquakesSan Jose Earthquakes
1693Elo Rating 1616
1.32Attack 1.47
1.88Defense 1.86
39%Hit Rate 17%
13.7Shots per Game 14.3
4.5Shots on Target 4.2
5.0Corners per Game 5.7
1.8Cards per Game 1.6

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend100% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

FC DallasFC Dallas
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
San Jose EarthquakesSan Jose Earthquakes
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1 vs 0.5 in first half)

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

FC DallasFC Dallas3Wins · 30%
Draws550%
San Jose EarthquakesSan Jose Earthquakes2Wins · 20%
3.6Avg Goals
100%Both teams scored10 of 10
60%3+ goals6 of 10

Previous meetings

Major League Soccer17/05/2026
San Jose EarthquakesFC Dallas
23
Major League Soccer17/07/2025
San Jose EarthquakesFC Dallas
22
Major League Soccer26/06/2025
FC DallasSan Jose Earthquakes
24
Major League Soccer03/10/2024
San Jose EarthquakesFC Dallas
32
Major League Soccer25/02/2024
FC DallasSan Jose Earthquakes
21
Major League Soccer08/10/2023
FC DallasSan Jose Earthquakes
11
Major League Soccer28/05/2023
San Jose EarthquakesFC Dallas
11
Major League Soccer18/09/2022
San Jose EarthquakesFC Dallas
11
Major League Soccer14/08/2022
FC DallasSan Jose Earthquakes
41
Major League Soccer08/11/2021
San Jose EarthquakesFC Dallas
11

Referee Profile

Rubiel Vazquez137 matches

4.02Cards per match
3.83Yellow cards per match
0.20Red cards per match
23.1Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Rubiel Vazquez4.02
Other referees4.33

4.02 cards a match, 0.31 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.33).

Cards come from 128 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Major League Soccer 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver Whitecaps30167763:31+3255WDDLD
2St. Louis CitySt. Louis City30149756:41+1551LDWWW
3FC DallasFC Dallas30149755:47+851DWLWD
4San Jose EarthquakesSan Jose Earthquakes30139852:42+1048DDDWD
5Houston DynamoHouston Dynamo30138941:39+247DDDLD
6Los Angeles FCLos Angeles FC311210948:33+1546DWDLD
7Seattle SoundersSeattle Sounders301191039:37+242DLWWW
8Los Angeles GalaxyLos Angeles Galaxy3110101143:52-940DWLWW
9Colorado RapidsColorado Rapids301161341:41039DDDLD
10Real Salt LakeReal Salt Lake301061445:48-336WDLWL
11Portland TimbersPortland Timbers30971451:56-534DLDLL
12San DiegoSan Diego308101253:56-334DDLDD
13Minnesota United FCMinnesota United FC308101247:55-834WDDLL
14AustinAustin307101338:56-1831LLLDD
15Sporting Kansas CitySporting Kansas City30642036:75-3922LLDLW
#TeamMPGPts
1Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver Whitecaps3063:3155
2St. Louis CitySt. Louis City3056:4151
3FC DallasFC Dallas3055:4751
4San Jose EarthquakesSan Jose Earthquakes3052:4248
5Houston DynamoHouston Dynamo3041:3947
6Los Angeles FCLos Angeles FC3148:3346
7Seattle SoundersSeattle Sounders3039:3742
8Los Angeles GalaxyLos Angeles Galaxy3143:5240
9Colorado RapidsColorado Rapids3041:4139
10Real Salt LakeReal Salt Lake3045:4836
11Portland TimbersPortland Timbers3051:5634
12San DiegoSan Diego3053:5634
13Minnesota United FCMinnesota United FC3047:5534
14AustinAustin3038:5631
15Sporting Kansas CitySporting Kansas City3036:7522
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About the FC Dallas vs San Jose Earthquakes forecast

The forecasts for this Major League Soccer match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

FC Dallas and San Jose Earthquakes in the Major League Soccer table

This is a meeting of two top-four sides: FC Dallas are 3rd in the Major League Soccer, 3 points ahead of San Jose Earthquakes in 4th. League goal record so far: FC Dallas 55-47, San Jose Earthquakes 52-42. The full standings are on the Major League Soccer Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

FC Dallas have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.