FC Tokyo vs Kashiwa Reysol Prediction

FC Tokyo
0-0
Finished
HT 0-0
Kashiwa Reysol
Ajinomoto Stadium, Chofu·Koki Nagamine 21/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
4.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
78%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.22
SignalHIGHModel47%SurpriseMediumGap-3.7%
FC Tokyo Rest
4 days
Kashiwa Reysol Rest
4 days

FC Tokyo vs Kashiwa Reysol: the result in context

FC Tokyo and Kashiwa Reysol drew 0-0 in the J1 League on 21 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

When these two meet, goals usually follow: 3.2 a game across 10 meetings, with both teams scoring in 6.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
46%2.10
X
27%3.52
2
27%3.31
Double Chance
1X
72%1.32
X2
54%1.70
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%1.62
No
43%2.15
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.53 + 1.14 = 2.67
Over 1.5
77%1.22
Over 2.5
54%1.77
Over 3.5
33%2.75
Under 1.5
23%3.90
Under 2.5
46%2.04
Under 3.5
67%1.40
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

12'Hayato InamuraFoul
44'Yudai KonishiFoul
45'Koya Yuruki INKeita Endo out
45'Hinata Yamauchi INYoshio Koizumi out
45'Sachiro Toshima INWataru Harada out
62'Kashif Bangnagande INKota Tawaratsumida out
65'Shota Fujio INYusuke Segawa out
72'Marcelo INTeruhito Nakagawa out
72'Kein Sato INFuki Yamada out
75'Hirokazu IshiharaFoul
78'Tojiro Kubo INMao Hosoya out
79'Yoshio KoizumiFoul
80'Alexander ScholzFoul
85'Wataru HaradaFoul
86'Soma Anzai INRio Omori out
87'Motoki Nagakura INDani Gómez out
90+4'Keita EndoFoul

Lineups

FC Tokyo
4-4-2Coach: R. Matsuhashi
Kashiwa Reysol
3-4-2-1Coach: Ricardo Rodríguez
Avg rating6.74
Avg rating6.62
Kim Seung-Gyu7.081K. Seung-Gyu
H. Ishihara6.622H. Ishihara
A. Scholz6.724A. Scholz
H. Inamura6.94H. Inamura
K. Bangnagande7.16K. Bangnagande
K. Sato6.410K. Sato
Kyota Tokiwa7.027K. Tokiwa
T. Ko7.48T. Ko
S. Anzai6.27S. Anzai
Marcelo Ryan6.49M. Ryan
M. Nagakura6.326M. Nagakura
K. Nagai7.029K. Nagai
S. Toshima6.928S. Toshima
T. Koga6.94T. Koga
H. Mitsumaru7.12H. Mitsumaru
T. Kubo6.224T. Kubo
Y. Konishi6.521Y. Konishi
N. Nakagawa6.839N. Nakagawa
K. Yuba6.144K. Yuba
H. Yamauchi6.587H. Yamauchi
K. Yuruki6.216K. Yuruki
S. Fujio6.415S. Fujio

FC Tokyo Substitutes

1H. Tanaka
44K. Suzuki
99Dani Gómez87'for Motoki Nagakura6.8
71F. Yamada72'for Kein Sato6.5
33K. Tawaratsumida62'for Kashif Bangnagande6.8
3M. Morishige
20S. Nagano
39T. Nakagawa72'for Marcelo7.1
15R. Omori86'for Soma Anzai6.5

Kashiwa Reysol Substitutes

5K. Endo45'for Koya Yuruki90+4'6.3
30Shusuke Furuya
42W. Harada45'for Sachiro Toshima85'6.7
40R. Harakawa
9M. Hosoya78'for Tojiro Kubo6.6
8Y. Koizumi45'for Hinata Yamauchi79'6.7
1H. Saruta
20Y. Segawa65'for Shota Fujio6.9
26D. Sugioka

Match Stats

FC TokyoKashiwa Reysol
55%Ball Possession45%
4Corner Kicks5
3Yellow Cards4
19Total Shots12
3Shots on Goal3
11Shots off Goal5
12Shots Inside Box9
7Shots Outside Box3
5Blocked Shots4
8Fouls8
0Offsides1
2Goalkeeper Saves3
586Total Passes469
510Passes Accurate393
8Free Kicks8

Team Comparison

FC TokyoFC Tokyo
Kashiwa ReysolKashiwa Reysol
1685Elo Rating 1661
1.98Attack 2.39
2.81Defense 1.43
54%Hit Rate 58%
19.6Shots per Game 13.0
5.2Shots on Target 4.9
6.2Corners per Game 4.3
1.5Cards per Game 1.9

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend60% in H2H
📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

FC TokyoFC Tokyo
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.5 vs 0.5 in first half)
Kashiwa ReysolKashiwa Reysol
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.7 vs 0.7 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

FC TokyoFC Tokyo3Wins · 30%
Draws440%
Kashiwa ReysolKashiwa Reysol3Wins · 30%
3.2Avg Goals
60%Both teams scored6 of 10
40%3+ goals4 of 10

Previous meetings

J1 League29/04/2026
Kashiwa ReysolFC Tokyo
13
J1 League28/02/2026
FC TokyoKashiwa Reysol
02
J1 League05/07/2025
Kashiwa ReysolFC Tokyo
10
J1 League11/04/2025
FC TokyoKashiwa Reysol
11
J1 League06/07/2024
Kashiwa ReysolFC Tokyo
32
J1 League11/05/2024
FC TokyoKashiwa Reysol
33
J1 League01/07/2023
FC TokyoKashiwa Reysol
10
J1 League26/02/2023
Kashiwa ReysolFC Tokyo
11
J1 League27/08/2022
Kashiwa ReysolFC Tokyo
36
J1 League21/05/2022
FC TokyoKashiwa Reysol
00

Recent Form

FC TokyoFC Tokyo
8W1D1L
17/10/2026
Tokyo VerdyFC Tokyo
04
W
14/10/2026
Mito HollyhockFC Tokyo
10
L
10/10/2026
FC TokyoUrawa
30
W
07/10/2026
FC TokyoShonan Bellmare
40
W
29/09/2026
Ehime FCFC Tokyo
02
W
19/09/2026
FC TokyoNagoya Grampus
10
W
12/09/2026
Gamba OsakaFC Tokyo
02
W
06/09/2026
FC TokyoKyoto Sanga
20
W
02/09/2026
Shimizu S-pulseFC Tokyo
11
D
29/08/2026
V-varen NagasakiFC Tokyo
03
W

Referee Profile

Koki Nagamine123 matches

2.94Cards per match
2.81Yellow cards per match
0.13Red cards per match
21.7Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Koki Nagamine2.94
Other referees2.89

2.94 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (2.89).

Cards come from 32 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

J1 League 2027
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Machida ZelviaMachida Zelvia1283130:10+2027DWWWL
2FC TokyoFC Tokyo1283127:8+1927WDWWW
3Sanfrecce HiroshimaSanfrecce Hiroshima1282229:10+1926WLWWW
4Kashiwa ReysolKashiwa Reysol1281325:19+625WDLWW
5Vissel KobeVissel Kobe1272318:11+723DLWLW
6Kawasaki FrontaleKawasaki Frontale1264225:18+722WWWLD
7UrawaUrawa1270521:23-221WWWLW
8KashimaKashima1262425:21+420LDWWD
9Yokohama F. MarinosYokohama F. Marinos1246216:12+418DDDDW
10Fagiano OkayamaFagiano Okayama1251615:17-216LWLLL
11Nagoya GrampusNagoya Grampus1242614:18-414DDWWL
12Cerezo OsakaCerezo Osaka1235412:19-714DDLDD
13Shimizu S-pulseShimizu S-pulse1242610:20-1014LLDWW
14V-varen NagasakiV-varen Nagasaki1233615:19-412LWLDD
15Gamba OsakaGamba Osaka1225514:21-711DWDLL
16Kyoto SangaKyoto Sanga1224615:23-810DDLLW
17Mito HollyhockMito Hollyhock1223712:22-109LLLLL
18Tokyo VerdyTokyo Verdy121569:21-128WDLLL
19Avispa FukuokaAvispa Fukuoka1221913:21-87LLLWL
20JEF United ChibaJEF United Chiba1214712:24-127DLDDL
#TeamMPGPts
1Machida ZelviaMachida Zelvia1230:1027
2FC TokyoFC Tokyo1227:827
3Sanfrecce HiroshimaSanfrecce Hiroshima1229:1026
4Kashiwa ReysolKashiwa Reysol1225:1925
5Vissel KobeVissel Kobe1218:1123
6Kawasaki FrontaleKawasaki Frontale1225:1822
7UrawaUrawa1221:2321
8KashimaKashima1225:2120
9Yokohama F. MarinosYokohama F. Marinos1216:1218
10Fagiano OkayamaFagiano Okayama1215:1716
11Nagoya GrampusNagoya Grampus1214:1814
12Cerezo OsakaCerezo Osaka1212:1914
13Shimizu S-pulseShimizu S-pulse1210:2014
14V-varen NagasakiV-varen Nagasaki1215:1912
15Gamba OsakaGamba Osaka1214:2111
16Kyoto SangaKyoto Sanga1215:2310
17Mito HollyhockMito Hollyhock1212:229
18Tokyo VerdyTokyo Verdy129:218
19Avispa FukuokaAvispa Fukuoka1213:217
20JEF United ChibaJEF United Chiba1212:247
Champions LeagueRelegation

About the FC Tokyo vs Kashiwa Reysol forecast

The forecasts for this J1 League match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

FC Tokyo and Kashiwa Reysol in the J1 League table

This is a meeting of two top-four sides: FC Tokyo are 2nd in the J1 League, 2 points ahead of Kashiwa Reysol in 4th. League goal record so far: FC Tokyo 27-8, Kashiwa Reysol 25-19. The full standings are on the J1 League Table 2027 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Kashiwa Reysol have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.